NFL · resolved market
Spread: Broncos (-7.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x1a460f27d1ba1e460d0716d0cfa810f04d6cc801c806b451c171a846e37fddc4
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Broncosof Broncos, Bengals
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NFLevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $338,405
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $342,131
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $338,405 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 112 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NFL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NFL | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x1117…3532backed Broncos | 49c | 110,000$53,900 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56,100 | 312 | 40.7%127 W · 185 L | -22.0wins | -0.07per pick | 48cpaid | -16.5%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xafba…e61bbacked Bengals | 51c | 103,996$53,038 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53,038.09 | 174 | 54.6%95 W · 79 L | +8.9wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +12.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9158…fa7bbacked Bengals | 52c | 70,000$36,400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36,400 | 114 | 45.6%52 W · 62 L | -3.9wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x090a…01b4backed Bengals | 52c | 38,739$20,107 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20,106.8 | 168 | 36.9%62 W · 106 L | -5.3wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaefe…1e4abacked Bengals | 51c | 38,287$19,604 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19,604 | 19 | 57.9%11 W · 8 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe38e…c29dbacked Broncos | 48c | 30,000$14,400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15,600 | 105 | 66.7%70 W · 35 L | +12.6wins | +0.12per pick | 55cpaid | +19.3%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x1496…a429backed Broncos | 49c | 19,912$9,757 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,155.16 | 274 | 54.7%150 W · 124 L | +13.3wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4689…54aebacked Broncos | 49c | 13,750$6,737 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,012.5 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.51per pick | 49cpaid | +104.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked Broncos | 48c | 13,500$6,480 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,020 | 831 | 47.8%397 W · 434 L | +13.7wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe7ca…a175backed Bengals | 52c | 11,538$6,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,000 | 257 | 44.4%114 W · 143 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7fb7…e33dbacked Broncos | 48c | 10,490$5,033 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,456.68 | 418 | 51.9%217 W · 201 L | +13.1wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9249…4f16backed Bengals | 52c | 9,352$4,863 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,863.04 | 176 | 47.7%84 W · 92 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9fad…5a9fbacked Broncos | 49c | 6,666$3,266 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,399.63 | 513 | 52.2%268 W · 245 L | +16.0wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +12.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4762…ba70backed Bengals | 52c | 6,519$3,390 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,390 | 73 | 46.6%34 W · 39 L | -2.5wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x88a2…d974backed Broncos | 49c | 6,122$3,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,122.45 | 131 | 42%55 W · 76 L | +2.2wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3f89…0d03backed Bengals | 51c | 5,882$3,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,000 | 53 | 30.2%16 W · 37 L | -8.5wins | -0.16per pick | 46cpaid | -36.6%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x0a77…9d74backed Broncos | 49c | 5,202$2,549 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,653.02 | 373 | 50.9%190 W · 183 L | +12.9wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x067f…e041backed Bengals | 50c | 5,000$2,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,500 | 184 | 35.9%66 W · 118 L | -4.2wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2f09…4632backed Bengals | 52c | 5,000$2,597 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,597.25 | 138 | 43.5%60 W · 78 L | -4.7wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4dbe…af34backed Broncos | 48c | 5,000$2,400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,600 | 89 | 59.6%53 W · 36 L | +7.4wins | +0.08per pick | 51cpaid | +20.6%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xdc5b…5b15backed Broncos | 48c | 5,000$2,400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,600 | 105 | 52.4%55 W · 50 L | +3.6wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2ac1…45dbbacked Broncos | 50c | 4,000$2,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,000 | 77 | 54.5%42 W · 35 L | +1.7wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4c86…366bbacked Broncos | 49c | 3,450$1,691 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,759.5 | 22 | 45.5%10 W · 12 L | +1.3wins | +0.06per pick | 40cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe63e…e2cfbacked Bengals | 51c | 3,317$1,692 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,691.67 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.06per pick | 61cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbb2f…eca9backed Bengals | 50c | 2,808$1,404 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,403.83 | 173 | 48%83 W · 90 L | +2.8wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5139…a8dbbacked Broncos | 49c | 2,503$1,226 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,276.53 | 446 | 52.9%236 W · 210 L | +4.2wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4488…e319backed Broncos | 49c | 2,500$1,225 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,274.99 | 358 | 48.6%174 W · 184 L | -3.0wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x445e…9be0backed Broncos | 49c | 2,000$970 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,030 | 266 | 50.8%135 W · 131 L | +1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xecb1…5da3backed Bengals | 52c | 2,000$1,040 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,040 | 196 | 45.4%89 W · 107 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3134…1b18backed Bengals | 51c | 1,961$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 91 | 52.7%48 W · 43 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb790…8389backed Broncos | 50c | 1,597$797 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$800.52 | 18 | 50%9 W · 9 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbb36…9545backed Broncos | 48c | 1,000$480 