Premier League · resolved market
Will Tottenham vs. Liverpool end in a draw?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xa022c47b119f8959c02b2fdd4edd57030e29352a25f38302d4c58ec42ea3395a
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $23,683
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $23,681
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $23,683 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 44 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Premier League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x1638…339bbacked Yes | 20c | 3,888$778 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$777.67 | 62 | 53.2%33 W · 29 L | +2.4wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +14.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9e5c…d8e6backed Yes | 8c | 2,716$214 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$214.46 | 796 | 39.6%315 W · 481 L | +11.8wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd28e…d68fbacked Yes | 2c | 2,600$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.01 | 44 | 29.5%13 W · 31 L | -2.5wins | -0.06per pick | 35cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf519…906bbacked No | 79c | 1,873$1,480 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$393.32 | 386 | 49%189 W · 197 L | -6.9wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0661…a72ebacked No | 80c | 1,433$1,143 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$289.51 | 36 | 66.7%24 W · 12 L | -1.5wins | -0.04per pick | 71cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0269…cb2dbacked Yes | 20c | 1,039$208 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$207.71 | 402 | 54.7%220 W · 182 L | +14.1wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3c87…70d5backed No | 80c | 843$674 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$168.6 | 292 | 38.4%112 W · 180 L | -9.9wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1218…366bbacked Yes | 13c | 819.58$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110.23 | 17 | 41.2%7 W · 10 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -24.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked Yes | 5c | 753.85$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.82 | 660 | 31.2%206 W · 454 L | -13.0wins | -0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -23.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa7dc…9908backed Yes | 28c | 597.08$170 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$170.12 | 89 | 37.1%33 W · 56 L | -6.0wins | -0.07per pick | 44cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5d5e…5d34backed Yes | 8c | 555$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.4 | 19 | 68.4%13 W · 6 L | +1.6wins | +0.08per pick | 60cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb2c7…1b5bbacked No | 77c | 500.31$386 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$114.49 | 179 | 45.8%82 W · 97 L | +3.1wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4ed4…2102backed Yes | 21c | 500$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.46per pick | 47cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf689…8b15backed Yes | 21c | 500$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.21per pick | 21cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcef7…e7d7backed Yes | 8c | 462$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.96 | 369 | 54.5%201 W · 168 L | +50.1wins | +0.14per pick | 41cpaid | +91.7%equal weight | 64+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x5c57…5b16backed No | 78c | 451.33$352 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$99.29 | 166 | 60.8%101 W · 65 L | +2.4wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | +4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0a86…5664backed Yes | 21c | 390.48$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82 | 246 | 30.5%75 W · 171 L | +4.0wins | +0.02per pick | 29cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2e9e…7bd8backed No | 78c | 338.86$264 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74.55 | 35 | 51.4%18 W · 17 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x16cb…2704backed Yes | 20c | 294.28$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.93 | 907 | 51.3%465 W · 442 L | -1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xce86…f868backed Yes | 20c | 284.5$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.9 | 93 | 34.4%32 W · 61 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 35cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x96e3…83d2backed Yes | 22c | 227.27$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 31 | 19.4%6 W · 25 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 21cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x74e0…af4bbacked Yes | 22c | 226$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.72 | 194 | 26.3%51 W · 143 L | +3.9wins | +0.02per pick | 24cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf612…5700backed Yes | 21c | 221.99$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.62 | 171 | 43.3%74 W · 97 L | -5.0wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0b69…e32abacked Yes | 21c | 200$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42 | 91 | 50.5%46 W · 45 L | +5.7wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1521…cab4backed Yes | 20c | 200$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -0.3wins | -0.04per pick | 33cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf421…7fcbbacked Yes | 10c | 179.23$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.14 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.2wins | -0.30per pick | 30cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcd92…9e72backed Yes | 20c | 169.97$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.69 | 29 | 31%9 W · 20 L | -2.5wins | -0.09per pick | 40cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x47dc…eec9backed Yes | 25c | 167.1$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.49 | 39 | 53.8%21 W · 18 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0a9a…dcbebacked Yes | 22c | 136.36$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 150 | 25.3%38 W · 112 L | -2.1wins | -0.01per pick | 27cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc54c…7ceabacked No | 79c | 100.87$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.87 | 21 | 38.1%8 W · 13 L | -3.9wins | -0.18per pick | 57cpaid | -46%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x8e7a…941abacked Yes | 10c | 100$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.13per pick | 47cpaid | -56.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x51b1…bce2backed Yes | 20c | 100$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 182 | 32.4%59 W · 123 L | -15.9wins | -0.09per pick | 41cpaid | -23.7%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xf33f…085cbacked Yes | 21c | 99$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.79 | 147 | 32%47 W · 100 L | +4.5wins | +0.03per pick | 29cpaid | +12.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4135…c599backed Yes | 22c | 90.91$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 18 | 38.9%7 W · 11 L | -0.8wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | +13.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1d57…574fbacked Yes | 26c | 79.35$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.63 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.34per pick | 34cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x95c7…3c3bbacked Yes | 21c | 76.9$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.15 | 7 | 0%0 W · 7 L | -2.2wins | -0.31per pick | 31cpaid | -100%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6ae6…01febacked Yes | 22c | 54.55$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 21 | 38.1%8 W · 13 L | +1.7wins | +0.08per pick | 30cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x33dc…375abacked Yes | 22c | 50$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 79 | 34.2%27 W · 52 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9d1e…5512backed Yes | 22c | 49.98$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 65 | 29.2%19 W · 46 L | +3.7wins | +0.06per pick | 23cpaid | +28.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3f3d…b972backed No | 80c | 43.85$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.77 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.07per pick | 76cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbf6e…632fbacked No | 78c | 32.05$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.05 | 20 | 65%13 W · 7 L | -1.3wins | -0.07per pick | 72cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1c98…d0f6backed No | 79c | 25.32$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.32 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.15per pick | 75cpaid | -23.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x351c…2db3backed No | 79c | 19$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.99 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -1.6wins | -0.20per pick | 57cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0516…dbc2backed No | 80c | 18.75$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.75 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.05per pick | 75cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Tottenham vs. Liverpool end in a draw?this page
- Will Liverpool win on 2024-12-22?Yes won
- Will Tottenham win on 2024-12-22?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.