NFL · resolved market

Bengals vs. Broncos

https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x664ac906ce2e9579824b9eee8b42f937f3d01b3c5c670ba32e8433f95d3a4cd2

Rebuilt 8 hours ago.

Winning outcome: Broncosof Bengals, Broncos
Resolved: Sep 30, 2025, EDTUS/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in: NFLevery record on this page is that Category’s

Volume Polymarket published: $2,501,691
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed: $2,229,930

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $2,501,691 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 516 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NFL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this market					This wallet’s whole record in NFL
Wallet	Entry	Position	Result	P/L held	Qualified picks	Win rate	vs expected	Realizable edge	Avg entry	ROI per pick	Tail Score
0x5375…aeeabacked Bengals	20c	441,001$89,621 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$89,620.89	477	38.6%184 W · 293 L	-6.8wins	-0.01per pick	40cpaid	-12.2%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0xdf2e…ddecbacked Bengals	21c	216,819$45,634 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$45,633.55	225	48.4%109 W · 116 L	+5.2wins	+0.02per pick	46cpaid	+2.4%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa49b…4c40backed Bengals	19c	201,434$37,518 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$37,518.2	103	33%34 W · 69 L	-2.3wins	-0.02per pick	35cpaid	-18.1%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x83b9…6124backed Bengals	7c	138,892$10,011 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10,011.4	229	50.2%115 W · 114 L	+9.5wins	+0.04per pick	46cpaid	+8%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x5646…3819backed Bengals	20c	129,706$25,970 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$25,970.11	70	35.7%25 W · 45 L	+3.2wins	+0.05per pick	31cpaid	+23.6%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x2f09…4632backed Broncos	79c	100,000$79,000 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$21,000	138	43.5%60 W · 78 L	-4.7wins	-0.03per pick	47cpaid	-8.2%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xea64…f2a2backed Broncos	79c	100,000$79,250 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$20,750	245	51%125 W · 120 L	+2.4wins	+0.01per pick	50cpaid	+3%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xaefe…1e4abacked Bengals	22c	98,014$21,563 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$21,563	19	57.9%11 W · 8 L	+0.3wins	+0.01per pick	56cpaid	-2.1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2ce8…4527backed Broncos	79c	94,092$74,733 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$19,359.35	16	56.3%9 W · 7 L	+1.2wins	+0.08per pick	48cpaid	+16.5%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x3cda…6e17backed Broncos	78c	93,824$73,183 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$20,641.31	123	52.8%65 W · 58 L	+4.1wins	+0.03per pick	50cpaid	+6.3%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe38e…c29dbacked Broncos	79c	91,614$72,622 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$18,991.85	105	66.7%70 W · 35 L	+12.6wins	+0.12per pick	55cpaid	+19.3%equal weight	61+0.10 edge/pick
0xbde5…9c38backed Bengals	20c	71,552$14,310 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$14,310.48	307	43.6%134 W · 173 L	-1.2wins	0.00per pick	44cpaid	-5.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x134a…9e42backed Bengals	16c	70,387$11,140 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$11,139.97	36	33.3%12 W · 24 L	-2.8wins	-0.08per pick	41cpaid	-42.5%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0xdfcc…441bbacked Broncos	80c	50,001$40,000 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$10,000.1	31	38.7%12 W · 19 L	-3.9wins	-0.13per pick	51cpaid	-29.7%equal weight	42-0.07 edge/pick
0x9158…fa7bbacked Bengals	21c	50,000$10,500 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10,500	114	45.6%52 W · 62 L	-3.9wins	-0.03per pick	49cpaid	-9%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5036…416bbacked Bengals	0c	49,093$53 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$53.47	31	54.8%17 W · 14 L	+1.1wins	+0.04per pick	51cpaid	-10%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8b1d…74ccbacked Bengals	22c	43,285$9,523 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$9,522.78	32	59.4%19 W · 13 L	+5.5wins	+0.17per pick	42cpaid	+45.8%equal weight	61+0.10 edge/pick
