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Premier League · resolved market

Will Liverpool win on 2024-12-22?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Yesof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$196,873
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$229,869

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $196,873 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a prediction-market account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 302 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Premier League
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x9e5c…d8e6backed No8c42,629$3,337 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,337.4379639.6%315 W · 481 L+11.8wins+0.01per pick38cpaid-4%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xb100…6461backed No3c11,755$331 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$331.027034.3%24 W · 46 L-0.3wins0.00per pick35cpaid-17.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9ac5…6a3dbacked No39c9,346$3,646 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,645.6922744.5%101 W · 126 L-1.8wins-0.01per pick45cpaid+5.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2aa2…4d22backed No40c9,155$3,646 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,645.655550.9%28 W · 27 L-6.5wins-0.12per pick63cpaid-17.3%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x6c82…6150backed No27c5,792$1,563 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,563.3529751.9%154 W · 143 L-1.8wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-2.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x38f1…9ff1backed Yes62c4,588$2,835 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,753.1332758.4%191 W · 136 L+12.7wins+0.04per pick55cpaid+6.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x03e9…9507backed No32c4,046$1,310 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,310.351637.5%6 W · 10 L-1.0wins-0.06per pick44cpaid-41.6%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x67fe…fea5backed Yes61c4,046$2,468 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,577.9944.4%4 W · 5 L-0.5wins-0.06per pick50cpaid-13%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0269…cb2dbacked No40c3,817$1,509 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,508.6840254.7%220 W · 182 L+14.1wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+9.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x50e5…e39fbacked No40c3,500$1,390 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,389.9431843.1%137 W · 181 L-15.1wins-0.05per pick48cpaid-11.6%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xe256…12f8backed Yes61c3,279$2,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,278.681450%7 W · 7 L-1.2wins-0.09per pick59cpaid-19.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x7432…794bbacked Yes62c3,164$1,977 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,186.7911937%44 W · 75 L+3.8wins+0.03per pick34cpaid-4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x3f4f…b4b3backed No0c3,000$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$123432.4%11 W · 23 L+0.9wins+0.03per pick30cpaid-6.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x90ba…63f3backed No42c3,000$1,260 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,26068026.3%179 W · 501 L+5.6wins+0.01per pick25cpaid-1.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x480d…f219backed No41c3,000$1,240 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,239.9834643.9%152 W · 194 L-14.9wins-0.04per pick48cpaid-4.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xb295…4ee4backed Yes61c2,974$1,803 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,171.077648.7%37 W · 39 L+1.2wins+0.02per pick47cpaid+2.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd82a…94c3backed Yes60c2,706$1,634 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,072.23955.6%5 W · 4 L-0.8wins-0.09per pick64cpaid-21.2%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x4dc3…fce2backed No9c2,201$198 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$198.075653.6%30 W · 26 L+8.1wins+0.14per pick39cpaid+64.5%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0xa2f1…2d22backed No42c2,180$916 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$915.62142.9%9 W · 12 L-1.6wins-0.08per pick51cpaid-29%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xa9d7…25e9backed No9c1,993$173 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$172.9437652.4%197 W · 179 L+27.4wins+0.07per pick45cpaid+9.5%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xbac1…ce0ebacked Yes61c1,874$1,138 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$736.0111342.5%48 W · 65 L+1.0wins+0.01per pick42cpaid+14.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd28e…d68fbacked Yes60c1,718$1,038 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$679.854429.5%13 W · 31 L-2.5wins-0.06per pick35cpaid-4.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x8a67…dc7cbacked Yes59c1,694$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$694.677651.3%39 W · 37 L+0.2wins0.00per pick51cpaid+2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2453…28e2backed Yes60c1,666$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$666.4525637.9%97 W · 159 L-7.0wins-0.03per pick41cpaid-13.8%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x3c87…70d5backed Yes61c1,580$964 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$616.229238.4%112 W · 180 L-9.9wins-0.03per pick42cpaid-9.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x8a31…fed2backed Yes58c1,443$835 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$608.22755.6%15 W · 12 L+2.2wins+0.08per pick47cpaid+36.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x4aef…9337backed No43c1,400$598 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$59815337.3%57 W · 96 L-7.0wins-0.05per pick42cpaid-9.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xec5c…ce46backed Yes64c1,322$850 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$471.8813435.8%48 W · 86 L-13.0wins-0.10per pick46cpaid-28.3%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x308f…35cabacked Yes59c1,281$760 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$520.331250%6 W · 6 L-0.3wins-0.03per pick53cpaid+0.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8769…48ecbacked Yes60c1,251$751 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$500.494252.4%22 W · 20 L-0.7wins-0.02per pick54cpaid-5.