TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NBA · resolved market

Pacers vs. Raptors

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Raptorsof Pacers, Raptors
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$184,420
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$202,495

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $184,420 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 307 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NBA
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x2ff0…46e3backed Raptors52c29,157$15,125 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14,032.1447656.5%269 W · 207 L+6.0wins+0.01per pick55cpaid-4.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x371a…34b0backed Pacers1c10,660$128 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$127.631,0351.1%11 W · 1,024 L-24.4wins-0.02per pick3cpaid-90.5%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x9cfb…df99backed Pacers14c9,388$1,358 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,357.734637%17 W · 29 L-1.2wins-0.03per pick39cpaid-14.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2aa5…ff32backed Pacers60c6,000$3,600 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,6008046.3%37 W · 43 L-3.0wins-0.04per pick50cpaid-14.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x4a64…4430backed Pacers8c5,254$420 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$419.6461532.2%198 W · 417 L-21.1wins-0.03per pick36cpaid-32.2%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x32b2…841cbacked Pacers2c5,076$110 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$109.8830%0 W · 3 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8342…13c9backed Pacers63c3,400$2,143 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,142.9523548.1%113 W · 122 L-13.9wins-0.06per pick54cpaid-17.9%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x0269…cb2dbacked Pacers60c3,143$1,887 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,887.0165642.5%279 W · 377 L-2.9wins0.00per pick43cpaid-15%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7f09…02b6backed Pacers10c3,141$314 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$314.281450%7 W · 7 L+1.1wins+0.08per pick42cpaid+17.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2805…76edbacked Raptors39c2,832$1,100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,732.028439.3%33 W · 51 L+2.3wins+0.03per pick37cpaid+3.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4c86…6993backed Pacers6c2,824$178 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$177.6234425.6%88 W · 256 L-4.5wins-0.01per pick27cpaid-14.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa431…677fbacked Pacers69c2,431$1,685 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,685.068417.9%15 W · 69 L-10.2wins-0.12per pick30cpaid-64.1%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x1b45…ea09backed Pacers51c2,000$1,020 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,0203727%10 W · 27 L-4.9wins-0.13per pick40cpaid-37%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xd4ba…f893backed Pacers62c2,000$1,240 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,239.991844.4%8 W · 10 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-1.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xee67…3b5abacked Raptors37c2,000$740 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,259.94580%4 W · 1 L+1.2wins+0.24per pick56cpaid+69.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xf374…ce1abacked Raptors39c1,800$702 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,097.973050%15 W · 15 L-2.1wins-0.07per pick57cpaid-17.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x6ac6…a6cebacked Pacers65c1,660$1,079 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,0792536%9 W · 16 L-2.8wins-0.11per pick47cpaid-13.5%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x4483…46d2backed Raptors37c1,658$621 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,037.283053.3%16 W · 14 L+4.4wins+0.15per pick39cpaid+74%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xee00…cea1backed Raptors70c1,640$1,144 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$496.0770147.8%335 W · 366 L+15.4wins+0.02per pick46cpaid-8.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x69ac…7b99backed Pacers62c1,592$987 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$987475%3 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.04per pick71cpaid+1.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbddb…0974backed Pacers61c1,525$930 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9301435.7%5 W · 9 L-2.4wins-0.17per pick53cpaid-29.6%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x861e…b54fbacked Raptors40c1,388$555 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$832.51266.7%8 W · 4 L+1.9wins+0.16per pick51cpaid+27.1%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x719d…4e73backed Pacers10c1,345$132 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$132.3311834.7%41 W · 77 L+0.2wins0.00per pick35cpaid+12.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfda0…e18abacked Pacers45c1,345$600 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6005240.4%21 W · 31 L+3.8wins+0.07per pick33cpaid+21.8%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x4673…d99bbacked Raptors37c1,300$481 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$818.9537954.1%205 W · 174 L-5.7wins-0.01per pick56cpaid0%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xb92d…f84bbacked Pacers62c1,273$789 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$789.421050%5 W · 5 L-0.5wins-0.05per pick55cpaid-11.6%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x5853…fb3abacked Pacers26c1,225$324 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$324.51442.9%6 W · 8 L+1.4wins+0.10per pick33cpaid+64.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xde53…e5bebacked Raptors30c1,170$355 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$814.8285347.9%409 W · 444 L+8.2wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+4.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x432d…a2d4backed Pacers18c1,150$204 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$203.53447.1%16 W · 18 L+1.6wins+0.05per pick42cpaid+15.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xaeb5…58e2backed Pacers23c1,105$255 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$254.951,09035.8%390 W · 700 L+40.1wins+0.04per pick32cpaid+5.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xaacf…5f84backed Pacers59c1,051$618 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$617.91,15153.7%618 W · 533 L-41.7wins-0.04per pick57cpaid-6.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xfa39…b3c5backed Raptors39c1,028$401 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$627.329724.7%24 W · 73 L+0.8wins+0.01per pick24cpaid-20.