NBA · resolved market
Lakers vs. Heat
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xe274f4b172190e97fa5e907e1f6601bfaac7bcc57ebaf83830d2354c52d0523b
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Heatof Lakers, Heat
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $261,995
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $231,509
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $261,995 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 395 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x873c…ac48backed Lakers | 0c | 65,000$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65 | 258 | 33.7%87 W · 171 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x260a…dbf6backed Lakers | 0c | 30,056$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.06 | 66 | 48.5%32 W · 34 L | -1.9wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -22.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0cf9…e7bebacked Lakers | 0c | 12,816$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.82 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5de8…cfb9backed Lakers | 1c | 11,644$116 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$115.82 | 102 | 36.3%37 W · 65 L | +5.4wins | +0.05per pick | 31cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x21ed…16f3backed Heat | 55c | 9,040$4,972 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,067.87 | 24 | 75%18 W · 6 L | +2.6wins | +0.11per pick | 64cpaid | +21%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd42f…047dbacked Lakers | 39c | 4,500$1,774 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,774.29 | 228 | 32%73 W · 155 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -21.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9267…0f9abacked Heat | 60c | 4,338$2,603 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,735.09 | 596 | 53.4%318 W · 278 L | +4.3wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x19d8…1691backed Lakers | 39c | 4,199$1,638 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,637.5 | 722 | 41.4%299 W · 423 L | +2.7wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe661…3cffbacked Lakers | 45c | 4,188$1,885 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,884.56 | 16 | 31.3%5 W · 11 L | -0.9wins | -0.06per pick | 37cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7bb8…b625backed Lakers | 6c | 4,054$260 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$259.61 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 23cpaid | -25.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf9fe…366bbacked Heat | 61c | 3,689$2,250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,438.52 | 275 | 46.2%127 W · 148 L | -7.4wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd2bd…dce0backed Heat | 58c | 3,638$2,124 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,514.07 | 777 | 45%350 W · 427 L | +6.6wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2aa2…4d22backed Heat | 75c | 3,500$2,620 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$880 | 360 | 57.5%207 W · 153 L | -14.7wins | -0.04per pick | 62cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa535…6bf5backed Heat | 61c | 3,472$2,118 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,354.41 | 95 | 57.9%55 W · 40 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4741…6cf0backed Lakers | 45c | 3,333$1,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,500 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x20cc…ebc0backed Lakers | 18c | 3,011$547 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$547.11 | 150 | 56.7%85 W · 65 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8d52…94c4backed Heat | 53c | 3,000$1,590 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,409.93 | 11 | 72.7%8 W · 3 L | +3.3wins | +0.30per pick | 43cpaid | +72.9%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x4a64…4430backed Lakers | 22c | 2,566$563 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$563.12 | 615 | 32.2%198 W · 417 L | -21.1wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -32.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x90ba…63f3backed Lakers | 39c | 2,422$945 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$944.71 | 1,782 | 28%499 W · 1,283 L | +11.5wins | +0.01per pick | 27cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7418…59e2backed Lakers | 45c | 2,035$913 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$913.04 | 38 | 39.5%15 W · 23 L | -1.2wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x44f7…266fbacked Lakers | 1c | 2,000$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 457 | 3.5%16 W · 441 L | +4.4wins | +0.01per pick | 3cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb2c7…1b5bbacked Lakers | 44c | 2,000$887 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$886.62 | 291 | 48.8%142 W · 149 L | +7.1wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfd95…99f2backed Heat | 62c | 1,998$1,239 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$759.38 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaacf…5f84backed Lakers | 37c | 1,891$699 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$699 | 1,151 | 53.7%618 W · 533 L | -41.7wins | -0.04per pick | 57cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc7b2…ece3backed Lakers | 44c | 1,858$821 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$820.73 | 196 | 42.9%84 W · 112 L | -10.9wins | -0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x198e…57a7backed Lakers | 21c | 1,823$383 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$382.73 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -0.6wins | -0.08per pick | 23cpaid | -45.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x371a…34b0backed Lakers | 1c | 1,801$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.2 | 1,035 | 1.1%11 W · 1,024 L | -24.4wins | -0.02per pick | 3cpaid | -90.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd42f…e540backed Heat | 57c | 1,770$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$769.87 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | -0.4wins | -0.03per pick | 56cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4fc1…ec92backed Lakers | 42c | 1,500$630 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$629.99 | 753 | 47.5%358 W · 395 L | +10.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4673…d99bbacked Lakers | 46c | 1,500$690 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$689.96 | 379 | 54.1%205 W · 174 L | -5.7wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | 0%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4fda…f190backed Heat | 56c | 1,481$829 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$651.55 | 37 | 62.2%23 W · 14 L | +2.5wins | +0.07per pick | 55cpaid | +19.