TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NBA · resolved market

Magic vs. Suns

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Magicof Magic, Suns
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$126,039
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$144,789

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $126,039 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 208 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NBA
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x2ff0…46e3backed Magic71c15,564$10,998 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,566.4547656.5%269 W · 207 L+6.0wins+0.01per pick55cpaid-4.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x371a…34b0backed Suns1c11,964$66 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$65.71,0351.1%11 W · 1,024 L-24.4wins-0.02per pick3cpaid-90.5%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x2aa5…ff32backed Magic63c6,000$3,780 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,219.978046.3%37 W · 43 L-3.0wins-0.04per pick50cpaid-14.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x480d…f219backed Suns11c5,971$637 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$637.11,29044%567 W · 723 L+35.0wins+0.03per pick41cpaid+7.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x576b…7336backed Suns9c5,552$483 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$482.5318316.9%31 W · 152 L-3.8wins-0.02per pick19cpaid-26.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0269…cb2dbacked Magic61c5,372$3,262 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,109.8565642.5%279 W · 377 L-2.9wins0.00per pick43cpaid-15%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9fc0…53ddbacked Suns41c3,946$1,600 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,6005457.4%31 W · 23 L+13.2wins+0.24per pick33cpaid+76.8%equal weight69+0.17 edge/pick
0x3c82…e0cbbacked Suns37c3,468$1,269 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,268.627041.5%112 W · 158 L+10.7wins+0.04per pick38cpaid+2.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x44f7…266fbacked Suns1c3,264$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.644573.5%16 W · 441 L+4.4wins+0.01per pick3cpaid-2.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe505…d18bbacked Magic62c3,135$1,944 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,191.446253.2%33 W · 29 L+5.2wins+0.08per pick45cpaid+23.2%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x8342…13c9backed Suns37c3,000$1,110 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,11023548.1%113 W · 122 L-13.9wins-0.06per pick54cpaid-17.9%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xa431…677fbacked Suns37c2,701$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$999.948417.9%15 W · 69 L-10.2wins-0.12per pick30cpaid-64.1%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0xee67…3b5abacked Magic63c2,696$1,698 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$997.52580%4 W · 1 L+1.2wins+0.24per pick56cpaid+69.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x58ec…66f9backed Suns36c2,604$937 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$937.481650%8 W · 8 L+0.4wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+37.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9eea…281dbacked Magic74c2,596$1,916 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$679.7826547.9%127 W · 138 L-4.3wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-9%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x9db3…0d97backed Suns40c2,500$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,0001145.5%5 W · 6 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick44cpaid-5.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x997b…801ebacked Suns39c2,010$778 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$777.6846131%143 W · 318 L+15.6wins+0.03per pick28cpaid+10.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x90ba…63f3backed Suns38c2,000$760 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7601,78228%499 W · 1,283 L+11.5wins+0.01per pick27cpaid-1.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1475…e632backed Suns8c1,520$122 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$121.581752.9%9 W · 8 L0.0wins0.00per pick53cpaid-5.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x47e0…13a8backed Magic64c1,489$953 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$536.682343.5%10 W · 13 L+0.4wins+0.02per pick42cpaid+21%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xaeb5…58e2backed Suns33c1,423$473 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$473.371,09035.8%390 W · 700 L+40.1wins+0.04per pick32cpaid+5.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x1c4b…f1e6backed Magic71c1,361$966 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$395.095856.9%33 W · 25 L-0.7wins-0.01per pick58cpaid-7.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf0b0…8cabbacked Suns16c1,356$221 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$221.091,55437.3%579 W · 975 L-48.1wins-0.03per pick40cpaid-18.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x306b…3ec5backed Magic59c1,319$778 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$540.7911332.7%37 W · 76 L+1.0wins+0.01per pick32cpaid+8.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xefce…f0e7backed Suns40c1,252$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5001241.7%5 W · 7 L-1.7wins-0.14per pick56cpaid-33.4%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xee00…cea1backed Suns33c1,242$410 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$409.870147.8%335 W · 366 L+15.4wins+0.02per pick46cpaid-8.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3980…724cbacked Suns9c1,111$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1001723.5%4 W · 13 L-1.0wins-0.06per pick30cpaid-40.3%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x93bc…8ca3backed Suns26c1,031$265 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$264.921,75240.6%712 W · 1,040 L-3.3wins0.00per pick41cpaid-5.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1b45…ea09backed Suns37c1,000$370 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3703727%10 W · 27 L-4.9wins-0.13per pick40cpaid-37%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x8b54…0a6abacked Suns9c1,000$90 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9020%0 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.12per pick12cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf93b…bb37backed Suns39c1,000$390 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39027642%116 W · 160 L-3.3wins-0.01per pick43cpaid-6.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb2c7…1b5bbacked Magic61c999.98$610 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$389.9929148.8%142 W · 149 L+7.1wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+4.