TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Premier League · resolved market

Will Liverpool win on 2024-11-09?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Yesof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$105,364
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$126,161

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $105,364 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 231 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Premier League
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x0269…cb2dbacked No32c14,640$4,634 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,634.0740254.7%220 W · 182 L+14.1wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+9.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x9eb2…c8bfbacked No36c13,677$4,985 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,984.632433.3%8 W · 16 L-5.1wins-0.21per pick54cpaid-43.8%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0xd178…6703backed Yes68c9,352$6,360 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,992.7918948.7%92 W · 97 L-2.8wins-0.01per pick50cpaid+9.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x95cc…7f08backed Yes65c7,710$4,995 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,714.953650%18 W · 18 L+0.7wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+12.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2ff0…46e3backed Yes70c5,757$4,046 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,710.389361.3%57 W · 36 L+7.7wins+0.08per pick53cpaid+8.4%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x4337…8882backed No33c5,281$1,734 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,733.7116848.8%82 W · 86 L+9.5wins+0.06per pick43cpaid+6%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xfb79…c2c6backed No31c4,212$1,302 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,301.9314659.6%87 W · 59 L+9.2wins+0.06per pick53cpaid+18.5%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x9ccb…0a10backed No33c4,000$1,320 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,3201361.5%8 W · 5 L+1.5wins+0.11per pick50cpaid+1.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x651f…c190backed No36c2,810$1,011 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,010.61741.2%7 W · 10 L+0.4wins+0.03per pick39cpaid+9.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0a26…1851backed Yes67c2,667$1,791 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$875.3519652%102 W · 94 L-2.9wins-0.01per pick54cpaid-7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0767…0901backed Yes69c2,609$1,800 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$808.69988.9%8 W · 1 L+2.2wins+0.25per pick64cpaid+48.6%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x4a64…4430backed No31c2,606$812 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$811.6237841.8%158 W · 220 L+8.7wins+0.02per pick39cpaid-9.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x02cb…ae38backed Yes68c2,149$1,460 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$689.5715554.8%85 W · 70 L+3.6wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+8.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x38f1…9ff1backed Yes64c2,000$1,280 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$72032158.9%189 W · 132 L+13.6wins+0.04per pick55cpaid+7.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x90ba…63f3backed No32c2,000$645 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$644.9568026.3%179 W · 501 L+5.6wins+0.01per pick25cpaid-1.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x97e1…017bbacked Yes80c1,889$1,507 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$381.6416851.2%86 W · 82 L-4.7wins-0.03per pick54cpaid-16.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xb208…d98bbacked Yes67c1,750$1,169 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$581425%1 W · 3 L-0.2wins-0.05per pick30cpaid-62.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9fc0…53ddbacked No37c1,741$650 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6501526.7%4 W · 11 L-1.2wins-0.08per pick35cpaid-30.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xbb20…a151backed No31c1,703$528 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$527.865742.1%24 W · 33 L-3.5wins-0.06per pick48cpaid+24.7%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x58f2…a3e2backed Yes68c1,618$1,100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$517.732634.6%9 W · 17 L-5.5wins-0.21per pick56cpaid-38.2%equal weight38-0.11 edge/pick
0x4790…2dd7backed Yes68c1,590$1,087 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$503.23557.1%20 W · 15 L+0.5wins+0.01per pick56cpaid-4.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xac99…0b0fbacked Yes67c1,523$1,020 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$502.451540%6 W · 9 L-3.0wins-0.20per pick60cpaid-32.7%equal weight42-0.08 edge/pick
0xf7fc…2cb8backed No36c1,495$532 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$531.6530%0 W · 3 L-0.7wins-0.24per pick24cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x32b2…841cbacked No7c1,462$102 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$102.362725.9%7 W · 20 L+1.1wins+0.04per pick22cpaid+14.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x700f…62d8backed Yes69c1,449$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$449.129044.8%130 W · 160 L-1.2wins0.00per pick45cpaid+0.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0b6a…4873backed No22c1,364$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3002548%12 W · 13 L+1.7wins+0.07per pick41cpaid+18.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x4aef…9337backed No32c1,270$400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$400.0715337.3%57 W · 96 L-7.0wins-0.05per pick42cpaid-9.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x2488…0845backed Yes67c1,169$783 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$385.66250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-25.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9595…1b16backed Yes69c1,000$690 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3106360.3%38 W · 25 L-4.5wins-0.07per pick68cpaid-14.5%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xd9c0…4583backed Yes66c1,000$660 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3406959.4%41 W · 28 L+0.5wins+0.01per pick59cpaid+2.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x05ad…72d7backed Yes69c989$683 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$306.485641.1%23 W · 33 L-4.7wins-0.08per pick49cpaid-21%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xca95…fc40backed No32c946.62$306 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$305.53551.4%18 W · 17 L+1.2wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+17.