NBA · resolved market
Thunder vs. Warriors
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x2fa1adc285e4dbdeff127b225efc1ec8b5d7435ad3fa49ce7258beff49b28096
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Thunderof Thunder, Warriors
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $411,889
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $430,032
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $411,889 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 302 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x4b46…db60backed Thunder | 59c | 35,190$20,796 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14,393.12 | 37 | 48.6%18 W · 19 L | -2.5wins | -0.07per pick | 56cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x889e…09e0backed Warriors | 6c | 32,224$1,854 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,853.81 | 109 | 26.6%29 W · 80 L | -5.6wins | -0.05per pick | 32cpaid | -26.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb35b…fc08backed Warriors | 15c | 30,724$4,606 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,605.98 | 59 | 11.9%7 W · 52 L | -6.5wins | -0.11per pick | 23cpaid | -50.5%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x9eea…281dbacked Thunder | 66c | 12,260$8,057 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,203.85 | 265 | 47.9%127 W · 138 L | -4.3wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0269…cb2dbacked Warriors | 44c | 11,875$5,205 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,205.33 | 656 | 42.5%279 W · 377 L | -2.9wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -15%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfb79…c2c6backed Warriors | 43c | 11,743$5,085 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,085.22 | 337 | 52.5%177 W · 160 L | +10.3wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x47e0…13a8backed Warriors | 29c | 10,814$3,179 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,179.3 | 23 | 43.5%10 W · 13 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +21%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x19d8…1691backed Thunder | 56c | 10,030$5,617 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,413.54 | 722 | 41.4%299 W · 423 L | +2.7wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x93bc…8ca3backed Warriors | 23c | 10,000$2,265 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,265 | 1,752 | 40.6%712 W · 1,040 L | -3.3wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x21ed…16f3backed Thunder | 64c | 10,000$6,400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,599.99 | 24 | 75%18 W · 6 L | +2.6wins | +0.11per pick | 64cpaid | +21%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3586…eecfbacked Warriors | 19c | 9,208$1,731 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,730.71 | 37 | 54.1%20 W · 17 L | +2.7wins | +0.07per pick | 47cpaid | +17.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x23b1…8e10backed Thunder | 64c | 8,085$5,174 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,911.38 | 89 | 37.1%33 W · 56 L | -5.2wins | -0.06per pick | 43cpaid | -34.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3d69…9829backed Warriors | 26c | 5,778$1,524 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,524.49 | 290 | 43.8%127 W · 163 L | -2.6wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9267…0f9abacked Warriors | 37c | 5,156$1,908 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,907.58 | 596 | 53.4%318 W · 278 L | +4.3wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xab6d…b458backed Warriors | 14c | 4,922$705 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$705.06 | 119 | 26.1%31 W · 88 L | -4.2wins | -0.04per pick | 30cpaid | -26.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x067f…e041backed Warriors | 44c | 4,513$2,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,000 | 1,269 | 44.5%565 W · 704 L | +32.4wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6e82…752cbacked Thunder | 58c | 4,247$2,454 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,792.78 | 1,204 | 55.3%666 W · 538 L | +52.0wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2805…76edbacked Warriors | 37c | 4,053$1,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,499.77 | 84 | 39.3%33 W · 51 L | +2.3wins | +0.03per pick | 37cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa4f8…a7e8backed Thunder | 77c | 3,639$2,806 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$833.44 | 19 | 47.4%9 W · 10 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x371a…34b0backed Warriors | 5c | 3,614$169 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$168.54 | 1,035 | 1.1%11 W · 1,024 L | -24.4wins | -0.02per pick | 3cpaid | -90.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfa5c…be69backed Warriors | 30c | 3,333$1,005 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,005.06 | 279 | 39.8%111 W · 168 L | +3.4wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc8ec…3665backed Thunder | 75c | 3,326$2,494 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$831.42 | 40 | 60%24 W · 16 L | -2.9wins | -0.07per pick | 67cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc7b2…ece3backed Warriors | 43c | 2,912$1,252 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,252.29 | 196 | 42.9%84 W · 112 L | -10.9wins | -0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x90ba…63f3backed Warriors | 37c | 2,637$976 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$975.82 | 1,782 | 28%499 W · 1,283 L | +11.5wins | +0.01per pick | 27cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xec5c…ce46backed Warriors | 17c | 2,552$430 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$430 | 451 | 35%158 W · 293 L | -6.9wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -18%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9c5d…19bdbacked Warriors | 36c | 2,501$900 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$900.36 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.9wins | +0.18per pick | 42cpaid | +34.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa431…677fbacked Warriors | 6c | 2,500$145 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$145 | 84 | 17.9%15 W · 69 L | -10.2wins | -0.12per pick | 30cpaid | -64.1%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x3fc7…8416backed Thunder | 63c | 2,500$1,575 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$924.98 | 14 | 64.3%9 W · 5 L | +2.9wins | +0.20per pick | 44cpaid | +79.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb786…b18dbacked Warriors | 33c | 2,374$787 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$786.8 | 1,316 | 50.5%664 W · 652 L | +42.4wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4c86…6993backed Thunder | 78c | 2,262$1,755 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$507.64 | 344 | 25.6%88 W · 256 L | -4.5wins | -0.01per pick | 27cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa55f…c3d6backed Warriors | 36c | 2,047$736 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$736.04 | 59 | 35.6%21 W · 38 L | +1.3wins | +0.02per pick | 33cpaid | +30.