TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NBA · resolved market

Kings vs. Grizzlies

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Grizzliesof Kings, Grizzlies
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$209,287
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$236,976

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $209,287 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 302 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NBA
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x20cc…ebc0backed Grizzlies65c27,221$17,663 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9,557.0715056.7%85 W · 65 L+0.5wins0.00per pick56cpaid-9.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0269…cb2dbacked Kings38c14,792$5,560 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,559.9865642.5%279 W · 377 L-2.9wins0.00per pick43cpaid-15%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8996…fbcebacked Kings45c10,876$4,925 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,925.1121649.1%106 W · 110 L+18.8wins+0.09per pick40cpaid+18.7%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x3586…eecfbacked Grizzlies64c7,285$4,641 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,644.333754.1%20 W · 17 L+2.7wins+0.07per pick47cpaid+17.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xd2bd…dce0backed Kings38c6,232$2,346 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,346.2877745%350 W · 427 L+6.6wins+0.01per pick44cpaid+1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7f59…a01abacked Grizzlies62c5,000$3,078 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,921.688561.2%52 W · 33 L-0.2wins0.00per pick61cpaid-2.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb786…b18dbacked Kings21c4,627$978 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$978.411,31650.5%664 W · 652 L+42.4wins+0.03per pick47cpaid-0.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xa535…6bf5backed Grizzlies60c4,000$2,400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,6009557.9%55 W · 40 L+0.9wins+0.01per pick57cpaid-0.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe505…d18bbacked Kings42c3,508$1,473 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,473.326253.2%33 W · 29 L+5.2wins+0.08per pick45cpaid+23.2%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x5550…5b4dbacked Grizzlies67c2,994$2,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$994.0212563.2%79 W · 46 L+4.5wins+0.04per pick60cpaid+6.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1a1f…f491backed Grizzlies77c2,753$2,117 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$635.52771.4%5 W · 2 L+1.6wins+0.22per pick49cpaid+60.5%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x2f91…907fbacked Kings40c2,079$839 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$839.256245.2%28 W · 34 L-1.0wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-1.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xde53…e5bebacked Kings41c2,065$856 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$856.3585347.9%409 W · 444 L+8.2wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+4.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x649f…993ebacked Kings40c2,062$825 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$824.757354.8%40 W · 33 L+2.3wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+1.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x8b7a…f6dbbacked Kings64c1,936$1,245 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,244.527346.6%34 W · 39 L-4.8wins-0.07per pick53cpaid-4.8%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x4f82…d8c7backed Grizzlies55c1,818$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$818.189735.1%34 W · 63 L-3.9wins-0.04per pick39cpaid-9.1%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xa8cd…3cf2backed Kings37c1,681$620 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$620.4511143.2%48 W · 63 L+6.0wins+0.05per pick38cpaid+15.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xaacf…5f84backed Grizzlies55c1,604$879 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$725.241,15153.7%618 W · 533 L-41.7wins-0.04per pick57cpaid-6.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x93bc…8ca3backed Kings39c1,600$627 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$626.991,75240.6%712 W · 1,040 L-3.3wins0.00per pick41cpaid-5.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd42f…e540backed Grizzlies63c1,587$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$587.031553.3%8 W · 7 L-0.4wins-0.03per pick56cpaid-11.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4df3…788fbacked Kings42c1,498$624 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$623.626,21350.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L+53.8wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+1.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa6a8…5009backed Kings57c1,443$816 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$816.483,99548.9%1,952 W · 2,043 L+101.9wins+0.03per pick46cpaid-1.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1b61…78e8backed Kings6c1,277$79 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$79.082437.5%9 W · 15 L+2.0wins+0.08per pick29cpaid+54.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x3168…6734backed Grizzlies54c1,205$655 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$550.0319137.7%72 W · 119 L+1.2wins+0.01per pick37cpaid-9.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4673…d99bbacked Kings34c1,200$408 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40837954.1%205 W · 174 L-5.7wins-0.01per pick56cpaid0%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x9f9e…a976backed Kings42c1,190$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$500450%2 W · 2 L+0.1wins+0.03per pick47cpaid-8.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x23ea…3ab2backed Grizzlies69c1,186$824 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3622080%16 W · 4 L+2.7wins+0.14per pick66cpaid+20.4%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x85c4…fa85backed Grizzlies59c1,169$690 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$479.49742.9%3 W · 4 L-0.2wins-0.04per pick46cpaid-30.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8b17…78fbbacked Grizzlies61c1,155$700 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$455.081090%9 W · 1 L+3.0wins+0.30per pick60cpaid+43.2%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x03e3…08e0backed Grizzlies55c1,050$577 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$472.996768.7%46 W · 21 L+4.8wins+0.07per pick61cpaid+1.9%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x9eea…281dbacked Grizzlies80c1,009$804 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$205.4926547.9%127 W · 138 L-4.3wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-9%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x163e…d18cbacked Grizzlies42c1,003$424 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$578.918246.3%38 W · 44 L-2.1wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-11.