TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NBA · resolved market

Cavaliers vs. Hornets

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Cavaliersof Cavaliers, Hornets
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$274,326
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$272,673

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $274,326 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 93 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NBA
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x8996…fbcebacked Hornets8c28,700$2,236 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,235.9921649.1%106 W · 110 L+18.8wins+0.09per pick40cpaid+18.7%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x1c1d…c4c8backed Hornets5c26,690$1,330 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,330.0813920.1%28 W · 111 L-2.3wins-0.02per pick22cpaid-22.4%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xe59b…488ebacked Hornets12c10,965$1,328 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,328.3672341.2%298 W · 425 L+23.0wins+0.03per pick38cpaid+11.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x30ae…4318backed Hornets8c10,000$800 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$80029858.7%175 W · 123 L-8.5wins-0.03per pick62cpaid-8.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa6a8…5009backed Hornets8c8,860$714 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$713.873,99548.9%1,952 W · 2,043 L+101.9wins+0.03per pick46cpaid-1.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd2bd…dce0backed Hornets14c7,194$1,002 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,001.5177745%350 W · 427 L+6.6wins+0.01per pick44cpaid+1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6c82…6150backed Hornets3c6,235$181 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$180.6563555.6%353 W · 282 L+9.5wins+0.02per pick54cpaid+5.8%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x371a…34b0backed Hornets1c5,707$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39.421,0351.1%11 W · 1,024 L-24.4wins-0.02per pick3cpaid-90.5%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x3168…6734backed Hornets5c5,466$246 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$246.3619137.7%72 W · 119 L+1.2wins+0.01per pick37cpaid-9.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x480d…f219backed Hornets13c5,000$650 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6501,29044%567 W · 723 L+35.0wins+0.03per pick41cpaid+7.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x4c03…0cc1backed Hornets6c4,476$253 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$252.821,60211.8%189 W · 1,413 L-4.8wins0.00per pick12cpaid-6.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd42f…047dbacked Hornets12c4,200$502 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$502.0222832%73 W · 155 L-1.3wins-0.01per pick33cpaid-21.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x93bc…8ca3backed Hornets12c4,000$480 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4801,75240.6%712 W · 1,040 L-3.3wins0.00per pick41cpaid-5.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x576b…7336backed Hornets6c3,500$222 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$222.1218316.9%31 W · 152 L-3.8wins-0.02per pick19cpaid-26.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb652…2db4backed Hornets10c3,192$319 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$319.2537627.9%105 W · 271 L-2.3wins-0.01per pick29cpaid+14.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbec2…826bbacked Hornets2c3,189$64 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$63.775820.7%12 W · 46 L-1.8wins-0.03per pick24cpaid-31.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4fc1…ec92backed Hornets12c3,000$360 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$359.9975347.5%358 W · 395 L+10.4wins+0.01per pick46cpaid+0.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5339…9da3backed Hornets13c2,710$352 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$352.3433258.7%195 W · 137 L+2.4wins+0.01per pick58cpaid-1.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xde53…e5bebacked Hornets14c2,675$376 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$375.6585347.9%409 W · 444 L+8.2wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+4.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc7b2…ece3backed Hornets13c2,538$317 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$317.2719642.9%84 W · 112 L-10.9wins-0.06per pick48cpaid-15.9%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x90ba…63f3backed Hornets13c2,000$260 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2601,78228%499 W · 1,283 L+11.5wins+0.01per pick27cpaid-1.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xac43…4925backed Hornets5c1,672$84 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8412657.1%72 W · 54 L+2.5wins+0.02per pick55cpaid+7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa8cd…3cf2backed Hornets14c1,541$218 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$217.6811143.2%48 W · 63 L+6.0wins+0.05per pick38cpaid+15.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x4a64…4430backed Hornets4c1,500$64 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$63.5161532.2%198 W · 417 L-21.1wins-0.03per pick36cpaid-32.2%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xb984…2a41backed Hornets9c1,500$138 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13810525.7%27 W · 78 L+5.8wins+0.06per pick20cpaid+40%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x827a…8a2bbacked Hornets12c1,500$185 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18522053.6%118 W · 102 L+5.6wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+6.8%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x9b81…0683backed Hornets7c1,309$97 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9710%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.07per pick7cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5d5e…5d34backed Hornets3c1,216$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34.034949%24 W · 25 L+0.2wins0.00per pick49cpaid+3.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3d69…9829backed Hornets9c1,166$103 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$102.6129043.8%127 W · 163 L-2.6wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-18.