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x09df…5ca9backed Suns46c999.98$460 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$459.998043.8%35 W · 45 L+2.9wins+0.04per pick40cpaid+6.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xfda0…e18abacked Suns36c961.31$347 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$346.65240.4%21 W · 31 L+3.8wins+0.07per pick33cpaid+21.8%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x7feb…6be7backed Suns11c942.69$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$99.91662.5%10 W · 6 L+1.9wins+0.12per pick50cpaid+18.2%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x7b2d…8b38backed Magic59c864.38$510 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$354.41464.3%9 W · 5 L+1.2wins+0.08per pick56cpaid+24.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xaacf…5f84backed Suns40c822.39$330 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3301,15153.7%618 W · 533 L-41.7wins-0.04per pick57cpaid-6.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x6e82…752cbacked Magic53c813.56$434 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$380.011,20455.3%666 W · 538 L+52.0wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+12.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x5553…2567backed Suns39c715.39$279 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2791338.5%5 W · 8 L+1.0wins+0.07per pick31cpaid+64.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1772…bb32backed Suns39c643.09$249 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$249.0411428.9%33 W · 81 L+0.1wins0.00per pick29cpaid-5.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x951b…70febacked Suns28c619.71$171 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$171.2120%0 W · 2 L-0.7wins-0.34per pick34cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xc4c9…6aebbacked Suns48c611.16$293 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$293.361947.4%9 W · 10 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick46cpaid+13%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7990…c870backed Magic62c568.48$350 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$218.484847.9%23 W · 25 L-3.4wins-0.07per pick55cpaid-14.6%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x9ba2…18a5backed Suns24c520.57$123 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$122.79130.8%28 W · 63 L+4.2wins+0.05per pick26cpaid+6.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xdc4b…5a92backed Suns26c500$129 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1291,16654.4%634 W · 532 L+19.3wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+2.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xae36…c1a8backed Suns4c500$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$221910.5%2 W · 17 L-1.1wins-0.06per pick16cpaid-70.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x4ffd…b9e5backed Suns35c500$173 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1732725.9%7 W · 20 L-1.8wins-0.07per pick33cpaid+84.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x3b92…8bb4backed Suns15c499.99$75 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$74.617623.7%18 W · 58 L-7.1wins-0.09per pick33cpaid-52.5%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x2b51…e165backed Suns27c450$123 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$122.531347%147 W · 166 L-14.8wins-0.05per pick52cpaid-6.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xf612…5700backed Magic63c444$280 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$164.2820245.5%92 W · 110 L+0.8wins0.00per pick45cpaid+5.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3fab…5e80backed Magic53c373.32$198 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$175.465337.7%20 W · 33 L-5.5wins-0.10per pick48cpaid-24.7%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x3d69…9829backed Magic51c372.01$189 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$183.1729043.8%127 W · 163 L-2.6wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-18.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5679…d458backed Suns35c363.94$127 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$127.3815646.2%72 W · 84 L+1.5wins+0.01per pick45cpaid+2.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2cce…6e85backed Magic57c359.93$204 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$156.2222039.1%86 W · 134 L+14.0wins+0.06per pick33cpaid+21.8%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xadf3…2beabacked Suns7c355.77$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.46911.1%1 W · 8 L-1.7wins-0.19per pick30cpaid-62.3%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xa337…9e54backed Suns37c351.42$130 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$130.0334548.7%168 W · 177 L-1.7wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-3.8%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xc9ad…f186backed Magic60c333.33$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$133.3318666.1%123 W · 63 L+1.0wins+0.01per pick66cpaid-0.2%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0xe83c…5e8fbacked Magic60c332.48$199 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$132.991,45149.7%721 W · 730 L+18.0wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe5aa…b6f8backed Suns48c312.5$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1501233.3%4 W · 8 L0.0wins0.00per pick34cpaid+34.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3168…6734backed Suns7c312.41$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.119137.7%72 W · 119 L+1.2wins+0.01per pick37cpaid-9.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7220…a3a1backed Suns4c302.01$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11119.1%1 W · 10 L-0.2wins-0.02per pick11cpaid-35.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc726…c39abacked Suns46c300$138 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1382138.1%8 W · 13 L+0.5wins+0.03per pick36cpaid+12.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0b22…9612backed Suns53c299.9$159 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$158.5510%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.53per pick53cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x20d1…bf0cbacked Suns10c275.19$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.51338.5%5 W · 8 L+1.2wins+0.09per pick29cpaid+1.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xecb1…4ae4backed Suns8c258.66$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.456435.9%23 W · 41 L+2.9wins+0.04per pick31cpaid-1.