NBA · resolved market
Pelicans vs. Knicks
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x6733751d030057b5ef0cffed55371a4d7e1dbb2928fd883a00ba4e54e2f83eac
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Knicksof Pelicans, Knicks
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $90,925
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $82,521
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $90,925 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 53 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x90ba…63f3backed Pelicans | 16c | 6,314$1,010 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,009.54 | 1,782 | 28%499 W · 1,283 L | +11.5wins | +0.01per pick | 27cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x067f…a821backed Pelicans | 3c | 6,000$170 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$170 | 238 | 35.7%85 W · 153 L | -6.1wins | -0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -24%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2eb7…c22ebacked Pelicans | 5c | 5,716$303 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$303.23 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.4wins | +0.36per pick | 39cpaid | +67.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1cf5…6440backed Pelicans | 13c | 5,390$701 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$700.7 | 469 | 28.4%133 W · 336 L | +2.3wins | 0.00per pick | 28cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8342…13c9backed Pelicans | 15c | 5,200$780 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$779.94 | 235 | 48.1%113 W · 122 L | -13.9wins | -0.06per pick | 54cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x997b…801ebacked Pelicans | 15c | 3,950$592 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$592.5 | 461 | 31%143 W · 318 L | +15.6wins | +0.03per pick | 28cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9977…085fbacked Pelicans | 16c | 3,439$550 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$549.98 | 166 | 17.5%29 W · 137 L | -6.2wins | -0.04per pick | 21cpaid | -20.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa099…b806backed Pelicans | 14c | 3,417$473 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$473.03 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +1.9wins | +0.27per pick | 45cpaid | +53%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb652…2db4backed Pelicans | 3c | 3,044$91 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$91.32 | 376 | 27.9%105 W · 271 L | -2.3wins | -0.01per pick | 29cpaid | +14.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x026a…2f8abacked Pelicans | 12c | 1,363$164 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$163.59 | 41 | 26.8%11 W · 30 L | +1.2wins | +0.03per pick | 24cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x15f0…974dbacked Pelicans | 15c | 1,313$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 14 | 7.1%1 W · 13 L | -1.9wins | -0.14per pick | 21cpaid | -57.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xae22…4bb7backed Pelicans | 15c | 1,044$157 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$156.54 | 28 | 39.3%11 W · 17 L | +2.9wins | +0.10per pick | 29cpaid | +44.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xaebb…f184backed Pelicans | 16c | 1,031$165 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$165 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.6wins | -0.12per pick | 32cpaid | -39.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x480d…f219backed Pelicans | 16c | 1,000$160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$160 | 1,290 | 44%567 W · 723 L | +35.0wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x23e7…8883backed Pelicans | 9c | 999.99$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.1wins | -0.36per pick | 36cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa8f7…039abacked Pelicans | 14c | 999.96$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$139.99 | 162 | 42%68 W · 94 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x93bc…8ca3backed Pelicans | 14c | 767.36$107 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$107.43 | 1,752 | 40.6%712 W · 1,040 L | -3.3wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6ab4…bfdbbacked Pelicans | 16c | 618.75$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99 | 111 | 35.1%39 W · 72 L | -3.4wins | -0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfa39…b3c5backed Pelicans | 7c | 600$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39 | 97 | 24.7%24 W · 73 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 24cpaid | -20.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0774…8ab1backed Pelicans | 16c | 562.5$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.16per pick | 16cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x230d…1cddbacked Pelicans | 16c | 562.5$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.16per pick | 16cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbe34…cf4cbacked Pelicans | 12c | 548.32$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.84 | 172 | 44.2%76 W · 96 L | +7.4wins | +0.04per pick | 40cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x15a9…e300backed Pelicans | 4c | 502.49$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.1 | 13 | 23.1%3 W · 10 L | -2.0wins | -0.15per pick | 38cpaid | -49.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9f95…3012backed Pelicans | 16c | 500$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 70 | 42.9%30 W · 40 L | -3.0wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4a64…4430backed Pelicans | 9c | 491.66$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.93 | 615 | 32.2%198 W · 417 L | -21.1wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -32.