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2e44…79c9backed Hornets13c1,115$143 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$143.083540%14 W · 21 L-0.2wins0.00per pick40cpaid-13.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc9c8…44fbbacked Hornets9c1,110$98 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$98.091457.1%8 W · 6 L+1.4wins+0.10per pick47cpaid+13.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x76c6…5a68backed Hornets13c1,032$134 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$134.152365.2%15 W · 8 L+5.0wins+0.22per pick44cpaid+48.6%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0x4711…61b3backed Hornets14c1,015$139 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$139.12857.1%16 W · 12 L+2.3wins+0.08per pick49cpaid+8.6%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x5de8…cfb9backed Hornets1c1,012$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.1210236.3%37 W · 65 L+5.4wins+0.05per pick31cpaid-5.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x4e30…ef89backed Hornets7c1,000$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$707741.6%32 W · 45 L+2.1wins+0.03per pick39cpaid+10%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa8f7…039abacked Hornets12c1,000$120 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12016242%68 W · 94 L-1.6wins-0.01per pick43cpaid-2.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x60a5…2da4backed Hornets14c1,000$140 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1408040%32 W · 48 L+2.9wins+0.04per pick36cpaid-0.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x4df3…788fbacked Hornets14c999.99$140 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1406,21350.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L+53.8wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+1.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb8f8…5660backed Hornets1c899.99$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1310440.4%42 W · 62 L-1.2wins-0.01per pick42cpaid-14.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbed1…f3a5backed Hornets14c875.31$126 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$126.344022.5%9 W · 31 L-0.6wins-0.02per pick24cpaid-32%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x82d5…41aebacked Hornets14c799.99$112 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$112922.2%2 W · 7 L-1.4wins-0.16per pick38cpaid-17.8%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xeb67…dbdebacked Hornets12c749.99$90 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$901346.2%6 W · 7 L-1.0wins-0.08per pick54cpaid-29.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x026a…2f8abacked Hornets12c716.69$86 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$864126.8%11 W · 30 L+1.2wins+0.03per pick24cpaid-1.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xae3f…32b9backed Hornets13c692.31$90 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9020%0 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.27per pick27cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5f81…bb9abacked Hornets13c692.31$90 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9020%0 W · 2 L-0.7wins-0.34per pick34cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x7cb6…8f8bbacked Hornets15c666.67$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100540%2 W · 3 L+0.9wins+0.17per pick23cpaid+65.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x610d…188bbacked Hornets12c600.84$72 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$72.1118628%52 W · 134 L-4.0wins-0.02per pick30cpaid-9.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb88d…291abacked Hornets3c600$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$182755.6%15 W · 12 L-1.2wins-0.05per pick60cpaid-15.9%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x185c…dee1backed Hornets9c553.85$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$503036.7%11 W · 19 L-0.7wins-0.02per pick39cpaid-15.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfa39…b3c5backed Hornets2c500$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$109724.7%24 W · 73 L+0.8wins+0.01per pick24cpaid-20.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf519…906bbacked Hornets12c494.23$59 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$59.314753.2%25 W · 22 L+2.7wins+0.06per pick47cpaid+66.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x3a38…c0e6backed Hornets7c471.43$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$332227.3%6 W · 16 L-0.3wins-0.02per pick29cpaid-27.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x74cd…2319backed Hornets4c462.63$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.522165.6%12 W · 204 L-12.6wins-0.06per pick11cpaid-61%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x37b9…3390backed Hornets13c400$52 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5220233.7%68 W · 134 L+4.0wins+0.02per pick32cpaid+7.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd3df…c273backed Hornets12c400$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48728.6%2 W · 5 L-0.8wins-0.12per pick40cpaid+64.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xcbed…aa02backed Hornets8c400$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3022721.6%49 W · 178 L-8.9wins-0.04per pick25cpaid-21.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x9ca1…3378backed Hornets12c399.97$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$481442.9%6 W · 8 L+1.3wins+0.09per pick33cpaid+53.6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x9eea…281dbacked Hornets13c399$52 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$51.8726547.9%127 W · 138 L-4.3wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-9%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x58fc…18a6backed Hornets13c384.62$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50911.1%1 W · 8 L-3.1wins-0.35per pick46cpaid-81.8%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x39bd…1027backed Hornets14c357.14$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$504346.5%20 W · 23 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick46cpaid+4.