College Football · resolved market
Memphis vs. Tulane
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x33f93c3076b2823e0eb614e2c8f23c27d524e6a9b13a413f1e8ce3ddc1162253
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Memphisof Memphis, Tulane
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- College Footballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $47,554
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $56,891
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $47,554 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 63 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in College Football is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in College Football | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xa715…15e2backed Memphis | 25c | 3,574$906 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,668.22 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.17per pick | 16cpaid | +31.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0269…cb2dbacked Tulane | 75c | 2,979$2,247 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,247.34 | 231 | 45.5%105 W · 126 L | -4.6wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd9c0…4583backed Tulane | 56c | 2,063$1,161 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,161.21 | 51 | 54.9%28 W · 23 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xec5c…ce46backed Memphis | 59c | 1,880$1,112 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$767.72 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | +0.4wins | +0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x371a…34b0backed Tulane | 4c | 1,680$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.39 | 237 | 0.8%2 W · 235 L | -5.0wins | -0.02per pick | 3cpaid | -98.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2f84…dd89backed Tulane | 37c | 1,611$600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$600 | 11 | 18.2%2 W · 9 L | -1.2wins | -0.11per pick | 29cpaid | -64.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1608…a990backed Memphis | 51c | 1,164$593 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$570.13 | 73 | 35.6%26 W · 47 L | -1.6wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7e8b…4f21backed Memphis | 24c | 1,069$258 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$810.34 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | +0.5wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +24.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb92d…f84bbacked Tulane | 80c | 1,028$822 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$822.4 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.8wins | -0.80per pick | 80cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x480d…f219backed Memphis | 19c | 1,000$190 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$810 | 398 | 47.7%190 W · 208 L | -6.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x202d…f8dabacked Memphis | 20c | 875$175 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$700 | 17 | 29.4%5 W · 12 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 30cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4a64…4430backed Tulane | 35c | 808.33$280 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$279.85 | 203 | 41.9%85 W · 118 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa40e…53ddbacked Memphis | 56c | 775.22$432 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$343.09 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.8wins | +0.13per pick | 37cpaid | +28.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x337b…0503backed Memphis | 18c | 730.95$132 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$599.38 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.4wins | +0.69per pick | 31cpaid | +294.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x74cd…2319backed Memphis | 20c | 659.39$135 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$524.39 | 17 | 17.6%3 W · 14 L | +1.6wins | +0.10per pick | 8cpaid | +47.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked Tulane | 62c | 573.74$356 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$355.87 | 128 | 16.4%21 W · 107 L | -8.4wins | -0.07per pick | 23cpaid | -30.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x95e5…44d9backed Memphis | 19c | 500.08$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$402.94 | 30 | 46.7%14 W · 16 L | +1.6wins | +0.05per pick | 41cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xecfc…5d8cbacked Memphis | 18c | 500$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$410 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.82per pick | 18cpaid | +455.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x89f2…0659backed Memphis | 52c | 499.99$260 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$240 | 35 | 48.6%17 W · 18 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6ab4…bfdbbacked Memphis | 22c | 455.05$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$355.05 | 26 | 38.5%10 W · 16 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9977…085fbacked Memphis | 20c | 450$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$360 | 17 | 23.5%4 W · 13 L | +1.7wins | +0.10per pick | 13cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa32b…e132backed Memphis | 18c | 413.43$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$339.39 | 17 | 47.1%8 W · 9 L | +2.4wins | +0.14per pick | 33cpaid | +53%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb90d…7db5backed Tulane | 71c | 404.48$289 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$288.75 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.09per pick | 69cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe70a…6de8backed Tulane | 64c | 335$213 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$213.02 | 18 | 38.9%7 W · 11 L | -2.4wins | -0.13per pick | 52cpaid | -32.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2462…3f8dbacked Memphis | 66c | 307.09$203 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104.41 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.45per pick | 55cpaid | +87.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc018…018abacked Memphis | 19c | 300$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$243 | 32 | 50%16 W · 16 L | +4.0wins | +0.12per pick | 38cpaid | +51.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x74c3…c1a8backed Tulane | 78c | 300$234 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$234 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.33per pick | 33cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x569b…9667backed Memphis | 18c | 297.04$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$243.57 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +1.5wins | +0.50per pick | 16cpaid | +224.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa8cd…3cf2backed Tulane | 79c | 287.27$226 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$226.07 | 55 | 30.9%17 W · 38 L | -5.1wins | -0.09per pick | 40cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8126…d776backed Tulane | 43c | 200$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.43per pick | 43cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xabd7…c531backed Memphis | 21c | 200$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$158 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.15per pick | 51cpaid | +109.