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x47ee…a079backed Yes57c1,220$700 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$520.433652.8%19 W · 17 L+0.8wins+0.02per pick51cpaid-9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa8f7…039abacked No41c1,214$498 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$497.698145.7%37 W · 44 L-4.5wins-0.06per pick51cpaid-8.4%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x5339…9da3backed Yes72c1,203$861 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$342.5224062.5%150 W · 90 L+4.4wins+0.02per pick61cpaid+3.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x16cb…2704backed No42c1,200$504 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$503.9990751.3%465 W · 442 L-1.2wins0.00per pick51cpaid-1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1ca8…1a39backed No38c1,190$452 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$452.263154.8%17 W · 14 L0.0wins0.00per pick55cpaid-0.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7eda…4bb7backed Yes60c1,175$700 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$474.8910445.2%47 W · 57 L+1.9wins+0.02per pick43cpaid+8.4%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x8c76…477abacked Yes65c1,077$695 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$381.2725339.1%99 W · 154 L-7.3wins-0.03per pick42cpaid+3.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xc745…9499backed Yes61c1,016$620 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$396.3911638.8%45 W · 71 L-4.7wins-0.04per pick43cpaid-15%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x258b…68f7backed Yes60c1,000$600 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4001100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.40per pick60cpaid+66.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x188b…6003backed No2c1,000$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$202556%14 W · 11 L+3.0wins+0.12per pick44cpaid+23.6%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xaf4e…dd9ebacked No39c1,000$390 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39010%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.39per pick39cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x93bc…8ca3backed No39c999.98$390 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$389.9940640.9%166 W · 240 L-4.5wins-0.01per pick42cpaid-1.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x700f…62d8backed Yes60c958.38$575 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$383.3529044.8%130 W · 160 L-1.2wins0.00per pick45cpaid+0.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf641…7b6fbacked Yes73c850.44$622 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$228.7370072.3%506 W · 194 L+83.3wins+0.12per pick60cpaid+26.1%equal weight63+0.11 edge/pick
0xf0bb…9702backed Yes61c820.29$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$320.296838.2%26 W · 42 L-2.7wins-0.04per pick42cpaid-13.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xaeb5…58e2backed No41c800$328 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32844939.6%178 W · 271 L+1.0wins0.00per pick39cpaid-6.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x18a8…4527backed No9c741.82$67 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$66.7610%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.09per pick9cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3aa1…637bbacked No43c697.67$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3005644.6%25 W · 31 L+3.0wins+0.05per pick39cpaid+13.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xcef7…e7d7backed No9c667$62 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$61.7636954.5%201 W · 168 L+50.1wins+0.14per pick41cpaid+91.7%equal weight64+0.13 edge/pick
0x8b21…41fabacked No39c609.99$238 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$237.917837.6%67 W · 111 L-6.2wins-0.04per pick41cpaid-16%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf0b0…8cabbacked No6c592.77$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34.0566031.2%206 W · 454 L-13.0wins-0.02per pick33cpaid-23.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xbd11…44e1backed Yes64c533.53$341 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$192.07540%2 W · 3 L-0.4wins-0.09per pick49cpaid-30.6%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xe3d4…2bacbacked Yes64c522.85$335 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$188.2323450.4%118 W · 116 L-14.5wins-0.06per pick57cpaid-11.7%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xb90e…5794backed Yes58c500$290 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2103348.5%16 W · 17 L-0.7wins-0.02per pick51cpaid+9.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd774…e11fbacked Yes57c500$285 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2154445.5%20 W · 24 L-4.8wins-0.11per pick56cpaid-19.5%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xb2c7…1b5bbacked No43c499.94$215 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$214.9817945.8%82 W · 97 L+3.1wins+0.02per pick44cpaid+3.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x602c…53f2backed No40c485$194 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$194250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-10.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7921…4f39backed Yes74c455.26$336 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$119.361526.7%4 W · 11 L-2.6wins-0.17per pick44cpaid-45.8%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0xa7dc…9908backed Yes68c421.8$285 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$136.618937.1%33 W · 56 L-6.0wins-0.07per pick44cpaid-19.1%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x37e0…024ebacked No39c415.38$162 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16219249.5%95 W · 97 L+8.3wins+0.04per pick45cpaid+8.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x2e9e…7bd8backed No43c400$172 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1723551.4%18 W · 17 L-0.8wins-0.02per pick54cpaid+9.3%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x70de…a1f3backed No43c382$164 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$164.268148.1%39 W · 42 L+2.8wins+0.03per pick45cpaid+6.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1ab3…9f4dbacked No42c367.62$154 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$153.8810%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.42per pick42cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3d85…483cbacked Yes61c327.87$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$127.871560%9 W · 6 L+1.3wins+0.09per pick51cpaid+22.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xadff…e3f3backed Yes61c327.19$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$127.411741.2%7 W · 10 L-0.6wins-0.04per pick45cpaid-13.7%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xabe4…1996backed Yes80c318.38$255 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$63.741353.8%7 W · 6 L+0.6wins+0.04per pick50cpaid-18.8%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x6e37…381bbacked Yes61c312.2$190 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$121.761100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.39per pick61cpaid+63.