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb291…0c5abacked Yes69c873.19$600 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$273.19333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.13per pick46cpaid-51.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x48b5…10aebacked Yes68c870.72$590 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$280.721533.3%5 W · 10 L-0.5wins-0.03per pick36cpaid-4.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8815…e147backed Yes67c864.67$579 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$285.343345.5%15 W · 18 L+1.0wins+0.03per pick42cpaid+8.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x01a9…f42fbacked Yes68c851.81$577 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$274.962437.5%9 W · 15 L-3.9wins-0.16per pick54cpaid-30.1%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xaeb5…58e2backed No34c821.18$279 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$279.244939.6%178 W · 271 L+1.0wins0.00per pick39cpaid-6.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0170…5065backed Yes70c698.07$489 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$209.42250%1 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.15per pick65cpaid-28.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x306b…3ec5backed Yes57c658.12$375 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$282.991936.8%7 W · 12 L-0.7wins-0.04per pick41cpaid-7.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3c87…70d5backed Yes68c639.17$435 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$204.5329238.4%112 W · 180 L-9.9wins-0.03per pick42cpaid-9.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x0d31…cf9ebacked Yes69c634.89$440 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$195.332100%2 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.36per pick64cpaid+57%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xca94…336ebacked No33c627.34$210 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$209.52520%1 W · 4 L-1.4wins-0.27per pick47cpaid-71%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xc07c…c4b7backed No25c600$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1503828.9%11 W · 27 L-0.7wins-0.02per pick31cpaid-31.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xefce…f0e7backed No35c571.43$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2001560%9 W · 6 L+0.1wins0.00per pick60cpaid-7.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8718…db3abacked Yes70c548.92$383 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$166.021040%4 W · 6 L-1.6wins-0.16per pick56cpaid-39.9%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x22f9…ccb1backed Yes67c531.34$356 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$175.34250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.05per pick45cpaid-25.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbee3…20ddbacked Yes68c448.53$305 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$143.531060%6 W · 4 L+0.5wins+0.05per pick55cpaid+9.6%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xacb5…aeb9backed Yes67c447.99$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$147.84850%4 W · 4 L-0.9wins-0.12per pick62cpaid-27.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe2b3…5fa4backed Yes69c434.78$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$134.782737%10 W · 17 L-4.6wins-0.17per pick54cpaid-30.2%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x7600…49e5backed Yes70c428.88$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$128.669949.5%49 W · 50 L-1.0wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x95cd…32d0backed No31c426.97$132 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$132.365554.5%30 W · 25 L+10.6wins+0.19per pick35cpaid+60.9%equal weight65+0.13 edge/pick
0xf0b0…8cabbacked No32c419.24$132 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$132.3566031.2%206 W · 454 L-13.0wins-0.02per pick33cpaid-23.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x637d…2392backed No33c416.51$137 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$137.163826.3%10 W · 28 L-5.1wins-0.13per pick40cpaid-33.6%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xe78e…55f0backed Yes66c405.47$268 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$137.868740.2%35 W · 52 L-2.0wins-0.02per pick43cpaid-9.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xab38…e1e2backed Yes70c398.5$278 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$120.381100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.30per pick70cpaid+43.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe642…9440backed No31c372.45$115 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$115.46366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.11per pick55cpaid+0.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x510e…83bebacked No34c367.65$125 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12530%0 W · 3 L-0.9wins-0.29per pick29cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x8c46…be29backed Yes79c365.87$290 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$76.232736.4%119 W · 208 L-21.2wins-0.06per pick43cpaid-19.6%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x5f41…83f5backed No22c350.58$78 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$787343.8%32 W · 41 L+2.6wins+0.04per pick40cpaid-11.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf612…5700backed Yes65c332.99$216 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$116.5517143.3%74 W · 97 L-5.0wins-0.03per pick46cpaid-7.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x3937…f693backed Yes68c317.17$214 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$102.871241.7%5 W · 7 L-1.0wins-0.09per pick50cpaid-12.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x26bd…ac09backed No34c306.92$104 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$104.07250%1 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.21per pick29cpaid+108.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xea0d…e1c3backed Yes67c303$203 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$100.02333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.8wins-0.26per pick59cpaid-50.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd2eb…f1b0backed Yes67c300$201 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$99450%2 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-16.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0cd9…1095backed Yes78c300$234 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$666752.2%35 W · 32 L+6.4wins+0.10per pick43cpaid+26.6%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xc89b…451fbacked No32c299.96$96 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$95.99837.5%3 W · 5 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick36cpaid-12.