NBA · resolved market
Thunder vs. Raptors
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xabc79eeb9427842bd60fe8b25a8d7e10ae70f259ac2ac6ca572d961d626b2e63
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Thunderof Thunder, Raptors
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $115,080
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $131,369
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $115,080 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 143 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x873c…ac48backed Raptors | 0c | 10,579$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.58 | 258 | 33.7%87 W · 171 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x52db…7067backed Raptors | 1c | 10,400$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4a64…4430backed Raptors | 2c | 5,158$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.3 | 615 | 32.2%198 W · 417 L | -21.1wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -32.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x19d8…1691backed Thunder | 80c | 5,000$4,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,000 | 722 | 41.4%299 W · 423 L | +2.7wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x90ba…63f3backed Raptors | 20c | 4,172$816 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$815.77 | 1,782 | 28%499 W · 1,283 L | +11.5wins | +0.01per pick | 27cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3980…724cbacked Raptors | 20c | 3,445$700 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$700 | 17 | 23.5%4 W · 13 L | -1.0wins | -0.06per pick | 30cpaid | -40.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x93bc…8ca3backed Raptors | 20c | 2,579$511 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$510.5 | 1,752 | 40.6%712 W · 1,040 L | -3.3wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1cf5…6440backed Raptors | 20c | 2,500$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 469 | 28.4%133 W · 336 L | +2.3wins | 0.00per pick | 28cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd2bd…dce0backed Raptors | 20c | 2,228$446 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$446.37 | 777 | 45%350 W · 427 L | +6.6wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3a55…394ebacked Thunder | 79c | 2,000$1,580 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$419.99 | 81 | 50.6%41 W · 40 L | +1.5wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +17.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x31cf…8834backed Raptors | 20c | 1,978$396 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$395.63 | 43 | 48.8%21 W · 22 L | +1.8wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa8cd…3cf2backed Raptors | 20c | 1,417$279 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$278.95 | 111 | 43.2%48 W · 63 L | +6.0wins | +0.05per pick | 38cpaid | +15.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xaeb5…58e2backed Raptors | 19c | 1,371$261 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$260.58 | 1,090 | 35.8%390 W · 700 L | +40.1wins | +0.04per pick | 32cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3eae…a3f0backed Raptors | 3c | 1,124$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.24 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | +0.4wins | +0.05per pick | 7cpaid | -30.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x067f…a821backed Raptors | 4c | 1,077$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.09 | 238 | 35.7%85 W · 153 L | -6.1wins | -0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -24%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4673…d99bbacked Thunder | 78c | 1,018$794 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$223.95 | 379 | 54.1%205 W · 174 L | -5.7wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | 0%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa8f7…039abacked Raptors | 19c | 1,000$190 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$190 | 162 | 42%68 W · 94 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x480d…f219backed Raptors | 20c | 1,000$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 1,290 | 44%567 W · 723 L | +35.0wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4fc1…ec92backed Thunder | 79c | 1,000$790 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$210 | 753 | 47.5%358 W · 395 L | +10.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x60a5…2da4backed Raptors | 21c | 1,000$210 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$210 | 80 | 40%32 W · 48 L | +2.9wins | +0.04per pick | 36cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x15f0…974dbacked Raptors | 21c | 952.38$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 14 | 7.1%1 W · 13 L | -1.9wins | -0.14per pick | 21cpaid | -57.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc7b2…ece3backed Thunder | 79c | 779.45$619 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$160.2 | 196 | 42.9%84 W · 112 L | -10.9wins | -0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3d69…9829backed Thunder | 80c | 757.94$604 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$154.14 | 290 | 43.8%127 W · 163 L | -2.6wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd04d…d0e5backed Raptors | 12c | 656.83$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78.82 | 1,164 | 49.6%577 W · 587 L | +7.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9bad…74a7backed Raptors | 19c | 650$127 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$126.5 | 152 | 34.9%53 W · 99 L | -11.2wins | -0.07per pick | 42cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xeb67…dbdebacked Thunder | 80c | 568.16$455 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$113.63 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | -1.0wins | -0.08per pick | 54cpaid | -29.