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfb79…c2c6backed Lakers | 43c | 1,348$580 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$579.81 | 337 | 52.5%177 W · 160 L | +10.3wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4c80…a608backed Heat | 59c | 1,210$714 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$496.01 | 22 | 45.5%10 W · 12 L | +1.0wins | +0.05per pick | 41cpaid | +48.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2e44…79c9backed Lakers | 42c | 1,205$509 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$509.45 | 35 | 40%14 W · 21 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3d69…9829backed Lakers | 32c | 1,089$351 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$351.24 | 290 | 43.8%127 W · 163 L | -2.6wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x62de…9ea7backed Lakers | 46c | 1,087$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.4wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfc25…1f7fbacked Lakers | 44c | 1,070$473 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$472.81 | 964 | 47.8%461 W · 503 L | +35.5wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +17.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x06d6…d704backed Heat | 56c | 1,047$586 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$460.94 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0269…cb2dbacked Heat | 54c | 1,031$557 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$473.99 | 656 | 42.5%279 W · 377 L | -2.9wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -15%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8a67…dc7cbacked Lakers | 40c | 1,012$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 85 | 48.2%41 W · 44 L | -2.2wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7037…7ba4backed Heat | 58c | 1,007$584 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$422.78 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +0.6wins | +0.06per pick | 54cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa8cd…3cf2backed Lakers | 43c | 1,003$431 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$431.45 | 111 | 43.2%48 W · 63 L | +6.0wins | +0.05per pick | 38cpaid | +15.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x480d…f219backed Lakers | 42c | 1,000$424 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$424.19 | 1,290 | 44%567 W · 723 L | +35.0wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xddbf…b1b3backed Lakers | 41c | 1,000$410 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$410 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -20.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa19a…2f33backed Heat | 59c | 996.64$592 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$404.59 | 17 | 29.4%5 W · 12 L | -1.2wins | -0.07per pick | 37cpaid | -35.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa4f8…a7e8backed Lakers | 43c | 980$421 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$421.4 | 19 | 47.4%9 W · 10 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5550…5b4dbacked Heat | 54c | 925.93$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$425.93 | 125 | 63.2%79 W · 46 L | +4.5wins | +0.04per pick | 60cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x33be…c239backed Lakers | 44c | 902.81$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$399.97 | 22 | 54.5%12 W · 10 L | -0.7wins | -0.03per pick | 58cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8580…4612backed Lakers | 39c | 888.3$350 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$350 | 56 | 17.9%10 W · 46 L | -5.1wins | -0.09per pick | 27cpaid | -38.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x217b…0dc0backed Lakers | 46c | 869.57$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | +0.3wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf4e2…a960backed Lakers | 43c | 862.93$371 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$371.06 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | +0.3wins | +0.05per pick | 38cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4616…0b03backed Heat | 56c | 837.5$469 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$368.5 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -1.9wins | -0.32per pick | 49cpaid | -70.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0360…7be1backed Heat | 61c | 824.03$501 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$322.62 | 119 | 52.9%63 W · 56 L | +2.8wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +12%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x56f2…fdbabacked Heat | 61c | 788.34$481 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$307.45 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.3wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -29.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee00…cea1backed Lakers | 3c | 759.07$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.77 | 701 | 47.8%335 W · 366 L | +15.4wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x32b7…1e3cbacked Lakers | 39c | 678.86$265 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$264.76 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | -1.0wins | -0.07per pick | 50cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa8f7…039abacked Lakers | 45c | 505.74$228 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$227.58 | 162 | 42%68 W · 94 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x581c…7f94backed Heat | 53c | 500$265 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$235.1 | 81 | 44.4%36 W · 45 L | -1.7wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x87e9…67c6backed Lakers | 22c | 499.99$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110 | 47 | 25.5%12 W · 35 L | -3.1wins | -0.07per pick | 32cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Heat | 77c | 486.64$376 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$110.15 | 3,995 | 48.9%1,952 W · 2,043 L | +101.9wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcaff…036dbacked Lakers | 45c | 485.82$219 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$218.62 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.4wins | -0.35per pick | 35cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbe58…4acbbacked Heat | 73c | 440.7$321 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$119.99 | 54 | 53.7%29 W · 25 L | -1.8wins | -0.03per pick | 57cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x744b…6132backed Lakers | 17c | 437.19$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75 | 16 | 37.5%6 W · 10 L | -1.3wins | -0.08per pick | 45cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2dd8…eb7bbacked Heat | 61c | 429.91$262 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$167.66 | 21 | 61.9%13 W · 8 L | +1.7wins | +0.08per pick | 54cpaid | +17%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5ed7…537abacked Heat | 56c | 412.89$231 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$181.67 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | -3.1wins | -0.21per pick | 61cpaid | -37.3%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x9f85…d745backed Lakers | 42c | 408.5$172 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$171.57 | 104 | 41.3%43 W · 61 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x026a…2f8abacked Lakers | 40c | 400$160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$160 | 41 | 26.8%11 W · 30 L | +1.2wins | +0.03per pick | 24cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd8a0…36d2backed Lakers | 44c | 400$176 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$176 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.12per pick | 37cpaid | -34.