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc2e6…cc3abacked Thunder | 64c | 2,000$1,280 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$720 | 23 | 65.2%15 W · 8 L | +1.9wins | +0.08per pick | 57cpaid | +31.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5ded…5d66backed Thunder | 73c | 1,941$1,411 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$530.11 | 24 | 62.5%15 W · 9 L | +0.6wins | +0.03per pick | 60cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x574e…3ef1backed Warriors | 40c | 1,896$758 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$758.35 | 304 | 43.1%131 W · 173 L | -4.5wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ccf…2fedbacked Thunder | 59c | 1,883$1,111 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$772.05 | 145 | 63.4%92 W · 53 L | +5.0wins | +0.03per pick | 60cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x719d…4e73backed Thunder | 64c | 1,873$1,191 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$682.62 | 118 | 34.7%41 W · 77 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 35cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4a64…4430backed Warriors | 27c | 1,583$431 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$430.57 | 615 | 32.2%198 W · 417 L | -21.1wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -32.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1608…a990backed Thunder | 63c | 1,500$945 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$555 | 259 | 39%101 W · 158 L | -6.8wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0661…a72ebacked Warriors | 38c | 1,426$542 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$541.93 | 84 | 69%58 W · 26 L | +3.0wins | +0.04per pick | 66cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x21e8…5647backed Thunder | 71c | 1,413$997 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$416.27 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa98c…acb2backed Warriors | 16c | 1,338$217 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$217.1 | 31 | 32.3%10 W · 21 L | +2.9wins | +0.09per pick | 23cpaid | +25.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x101a…3a32backed Warriors | 16c | 1,226$196 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$196.23 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -0.6wins | -0.07per pick | 29cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc745…9499backed Warriors | 25c | 1,046$264 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$263.99 | 164 | 40.9%67 W · 97 L | -11.0wins | -0.07per pick | 48cpaid | -27.5%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2fe6…ab9dbacked Warriors | 36c | 1,029$372 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$371.51 | 498 | 49.4%246 W · 252 L | -3.4wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x09df…5ca9backed Warriors | 38c | 1,000$375 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$375.04 | 80 | 43.8%35 W · 45 L | +2.9wins | +0.04per pick | 40cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8342…13c9backed Warriors | 38c | 1,000$380 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$380 | 235 | 48.1%113 W · 122 L | -13.9wins | -0.06per pick | 54cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa8f7…039abacked Warriors | 41c | 1,000$410 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$410 | 162 | 42%68 W · 94 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4f52…0380backed Thunder | 74c | 1,000$740 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$260 | 20 | 55%11 W · 9 L | +0.7wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x480d…f219backed Warriors | 38c | 1,000$380 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$380 | 1,290 | 44%567 W · 723 L | +35.0wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5380…28debacked Thunder | 62c | 999.96$622 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$377.74 | 148 | 52.7%78 W · 70 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x74cd…2319backed Warriors | 15c | 946.43$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140 | 216 | 5.6%12 W · 204 L | -12.6wins | -0.06per pick | 11cpaid | -61%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1932…6af2backed Warriors | 45c | 847.42$380 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$380.5 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.38per pick | 38cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8df2…97a5backed Warriors | 36c | 833.33$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 54 | 38.9%21 W · 33 L | -1.7wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7713…4d5abacked Warriors | 26c | 820$213 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$213.2 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.26per pick | 26cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4884…9cf8backed Warriors | 32c | 805.25$255 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$254.98 | 43 | 41.9%18 W · 25 L | +2.6wins | +0.06per pick | 36cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x87f7…91e3backed Warriors | 17c | 800$136 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$136 | 62 | 30.6%19 W · 43 L | -1.2wins | -0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcc81…0ababacked Thunder | 69c | 790.2$545 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$244.96 | 236 | 46.6%110 W · 126 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6a12…e9c0backed Thunder | 62c | 769.93$474 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$296.04 | 61 | 44.3%27 W · 34 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | +16.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1c4b…f1e6backed Thunder | 75c | 737.51$553 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$184.38 | 58 | 56.9%33 W · 25 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4b…5a92backed Thunder | 67c | 704.99$473 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$232.38 | 1,166 | 54.4%634 W · 532 L | +19.3wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbec2…826bbacked Warriors | 30c | 700$210 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$210 | 58 | 20.7%12 W · 46 L | -1.8wins | -0.03per pick | 24cpaid | -31.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xef63…96cbbacked Thunder | 77c | 694.18$537 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$157.06 | 378 | 31.2%118 W · 260 L | -3.0wins | -0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa9d7…25e9backed Thunder | 72c | 672.77$483 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$189.8 | 709 | 51.3%364 W · 345 L | +6.2wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdd8e…f023backed Thunder | 75c | 666.66$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$166.66 | 126 | 49.2%62 W · 64 L | -2.8wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3bdc…3a4ebacked Warriors | 36c | 643$231 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$231.48 | 199 | 43.7%87 W · 112 L | -4.6wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x438e…9704backed Thunder | 65c | 631.52$412 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$219.69 | 239 | 56.1%134 W · 105 L | +1.6wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd04d…d0e5backed Warriors | 42c | 611.22$257 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$256.71 | 1,164 | 49.6%577 W · 587 L | +7.