NHL · resolved market
Maple Leafs vs. Utah
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xc3ab12dd1053c269c5223df3e08690f6d2e421fe8bcd71d5a3f9bbdbe9acae47
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Maple Leafsof Maple Leafs, Utah
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NHLevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $184,615
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $197,322
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $184,615 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 284 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NHL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NHL | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xaa07…2125backed Maple Leafs | 51c | 31,458$16,193 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15,264.24 | 1,070 | 49.9%534 W · 536 L | +22.6wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4cc3…7552backed Utah | 49c | 20,000$9,800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,799.96 | 38 | 52.6%20 W · 18 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe8e1…77bfbacked Utah | 48c | 14,326$6,867 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,866.71 | 20 | 55%11 W · 9 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -3%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3e04…564dbacked Maple Leafs | 52c | 14,248$7,367 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,880.99 | 1,891 | 52.4%991 W · 900 L | +36.3wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb786…b18dbacked Utah | 38c | 11,323$4,349 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,348.9 | 928 | 48.5%450 W · 478 L | +17.6wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x80a5…f9babacked Utah | 52c | 10,267$5,320 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,320 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.12per pick | 45cpaid | -45.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x519f…2af7backed Maple Leafs | 52c | 9,555$5,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,554.89 | 70 | 44.3%31 W · 39 L | -4.7wins | -0.07per pick | 51cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Utah | 34c | 9,523$3,206 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,205.64 | 1,406 | 47%661 W · 745 L | +58.6wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5530…d38dbacked Maple Leafs | 78c | 5,146$4,007 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,138.45 | 372 | 54.3%202 W · 170 L | -5.7wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbb58…86a4backed Utah | 48c | 5,045$2,421 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,421.5 | 317 | 53.9%171 W · 146 L | -14.3wins | -0.05per pick | 58cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x079e…599dbacked Maple Leafs | 55c | 5,040$2,781 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,259.14 | 21 | 23.8%5 W · 16 L | -5.2wins | -0.25per pick | 49cpaid | -56.6%equal weight | 37-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x1251…ab46backed Maple Leafs | 51c | 3,292$1,679 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,613.08 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.49per pick | 51cpaid | +96.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8daf…d299backed Maple Leafs | 53c | 3,060$1,622 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,438.38 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.47per pick | 53cpaid | +88.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2170…8e8abacked Maple Leafs | 73c | 2,932$2,137 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$795.13 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 62cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3510…2492backed Utah | 17c | 2,779$465 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$465.35 | 43 | 30.2%13 W · 30 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 29cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x40e3…0787backed Utah | 43c | 2,752$1,182 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,182.11 | 323 | 31.3%101 W · 222 L | -2.2wins | -0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -28.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x994e…9cf5backed Utah | 47c | 2,556$1,211 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,211.39 | 493 | 51.3%253 W · 240 L | +8.5wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Utah | 22c | 2,288$514 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$514.49 | 3,704 | 50.5%1,871 W · 1,833 L | +105.5wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4c40…5f2cbacked Maple Leafs | 52c | 2,003$1,042 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$961.44 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +0.8wins | +0.09per pick | 47cpaid | +21.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x574e…3ef1backed Maple Leafs | 55c | 2,000$1,100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$900 | 58 | 43.1%25 W · 33 L | -2.1wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x977a…f2cabacked Utah | 1c | 2,000$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1,163 | 2.3%27 W · 1,136 L | -10.7wins | -0.01per pick | 3cpaid | -87.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc9b6…2b6bbacked Utah | 48c | 2,000$960 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$959.97 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | -0.5wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1187…cb53backed Maple Leafs | 50c | 1,897$948 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$948.5 | 115 | 33%38 W · 77 L | -9.5wins | -0.08per pick | 41cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb186…5ce3backed Maple Leafs | 53c | 1,838$969 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$869.32 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.47per pick | 53cpaid | +89.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x221f…6be8backed Utah | 45c | 1,663$748 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$748.34 | 44 | 50%22 W · 22 L | +1.2wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a1d1backed Maple Leafs | 54c | 1,478$795 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$683.43 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.46per pick | 54cpaid | +86%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5c57…5b16backed Utah | 47c | 1,443$678 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$678.14 | 1,475 | 48.3%712 W · 763 L | +2.7wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x70f8…d0d5backed Utah | 51c | 1,357$687 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$686.91 | 279 | 58.8%164 W · 115 L | -1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 59cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf2b2…66d8backed Utah | 54c | 1,190$643 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$642.56 | 23 | 56.5%13 W · 10 L | -1.1wins | -0.05per pick | 61cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x60cd…a1b6backed Maple Leafs | 55c | 1,180$649 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$531 | 106 | 58.5%62 W · 44 L | +5.8wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb13d…2e90backed Utah | 34c | 1,133$383 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$383.35 | 840 | 51.4%432 W · 408 L | +19.1wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe2fd…bbf2backed Utah | 49c | 1,101$539 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$539.33 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.49per pick | 49cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1e05…2577backed Utah | 49c | 1,099$539 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$538.51 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.49per pick | 49cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4422…e622backed Utah | 49c | 1,080$529 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$529.2 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.49per pick | 49cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd138…2934backed Utah | 49c | 1,035$507 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$507.2 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.49per pick | 49cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1d3a…7b63backed Maple Leafs | 52c | 1,028$534 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$493.22 | 866 | 49.9%432 W · 434 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe61b…c9d3backed Utah | 49c | 1,020$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.49per pick | 49cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x082c…e933backed Utah | 49c | 1,010$495 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$495 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.49per pick | 49cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2fe6…ab9dbacked Utah | 31c | 990.35$310 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$309.65 | 137 | 54%74 W · 63 L | +9.3wins | +0.07per pick | 47cpaid | +14.8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked Maple Leafs | 51c | 775$395 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$379.75 | 1,636 | 50.4%825 W · 811 L | -20.9wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9e87…8befbacked Maple Leafs | 52c | 761.97$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$361.97 | 134 | 57.5%77 W · 57 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb5d2…317bbacked Utah | 46c | 750$349 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$348.7 | 156 | 63.5%99 W · 57 L | +17.0wins | +0.11per pick | 53cpaid | +22.8%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xfaa2…93ccbacked Maple Leafs | 54c | 677.78$366 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$311.78 | 76 | 34.2%26 W · 50 L | -8.0wins | -0.11per pick | 45cpaid | -26.2%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x4103…9b9ebacked Maple Leafs | 55c | 605.45$333 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$272.45 | 288 | 42%121 W · 167 L | -12.4wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe27b…858fbacked Utah | 48c | 602.75$287 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$287.37 | 724 | 44.6%323 W · 401 L | +7.1wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbde5…9c38backed Maple Leafs | 53c | 599.97$318 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$281.99 | 669 | 51%341 W · 328 L | -14.2wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa9d3…9d4bbacked Utah | 48c | 546.63$261 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$260.88 | 792 | 51.1%405 W · 387 L | +21.7wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x05fe…7990backed Utah | 49c | 528.57$259 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$259 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.49per pick | 49cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x26e1…84d7backed Utah | 49c | 520.41$255 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$255 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.49per pick | 49cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x47c7…8da0backed Utah | 49c | 516.33$253 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$253 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.49per pick | 49cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7f5f…6d56backed Utah | 49c | 506.12$248 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$248 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.49per pick | 49cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3010…a27cbacked Maple Leafs | 52c | 501.92$261 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$240.92 | 24 | 29.2%7 W · 17 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 28cpaid | +31.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x480d…f219backed Maple Leafs | 51c | 500$255 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$245 | 851 | 48.5%413 W · 438 L | -48.2wins | -0.06per pick | 54cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb033…bedbbacked Utah | 52c | 500$260 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$260 | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | -3.6wins | -0.26per pick | 61cpaid | -45%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xe85d…15eabacked Maple Leafs | 51c | 500$255 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$245 | 29 | 27.6%8 W · 21 L | -3.8wins | -0.13per pick | 41cpaid | -49.6%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x227c…903cbacked Utah | 49c | 493.88$242 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$242 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.49per pick | 49cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb2d3…20e3backed Maple Leafs | 55c | 491$270 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$221 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.43per pick | 57cpaid | +74.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb5e7…3c1abacked Utah | 48c | 485.97$233 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$233.27 | 751 | 55.8%419 W · 332 L | +12.1wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7cbd…0914backed Utah | 49c | 485.71$238 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$238 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.49per pick | 49cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x24df…e8b2backed Utah | 47c | 445.85$211 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$211.44 | 377 | 38.7%146 W · 231 L | -8.1wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd78d…60bebacked Utah | 6c | 419.37$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.16 | 132 | 41.7%55 W · 77 L | +6.7wins | +0.05per pick | 37cpaid | +70.