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9711…3fa1backed Pacers7c1,021$69 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$69.332326.1%6 W · 17 L-4.0wins-0.17per pick43cpaid-46.5%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x480d…f219backed Pacers45c999.99$450 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4501,29044%567 W · 723 L+35.0wins+0.03per pick41cpaid+7.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x44f7…266fbacked Pacers1c959.32$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.094573.5%16 W · 441 L+4.4wins+0.01per pick3cpaid-2.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x13ce…35f0backed Pacers61c913.9$557 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$557.4828063.9%179 W · 101 L-10.9wins-0.04per pick68cpaid-6.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x71cd…912dbacked Raptors29c887.98$258 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$630.467536%27 W · 48 L+6.4wins+0.08per pick28cpaid+40.7%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xc1ec…6933backed Raptors38c880.29$335 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$545.782445.8%11 W · 13 L0.0wins0.00per pick46cpaid-5.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x90ba…63f3backed Raptors39c863.08$337 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$526.481,78228%499 W · 1,283 L+11.5wins+0.01per pick27cpaid-1.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3d69…9829backed Raptors38c790.99$304 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$487.1629043.8%127 W · 163 L-2.6wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-18.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf4d5…5696backed Pacers61c750$457 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$457.52733.3%9 W · 18 L-3.7wins-0.14per pick47cpaid-26.8%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xe83c…5e8fbacked Raptors37c731.19$271 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$460.651,45149.7%721 W · 730 L+18.0wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd6ea…7776backed Pacers64c649.99$416 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$415.992147.6%10 W · 11 L-2.9wins-0.14per pick62cpaid-17.1%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xc9ad…f186backed Pacers63c634.92$400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40018666.1%123 W · 63 L+1.0wins+0.01per pick66cpaid-0.2%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0xe59b…488ebacked Raptors29c610$179 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$430.8572341.2%298 W · 425 L+23.0wins+0.03per pick38cpaid+11.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x067f…a821backed Pacers24c600$143 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14323835.7%85 W · 153 L-6.1wins-0.03per pick38cpaid-24%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xa556…a400backed Raptors40c594.05$238 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$356.43728.6%2 W · 5 L-0.6wins-0.09per pick37cpaid-30.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xcd08…ef3bbacked Pacers47c590$278 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$278.211723.5%4 W · 13 L-1.6wins-0.09per pick33cpaid-49.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xcc81…0ababacked Raptors38c526.32$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$326.3223646.6%110 W · 126 L+1.3wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-12.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0952…786dbacked Pacers59c508.47$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3002653.8%14 W · 12 L-0.5wins-0.02per pick56cpaid+7.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x93bc…8ca3backed Raptors39c500$195 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3051,75240.6%712 W · 1,040 L-3.3wins0.00per pick41cpaid-5.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xae36…c1a8backed Pacers4c500$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$201910.5%2 W · 17 L-1.1wins-0.06per pick16cpaid-70.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x0781…11cdbacked Raptors37c499.97$185 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$314.981241.7%5 W · 7 L-0.6wins-0.05per pick47cpaid-13.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xaf6f…3173backed Pacers62c499.96$310 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$309.98944.4%4 W · 5 L-0.2wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-3.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4df3…788fbacked Raptors36c499.95$180 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$319.976,21350.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L+53.8wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+1.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x98a4…eeaabacked Pacers39c486.26$190 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19011636.2%42 W · 74 L-1.6wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-2.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1b76…0c37backed Pacers25c403.75$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.03per pick47cpaid-27.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3b92…8bb4backed Pacers23c398.52$92 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$91.897623.7%18 W · 58 L-7.1wins-0.09per pick33cpaid-52.5%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xb070…96f7backed Raptors38c393$149 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$243.661650%8 W · 8 L+0.8wins+0.05per pick45cpaid-1.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc1a8…0bfcbacked Pacers7c381.22$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.692429.2%7 W · 17 L-3.2wins-0.13per pick42cpaid-48.9%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0xa165…6f85backed Pacers4c380.02$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.171225%3 W · 9 L+1.1wins+0.09per pick16cpaid-15.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xae94…7efbbacked Pacers45c376.67$169 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$169.1758754.7%321 W · 266 L-10.9wins-0.02per pick57cpaid-4.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8025…ef54backed Raptors45c375.93$169 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$207.413345.5%15 W · 18 L-1.2wins-0.04per pick49cpaid-12.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf319…8e43backed Raptors40c372.72$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$222.721100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.60per pick40cpaid+148.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xdc4b…5a92backed Pacers35c351.06$122 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1221,16654.4%634 W · 532 L+19.3wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+2.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf0b0…8cabbacked Pacers33c350.86$114 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$114.361,55437.3%579 W · 975 L-48.1wins-0.03per pick40cpaid-18.