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x3462…d3d2backed Suns39c258.35$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10010153.5%54 W · 47 L+0.2wins0.00per pick53cpaid-0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x529f…1cfabacked Suns40c252.33$101 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100.939052.2%47 W · 43 L+1.9wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+0.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc365…5419backed Magic72c251.58$180 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$71.584351.2%22 W · 21 L-5.8wins-0.14per pick65cpaid-23.5%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x0e02…b1c5backed Suns37c249.99$92 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$92.54951%25 W · 24 L+0.8wins+0.02per pick49cpaid-1.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc3c4…55cfbacked Suns40c249.99$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1003135.5%11 W · 20 L-3.3wins-0.10per pick46cpaid-23%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xf899…a1d4backed Magic61c245.92$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$95.911681.3%13 W · 3 L+2.7wins+0.17per pick64cpaid+22.9%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x24b0…dd7abacked Suns22c245.58$55 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$54.572317.4%4 W · 19 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick19cpaid-40.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1fe5…500fbacked Suns25c236.11$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$609431.9%30 W · 64 L+1.1wins+0.01per pick31cpaid-11.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf02f…c2f4backed Suns44c227$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1002552%13 W · 12 L+3.9wins+0.16per pick36cpaid+46.4%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xab68…1bb1backed Suns7c223.98$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1515911.9%19 W · 140 L-6.2wins-0.04per pick16cpaid-41.1%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xe32e…890bbacked Magic54c209.08$113 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$95.984100%4 W · 0 L+1.6wins+0.40per pick60cpaid+70.1%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x05ff…b701backed Suns49c204.29$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1007648.7%37 W · 39 L-2.1wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3b94…8183backed Suns49c204.08$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1001747.1%8 W · 9 L-2.3wins-0.14per pick61cpaid-30.5%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x1e20…f3e7backed Suns49c204.08$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1001154.5%6 W · 5 L+0.3wins+0.02per pick52cpaid-11.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6d5b…334abacked Suns36c200$72 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$722729.6%8 W · 19 L-5.0wins-0.18per pick48cpaid-51.2%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0x93f7…86d7backed Magic58c200$116 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$84757.1%4 W · 3 L+0.8wins+0.11per pick46cpaid+25.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x7be1…200ebacked Suns40c197.56$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8036449.7%181 W · 183 L-11.6wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-3.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd968…bd18backed Suns13c192.31$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$258334.9%29 W · 54 L-1.5wins-0.02per pick37cpaid-3%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x103b…6b22backed Suns49c190.98$94 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$93.583737.8%14 W · 23 L-1.8wins-0.05per pick43cpaid+18.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x3cb5…14b1backed Suns11c189.15$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$203935.9%14 W · 25 L-0.1wins0.00per pick36cpaid-7.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6e31…a34cbacked Suns43c180$77 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$77.011442.9%6 W · 8 L-1.2wins-0.09per pick52cpaid-22.3%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x8b7a…f6dbbacked Magic60c166.67$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$66.677346.6%34 W · 39 L-4.8wins-0.07per pick53cpaid-4.8%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x1129…b1debacked Magic63c158.73$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$58.732147.6%10 W · 11 L-0.7wins-0.04per pick51cpaid-7.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xcc81…0ababacked Suns41c154.47$63 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$63.3323646.6%110 W · 126 L+1.3wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-12.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xaa38…ffb3backed Suns39c153.08$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$59.710925.7%28 W · 81 L-1.0wins-0.01per pick27cpaid-13.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6c61…f292backed Suns38c148.95$57 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$56.61241.7%5 W · 7 L-0.5wins-0.04per pick45cpaid-18.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7961…2da2backed Magic68c147.68$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$47.682326.1%6 W · 17 L-4.9wins-0.21per pick47cpaid-35.2%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0x7b1e…cee2backed Suns37c144.92$54 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$53.82045%9 W · 11 L-1.1wins-0.05per pick50cpaid-25.3%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x519d…37a1backed Suns23c140$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32.057502%15 W · 735 L-3.2wins0.00per pick2cpaid-63.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2ea7…f625backed Suns37c130$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48.18232.9%27 W · 55 L-6.4wins-0.08per pick41cpaid-26.2%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xfdbf…c88ebacked Suns32c127.81$41 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40.938132.8%125 W · 256 L-6.5wins-0.02per pick35cpaid-4.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x59d0…47a2backed Suns40c127.7$51 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$51.081435.7%5 W · 9 L-0.7wins-0.05per pick41cpaid-4.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4a64…4430backed Suns14c111.72$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.4661532.2%198 W · 417 L-21.1wins-0.03per pick36cpaid-32.2%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xe3ee…373ebacked Suns33c110.88$37 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$36.5953250.4%268 W · 264 L-19.8wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-9.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xb39a…7d27backed Magic52c109$57 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$52.32425%1 W · 3 L-1.1wins-0.27per pick52cpaid-51.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.