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$520 | 76 | 44.7%34 W · 42 L | -1.6wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x20e2…667fbacked Broncos | 50c | 1,000$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$500 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -0.9wins | -0.12per pick | 62cpaid | -17%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaf9f…f6a3backed Bengals | 51c | 980.39$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 94 | 44.7%42 W · 52 L | -3.2wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4df3…788fbacked Broncos | 48c | 822$395 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$426.65 | 770 | 52.7%406 W · 364 L | +24.8wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5388…4d5abacked Bengals | 50c | 600$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 25 | 52%13 W · 12 L | +1.2wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x33bc…37dcbacked Broncos | 48c | 500$240 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$260 | 415 | 40.2%167 W · 248 L | -7.8wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9def…d1a5backed Broncos | 49c | 500$245 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$255 | 149 | 45.6%68 W · 81 L | +2.6wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x71c1…e358backed Broncos | 49c | 492$242 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$249.6 | 109 | 40.4%44 W · 65 L | +2.7wins | +0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2630…e941backed Bengals | 51c | 422$215 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$215.22 | 66 | 50%33 W · 33 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x183a…d514backed Bengals | 51c | 400$204 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$204 | 143 | 55.2%79 W · 64 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf339…e010backed Bengals | 52c | 400$208 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$208 | 196 | 54.1%106 W · 90 L | +15.6wins | +0.08per pick | 46cpaid | +17.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3853…a3d3backed Broncos | 50c | 400$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$200 | 22 | 54.5%12 W · 10 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x831b…eed5backed Bengals | 51c | 392.16$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 45 | 46.7%21 W · 24 L | +1.3wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x504f…3ddcbacked Bengals | 51c | 392.16$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 115 | 47%54 W · 61 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +11.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdbf6…513abacked Broncos | 48c | 350$168 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$182 | 66 | 48.5%32 W · 34 L | +2.3wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | +12%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6884…6ccfbacked Broncos | 50c | 334$167 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$167 | 77 | 51.9%40 W · 37 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Broncos | 54c | 305$163 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$141.55 | 647 | 47.3%306 W · 341 L | +42.5wins | +0.07per pick | 41cpaid | +56.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5672…5019backed Broncos | 49c | 303.92$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$153.92 | 51 | 41.2%21 W · 30 L | -4.3wins | -0.09per pick | 50cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3f7a…d7ccbacked Bengals | 51c | 300$153 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$153 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdf2e…ddecbacked Broncos | 49c | 283.07$139 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$144.37 | 225 | 48.4%109 W · 116 L | +5.2wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3a32…6d7ebacked Broncos | 48c | 274.1$132 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$142.53 | 45 | 51.1%23 W · 22 L | +2.0wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc996…bb65backed Bengals | 41c | 255$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104.55 | 419 | 47.3%198 W · 221 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Broncos | 48c | 214.5$103 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$111.54 | 1,065 | 51.3%546 W · 519 L | +25.3wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x59e7…c669backed Broncos | 49c | 204.08$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104.08 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +1.3wins | +0.22per pick | 44cpaid | +69.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa8f3…e544backed Bengals | 50c | 200$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 553 | 45%249 W · 304 L | -9.0wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x41b7…f6babacked Broncos | 50c | 200$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100 | 297 | 51.5%153 W · 144 L | +3.9wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xedae…584fbacked Broncos | 48c | 200$96 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104 | 32 | 50%16 W · 16 L | +0.9wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfcfe…d420backed Broncos | 50c | 200$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100 | 158 | 55.7%88 W · 70 L | +5.9wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +11.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5cfe…ed69backed Bengals | 51c | 200$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102 | 242 | 43.4%105 W · 137 L | -7.0wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x12fe…38cfbacked Bengals | 52c | 200$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104 | 315 | 40.6%128 W · 187 L | +3.0wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6edc…18cebacked Bengals | 52c | 200$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104 | 175 | 48%84 W · 91 L | -3.4wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7e64…7308backed Broncos | 50c | 200$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100 | 21 | 71.4%15 W · 6 L | +3.8wins | +0.18per pick | 53cpaid | +34.8%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xa717…8919backed Bengals | 51c | 198.71$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101.34 | 110 | 47.3%52 W · 58 L | -7.4wins | -0.07per pick | 54cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4b…5a92backed Bengals | 51c | 196.08$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 384 | 59.9%230 W · 154 L | +12.0wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x35e3…68b9backed Bengals | 52c | 193.08$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 68 | 39.7%27 W · 41 L | -6.7wins | -0.10per pick | 50cpaid | -23.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x480d…f219backed Bengals | 52c | 192.31$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 330 | 47.9%158 W · 172 L | -3.0wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed Bengals | 53c | 180$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.4 | 544 | 51.7%281 W · 263 L | +7.