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x778a…1a6dbacked Memphis | 52c | 199.19$104 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$95.61 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 61cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2df2…29cebacked Tulane | 7c | 178.18$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.95 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | +1.3wins | +0.09per pick | 45cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x86fd…8f4bbacked Memphis | 19c | 157.89$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$127.89 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.81per pick | 19cpaid | +426.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc62f…4888backed Tulane | 38c | 152.99$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.37 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.38per pick | 38cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8706…d5b7backed Tulane | 49c | 149.58$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.61 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.49per pick | 49cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x93bc…8ca3backed Tulane | 48c | 116.29$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.82 | 98 | 43.9%43 W · 55 L | +2.7wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x20cc…ebc0backed Memphis | 63c | 112.63$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.7 | 56 | 57.1%32 W · 24 L | +1.9wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd458…b4cdbacked Memphis | 19c | 105.26$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.26 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.81per pick | 19cpaid | +426.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x54f0…7a91backed Memphis | 19c | 105.26$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.26 | 12 | 16.7%2 W · 10 L | -0.7wins | -0.06per pick | 22cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x11c8…be84backed Tulane | 48c | 102.27$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.49 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.48per pick | 48cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x30d7…707fbacked Memphis | 52c | 101.92$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.92 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.48per pick | 52cpaid | +92.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe34c…19d0backed Tulane | 49c | 101.92$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.94 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.49per pick | 49cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x905f…ad6bbacked Memphis | 50c | 100.43$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.37 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.34per pick | 66cpaid | +56.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5f41…83f5backed Tulane | 79c | 100$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79 | 33 | 48.5%16 W · 17 L | +1.3wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb786…b18dbacked Tulane | 16c | 100$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 309 | 49.5%153 W · 156 L | +13.0wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xed0e…b305backed Memphis | 21c | 95.67$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.67 | 74 | 14.9%11 W · 63 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 15cpaid | -30.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x66db…7afbbacked Memphis | 22c | 90.91$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.91 | 9 | 11.1%1 W · 8 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 10cpaid | -49.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbd03…c6e0backed Memphis | 22c | 90$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.2 | 51 | 31.4%16 W · 35 L | +1.8wins | +0.04per pick | 28cpaid | +67.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9d08…7424backed Tulane | 34c | 87.2$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.76 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.34per pick | 34cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x26fc…db37backed Memphis | 20c | 70$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.80per pick | 20cpaid | +400%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xee5e…e5a7backed Memphis | 19c | 67.63$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.63 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.37per pick | 13cpaid | +160.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xab6d…b458backed Memphis | 52c | 62.43$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.97 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -35.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa319…bd72backed Memphis | 32c | 60.09$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.86 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.10per pick | 40cpaid | +56.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaba0…6d01backed Memphis | 57c | 50.88$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.88 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.43per pick | 57cpaid | +75.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe25c…ae63backed Tulane | 80c | 50$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.7wins | -0.43per pick | 68cpaid | -62.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xdfce…afc5backed Memphis | 20c | 50$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 35cpaid | +66.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8c91…0505backed Tulane | 66c | 42.82$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.26 | 33 | 54.5%18 W · 15 L | +0.8wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +25.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x438e…9704backed Tulane | 61c | 30$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.3 | 40 | 50%20 W · 20 L | +1.5wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb84c…dec0backed Tulane | 72c | 26.39$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 72cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5b8e…fa0fbacked Memphis | 45c | 24$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.32 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.55per pick | 45cpaid | +124.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2636…0236backed Memphis | 80c | 16.45$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.29 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.30per pick | 70cpaid | +45.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5f52…c254backed Tulane | 80c | 15$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | -1.1wins | -0.11per pick | 71cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in College Football and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.