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd9dd…b525backed Yes58c300$174 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1268436.9%31 W · 53 L-2.0wins-0.02per pick39cpaid-8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8b7e…6a9fbacked Yes59c300$177 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12329653%157 W · 139 L-23.0wins-0.08per pick61cpaid-15.7%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xc3fc…b756backed Yes59c299.99$178 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1223857.9%22 W · 16 L+3.1wins+0.08per pick50cpaid+31.7%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xc414…f1e8backed Yes67c298.51$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$98.51933.3%3 W · 6 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick34cpaid-13%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5b9b…2274backed Yes61c286.67$175 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$111.81258.3%7 W · 5 L+0.9wins+0.07per pick51cpaid+25.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x3486…49eebacked No7c285.71$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2042840.4%173 W · 255 L-8.4wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-6.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7eee…b4b2backed No32c261.99$83 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$82.821763.6%138 W · 79 L-2.4wins-0.01per pick65cpaid-5.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf25d…f21cbacked Yes61c247.05$151 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$96.35683.3%5 W · 1 L+1.0wins+0.17per pick66cpaid+29.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x5594…c0b2backed No41c243.9$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1002326.1%6 W · 17 L-2.2wins-0.09per pick35cpaid-20.6%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x7cf9…1289backed Yes79c239.5$189 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$50.21553.3%8 W · 7 L-0.5wins-0.03per pick56cpaid-19.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf612…5700backed No42c221.99$93 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$93.2417143.3%74 W · 97 L-5.0wins-0.03per pick46cpaid-7.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe763…3d69backed Yes59c208.31$123 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$85.411931.6%6 W · 13 L-4.3wins-0.22per pick54cpaid-49.1%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0xdc4b…5a92backed Yes59c200$118 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8242755%235 W · 192 L-23.4wins-0.05per pick61cpaid-11%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x0b69…e32abacked Yes61c200$122 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$789150.5%46 W · 45 L+5.7wins+0.06per pick44cpaid+6.5%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x2d1b…5adbbacked Yes57c200$114 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$869747.4%46 W · 51 L+2.3wins+0.02per pick45cpaid+12.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xfc25…1f7fbacked Yes58c200$116 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$841526.7%4 W · 11 L-2.0wins-0.13per pick40cpaid-50.4%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x267d…81e0backed Yes57c200$114 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$861662.5%10 W · 6 L-0.4wins-0.03per pick65cpaid-12.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xab3b…a825backed Yes66c195.43$130 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$65.6415461%94 W · 60 L+1.5wins+0.01per pick60cpaid+2.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x330b…69f1backed Yes57c175$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$75.2520447.1%96 W · 108 L-8.0wins-0.04per pick51cpaid-11.8%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x2798…3d88backed Yes58c172.41$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$72.419436.2%34 W · 60 L-2.4wins-0.03per pick39cpaid-13.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7a8a…0acdbacked Yes59c169.49$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$69.494926.5%13 W · 36 L-7.8wins-0.16per pick42cpaid-44.3%equal weight38-0.11 edge/pick
0x483e…2d6bbacked Yes60c166.67$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$66.671457.1%8 W · 6 L+2.0wins+0.14per pick43cpaid+41.1%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x4a6f…6b82backed Yes61c165.68$101 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$64.624052.5%21 W · 19 L-4.7wins-0.12per pick64cpaid-21%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x893b…188ebacked Yes61c165.57$101 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$64.571250%6 W · 6 L-0.4wins-0.03per pick53cpaid+4.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8e7a…941abacked Yes77c165.46$127 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$38.22333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.13per pick47cpaid-56.7%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x8247…714dbacked Yes61c163.93$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$63.932100%2 W · 0 L+0.8wins+0.40per pick60cpaid+65.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x8889…a9d1backed No40c162.5$65 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6515347.7%73 W · 80 L-3.3wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-6.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x964b…167abacked Yes62c161.29$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$61.291827.8%5 W · 13 L-1.1wins-0.06per pick34cpaid-22.1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x1e04…a9b3backed Yes61c160.46$98 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$62.582147.6%10 W · 11 L+1.6wins+0.07per pick40cpaid-3.6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x9bad…74a7backed Yes63c150.43$95 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$55.663751.4%19 W · 18 L+0.2wins0.00per pick51cpaid-3.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe5c8…6415backed Yes58c148.28$86 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$62.282360.9%14 W · 9 L+1.7wins+0.07per pick53cpaid+20.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x4946…e041backed No37c131.38$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48.615742.1%24 W · 33 L-8.9wins-0.16per pick58cpaid-28.1%equal weight38-0.11 edge/pick
0x5afc…ba0bbacked Yes60c125.83$75 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$50.831338.5%5 W · 8 L-3.4wins-0.26per pick65cpaid-43.1%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.