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2619…9f4ebacked Broncos | 48c | 180$86 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$93.6 | 107 | 52.3%56 W · 51 L | +7.8wins | +0.07per pick | 45cpaid | +16.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5b20…99e9backed Broncos | 50c | 160$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80 | 280 | 47.5%133 W · 147 L | -5.8wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x904b…429cbacked Bengals | 51c | 150$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76.5 | 130 | 51.5%67 W · 63 L | +5.7wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6b3a…2841backed Broncos | 50c | 140$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70 | 594 | 53.7%319 W · 275 L | +24.2wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xea64…f2a2backed Broncos | 49c | 118.43$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.4 | 245 | 51%125 W · 120 L | +2.4wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2129…4222backed Bengals | 48c | 104.32$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.17 | 611 | 48.6%297 W · 314 L | +10.7wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6692…1125backed Broncos | 50c | 100$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50 | 47 | 46.8%22 W · 25 L | -2.0wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc739…e7abbacked Broncos | 50c | 100$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50 | 23 | 60.9%14 W · 9 L | +1.5wins | +0.06per pick | 54cpaid | +15.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x25ad…46fcbacked Bengals | 51c | 100$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51 | 14 | 28.6%4 W · 10 L | -2.4wins | -0.17per pick | 46cpaid | -37.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x15e3…009fbacked Bengals | 50c | 100$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 174 | 59.2%103 W · 71 L | +6.7wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xad5c…ac13backed Broncos | 49c | 100$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51 | 60 | 36.7%22 W · 38 L | -8.4wins | -0.14per pick | 51cpaid | -29.8%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x438f…28fabacked Bengals | 51c | 100$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -2.8wins | -0.28per pick | 58cpaid | -48.6%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x28e0…d720backed Broncos | 50c | 99.94$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.97 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.49per pick | 51cpaid | +94.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf6dc…8c92backed Bengals | 51c | 98.04$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 18 | 50%9 W · 9 L | +0.6wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7555…ce17backed Broncos | 52c | 96.15$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.15 | 93 | 48.4%45 W · 48 L | +1.4wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +29.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7c82…0d7dbacked Broncos | 50c | 88$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | -0.6wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6849…fbdfbacked Bengals | 51c | 78.43$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | -2.6wins | -0.18per pick | 61cpaid | -31.2%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9418…4f2abacked Bengals | 52c | 76.92$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 198 | 44.9%89 W · 109 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3b4b…94d4backed Bengals | 51c | 75$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.25 | 19 | 57.9%11 W · 8 L | +1.2wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x602d…3534backed Broncos | 49c | 71.43$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.43 | 158 | 55.7%88 W · 70 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x742f…d673backed Bengals | 58c | 64.6$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.29 | 323 | 47.4%153 W · 170 L | +1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5d03…369abacked Broncos | 48c | 53.08$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.6 | 80 | 48.8%39 W · 41 L | +2.0wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1bfd…3462backed Broncos | 49c | 50.62$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.62 | 67 | 52.2%35 W · 32 L | +2.2wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +13.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb6cc…18cebacked Broncos | 50c | 50$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25 | 60 | 46.7%28 W · 32 L | -0.9wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1ec4…defabacked Bengals | 51c | 45$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.95 | 205 | 42%86 W · 119 L | +7.2wins | +0.04per pick | 38cpaid | +35.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x75b5…a1f2backed Broncos | 49c | 41.49$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.16 | 29 | 44.8%13 W · 16 L | -2.8wins | -0.10per pick | 54cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xecf5…6a01backed Broncos | 49c | 40.82$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.82 | 29 | 34.5%10 W · 19 L | -4.7wins | -0.16per pick | 51cpaid | -35.6%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xb98b…7e18backed Bengals | 51c | 40$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.4 | 278 | 35.3%98 W · 180 L | +5.8wins | +0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x22b8…7b6ebacked Broncos | 49c | 40$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.4 | 170 | 60.6%103 W · 67 L | +12.6wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +13.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xfd24…b40fbacked Broncos | 49c | 39.45$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.12 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.8wins | -0.12per pick | 55cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe914…1707backed Bengals | 51c | 39.22$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 29 | 31%9 W · 20 L | -3.0wins | -0.11per pick | 42cpaid | -41.5%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x75d1…b18cbacked Broncos | 50c | 30$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15 | 166 | 45.8%76 W · 90 L | +9.1wins | +0.05per pick | 40cpaid | +12.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NFL and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 11 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Broncos (-7.5)this page
- Bengals vs. BroncosBroncos won
- Bengals vs. Broncos: O/U 41.5Under won
- Bengals vs. Broncos: O/U 43.5Under won
- Bengals vs. Broncos: O/U 44.5Under won
- Bengals vs. Broncos: O/U 46.5Under won
- Bengals vs. Broncos: O/U 47.5Under won
- Spread: Broncos (-10.5)Broncos won
- Spread: Broncos (-3.5)Broncos won
- Spread: Broncos (-4.5)Broncos won
- Spread: Broncos (-6.5)Broncos won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.