TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Premier League · resolved market

Will Tottenham win on 2024-12-22?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Noof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$37,767
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$38,864

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $37,767 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 83 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Premier League
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x90ba…63f3backed Yes21c4,050$851 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$850.568026.3%179 W · 501 L+5.6wins+0.01per pick25cpaid-1.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3c87…70d5backed Yes20c3,856$771 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$771.229238.4%112 W · 180 L-9.9wins-0.03per pick42cpaid-9.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x7418…59e2backed No79c2,860$2,259 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$600.555453.7%29 W · 25 L-0.1wins0.00per pick54cpaid+6.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x93bc…8ca3backed Yes19c2,824$536 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$536.540640.9%166 W · 240 L-4.5wins-0.01per pick42cpaid-1.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb680…c893backed Yes12c2,000$230 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2303613.9%5 W · 31 L-2.3wins-0.06per pick20cpaid-56.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x16cb…2704backed No79c1,456$1,154 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$301.9690751.3%465 W · 442 L-1.2wins0.00per pick51cpaid-1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9e5c…d8e6backed No79c1,390$1,092 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$297.9179639.6%315 W · 481 L+11.8wins+0.01per pick38cpaid-4%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x3fe8…1fd3backed Yes2c1,000$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.732822.3%73 W · 255 L-4.5wins-0.01per pick24cpaid-17%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5339…9da3backed Yes3c1,000$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3024062.5%150 W · 90 L+4.4wins+0.02per pick61cpaid+3.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8b21…41fabacked Yes20c940.07$188 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$188.0117837.6%67 W · 111 L-6.2wins-0.04per pick41cpaid-16%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf0bb…9702backed Yes22c909.09$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2006838.2%26 W · 42 L-2.7wins-0.04per pick42cpaid-13.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x1638…339bbacked No78c724.44$565 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$159.386253.2%33 W · 29 L+2.4wins+0.04per pick49cpaid+14.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x97e1…017bbacked No80c706.53$565 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$141.3116851.2%86 W · 82 L-4.7wins-0.03per pick54cpaid-16.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xf519…906bbacked No80c697.82$558 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$139.5638649%189 W · 197 L-6.9wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-3.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x686e…af8cbacked Yes22c656.09$144 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$144.348825%22 W · 66 L-1.8wins-0.02per pick27cpaid+0.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x71c1…e358backed Yes21c571.43$120 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12032737.6%123 W · 204 L+3.7wins+0.01per pick36cpaid+2.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8c46…be29backed Yes19c560.65$104 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$104.2432736.4%119 W · 208 L-21.2wins-0.06per pick43cpaid-19.6%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x0269…cb2dbacked Yes19c551.93$105 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$104.8740254.7%220 W · 182 L+14.1wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+9.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xb2c7…1b5bbacked No78c523.67$408 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$115.3317945.8%82 W · 97 L+3.1wins+0.02per pick44cpaid+3.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x88cf…7d31backed Yes21c500$105 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1055151%26 W · 25 L+3.6wins+0.07per pick44cpaid+8.8%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x21d6…86fdbacked Yes21c476.19$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100825%2 W · 6 L-1.0wins-0.13per pick38cpaid-5.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa40e…53ddbacked Yes21c465.37$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1005337.7%20 W · 33 L-1.4wins-0.03per pick40cpaid-5.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4707…7e5bbacked Yes23c431.85$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1003923.1%9 W · 30 L-2.7wins-0.07per pick30cpaid-14.6%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xd9e8…0819backed Yes20c353.76$71 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$70.75837.5%3 W · 5 L+0.1wins+0.02per pick36cpaid+10.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3804…9912backed Yes10c316.46$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31.65633.3%2 W · 4 L-0.6wins-0.10per pick43cpaid-52.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x50e5…e39fbacked Yes18c280.49$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50.4929643.6%129 W · 167 L-11.3wins-0.04per pick47cpaid-10.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x54f0…7a91backed Yes20c270.99$55 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$55.1330%0 W · 3 L-0.5wins-0.15per pick15cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x03e9…9507backed No79c251.85$199 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$52.441637.5%6 W · 10 L-1.0wins-0.06per pick44cpaid-41.6%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x2e9e…7bd8backed No77c241.83$186 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$55.623551.4%18 W · 17 L-0.8wins-0.02per pick54cpaid+9.3%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x70ce…6d96backed Yes21c238.1$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$502240.9%9 W · 13 L+1.7wins+0.08per pick33cpaid+33.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x4246…100dbacked Yes20c219.98$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$45837.5%3 W · 5 L-0.2wins-0.02per pick40cpaid-32.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1429…121abacked Yes23c215.65$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.110%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.23per pick23cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x95c7…3c3bbacked Yes21c204.1$43 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$42.8670%0 W · 7 L-2.2wins-0.31per pick31cpaid-100%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x649f…993ebacked No80c202.62$162 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40.528750.6%44 W · 43 L+7.7wins+0.09per pick42cpaid+21.3%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x37e9…ab9fbacked Yes13c200$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2611915.1%18 W · 101 L-10.4wins-0.09per pick24cpaid-37.2%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x9f96…16a1backed Yes23c168.78$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38.8210%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.23per pick23cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2b50…6c55backed Yes20c149.56$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.915630.4%17 W · 39 L-3.3wins-0.06per pick36cpaid-3.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x2f7f…b28abacked No79c126.81$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.811770.6%12 W · 5 L-0.3wins-0.02per pick72cpaid-2.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6ae6…01febacked Yes20c120$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$242138.1%8 W · 13 L+1.7wins+0.08per pick30cpaid+7.