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x624f…2fa6backed Kings36c1,000$360 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3605536.4%20 W · 35 L-1.5wins-0.03per pick39cpaid-27%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x480d…f219backed Grizzlies61c1,000$610 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3901,29044%567 W · 723 L+35.0wins+0.03per pick41cpaid+7.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2273…a0ecbacked Grizzlies60c1,000$600 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4001850%9 W · 9 L+0.6wins+0.03per pick47cpaid-12.8%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xd056…e004backed Kings43c978.77$420 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$420683.3%5 W · 1 L+1.2wins+0.20per pick63cpaid+26.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x3c64…1d7abacked Grizzlies34c867.65$295 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$572.65714.3%1 W · 6 L-2.0wins-0.28per pick43cpaid-58%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x6dcf…7400backed Grizzlies64c781.25$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$281.256855.9%38 W · 30 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick55cpaid-0.7%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x5097…08abbacked Grizzlies57c725$416 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$309.5757.1%4 W · 3 L+0.2wins+0.02per pick55cpaid-4.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3bdc…3a4ebacked Kings40c700$280 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28019943.7%87 W · 112 L-4.6wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-2.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf0b0…8cabbacked Kings22c685.85$151 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$150.641,55437.3%579 W · 975 L-48.1wins-0.03per pick40cpaid-18.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xad28…90d7backed Grizzlies59c680.81$400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$280.812857.1%16 W · 12 L-1.7wins-0.06per pick63cpaid-18.1%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x2942…59abbacked Kings46c650$299 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$299.518044.4%80 W · 100 L+15.8wins+0.09per pick36cpaid+36.9%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x3d69…9829backed Grizzlies52c646.78$338 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$308.6629043.8%127 W · 163 L-2.6wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-18.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa647…64eebacked Kings44c622.69$274 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$273.9819350.3%97 W · 96 L+5.2wins+0.03per pick48cpaid-2.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xad18…0b4fbacked Grizzlies33c606.05$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$406.0553134.7%184 W · 347 L-11.7wins-0.02per pick37cpaid-10.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5203…5760backed Grizzlies35c552.24$192 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$360.37250%1 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.08per pick42cpaid+43.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe59b…488ebacked Kings29c502.2$145 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$145.4972341.2%298 W · 425 L+23.0wins+0.03per pick38cpaid+11.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xc3ec…e987backed Grizzlies58c500$290 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21056348.5%273 W · 290 L-7.1wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-7.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1b52…2c31backed Grizzlies50c500$250 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2501225%3 W · 9 L-0.4wins-0.03per pick28cpaid-32.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6aab…9c4cbacked Grizzlies61c500$305 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19529661.5%182 W · 114 L+10.6wins+0.04per pick58cpaid+2.6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x9bad…74a7backed Grizzlies57c500$287 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$212.515234.9%53 W · 99 L-11.2wins-0.07per pick42cpaid-18.5%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x4fc1…ec92backed Kings40c499.98$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$199.9975347.5%358 W · 395 L+10.4wins+0.01per pick46cpaid+0.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd04d…d0e5backed Kings23c454.1$104 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$104.441,16449.6%577 W · 587 L+7.1wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2fe6…ab9dbacked Kings42c444.66$186 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$185.7649849.4%246 W · 252 L-3.4wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-4.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd42f…047dbacked Kings39c434.64$170 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$169.5122832%73 W · 155 L-1.3wins-0.01per pick33cpaid-21.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1608…a990backed Kings58c409.22$237 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$237.3725939%101 W · 158 L-6.8wins-0.03per pick42cpaid-5.1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xa9d7…25e9backed Kings46c407.49$186 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$185.9670951.3%364 W · 345 L+6.2wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-3.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x18f6…b00bbacked Grizzlies61c400.91$244 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$156.9112752.8%67 W · 60 L-9.5wins-0.07per pick60cpaid-14.7%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xdeeb…ae35backed Grizzlies59c400$236 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1641050%5 W · 5 L+0.8wins+0.08per pick42cpaid+9.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xf88a…6cfebacked Grizzlies60c393.8$236 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$157.52366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.13per pick54cpaid+26.5%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x8d2d…569cbacked Grizzlies67c378.95$252 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$126.692268.2%15 W · 7 L+1.7wins+0.08per pick60cpaid+4.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x581c…7f94backed Kings9c349.99$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$328144.4%36 W · 45 L-1.7wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-15.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8b63…4cf5backed Kings44c340.91$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1504443.2%19 W · 25 L-2.2wins-0.05per pick48cpaid-17.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x8140…b92fbacked Kings39c338.73$131 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$131.59149.5%45 W · 46 L+1.0wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-1.