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x542b…4b76backed Utah | 38c | 417.55$160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$159.68 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.27per pick | 27cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc20c…fa4bbacked Utah | 50c | 410$205 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$205 | 46 | 50%23 W · 23 L | -2.3wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3dde…6b67backed Utah | 48c | 382.96$184 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$183.82 | 42 | 35.7%15 W · 27 L | -6.9wins | -0.16per pick | 52cpaid | -33.9%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x5ea5…2af9backed Maple Leafs | 52c | 381.18$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$181.18 | 154 | 56.5%87 W · 67 L | -3.2wins | -0.02per pick | 59cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x931f…d15dbacked Maple Leafs | 52c | 380.99$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$180.99 | 128 | 59.4%76 W · 52 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 59cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1d80…219abacked Maple Leafs | 55c | 363.74$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$163.74 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +0.4wins | +0.05per pick | 58cpaid | +11.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x02f9…ec50backed Utah | 48c | 333$160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$159.84 | 10 | 80%8 W · 2 L | +2.6wins | +0.26per pick | 54cpaid | +50.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0e58…5b3ebacked Maple Leafs | 52c | 333$173 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$159.84 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -0.7wins | -0.07per pick | 47cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x15a7…336dbacked Utah | 48c | 328$157 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$157.44 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbf5d…37cdbacked Maple Leafs | 52c | 328$171 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$157.44 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -0.7wins | -0.06per pick | 52cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0a7e…fce4backed Maple Leafs | 51c | 320$164 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$155.8 | 510 | 44.5%227 W · 283 L | +7.0wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa33a…454abacked Maple Leafs | 52c | 313$163 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$150.24 | 14 | 71.4%10 W · 4 L | +3.0wins | +0.22per pick | 50cpaid | +47.3%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xd348…0c07backed Utah | 48c | 313$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150.24 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x004b…004abacked Maple Leafs | 52c | 308$160 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$147.84 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | +2.0wins | +0.20per pick | 50cpaid | +60.3%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9cfe…c153backed Utah | 48c | 308$148 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$147.84 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -1.0wins | -0.10per pick | 50cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x768b…4ac3backed Utah | 48c | 304$146 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$145.92 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa769…f52dbacked Maple Leafs | 52c | 304$158 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$145.92 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | +0.5wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe862…7d6bbacked Maple Leafs | 53c | 295.96$157 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$139.15 | 99 | 55.6%55 W · 44 L | +1.9wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xad18…0b4fbacked Maple Leafs | 54c | 295.53$160 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$135.94 | 413 | 40%165 W · 248 L | +9.2wins | +0.02per pick | 38cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc2cd…d0b5backed Utah | 47c | 287.23$135 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$135 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.47per pick | 47cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x235c…8c1abacked Utah | 48c | 274.56$132 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$132.45 | 72 | 56.9%41 W · 31 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4b…5a92backed Maple Leafs | 56c | 273.28$152 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$120.78 | 1,037 | 55%570 W · 467 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x35a0…97d9backed Maple Leafs | 53c | 231.15$123 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108.64 | 7 | 85.7%6 W · 1 L | +1.4wins | +0.19per pick | 66cpaid | +31.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4e0a…e4e6backed Utah | 47c | 223.97$106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$106.38 | 605 | 49.3%298 W · 307 L | +4.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa954…b8edbacked Maple Leafs | 52c | 223.79$116 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$107.42 | 43 | 55.8%24 W · 19 L | +1.4wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7dd7…c328backed Maple Leafs | 54c | 220$119 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$101.2 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x681d…29ccbacked Utah | 46c | 215$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.9 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -1.4wins | -0.15per pick | 49cpaid | -31.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x58a0…0065backed Utah | 47c | 212.77$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.44per pick | 44cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7e8d…e7fbbacked Utah | 50c | 200$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdf92…f7dbbacked Utah | 46c | 200$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +0.4wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x46ea…bcd8backed Maple Leafs | 54c | 200$108 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92 | 10 | 80%8 W · 2 L | +2.5wins | +0.25per pick | 55cpaid | +46.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xafbf…9cc8backed Utah | 50c | 200$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7d44…b15ebacked Maple Leafs | 53c | 200$105 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94.68 | 75 | 50.7%38 W · 37 L | -3.1wins | -0.04per pick | 55cpaid | -2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x028e…152fbacked Utah | 50c | 200$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x376a…688fbacked Utah | 50c | 200$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x55d8…41bbbacked Utah | 50c | 200$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7c88…cb5dbacked Utah | 50c | 200$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2707…361dbacked Utah | 50c | 200$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9a8d…6baabacked Utah | 50c | 200$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NHL and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.