0x7fb7…e33dbacked Broncos	79c	40,668$32,214 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$8,454.01	418	51.9%217 W · 201 L	+13.1wins	+0.03per pick	49cpaid	+5.9%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1117…3532backed Broncos	79c	40,000$31,600 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$8,399.99	312	40.7%127 W · 185 L	-22.0wins	-0.07per pick	48cpaid	-16.5%equal weight	43-0.07 edge/pick
0x53e5…6177backed Bengals	20c	38,469$7,728 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$7,728.42	144	50%72 W · 72 L	+2.4wins	+0.02per pick	48cpaid	+4.5%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0x5139…a8dbbacked Broncos	80c	38,152$30,429 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$7,722.86	446	52.9%236 W · 210 L	+4.2wins	+0.01per pick	52cpaid	+1.3%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd38b…5029backed Bengals	21c	37,643$7,905 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$7,904.99	195	53.8%105 W · 90 L	+16.1wins	+0.08per pick	46cpaid	+23.7%equal weight	58+0.07 edge/pick
0x6a72…33eebacked Bengals	28c	36,177$10,228 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10,227.65	300	43.7%131 W · 169 L	-4.4wins	-0.01per pick	45cpaid	-15.1%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdbad…9c95backed Broncos	79c	35,000$27,650 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$7,350	55	50.9%28 W · 27 L	+0.5wins	+0.01per pick	50cpaid	-5.8%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7b88…5d08backed Bengals	21c	33,333$7,000 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$7,000	186	50%93 W · 93 L	+9.3wins	+0.05per pick	45cpaid	+14.3%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0xfc25…1f7fbacked Bengals	20c	30,025$6,139 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$6,138.61	121	44.6%54 W · 67 L	+6.4wins	+0.05per pick	39cpaid	+15.2%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0x4cc3…7552backed Broncos	79c	29,387$23,216 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$6,171.35	251	37.5%94 W · 157 L	-18.6wins	-0.07per pick	45cpaid	-22.1%equal weight	43-0.07 edge/pick
0x2ae1…c13ebacked Bengals	1c	27,886$179 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$179.2	6	0%0 W · 6 L	-0.3wins	-0.06per pick	6cpaid	-100%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd6ce…0772backed Broncos	80c	24,600$19,560 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$5,039.74	43	65.1%28 W · 15 L	-1.2wins	-0.03per pick	68cpaid	-2.7%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb412…3026backed Broncos	80c	21,000$16,800 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$4,200	19	42.1%8 W · 11 L	-2.1wins	-0.11per pick	53cpaid	-17.6%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0xfefb…4b5dbacked Bengals	8c	20,398$1,564 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,564.31	192	35.4%68 W · 124 L	-0.6wins	0.00per pick	36cpaid	-35%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x7d5c…0182backed Broncos	80c	20,000$16,000 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$4,000	106	50.9%54 W · 52 L	-1.7wins	-0.02per pick	53cpaid	-2.7%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4dbe…af34backed Broncos	78c	20,000$15,700 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$4,300	89	59.6%53 W · 36 L	+7.4wins	+0.08per pick	51cpaid	+20.6%equal weight	57+0.07 edge/pick
0xea3e…b956backed Broncos	78c	17,169$13,387 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$3,781.76	243	51.4%125 W · 118 L	+1.8wins	+0.01per pick	51cpaid	-11.8%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2fe6…ab9dbacked Broncos	69c	15,887$10,962 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$4,924.97	206	34.5%71 W · 135 L	-0.2wins	0.00per pick	35cpaid	-24.