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x50ef…3abdbacked Yes67c298.51$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$98.511258.3%7 W · 5 L+1.6wins+0.14per pick45cpaid+76.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x02c2…5170backed Yes68c296.94$202 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$95.02450%2 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-16.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x67fe…fea5backed Yes68c293.99$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$94.08944.4%4 W · 5 L-0.5wins-0.06per pick50cpaid-13%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd7e5…a77bbacked Yes68c291.18$198 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$93.181100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.32per pick68cpaid+47.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x484c…017ebacked Yes69c289.86$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$89.862725.9%7 W · 20 L-5.9wins-0.22per pick48cpaid-39.8%equal weight37-0.11 edge/pick
0x6092…67f8backed Yes69c289.86$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$89.86333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.21per pick54cpaid-51.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5ac9…7d06backed Yes68c284.9$194 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$91.041513.3%2 W · 13 L-3.2wins-0.21per pick35cpaid-67.2%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x6c82…6150backed No32c279.26$88 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$88.0629751.9%154 W · 143 L-1.8wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-2.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xee00…cea1backed No20c274.77$55 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$54.9528355.5%157 W · 126 L+17.4wins+0.06per pick49cpaid+14.5%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xf641…7b6fbacked Yes67c270$181 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$89.169772.6%506 W · 191 L+83.8wins+0.12per pick61cpaid+26.7%equal weight63+0.12 edge/pick
0x7be1…200ebacked Yes69c237.68$164 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$73.6811353.1%60 W · 53 L-0.4wins0.00per pick53cpaid+1.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8b7a…f6dbbacked Yes68c220.41$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$70.414438.6%17 W · 27 L-2.3wins-0.05per pick44cpaid-6.7%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xb7a8…80bebacked Yes69c217.39$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$67.391100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.31per pick69cpaid+44.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3e33…c9f1backed Yes70c214.57$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$64.571030%3 W · 7 L-3.5wins-0.35per pick65cpaid-51.9%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0x843a…8070backed Yes66c204.1$134 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$70.394537.8%17 W · 28 L-2.6wins-0.06per pick44cpaid-14.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x4114…b9acbacked No32c200$64 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6411527%31 W · 84 L-4.9wins-0.04per pick31cpaid-21%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xdc9f…905bbacked Yes65c199.99$130 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7025648%123 W · 133 L+1.5wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+1.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x99c2…ef35backed No31c182.03$56 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$56.435959.3%35 W · 24 L+2.7wins+0.05per pick55cpaid+36.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xc745…9499backed Yes67c173.58$116 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$57.2811638.8%45 W · 71 L-4.7wins-0.04per pick43cpaid-15%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x3339…53b1backed Yes67c172.73$116 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$56.71520%1 W · 4 L-1.1wins-0.22per pick42cpaid-70.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xe3a3…7838backed Yes80c166.66$133 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33.331450%7 W · 7 L-1.0wins-0.07per pick57cpaid-19.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa88d…221cbacked Yes68c150$102 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$48666.7%4 W · 2 L+1.8wins+0.30per pick37cpaid+158.9%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x45fe…edecbacked Yes69c150$103 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$47520%1 W · 4 L-2.1wins-0.43per pick63cpaid-70.9%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xd9fd…6195backed Yes67c149.66$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$49.392100%2 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.27per pick73cpaid+37.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9865…55a8backed No34c147.06$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5010%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.34per pick34cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1b9b…5f3ebacked Yes68c147.06$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$47.062152.4%11 W · 10 L-1.5wins-0.07per pick59cpaid-19.1%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x7f8e…0a87backed Yes68c147.06$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$47.062060%12 W · 8 L-0.4wins-0.02per pick62cpaid-4.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x22dd…33c0backed Yes68c147.06$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$47.06666.7%4 W · 2 L+0.3wins+0.05per pick62cpaid-3.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbc83…c908backed Yes67c145$97 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$47.85633.3%2 W · 4 L-1.6wins-0.27per pick60cpaid-54%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x137c…8dd5backed Yes69c144.93$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$44.93728.6%2 W · 5 L-1.5wins-0.21per pick49cpaid-30.4%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x2a1a…88c8backed Yes69c144.93$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$44.93475%3 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.06per pick69cpaid+7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfe2d…45d5backed Yes69c144.93$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$44.931136.4%4 W · 7 L-0.2wins-0.02per pick38cpaid-2.4%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xe8f4…d323backed Yes69c144.93$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$44.936100%6 W · 0 L+2.6wins+0.44per pick56cpaid+139.7%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x3e01…3312backed Yes69c144.93$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$44.93520%1 W · 4 L-1.7wins-0.33per pick53cpaid-71%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.