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x31e4…1f69backed Raptors | 19c | 550$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104.5 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -1.5wins | -0.21per pick | 50cpaid | -50%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x37b9…3390backed Raptors | 19c | 500$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95 | 202 | 33.7%68 W · 134 L | +4.0wins | +0.02per pick | 32cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x03e3…08e0backed Thunder | 79c | 500$395 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$105 | 67 | 68.7%46 W · 21 L | +4.8wins | +0.07per pick | 61cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3462…d3d2backed Raptors | 20c | 500$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 101 | 53.5%54 W · 47 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb90e…5794backed Thunder | 80c | 500$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100 | 72 | 63.9%46 W · 26 L | -1.4wins | -0.02per pick | 66cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0269…cb2dbacked Raptors | 19c | 463.99$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88.16 | 656 | 42.5%279 W · 377 L | -2.9wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -15%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd8b7…e897backed Raptors | 21c | 428.57$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.21per pick | 21cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xadf4…a294backed Raptors | 21c | 428.57$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.38per pick | 38cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc3ec…e987backed Thunder | 80c | 420$336 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84 | 563 | 48.5%273 W · 290 L | -7.1wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdeeb…ae35backed Raptors | 19c | 400$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | +0.8wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfdbf…c88ebacked Raptors | 19c | 389.47$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74 | 381 | 32.8%125 W · 256 L | -6.5wins | -0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc9ad…f186backed Thunder | 80c | 375$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75 | 186 | 66.1%123 W · 63 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 66cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe25c…ae63backed Raptors | 20c | 342.86$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.88 | 404 | 48.3%195 W · 209 L | -1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6aab…9c4cbacked Thunder | 80c | 308.69$247 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.74 | 296 | 61.5%182 W · 114 L | +10.6wins | +0.04per pick | 58cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x86c1…150cbacked Thunder | 80c | 270$216 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x29d5…9ae8backed Raptors | 21c | 270$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.7 | 9 | 11.1%1 W · 8 L | -3.1wins | -0.34per pick | 46cpaid | -67.3%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xf8e0…ebcfbacked Thunder | 80c | 250$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50 | 73 | 63%46 W · 27 L | -1.7wins | -0.02per pick | 65cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd206…8a30backed Thunder | 79c | 212.64$168 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.62 | 30 | 66.7%20 W · 10 L | +2.6wins | +0.09per pick | 58cpaid | +17.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc689…9279backed Raptors | 21c | 206.79$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.42 | 51 | 51%26 W · 25 L | +2.2wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe27b…858fbacked Raptors | 20c | 204.99$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.97 | 855 | 42%359 W · 496 L | +10.0wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xae2f…dc34backed Raptors | 21c | 204.76$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.6wins | +0.31per pick | 49cpaid | +45%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcfc5…817ebacked Thunder | 79c | 200$159 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.5 | 47 | 63.8%30 W · 17 L | +1.0wins | +0.02per pick | 62cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9eea…281dbacked Thunder | 79c | 195.53$154 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.06 | 265 | 47.9%127 W · 138 L | -4.3wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8c91…0505backed Thunder | 80c | 187.5$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.5 | 101 | 47.5%48 W · 53 L | -5.7wins | -0.06per pick | 53cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb2c7…1b5bbacked Thunder | 80c | 170.32$136 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.63 | 291 | 48.8%142 W · 149 L | +7.1wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfd4a…5bf1backed Raptors | 21c | 141$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.61 | 24 | 50%12 W · 12 L | +1.1wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeb56…7a64backed Raptors | 20c | 127.5$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.5 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -0.9wins | -0.12per pick | 49cpaid | -38.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5f41…83f5backed Raptors | 21c | 127$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.67 | 245 | 49%120 W · 125 L | +8.4wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x39bd…1027backed Thunder | 80c | 125$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25 | 43 | 46.5%20 W · 23 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x30d8…f9c5backed Thunder | 80c | 125$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25 | 31 | 61.3%19 W · 12 L | -2.4wins | -0.08per pick | 69cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd244…edbabacked Raptors | 20c | 125$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -0.7wins | -0.06per pick | 42cpaid | -24.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4114…b9acbacked Raptors | 20c | 123.97$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.79 | 269 | 33.5%90 W · 179 L | -12.4wins | -0.05per pick | 38cpaid | -20.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb0c5…f177backed Raptors | 20c | 120$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +1.6wins | +0.14per pick | 49cpaid | +24.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9bc9…7e5bbacked Raptors | 19c | 105.26$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 108 | 39.8%43 W · 65 L | -3.2wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5902…59fabacked Raptors | 19c | 105.26$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 148 | 45.9%68 W · 80 L | -2.0wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb13d…2e90backed Thunder | 78c | 105.03$82 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.72 | 880 | 53.8%473 W · 407 L | +52.3wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x12d8…7359backed Thunder | 79c | 100$79 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21 | 52 | 57.7%30 W · 22 L | -1.0wins | -0.02per pick | 60cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfd31…4f6dbacked Thunder | 80c | 100$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20 | 33 | 72.7%24 W · 9 L | +3.4wins | +0.10per pick | 62cpaid | +21.9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc17a…1db3backed Raptors | 20c | 100$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 159 | 40.3%64 W · 95 L | -3.0wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf9cd…48f2backed Thunder | 80c | 100$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20 | 23 | 43.5%10 W · 13 L | -0.7wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa718…fdc4backed Raptors | 20c | 100$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 9 | 11.1%1 W · 8 L | -2.2wins | -0.25per pick | 36cpaid | -82.6%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc682…56ebbacked Thunder | 80c | 100$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20 | 37 | 73%27 W · 10 L | +4.3wins | +0.12per pick | 61cpaid | +23%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5f5d…16f9backed Raptors | 22c | 100$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22 | 69 | 44.9%31 W · 38 L | +2.1wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3a51…df9dbacked Raptors | 21c | 100$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 46 | 23.9%11 W · 35 L | -6.1wins | -0.13per pick | 37cpaid | -36.5%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xf93b…bb37backed Raptors | 21c | 100$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.42 | 276 | 42%116 W · 160 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7361…22dfbacked Raptors | 20c | 100$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 17 | 23.5%4 W · 13 L | -2.2wins | -0.13per pick | 37cpaid | -50.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9c7b…a592backed Thunder | 79c | 99.99$79 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21 | 63 | 60.3%38 W · 25 L | +1.2wins | +0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf33f…085cbacked Raptors | 19c | 99$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.81 | 930 | 41.9%390 W · 540 L | +13.5wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa32b…e132backed Raptors | 21c | 95.24$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 110 | 35.5%39 W · 71 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 35cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x710d…eb90backed Raptors | 21c | 95.24$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.6wins | +0.08per pick | 49cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x33ec…16ccbacked Thunder | 80c | 92.5$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.5 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.5wins | -0.07per pick | 50cpaid | -34.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8afb…48b3backed Raptors | 21c | 92.43$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.41 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.10per pick | 40cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x088e…06ffbacked Thunder | 80c | 91$73 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.2 | 21 | 33.3%7 W · 14 L | -2.0wins | -0.09per pick | 43cpaid | -41.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x33e3…c721backed Thunder | 80c | 90$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18 | 19 | 57.9%11 W · 8 L | +0.7wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x187a…9231backed Raptors | 20c | 89$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.8 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | +1.6wins | +0.11per pick | 46cpaid | +19.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9353…cdbebacked Thunder | 80c | 87.5$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.5 | 686 | 42.1%289 W · 397 L | +9.9wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd612…ca47backed Raptors | 20c | 86$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.2 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfe06…d5d5backed Raptors | 21c | 77.76$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.33 | 71 | 43.7%31 W · 40 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3c4c…4fecbacked Raptors | 21c | 77.71$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.1 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.21per pick | 21cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6ebd…53d6backed Thunder | 80c | 73.91$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.78 | 24 | 66.7%16 W · 8 L | +1.6wins | +0.07per pick | 60cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xab87…ffd2backed Raptors | 27c | 73.69$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 22 | 31.8%7 W · 15 L | -3.0wins | -0.14per pick | 46cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc2b3…fd35backed Raptors | 18c | 66$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.88 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -1.0wins | -0.09per pick | 46cpaid | -41.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3106…4a1fbacked Thunder | 79c | 65.63$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.78 | 14 | 28.6%4 W · 10 L | -2.2wins | -0.16per pick | 44cpaid | -47.9%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa996…7d0fbacked Raptors | 20c | 65$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9507…5e5fbacked Raptors | 21c | 65$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.65 | 23 | 56.5%13 W · 10 L | +1.5wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x20bf…c9debacked Thunder | 80c | 62.5$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.5 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +0.9wins | +0.12per pick | 63cpaid | +20.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4758…d1fbbacked Raptors | 20c | 60$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.06per pick | 40cpaid | +28.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1eba…c216backed Thunder | 80c | 60$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.06per pick | 60cpaid | +65.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x92cf…7a62backed Raptors | 21c | 55$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.55 | 19 | 42.1%8 W · 11 L | -1.7wins | -0.09per pick | 51cpaid | -28.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1b60…3f1fbacked Raptors | 21c | 54$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.34 | 24 | 29.2%7 W · 17 L | -2.7wins | -0.11per pick | 40cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3300…00d7backed Raptors | 22c | 50.29$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.99 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xab38…0244backed Thunder | 80c | 50.23$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.05 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.11per pick | 64cpaid | +25.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6bea…5d50backed Raptors | 20c | 50$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 500 | 47.2%236 W · 264 L | -1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1c46…3e5cbacked Thunder | 80c | 50$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 24 | 83.3%20 W · 4 L | +3.4wins | +0.14per pick | 69cpaid | +17.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.