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdeeb…ae35backed Lakers | 45c | 400$180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$180 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | +0.8wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked Lakers | 18c | 386.06$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.7 | 1,554 | 37.3%579 W · 975 L | -48.1wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xad28…90d7backed Heat | 55c | 363.64$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$163.64 | 28 | 57.1%16 W · 12 L | -1.7wins | -0.06per pick | 63cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x353b…0d45backed Lakers | 44c | 336.36$148 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$148 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +18%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4e1b…7ccabacked Lakers | 40c | 332.5$133 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$133 | 151 | 49%74 W · 77 L | -5.2wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x58ef…aa0fbacked Lakers | 43c | 326.32$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9bf6…63a7backed Heat | 59c | 325.42$192 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$133.42 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -1.8wins | -0.20per pick | 42cpaid | -65.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x401b…3107backed Lakers | 31c | 320.96$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 12 | 25%3 W · 9 L | -1.0wins | -0.08per pick | 33cpaid | -38.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x13ce…35f0backed Lakers | 39c | 307.69$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 280 | 63.9%179 W · 101 L | -10.9wins | -0.04per pick | 68cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9eea…281dbacked Heat | 56c | 299.98$169 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$130.49 | 265 | 47.9%127 W · 138 L | -4.3wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2942…59abbacked Lakers | 44c | 287.52$127 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$126.51 | 180 | 44.4%80 W · 100 L | +15.8wins | +0.09per pick | 36cpaid | +36.9%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x58f2…a3e2backed Heat | 61c | 286.3$175 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$111.66 | 43 | 34.9%15 W · 28 L | -5.7wins | -0.13per pick | 48cpaid | -29.1%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x83d0…af06backed Lakers | 11c | 280.49$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.49 | 42 | 26.2%11 W · 31 L | +2.2wins | +0.05per pick | 21cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7354…3c30backed Heat | 55c | 270.52$149 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$121.98 | 5 | 100%5 W · 0 L | +2.3wins | +0.46per pick | 54cpaid | +84.9%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x0448…c7c7backed Lakers | 47c | 270.21$127 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$127 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +1.6wins | +0.23per pick | 49cpaid | +40.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x26d1…6f56backed Lakers | 28c | 269.71$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76.03 | 112 | 35.7%40 W · 72 L | -9.9wins | -0.09per pick | 45cpaid | -36.9%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xde53…e5bebacked Heat | 52c | 264.76$138 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$127.08 | 853 | 47.9%409 W · 444 L | +8.2wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x330b…e446backed Lakers | 45c | 255$115 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$114.75 | 111 | 46.8%52 W · 59 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc99a…8355backed Heat | 55c | 251.58$138 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$113.21 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +1.9wins | +0.31per pick | 52cpaid | +66.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb0b0…bae3backed Lakers | 47c | 251.49$118 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$118.2 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0df5…7794backed Lakers | 27c | 250$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -0.7wins | -0.12per pick | 28cpaid | -78.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9f95…3012backed Lakers | 45c | 249.99$112 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$112.49 | 70 | 42.9%30 W · 40 L | -3.0wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xefac…d647backed Heat | 78c | 249.49$195 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.49 | 56 | 58.9%33 W · 23 L | +1.8wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5679…d458backed Lakers | 32c | 245.5$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78.56 | 156 | 46.2%72 W · 84 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa9d7…25e9backed Heat | 68c | 241.32$165 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76.73 | 709 | 51.3%364 W · 345 L | +6.2wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x02f5…6fbcbacked Lakers | 8c | 237.38$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.99 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf612…5700backed Lakers | 47c | 222$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104.34 | 202 | 45.5%92 W · 110 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x26e6…f80dbacked Heat | 55c | 214.27$118 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96.42 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.1wins | +0.21per pick | 59cpaid | +45.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe134…c9bdbacked Lakers | 47c | 214.26$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.7 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.9wins | +0.21per pick | 54cpaid | +37.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb5e7…3c1abacked Lakers | 47c | 212.99$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.11 | 577 | 60.5%349 W · 228 L | -4.9wins | -0.01per pick | 61cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0bb5…f2a5backed Lakers | 39c | 209.71$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81.79 | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | -0.9wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8147…d106backed Heat | 55c | 203.85$112 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$91.73 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.