NBA · resolved market
Lakers vs. Timberwolves
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x2945d6ed6c210484cdb9bda69028eb04b84c2fe9f8a63a323220748538b14a4d
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Timberwolvesof Lakers, Timberwolves
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $197,731
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $188,364
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $197,731 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 344 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x873c…ac48backed Lakers | 0c | 23,132$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.02 | 258 | 33.7%87 W · 171 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x31cf…8834backed Timberwolves | 73c | 13,468$9,845 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,622.09 | 43 | 48.8%21 W · 22 L | +1.8wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x20cc…ebc0backed Timberwolves | 73c | 12,880$9,373 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,506.9 | 150 | 56.7%85 W · 65 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcf6c…7e66backed Timberwolves | 72c | 12,684$9,164 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,520.07 | 596 | 46.1%275 W · 321 L | -16.2wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x578d…fbb3backed Lakers | 28c | 9,677$2,710 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,710.24 | 71 | 49.3%35 W · 36 L | -3.4wins | -0.05per pick | 54cpaid | -20.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x93bc…8ca3backed Lakers | 27c | 9,260$2,456 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,455.72 | 1,752 | 40.6%712 W · 1,040 L | -3.3wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8bea…2becbacked Timberwolves | 72c | 7,307$5,261 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,046.02 | 21 | 52.4%11 W · 10 L | +1.0wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0269…cb2dbacked Timberwolves | 73c | 5,987$4,356 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,630.97 | 656 | 42.5%279 W · 377 L | -2.9wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -15%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe661…3cffbacked Lakers | 28c | 5,093$1,426 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,426.02 | 16 | 31.3%5 W · 11 L | -0.9wins | -0.06per pick | 37cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x19d8…1691backed Lakers | 28c | 5,000$1,400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,400 | 722 | 41.4%299 W · 423 L | +2.7wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xeeca…9826backed Lakers | 19c | 4,084$790 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$790 | 38 | 26.3%10 W · 28 L | -3.3wins | -0.09per pick | 35cpaid | -42.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfb79…c2c6backed Timberwolves | 73c | 4,000$2,920 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,079.99 | 337 | 52.5%177 W · 160 L | +10.3wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8dc7…3a04backed Lakers | 14c | 3,886$536 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$535.8 | 82 | 29.3%24 W · 58 L | -2.6wins | -0.03per pick | 32cpaid | -23.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2f91…907fbacked Timberwolves | 72c | 3,735$2,689 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,045.68 | 62 | 45.2%28 W · 34 L | -1.0wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc299…dc5ebacked Lakers | 29c | 3,448$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | +0.3wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5b1e…2f01backed Timberwolves | 72c | 3,400$2,448 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$952 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.6wins | -0.09per pick | 52cpaid | -25.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5550…5b4dbacked Timberwolves | 72c | 3,064$2,212 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$852.41 | 125 | 63.2%79 W · 46 L | +4.5wins | +0.04per pick | 60cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8342…13c9backed Lakers | 29c | 3,000$870 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$870 | 235 | 48.1%113 W · 122 L | -13.9wins | -0.06per pick | 54cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x371a…34b0backed Lakers | 2c | 2,735$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.63 | 1,035 | 1.1%11 W · 1,024 L | -24.4wins | -0.02per pick | 3cpaid | -90.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4c03…0cc1backed Lakers | 4c | 2,672$107 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$106.87 | 1,602 | 11.8%189 W · 1,413 L | -4.8wins | 0.00per pick | 12cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0f09…0478backed Lakers | 29c | 2,659$768 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$768.03 | 12 | 66.7%8 W · 4 L | +2.6wins | +0.22per pick | 45cpaid | +40.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8df2…97a5backed Lakers | 30c | 2,421$718 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$717.59 | 54 | 38.9%21 W · 33 L | -1.7wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3c87…70d5backed Lakers | 26c | 2,266$590 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$590.36 | 346 | 44.2%153 W · 193 L | -7.7wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5a5e…c869backed Timberwolves | 73c | 2,109$1,546 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$562.52 | 61 | 67.2%41 W · 20 L | +1.4wins | +0.02per pick | 65cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x217b…0dc0backed Lakers | 29c | 2,069$600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$600 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | +0.3wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x10ca…77eebacked Timberwolves | 72c | 2,039$1,468 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$570.89 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +0.3wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -20.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x90ba…63f3backed Lakers | 32c | 2,000$630 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$630 | 1,782 | 28%499 W · 1,283 L | +11.5wins | +0.01per pick | 27cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4673…d99bbacked Timberwolves | 71c | 2,000$1,420 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$580 | 379 | 54.1%205 W · 174 L | -5.7wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | 0%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb652…2db4backed Lakers | 4c | 1,730$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.2 | 376 | 27.9%105 W · 271 L | -2.3wins | -0.01per pick | 29cpaid | +14.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaacf…5f84backed Lakers | 29c | 1,724$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 1,151 | 53.7%618 W · 533 L | -41.7wins | -0.04per pick | 57cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x215d…7840backed Lakers | 29c | 1,724$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -34.