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x0ce3…3bc3backed Broncos	80c	15,001$12,001 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$3,000.29	7	71.4%5 W · 2 L	0.0wins	-0.01per pick	72cpaid	0%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xb45d…a406backed Bengals	20c	13,214$2,656 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,656.31	121	38.8%47 W · 74 L	-1.2wins	-0.01per pick	40cpaid	-5.3%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc6ab…5eb9backed Broncos	80c	12,500$10,000 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,500	37	73%27 W · 10 L	+1.9wins	+0.05per pick	68cpaid	+10.4%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x00ff…f7adbacked Broncos	80c	12,308$9,847 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,461.68	32	56.3%18 W · 14 L	-0.4wins	-0.01per pick	57cpaid	-5.1%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf68a…5b1bbacked Broncos	79c	12,100$9,559 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,541	831	47.8%397 W · 434 L	+13.7wins	+0.02per pick	46cpaid	+8%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xfe14…11eebacked Broncos	79c	11,881$9,386 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,494.91	12	83.3%10 W · 2 L	+2.9wins	+0.24per pick	59cpaid	+44.2%equal weight	59+0.08 edge/pick
0xe5f4…55c1backed Bengals	21c	11,128$2,337 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,336.92	14	0%0 W · 14 L	-3.2wins	-0.23per pick	23cpaid	-100%equal weight	41-0.08 edge/pick
0x4e25…d7a7backed Bengals	4c	11,070$443 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$442.8	134	30.6%41 W · 93 L	-12.1wins	-0.09per pick	40cpaid	-39%equal weight	42-0.08 edge/pick
0xe4b1…a75ebacked Bengals	22c	10,910$2,400 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,400.21	55	27.3%15 W · 40 L	-6.2wins	-0.11per pick	39cpaid	-38.7%equal weight	41-0.08 edge/pick
0x9267…0f9abacked Broncos	79c	10,327$8,158 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,168.6	246	52%128 W · 118 L	+1.7wins	+0.01per pick	51cpaid	+0.8%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0431…6088backed Bengals	21c	9,524$2,000 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,000	21	42.9%9 W · 12 L	+0.5wins	+0.03per pick	40cpaid	+7%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb789…706fbacked Broncos	80c	8,625$6,900 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,725	23	47.8%11 W · 12 L	+0.3wins	+0.01per pick	47cpaid	+5.1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Broncos	75c	8,312$6,261 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,050.31	273	48.7%133 W · 140 L	-1.6wins	-0.01per pick	49cpaid	-7.7%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd9e0…05f2backed Broncos	76c	7,610$5,792 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,818.6	310	56.8%176 W · 134 L	+16.1wins	+0.05per pick	52cpaid	-0.5%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0xcc3e…37efbacked Bengals	19c	7,500$1,459 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,459.44	77	36.4%28 W · 49 L	+2.2wins	+0.03per pick	33cpaid	+6.6%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb13d…2e90backed Bengals	21c	7,466$1,553 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,553.08	318	54.7%174 W · 144 L	+16.8wins	+0.05per pick	49cpaid	+12.5%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0x3ff9…bb89backed Broncos	78c	6,940$5,418 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,522.26	99	52.5%52 W · 47 L	-7.4wins	-0.07per pick	60cpaid	-15.3%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0xe0f3…d82cbacked Broncos	80c	6,632$5,306 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,326.43	99	49.5%49 W · 50 L	-3.0wins	-0.03per pick	53cpaid	-14.7%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x12d6…f2a8backed Bengals	20c	6,013$1,223 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,222.8	19	31.6%6 W · 13 L	-1.3wins	-0.07per pick	39cpaid	-9.6%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x445e…9be0backed Broncos	78c	5,500$4,312 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,188	266	50.8%135 W · 131 L	+1.2wins	0.00per pick	50cpaid	-4.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x239a…76e5backed Broncos	80c	5,000$4,000 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,000	54	57.4%31 W · 23 L	+0.9wins	+0.02per pick	56cpaid	-4.8%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x64b5…7543backed Broncos	78c	5,000$3,900 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,100	143	42%60 W · 83 L	+6.9wins	+0.05per pick	37cpaid	+10.3%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0x067f…e041backed Bengals	22c	5,000$1,100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,099.99	184	35.9%66 W · 118 L	-4.2wins	-0.02per pick	38cpaid	+1.4%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5523…51e9backed Bengals	20c	4,941$988 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$988.13	62	45.2%28 W · 34 L	-2.0wins	-0.03per pick	48cpaid	-8.2%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x13ce…35f0backed Broncos	79c	4,824$3,811 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,013.04	36	52.8%19 W · 17 L	-4.2wins	-0.12per pick	65cpaid	-22.4%equal weight	42-0.07 edge/pick