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd84a…91f1backed Hornets14c357.14$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5020%0 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.18per pick18cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x37e9…ab9fbacked Hornets6c333$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.157021.4%15 W · 55 L-3.7wins-0.05per pick27cpaid-32.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xf4cd…0516backed Hornets5c300$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.4439843.5%173 W · 225 L-1.0wins0.00per pick44cpaid-16.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf9ef…20ebbacked Hornets14c299.98$42 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4285449.4%422 W · 432 L+15.4wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+7.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb2fa…4bd6backed Hornets4c279.47$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.08922.2%2 W · 7 L-0.9wins-0.10per pick32cpaid-50.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xcabf…c2d7backed Hornets15c272.27$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$401050%5 W · 5 L+0.2wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+2.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8cfa…12a3backed Hornets12c265$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31.87337%27 W · 46 L-2.0wins-0.03per pick40cpaid-7.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xbe34…cf4cbacked Hornets12c250$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3017244.2%76 W · 96 L+7.4wins+0.04per pick40cpaid+6.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x173c…5db5backed Hornets13c250$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32.51546.7%7 W · 8 L-0.1wins0.00per pick47cpaid+1.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd19f…9826backed Hornets13c250$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32.530%0 W · 3 L-0.9wins-0.30per pick30cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xa32b…e132backed Hornets15c207.8$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31.1711035.5%39 W · 71 L+0.1wins0.00per pick35cpaid+0.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe555…782fbacked Hornets13c184.62$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$245930.5%18 W · 41 L-1.0wins-0.02per pick32cpaid-7.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x66db…7afbbacked Hornets6c171.88$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11387.9%3 W · 35 L-4.7wins-0.12per pick20cpaid-75.1%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x745a…64e8backed Hornets13c170$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.548324.1%20 W · 63 L-2.6wins-0.03per pick27cpaid-12.6%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xd5b4…770dbacked Hornets12c166.66$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$203030%9 W · 21 L-1.5wins-0.05per pick35cpaid-27.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x8c91…0505backed Hornets13c153.85$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2010147.5%48 W · 53 L-5.7wins-0.06per pick53cpaid-11.3%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x9b35…a749backed Hornets15c127.4$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.1136423.4%85 W · 279 L-15.3wins-0.04per pick28cpaid-22.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x5f41…83f5backed Hornets15c111.11$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.3424549%120 W · 125 L+8.4wins+0.03per pick46cpaid+5.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xb13d…2e90backed Hornets13c100$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1388053.8%473 W · 407 L+52.3wins+0.06per pick48cpaid+9.1%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x16d6…c556backed Hornets13c100$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$133145.2%14 W · 17 L+2.6wins+0.08per pick37cpaid+26.6%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xf33f…085cbacked Hornets14c99$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.8693041.9%390 W · 540 L+13.5wins+0.01per pick40cpaid+2.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x33ec…16ccbacked Hornets14c97.07$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.59742.9%3 W · 4 L-0.5wins-0.07per pick50cpaid-34.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe8bf…d806backed Hornets13c94.52$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.7510837%40 W · 68 L+3.5wins+0.03per pick34cpaid-3.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xda23…f668backed Hornets13c92.31$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1220%0 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.19per pick19cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xfa87…721abacked Hornets13c85$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.05425%1 W · 3 L0.0wins0.00per pick25cpaid+78.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf3ea…3039backed Hornets13c80$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.414542.1%61 W · 84 L-10.2wins-0.07per pick49cpaid-19.5%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xcb71…7edbbacked Hornets13c80$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.4333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.13per pick46cpaid-53.1%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x0026…cd66backed Hornets19c78.16$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.1711428.1%32 W · 82 L-0.6wins-0.01per pick29cpaid-3.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1de9…280dbacked Hornets15c76.33$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.452657.7%15 W · 11 L+1.0wins+0.04per pick54cpaid+10%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0977…04f5backed Hornets18c70$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.62142.9%9 W · 12 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-14.3%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x61ea…d0c1backed Hornets18c60.26$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.7413727.7%38 W · 99 L-2.5wins-0.02per pick30cpaid-5.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd829…3fc4backed Cavaliers71c28.17$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.172171.4%15 W · 6 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick73cpaid-2.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9aef…f675backed Cavaliers76c16.09$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3.85366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.05per pick62cpaid-6.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.