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x649f…993ebacked Timberwolves | 71c | 1,464$1,040 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$424.64 | 73 | 54.8%40 W · 33 L | +2.3wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa7b3…246abacked Timberwolves | 74c | 1,342$993 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$348.88 | 15 | 73.3%11 W · 4 L | +2.1wins | +0.14per pick | 59cpaid | +17.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x438e…9704backed Lakers | 11c | 1,276$142 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$142.14 | 239 | 56.1%134 W · 105 L | +1.6wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcc81…0ababacked Lakers | 29c | 1,202$348 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$348.47 | 236 | 46.6%110 W · 126 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa8cd…3cf2backed Timberwolves | 67c | 1,200$801 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$399.05 | 111 | 43.2%48 W · 63 L | +6.0wins | +0.05per pick | 38cpaid | +15.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd9c0…4583backed Timberwolves | 71c | 1,200$852 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$347.99 | 138 | 57.2%79 W · 59 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3a55…394ebacked Lakers | 30c | 1,184$351 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$350.72 | 81 | 50.6%41 W · 40 L | +1.5wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +17.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7374…1df5backed Lakers | 26c | 1,160$302 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$301.59 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -1.0wins | -0.11per pick | 33cpaid | -60.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2516…f107backed Lakers | 29c | 1,034$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -1.1wins | -0.18per pick | 34cpaid | -67%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7f59…a01abacked Timberwolves | 70c | 1,003$704 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$299.84 | 85 | 61.2%52 W · 33 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 61cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb2c7…1b5bbacked Lakers | 27c | 1,000$273 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$272.5 | 291 | 48.8%142 W · 149 L | +7.1wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaeb5…58e2backed Lakers | 33c | 1,000$330 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$330 | 1,090 | 35.8%390 W · 700 L | +40.1wins | +0.04per pick | 32cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x480d…f219backed Lakers | 29c | 1,000$290 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$290 | 1,290 | 44%567 W · 723 L | +35.0wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x74cd…2319backed Lakers | 7c | 998.12$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67 | 216 | 5.6%12 W · 204 L | -12.6wins | -0.06per pick | 11cpaid | -61%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa077…9c54backed Lakers | 27c | 925.93$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 12 | 16.7%2 W · 10 L | -2.5wins | -0.20per pick | 37cpaid | -78.3%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8637…9657backed Lakers | 29c | 863$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250.27 | 20 | 60%12 W · 8 L | +0.9wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9387…ce77backed Lakers | 16c | 853.13$137 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$136.54 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +0.7wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x351b…4d06backed Lakers | 29c | 810.34$235 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$235 | 56 | 44.6%25 W · 31 L | -0.9wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc3ec…e987backed Timberwolves | 71c | 799.99$568 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$232 | 563 | 48.5%273 W · 290 L | -7.1wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3bdc…3a4ebacked Timberwolves | 73c | 789.77$577 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$213.24 | 199 | 43.7%87 W · 112 L | -4.6wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x719d…4e73backed Lakers | 29c | 782.46$224 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$224.25 | 118 | 34.7%41 W · 77 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 35cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3669…3882backed Lakers | 29c | 755.55$219 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$219.11 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -20.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2942…59abbacked Lakers | 23c | 749.99$172 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$172.5 | 180 | 44.4%80 W · 100 L | +15.8wins | +0.09per pick | 36cpaid | +36.9%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x15f0…974dbacked Lakers | 27c | 740.74$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 14 | 7.1%1 W · 13 L | -1.9wins | -0.14per pick | 21cpaid | -57.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x606f…b3b5backed Lakers | 5c | 700$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33 | 44 | 36.4%16 W · 28 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 36cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd263…e4eebacked Lakers | 27c | 696.3$188 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$188 | 49 | 46.9%23 W · 26 L | +4.2wins | +0.09per pick | 38cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7551…a8e9backed Timberwolves | 73c | 663$484 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$179.01 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +1.3wins | +0.15per pick | 52cpaid | +16.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0df8…b67ebacked Timberwolves | 74c | 654.05$484 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$170.05 | 201 | 53.7%108 W · 93 L | -2.2wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x95e5…44d9backed Lakers | 29c | 603.45$175 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$175 | 100 | 51%51 W · 49 L | +7.5wins | +0.07per pick | 44cpaid | +14.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1abc…2093backed Lakers | 13c | 600$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78 | 29 | 24.1%7 W · 22 L | -2.8wins | -0.10per pick | 34cpaid | -30.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8996…fbcebacked Timberwolves | 73c | 588.61$430 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$158.92 | 216 | 49.1%106 W · 110 L | +18.8wins | +0.09per pick | 40cpaid | +18.7%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x7037…7ba4backed Timberwolves | 71c | 587.49$417 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$170.37 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +0.6wins | +0.06per pick | 54cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2765…7ee4backed Lakers | 5c | 578.32$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.13 | 112 | 50%56 W · 56 L | +8.2wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | +14.