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3d53…0644backed Kings44c312.04$137 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$137.312154.5%66 W · 55 L+1.7wins+0.01per pick53cpaid-1.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0f09…0478backed Kings37c300.62$111 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$111.231266.7%8 W · 4 L+2.6wins+0.22per pick45cpaid+40.4%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x6bea…5d50backed Kings39c300.02$117 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$116.6850047.2%236 W · 264 L-1.0wins0.00per pick47cpaid-3.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2d80…5fd8backed Grizzlies62c300$186 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11430251.7%156 W · 146 L-6.7wins-0.02per pick54cpaid-6.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x37b9…3390backed Kings30c300$90 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9020233.7%68 W · 134 L+4.0wins+0.02per pick32cpaid+7.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x89dc…e209backed Grizzlies49c300$147 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15310243.1%44 W · 58 L-5.0wins-0.05per pick48cpaid-12.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x5f41…83f5backed Grizzlies60c270.88$162 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$108.3924549%120 W · 125 L+8.4wins+0.03per pick46cpaid+5.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x49a7…2261backed Grizzlies76c263.16$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$63.162560%15 W · 10 L+0.8wins+0.03per pick57cpaid-4.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xce88…4d96backed Grizzlies59c260.14$153 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$106.66825%2 W · 6 L-1.6wins-0.20per pick45cpaid-57.3%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xe49d…e091backed Kings42c259.98$109 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$109.19742.9%3 W · 4 L-0.2wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-11%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xdc4b…5a92backed Grizzlies60c250$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1001,16654.4%634 W · 532 L+19.3wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+2.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa718…fdc4backed Kings41c243.9$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100911.1%1 W · 8 L-2.2wins-0.25per pick36cpaid-82.6%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x1abc…2093backed Grizzlies33c240.28$79 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$160.992924.1%7 W · 22 L-2.8wins-0.10per pick34cpaid-30.3%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x8c76…477abacked Grizzlies76c229.45$174 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$55.0727739.4%109 W · 168 L-9.1wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-7.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x7eda…4bb7backed Kings44c227.27$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10038942.9%167 W · 222 L-16.9wins-0.04per pick47cpaid-10.3%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xeeca…9826backed Grizzlies45c223.87$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$123.873826.3%10 W · 28 L-3.3wins-0.09per pick35cpaid-42.5%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xdf86…601fbacked Grizzlies35c217.21$75 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$142.2250144.7%224 W · 277 L+7.6wins+0.02per pick43cpaid+8.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xd983…d92dbacked Grizzlies52c214.33$111 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$103.729844%131 W · 167 L-1.4wins0.00per pick44cpaid-0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb13d…2e90backed Kings37c205.2$75 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$75.4588053.8%473 W · 407 L+52.3wins+0.06per pick48cpaid+9.1%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xe27b…858fbacked Kings37c204.99$76 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$75.8185542%359 W · 496 L+10.0wins+0.01per pick41cpaid+2.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbb8d…22e5backed Grizzlies61c204.9$125 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$79.91633.3%2 W · 4 L-1.1wins-0.18per pick51cpaid-36.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x8ed5…a76ebacked Grizzlies59c203.39$120 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$83.3915558.7%91 W · 64 L-6.9wins-0.04per pick63cpaid-8.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xbde5…9c38backed Grizzlies44c200$87 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1131,19746.7%559 W · 638 L+9.3wins+0.01per pick46cpaid+3.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8b7e…6a9fbacked Grizzlies61c200$122 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7889353%473 W · 420 L+1.3wins0.00per pick53cpaid+1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbc1c…a897backed Grizzlies62c200$124 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$761735.3%6 W · 11 L-1.4wins-0.08per pick44cpaid-3.6%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xad46…f468backed Grizzlies60c200$120 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$801573.3%11 W · 4 L+2.5wins+0.17per pick56cpaid+26.8%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x51bc…8946backed Kings39c200$78 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$781250%6 W · 6 L+0.8wins+0.06per pick44cpaid-2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x166f…c6f4backed Grizzlies60c200$120 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$801717.6%3 W · 14 L-3.5wins-0.21per pick38cpaid-67.6%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xe25c…ae63backed Kings33c183.15$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$60.1640448.3%195 W · 209 L-1.9wins0.00per pick49cpaid+4.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x26d1…6f56backed Grizzlies49c178.49$87 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$91.6211235.7%40 W · 72 L-9.9wins-0.09per pick45cpaid-36.9%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xb652…2db4backed Grizzlies57c177.18$101 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$76.1937627.9%105 W · 271 L-2.3wins-0.01per pick29cpaid+14.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb44a…8e18backed Grizzlies58c172.47$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$72.4712033.3%40 W · 80 L-11.6wins-0.10per pick43cpaid-22.2%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x58f2…a3e2backed Grizzlies59c169.49$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$69.494334.9%15 W · 28 L-5.7wins-0.13per pick48cpaid-29.1%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x8c91…0505backed Grizzlies59c169.49$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$69.4910147.5%48 W · 53 L-5.7wins-0.06per pick53cpaid-11.3%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xa32b…e132backed Kings36c167.38$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$60.0711035.5%39 W · 71 L+0.1wins0.00per pick35cpaid+0.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.