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xad18…0b4fbacked Pacers13c346.15$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4553134.7%184 W · 347 L-11.7wins-0.02per pick37cpaid-10.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6a12…e9c0backed Pacers63c344.44$217 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2176144.3%27 W · 34 L-0.2wins0.00per pick45cpaid+16.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0e02…b1c5backed Pacers60c344.29$208 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$207.534951%25 W · 24 L+0.8wins+0.02per pick49cpaid-1.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3eb2…0464backed Pacers62c338.71$210 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$210666.7%4 W · 2 L+0.8wins+0.13per pick54cpaid+6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x438e…9704backed Pacers37c336.92$126 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$126.223956.1%134 W · 105 L+1.6wins+0.01per pick55cpaid-8.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xabb8…0e53backed Pacers61c327.87$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$200666.7%4 W · 2 L+1.1wins+0.18per pick48cpaid+91.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x9eea…281dbacked Raptors57c326.98$185 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$141.6526547.9%127 W · 138 L-4.3wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-9%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x8df2…97a5backed Pacers65c307.69$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2005438.9%21 W · 33 L-1.7wins-0.03per pick42cpaid-2.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd86b…edc1backed Pacers66c304.12$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2004667.4%31 W · 15 L-0.9wins-0.02per pick69cpaid-1.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd25a…c956backed Pacers58c295.35$171 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$171.25333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.9wins-0.30per pick63cpaid-55.1%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xa945…8201backed Raptors38c290.05$110 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$179.83944.4%4 W · 5 L-0.2wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-16.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0e42…f833backed Pacers63c290.05$183 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$182.73650%3 W · 3 L+0.9wins+0.14per pick36cpaid+131.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe3ee…373ebacked Pacers9c285.12$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2553250.4%268 W · 264 L-19.8wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-9.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x1fe5…500fbacked Pacers21c283.33$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$609431.9%30 W · 64 L+1.1wins+0.01per pick31cpaid-11.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb90d…7db5backed Raptors36c274.77$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$174.7730954%167 W · 142 L-8.1wins-0.03per pick57cpaid-4.6%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xabea…730bbacked Pacers63c273.6$172 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$172.3710%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.63per pick63cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x905f…ad6bbacked Pacers52c273.15$142 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$141.867958.2%46 W · 33 L-3.0wins-0.04per pick62cpaid-10.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe880…de2dbacked Raptors55c271.85$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$122.3316553.9%89 W · 76 L-8.5wins-0.05per pick59cpaid-8.6%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xd968…bd18backed Pacers11c270.67$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$308334.9%29 W · 54 L-1.5wins-0.02per pick37cpaid-3%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x854b…a53bbacked Pacers65c270.08$176 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$175.551060%6 W · 4 L+0.2wins+0.02per pick58cpaid-6.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc380…8640backed Pacers61c266.18$162 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$162.37633.3%2 W · 4 L-1.2wins-0.20per pick53cpaid-47.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x9cfb…0dfabacked Raptors40c265.67$106 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$160.151030%3 W · 7 L-0.4wins-0.04per pick34cpaid-43.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x934b…ee6fbacked Raptors37c265.08$97 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$167.89977.8%7 W · 2 L+2.1wins+0.23per pick54cpaid+47.7%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x234b…9f7ebacked Pacers62c253.69$157 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$157.282450%12 W · 12 L-2.3wins-0.10per pick60cpaid-15.1%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x9b14…d18cbacked Pacers61c250.99$153 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$153.116259.7%37 W · 25 L-3.4wins-0.05per pick65cpaid-1.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x9bad…74a7backed Pacers63c250$158 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$157.515234.9%53 W · 99 L-11.2wins-0.07per pick42cpaid-18.5%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x3462…d3d2backed Raptors40c250$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15010153.5%54 W · 47 L+0.2wins0.00per pick53cpaid-0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1c4b…f1e6backed Pacers61c246.36$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$150.285856.9%33 W · 25 L-0.7wins-0.01per pick58cpaid-7.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x43cb…4bccbacked Pacers61c245.9$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15029635.8%106 W · 190 L-4.3wins-0.01per pick37cpaid-4.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd3b2…6c6cbacked Raptors38c236.84$90 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$146.841100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.62per pick38cpaid+163.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x7742…03e9backed Pacers24c229.99$55 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5519939.2%78 W · 121 L-17.7wins-0.09per pick48cpaid-30.6%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x1e3a…6e0ebacked Pacers22c227.27$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$505139.2%20 W · 31 L-5.1wins-0.10per pick49cpaid-28.1%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x16cb…2704backed Raptors42c213.9$89 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$124.431553.3%8 W · 7 L+1.1wins+0.07per pick46cpaid+20.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xc390…715cbacked Raptors55c208.13$115 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$93.138347%39 W · 44 L-3.7wins-0.05per pick52cpaid-10.8%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.