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa647…64eebacked Timberwolves | 70c | 565.9$395 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$170.43 | 193 | 50.3%97 W · 96 L | +5.2wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked Lakers | 10c | 547.38$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.19 | 1,554 | 37.3%579 W · 975 L | -48.1wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xce6d…6130backed Timberwolves | 73c | 546$399 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$147.42 | 161 | 60.9%98 W · 63 L | -2.1wins | -0.01per pick | 62cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4f20…87c9backed Lakers | 28c | 504.99$141 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$141.4 | 21 | 28.6%6 W · 15 L | -3.0wins | -0.14per pick | 43cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x03e3…08e0backed Timberwolves | 73c | 500$365 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$135 | 67 | 68.7%46 W · 21 L | +4.8wins | +0.07per pick | 61cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3d69…9829backed Lakers | 35c | 488.6$170 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$169.66 | 290 | 43.8%127 W · 163 L | -2.6wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3a62…778ebacked Lakers | 14c | 479.44$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.12 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.9wins | -0.21per pick | 21cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x66db…7afbbacked Lakers | 26c | 466.67$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 38 | 7.9%3 W · 35 L | -4.7wins | -0.12per pick | 20cpaid | -75.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x026a…2f8abacked Lakers | 29c | 434$126 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$125.86 | 41 | 26.8%11 W · 30 L | +1.2wins | +0.03per pick | 24cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1772…bb32backed Lakers | 35c | 427.26$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$149.54 | 114 | 28.9%33 W · 81 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 29cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb6…7245backed Lakers | 29c | 424$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$125 | 150 | 34%51 W · 99 L | +2.1wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | +19.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2c41…41fbbacked Timberwolves | 73c | 410$299 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$110.7 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +1.1wins | +0.27per pick | 73cpaid | +38.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf7c1…1215backed Lakers | 5c | 400$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 42 | 50%21 W · 21 L | +3.9wins | +0.09per pick | 41cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4a64…4430backed Lakers | 13c | 386.25$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.12 | 615 | 32.2%198 W · 417 L | -21.1wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -32.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe6e6…79b5backed Timberwolves | 71c | 382.12$270 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$111.85 | 341 | 69.5%237 W · 104 L | +3.3wins | +0.01per pick | 69cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8c91…0505backed Lakers | 27c | 370.37$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 101 | 47.5%48 W · 53 L | -5.7wins | -0.06per pick | 53cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8d2d…569cbacked Timberwolves | 71c | 368.8$262 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$106.95 | 22 | 68.2%15 W · 7 L | +1.7wins | +0.08per pick | 60cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8ef8…eff3backed Timberwolves | 72c | 361.48$260 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$101.21 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5482…b6eebacked Lakers | 8c | 360$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.65 | 550 | 2.5%14 W · 536 L | +2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 2cpaid | -28.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xddc8…951abacked Timberwolves | 74c | 354.97$263 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.29 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | -1.5wins | -0.12per pick | 66cpaid | -23.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdf86…601fbacked Lakers | 29c | 344.83$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 501 | 44.7%224 W · 277 L | +7.6wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7999…ee7ebacked Lakers | 29c | 340.03$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.61 | 24 | 41.7%10 W · 14 L | -0.8wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4e1b…7ccabacked Timberwolves | 74c | 337.84$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$87.84 | 151 | 49%74 W · 77 L | -5.2wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x53a3…2e38backed Lakers | 27c | 333.33$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.27per pick | 27cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa711…6f94backed Lakers | 27c | 333.33$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.27per pick | 27cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe438…9471backed Lakers | 30c | 333.33$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 65 | 36.9%24 W · 41 L | -4.5wins | -0.07per pick | 44cpaid | -22%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x902c…50dcbacked Lakers | 30c | 331.56$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.47 | 28 | 46.4%13 W · 15 L | +2.0wins | +0.07per pick | 39cpaid | +31%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x401b…3107backed Lakers | 29c | 323.6$93 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92.95 | 12 | 25%3 W · 9 L | -1.0wins | -0.08per pick | 33cpaid | -38.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2856…ed0ebacked Lakers | 9c | 319.78$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.78 | 70 | 22.9%16 W · 54 L | -6.2wins | -0.09per pick | 32cpaid | -27.3%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9e09…1c3fbacked Timberwolves | 64c | 305.37$196 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$109.43 | 116 | 62.9%73 W · 43 L | +6.4wins | +0.06per pick | 57cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x312e…79dabacked Lakers | 27c | 301.33$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81.36 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.27per pick | 27cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xef04…88c3backed Timberwolves | 69c | 300$207 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$93 | 38 | 47.4%18 W · 20 L | -3.5wins | -0.09per pick | 56cpaid | -19.7%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x177e…a572backed Timberwolves | 74c | 300$222 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78 | 49 | 69.4%34 W · 15 L | +3.1wins | +0.06per pick | 63cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfc25…1f7fbacked Lakers | 28c | 300$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85 | 964 | 47.8%461 W · 503 L | +35.5wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +17.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x89dc…e209backed Lakers | 29c | 300$87 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87 | 102 | 43.1%44 W · 58 L | -5.0wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0ad3…8f5fbacked Lakers | 30c | 300$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90 | 55 | 43.6%24 W · 31 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.