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd9c0…4583backed Thunder | 62c | 600$372 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$228 | 138 | 57.2%79 W · 59 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5b93…9915backed Warriors | 17c | 582.35$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99 | 29 | 20.7%6 W · 23 L | -1.7wins | -0.06per pick | 27cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2f84…dd89backed Warriors | 36c | 555.56$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | -0.4wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3714…d2a4backed Thunder | 64c | 544.55$349 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$196.04 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.15per pick | 51cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa3b7…44c6backed Warriors | 38c | 532.24$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -0.4wins | -0.04per pick | 34cpaid | +19.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa0f1…b624backed Warriors | 58c | 520.59$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.8wins | -0.09per pick | 53cpaid | -22.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x33b5…88bfbacked Warriors | 42c | 518.93$218 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$218.34 | 41 | 63.4%26 W · 15 L | +5.2wins | +0.13per pick | 51cpaid | +38.9%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x68cf…004dbacked Thunder | 57c | 500$285 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$215 | 69 | 47.8%33 W · 36 L | -5.0wins | -0.07per pick | 55cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9bad…74a7backed Warriors | 25c | 500$127 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$127.27 | 152 | 34.9%53 W · 99 L | -11.2wins | -0.07per pick | 42cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x09a5…b5c3backed Thunder | 64c | 500$320 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$180 | 30 | 50%15 W · 15 L | +2.7wins | +0.09per pick | 41cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfa39…b3c5backed Warriors | 26c | 500$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130 | 97 | 24.7%24 W · 73 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 24cpaid | -20.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb25f…ddcdbacked Warriors | 39c | 479.97$187 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$186.73 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.39per pick | 39cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x592b…5511backed Warriors | 38c | 475.45$183 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$182.55 | 8 | 0%0 W · 8 L | -2.8wins | -0.35per pick | 35cpaid | -100%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x26d1…6f56backed Warriors | 25c | 461.04$114 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$114.02 | 112 | 35.7%40 W · 72 L | -9.9wins | -0.09per pick | 45cpaid | -36.9%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb0b2…2bb9backed Warriors | 44c | 455$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200.2 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 60cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf3e7…a536backed Warriors | 44c | 454.55$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 59 | 33.9%20 W · 39 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x37e5…316dbacked Warriors | 21c | 440.58$93 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$93 | 56 | 28.6%16 W · 40 L | +3.3wins | +0.06per pick | 23cpaid | +62.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4b3a…16fbbacked Thunder | 55c | 414$226 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$188.22 | 178 | 46.1%82 W · 96 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2e44…79c9backed Thunder | 56c | 409.86$231 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$178.57 | 35 | 40%14 W · 21 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x096b…8eafbacked Warriors | 38c | 400$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 30 | 23.3%7 W · 23 L | -3.9wins | -0.13per pick | 36cpaid | -51.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa8cd…3cf2backed Warriors | 40c | 399.99$158 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$158 | 111 | 43.2%48 W · 63 L | +6.0wins | +0.05per pick | 38cpaid | +15.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb3e8…e81fbacked Warriors | 38c | 399.69$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | +0.2wins | +0.03per pick | 35cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe3ee…373ebacked Warriors | 12c | 394.71$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.47 | 532 | 50.4%268 W · 264 L | -19.8wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4202…c781backed Warriors | 24c | 391.72$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$93.93 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x778a…1a6dbacked Warriors | 41c | 372.63$152 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$152.02 | 21 | 52.4%11 W · 10 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x35aa…94bcbacked Warriors | 47c | 364.48$171 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$171.3 | 38 | 60.5%23 W · 15 L | +3.4wins | +0.09per pick | 52cpaid | +13.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6597…53b3backed Thunder | 63c | 349.98$220 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$129.49 | 21 | 57.1%12 W · 9 L | +2.2wins | +0.11per pick | 47cpaid | +30%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3a55…394ebacked Warriors | 22c | 349.91$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76.98 | 81 | 50.6%41 W · 40 L | +1.5wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +17.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked Thunder | 64c | 349.59$223 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$126.82 | 1,554 | 37.3%579 W · 975 L | -48.1wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x66db…7afbbacked Warriors | 21c | 322.73$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68 | 38 | 7.9%3 W · 35 L | -4.7wins | -0.12per pick | 20cpaid | -75.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x526d…ff04backed Warriors | 44c | 316.59$139 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$139.3 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +1.1wins | +0.18per pick | 49cpaid | +39.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4a05…4a14backed Thunder | 58c | 316.05$183 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$132.74 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +1.8wins | +0.23per pick | 52cpaid | +43.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf7c1…1215backed Warriors | 16c | 312.5$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 42 | 50%21 W · 21 L | +3.9wins | +0.09per pick | 41cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.