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x371a…34b0backed Pelicans | 3c | 416.41$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.44 | 1,035 | 1.1%11 W · 1,024 L | -24.4wins | -0.02per pick | 3cpaid | -90.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa8cd…3cf2backed Pelicans | 13c | 400$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52 | 111 | 43.2%48 W · 63 L | +6.0wins | +0.05per pick | 38cpaid | +15.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdd1b…75d8backed Pelicans | 15c | 333.33$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 76 | 53.9%41 W · 35 L | -1.2wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x74cd…2319backed Pelicans | 6c | 333.33$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 216 | 5.6%12 W · 204 L | -12.6wins | -0.06per pick | 11cpaid | -61%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa4f8…a7e8backed Pelicans | 10c | 300$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 19 | 47.4%9 W · 10 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc4c9…3453backed Pelicans | 15c | 300$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeeca…9826backed Pelicans | 7c | 285.71$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 38 | 26.3%10 W · 28 L | -3.3wins | -0.09per pick | 35cpaid | -42.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x66db…7afbbacked Pelicans | 16c | 257.74$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42 | 38 | 7.9%3 W · 35 L | -4.7wins | -0.12per pick | 20cpaid | -75.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0026…cd66backed Pelicans | 14c | 249.99$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36 | 114 | 28.1%32 W · 82 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 29cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x64cc…ad9dbacked Pelicans | 16c | 200$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32 | 9 | 11.1%1 W · 8 L | -1.0wins | -0.11per pick | 22cpaid | -67.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf627…1a8abacked Pelicans | 15c | 166.67$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -1.1wins | -0.19per pick | 19cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x95e5…44d9backed Pelicans | 16c | 156.25$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 100 | 51%51 W · 49 L | +7.5wins | +0.07per pick | 44cpaid | +14.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1fe5…500fbacked Pelicans | 16c | 156.25$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 94 | 31.9%30 W · 64 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaff9…c109backed Pelicans | 16c | 156.25$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 64 | 60.9%39 W · 25 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 62cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9376…1655backed Pelicans | 15c | 152.47$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.87 | 74 | 52.7%39 W · 35 L | -1.7wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfe38…1f16backed Pelicans | 16c | 125$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 41 | 26.8%11 W · 30 L | -1.6wins | -0.04per pick | 31cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x163e…c9e5backed Pelicans | 14c | 121$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.94 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 38cpaid | -55%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x51b1…bce2backed Pelicans | 12c | 100$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 774 | 37.5%290 W · 484 L | -1.7wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x953c…9034backed Pelicans | 15c | 99.99$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 62 | 51.6%32 W · 30 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +17.1%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0ba1…74f4backed Pelicans | 16c | 99.06$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.85 | 25 | 56%14 W · 11 L | +1.3wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf33f…085cbacked Pelicans | 15c | 99$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.85 | 930 | 41.9%390 W · 540 L | +13.5wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0d36…e1a8backed Pelicans | 16c | 93.75$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 23 | 13%3 W · 20 L | -2.1wins | -0.09per pick | 22cpaid | -67.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4109…7e24backed Pelicans | 13c | 82$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.66 | 452 | 51.1%231 W · 221 L | +20.2wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9228…e41abacked Pelicans | 15c | 80$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 302 | 43.7%132 W · 170 L | +9.1wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa34d…1de4backed Pelicans | 15c | 80$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 57 | 21.1%12 W · 45 L | +1.2wins | +0.02per pick | 19cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x31d0…d03cbacked Pelicans | 16c | 74$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.84 | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | -2.9wins | -0.21per pick | 56cpaid | -44.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9cf5…c7d5backed Pelicans | 16c | 68.75$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 57 | 54.4%31 W · 26 L | +1.1wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3d99…854fbacked Pelicans | 16c | 62.5$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 15 | 60%9 W · 6 L | +1.6wins | +0.11per pick | 49cpaid | +22.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.