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x5594…c0b2backed Yes22c116.95$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.732326.1%6 W · 17 L-2.2wins-0.09per pick35cpaid-20.6%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xabe4…1996backed Yes22c116$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.521353.8%7 W · 6 L+0.6wins+0.04per pick50cpaid-18.8%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x0041…2390backed Yes20c100$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20250%1 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.10per pick40cpaid-18%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbb91…b665backed Yes20c100$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$205641.1%23 W · 33 L-2.9wins-0.05per pick46cpaid-18.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x2765…7ee4backed No78c100$78 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2234251.8%177 W · 165 L+21.9wins+0.06per pick45cpaid+9.3%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x8b7c…5947backed Yes20c100$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$201931.6%6 W · 13 L-1.2wins-0.07per pick38cpaid-29.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x4934…720abacked No78c100$78 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$221258.3%7 W · 5 L+0.3wins+0.03per pick56cpaid+32.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x48b7…63f1backed Yes22c99.99$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$223423.5%8 W · 26 L-2.1wins-0.06per pick30cpaid-27%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x74a0…2ab4backed Yes20c96.3$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.26333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.21per pick54cpaid-55.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3e66…4383backed Yes21c95.24$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$201030%3 W · 7 L-2.3wins-0.23per pick53cpaid-56.9%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0xab3b…a825backed No80c94.9$76 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.9815461%94 W · 60 L+1.5wins+0.01per pick60cpaid+2.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdc9e…d9f9backed No78c89$70 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.147967.1%53 W · 26 L+7.6wins+0.10per pick57cpaid+25.1%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xbbed…e4a9backed No79c80$63 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.81100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.21per pick79cpaid+26.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc86b…81e6backed No79c80$63 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.84654.3%25 W · 21 L-1.5wins-0.03per pick58cpaid-16.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe809…ddccbacked No78c76.92$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.922100%2 W · 0 L+0.8wins+0.39per pick61cpaid+75.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2d5b…6d9cbacked Yes23c76.91$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.6910%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.23per pick23cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7a64…647dbacked Yes20c75$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$151127.3%3 W · 8 L-0.8wins-0.07per pick34cpaid-24.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x94c1…4d52backed Yes20c74.5$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.920%0 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.24per pick24cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2936…07f5backed Yes21c71.43$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1510932.1%35 W · 74 L+3.2wins+0.03per pick29cpaid+7.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x38a2…a2e8backed Yes21c71.43$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1510%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.21per pick21cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x596f…7d54backed Yes22c68.18$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1520%0 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.20per pick20cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x035d…3b77backed Yes23c65.22$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15520%1 W · 4 L+0.1wins+0.02per pick18cpaid-29.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa8c0…3a39backed Yes23c65.22$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$152828.6%8 W · 20 L-5.3wins-0.19per pick48cpaid-45%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0xcbdd…d564backed Yes20c64.5$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.91030%3 W · 7 L-2.3wins-0.23per pick53cpaid-46%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x66db…7afbbacked Yes21c63.24$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.282218.2%4 W · 18 L-0.8wins-0.03per pick22cpaid-10%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xecf4…706ebacked Yes23c52.17$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1240%0 W · 4 L-1.9wins-0.46per pick46cpaid-100%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x031b…aaaebacked No79c50.63$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.634100%4 W · 0 L+1.8wins+0.45per pick55cpaid+104.1%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x2920…80bebacked No80c50$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$105635.7%20 W · 36 L-9.0wins-0.16per pick52cpaid-30.9%equal weight38-0.11 edge/pick
0x5959…e745backed Yes20c50$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10742.9%3 W · 4 L-0.8wins-0.11per pick54cpaid-19.2%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xc6ff…1eb6backed Yes20c50$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$105450%27 W · 27 L-3.2wins-0.06per pick56cpaid-17.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xb606…80f6backed Yes21c50$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.53644.4%16 W · 20 L-1.2wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-31%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x30a6…f9ddbacked Yes20c50$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$101330.8%4 W · 9 L-0.5wins-0.04per pick34cpaid-33.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4109…7e24backed No79c44.87$35 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.4346660.5%282 W · 184 L+30.3wins+0.06per pick54cpaid+14.7%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x9d5f…84bfbacked No78c43.6$34 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.5912357.7%71 W · 52 L-6.3wins-0.05per pick63cpaid-11.2%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x41ac…3e33backed No79c37.97$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.972365.2%15 W · 8 L+0.4wins+0.02per pick63cpaid+5.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x36b6…61c0backed No80c37.5$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.51361.5%8 W · 5 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick62cpaid-5.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd431…63bbbacked No80c37.5$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.51100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.20per pick80cpaid+25%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1c98…d0f6backed No79c31.65$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6.65560%3 W · 2 L-0.7wins-0.15per pick75cpaid-23.1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x96b9…9003backed No80c25$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5850%4 W · 4 L-1.4wins-0.18per pick68cpaid-29.6%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x169e…de26backed No80c23.75$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4.754663%29 W · 17 L+2.4wins+0.05per pick58cpaid+10%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x5c57…5b16backed No78c14.11$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3.0516660.8%101 W · 65 L+2.4wins+0.01per pick59cpaid+4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8f7a…0834backed No79c14$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2.941070%7 W · 3 L+0.6wins+0.06per pick64cpaid+0.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6942…7b3cbacked No80c13.4$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2.682100%2 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.22per pick78cpaid+27.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa9de…02acbacked No80c12.5$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2.52100%2 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.22per pick78cpaid+28%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.