0xbd7d…4d56backed Broncos	79c	4,800$3,792 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,008	12	50%6 W · 6 L	-1.3wins	-0.11per pick	61cpaid	-13.4%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x4a1e…86d3backed Bengals	24c	4,400$1,047 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,046.54	134	50%67 W · 67 L	-1.3wins	-0.01per pick	51cpaid	-1.8%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4fc1…ec92backed Bengals	20c	4,320$877 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$877.44	206	46.1%95 W · 111 L	+0.2wins	0.00per pick	46cpaid	-2.7%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x9d94…017dbacked Bengals	17c	4,169$706 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$706.2	200	26%52 W · 148 L	-2.0wins	-0.01per pick	27cpaid	-29.4%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x90ba…63f3backed Bengals	22c	4,050$891 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$891	42	26.2%11 W · 31 L	-2.2wins	-0.05per pick	31cpaid	-8%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0xbb2f…eca9backed Bengals	20c	4,000$800 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$800	173	48%83 W · 90 L	+2.8wins	+0.02per pick	46cpaid	+1.6%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0xca3f…8078backed Broncos	79c	3,958$3,123 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$835.61	149	51%76 W · 73 L	+4.0wins	+0.03per pick	48cpaid	+10.7%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x29c0…efaabacked Broncos	78c	3,539$2,760 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$779.49	240	54.6%131 W · 109 L	+3.5wins	+0.01per pick	53cpaid	+1.4%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9e2f…ec47backed Broncos	80c	3,450$2,760 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$690	7	57.1%4 W · 3 L	+1.4wins	+0.20per pick	37cpaid	+54.8%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0xeb1d…9ba3backed Bengals	22c	3,400$748 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$748	2	0%0 W · 2 L	-0.8wins	-0.40per pick	40cpaid	-100%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x09d0…743dbacked Bengals	21c	3,300$693 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$693	2	0%0 W · 2 L	-0.6wins	-0.31per pick	31cpaid	-100%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x41ed…06f8backed Bengals	21c	3,200$672 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$672	2	0%0 W · 2 L	-0.6wins	-0.32per pick	32cpaid	-100%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x4b90…0880backed Broncos	80c	3,199$2,543 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$655.79	2	50%1 W · 1 L	-0.2wins	-0.11per pick	61cpaid	-37.1%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd14a…e912backed Bengals	20c	3,192$638 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$638.3	21	42.9%9 W · 12 L	-1.3wins	-0.06per pick	49cpaid	-15.3%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x283d…0dadbacked Broncos	80c	3,110$2,488 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$622.06	9	55.6%5 W · 4 L	+0.4wins	+0.04per pick	52cpaid	+43.3%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x781c…db68backed Bengals	5c	3,069$168 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$167.61	684	46.1%315 W · 369 L	+16.9wins	+0.02per pick	44cpaid	-6.6%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0xf70c…72c1backed Bengals	31c	3,044$944 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$943.54	44	15.9%7 W · 37 L	-5.9wins	-0.13per pick	29cpaid	-46.9%equal weight	40-0.09 edge/pick
0x1496…a429backed Broncos	80c	3,000$2,400 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$600	274	54.7%150 W · 124 L	+13.3wins	+0.05per pick	50cpaid	+11.4%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0xa2c9…2c23backed Broncos	80c	3,000$2,400 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$600	16	81.3%13 W · 3 L	+2.1wins	+0.13per pick	68cpaid	+19.3%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0x6b7c…5f83backed Broncos	79c	2,993$2,366 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$627.57	276	44.2%122 W · 154 L	-7.6wins	-0.03per pick	47cpaid	-13%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2c73…1ba6backed Bengals	21c	2,800$588 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$588	5	40%2 W · 3 L	-0.1wins	-0.01per pick	41cpaid	-0.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x5482…b6eebacked Bengals	1c	2,786$21 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$21.33	112	8%9 W · 103 L	+4.1wins	+0.04per pick	4cpaid	+413.4%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x9731…9b35backed Broncos	80c	2,745$2,196 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$548.95	544	51.7%281 W · 263 L	+7.6wins	+0.01per pick	50cpaid	+2.5%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4df3…788fbacked Broncos	79c	2,597$2,040 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$557.12	770	52.7%406 W · 364 L	+24.8wins	+0.03per pick	50cpaid	+6.4%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x4231…f63ebacked Broncos	79c	2,570$2,026 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$544.25	412	48.5%200 W · 212 L	-4.8wins	-0.01per pick	50cpaid	-2%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd63e…0d52backed Broncos	80c	2,500$2,000 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$500	35	62.9%22 W · 13 L	-1.3wins	-0.04per pick	67cpaid	-7.3%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1fbc…3099backed Broncos	80c	2,500$2,000 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$500	89	38.2%34 W · 55 L	-10.4wins	-0.12per pick	50cpaid	-28.5%equal weight	40-0.09 edge/pick
0x7a3f…6fcebacked Broncos	79c	2,500$1,975 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$525	5	40%2 W · 3 L	-0.4wins	-0.08per pick	48cpaid	-0.6%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf413…7b6dbacked Broncos	79c	2,399$1,895 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$503.73	2	100%2 W · 0 L	+0.8wins	+0.39per pick	61cpaid	+79.6%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x825e…2da2backed Bengals	21c	2,381$500 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$500	3	0%0 W · 3 L	-0.6wins	-0.19per pick	19cpaid	-100%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xef3c…f731backed Broncos	79c	2,191$1,731 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$460.02	26	42.3%11 W · 15 L	-6.1wins	-0.23per pick	66cpaid	-38.4%equal weight	37-0.12 edge/pick
0x9de9…ee25backed Bengals	22c	2,118$466 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$465.94	18	38.9%7 W · 11 L	+1.0wins	+0.05per pick	34cpaid	-14.8%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x26e0…4659backed Broncos	80c	2,100$1,680 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$420	4	50%2 W · 2 L	-0.3wins	-0.07per pick	57cpaid	-18.8%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1f78…7954backed Broncos	80c	2,100$1,680 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$420	5	80%4 W · 1 L	+0.8wins	+0.15per pick	65cpaid	+32.8%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe216…7448backed Bengals	20c	2,099$426 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$425.65	200	39.5%79 W · 121 L	-0.5wins	0.00per pick	40cpaid	-4.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xcbd6…bc18backed Bengals	21c	2,052$431 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$430.94	17	64.7%11 W · 6 L	+3.2wins	+0.19per pick	46cpaid	+46%equal weight	59+0.08 edge/pick
0x4c25…c3bebacked Bengals	21c	2,000$420 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$420	34	52.9%18 W · 16 L	+0.7wins	+0.02per pick	51cpaid	+8.3%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3850…c4b4backed Bengals	22c	1,913$412 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$411.9	89	46.1%41 W · 48 L	+5.4wins	+0.06per pick	40cpaid	+15.7%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0xb853…0d33backed Bengals	21c	1,905$400 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$400	81	45.7%37 W · 44 L	+0.5wins	+0.01per pick	45cpaid	+0.6%equal weight	510.00 edge/pick
0x1bbc…f458backed Bengals	21c	1,838$386 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$386	86	48.8%42 W · 44 L	-2.2wins	-0.03per pick	51cpaid	-11.2%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NFL and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 11 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

The market traded at least $500.
The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.

Bengals vs. Broncos

What this market resolved to

Who was on this market

The rest of this event