Premier League · resolved market
Will West Ham win on 2024-11-25?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xdeed500651a34d11e298bcfb1b3ceaf4b955b3c9435026ec6dec3800429bfcdb
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $185,137
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $195,087
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $185,137 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 71 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Premier League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xa5a6…dd8fbacked No | 8c | 66,307$5,613 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,613.05 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 14cpaid | -29.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe2db…1856backed Yes | 56c | 27,920$15,515 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12,405.46 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.9wins | -0.24per pick | 49cpaid | -55%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x20cc…ebc0backed No | 62c | 19,464$12,068 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12,067.84 | 116 | 57.8%67 W · 49 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | -9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8bea…2becbacked No | 2c | 13,548$271 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$270.96 | 17 | 41.2%7 W · 10 L | -0.4wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4a64…4430backed No | 11c | 9,080$1,017 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,017.4 | 378 | 41.8%158 W · 220 L | +8.7wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb786…b18dbacked No | 8c | 5,668$467 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$467.3 | 796 | 50.8%404 W · 392 L | +28.1wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8b21…41fabacked Yes | 14c | 5,200$716 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,483.92 | 178 | 37.6%67 W · 111 L | -6.2wins | -0.04per pick | 41cpaid | -16%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x50e5…e39fbacked No | 8c | 4,649$358 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$358.41 | 296 | 43.6%129 W · 167 L | -11.3wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x90ba…63f3backed Yes | 15c | 4,498$690 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,808.56 | 680 | 26.3%179 W · 501 L | +5.6wins | +0.01per pick | 25cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6cff…c3dabacked No | 4c | 3,141$126 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$126.43 | 78 | 39.7%31 W · 47 L | +15.6wins | +0.20per pick | 20cpaid | +437.8%equal weight | 67+0.15 edge/pick |
| 0xf784…f897backed Yes | 15c | 2,924$439 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,485.12 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +47.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x02cb…ae38backed No | 74c | 2,182$1,618 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,617.89 | 155 | 54.8%85 W · 70 L | +3.6wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x649f…993ebacked Yes | 13c | 2,000$260 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,740 | 87 | 50.6%44 W · 43 L | +7.7wins | +0.09per pick | 42cpaid | +21.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x93bc…8ca3backed Yes | 13c | 1,958$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,708.41 | 406 | 40.9%166 W · 240 L | -4.5wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x480d…f219backed Yes | 15c | 1,000$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$850 | 346 | 43.9%152 W · 194 L | -14.9wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x09df…5ca9backed Yes | 13c | 999.97$130 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$869.98 | 34 | 47.1%16 W · 18 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +19.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1129…b1debacked Yes | 15c | 890$134 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$756.5 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.85per pick | 15cpaid | +566.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xec76…1036backed No | 32c | 789$256 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$256.23 | 15 | 26.7%4 W · 11 L | -2.0wins | -0.13per pick | 40cpaid | -42.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc9c8…44fbbacked Yes | 14c | 573.18$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$492.93 | 45 | 53.3%24 W · 21 L | +7.1wins | +0.16per pick | 38cpaid | +55.2%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x3aa1…637bbacked Yes | 15c | 420$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$357 | 56 | 44.6%25 W · 31 L | +3.0wins | +0.05per pick | 39cpaid | +13.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7600…49e5backed Yes | 16c | 400$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$336 | 99 | 49.5%49 W · 50 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x723e…8addbacked No | 64c | 373.69$241 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$240.8 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.64per pick | 64cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5c0c…ad7cbacked Yes | 32c | 363.86$116 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$247.52 | 29 | 69%20 W · 9 L | +2.7wins | +0.09per pick | 60cpaid | +14.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x83e2…ce08backed No | 63c | 300$189 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$189 | 29 | 41.4%12 W · 17 L | -1.2wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -23.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6387…d1c2backed Yes | 77c | 282.9$218 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.07 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.08per pick | 72cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2d59…f80dbacked Yes | 15c | 273.33$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$232.33 | 14 | 64.3%9 W · 5 L | +1.9wins | +0.13per pick | 51cpaid | +47.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked Yes | 76c | 272.44$208 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.08 | 660 | 31.2%206 W · 454 L | -13.0wins | -0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -23.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x66db…7afbbacked Yes | 15c | 262.5$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$222.5 | 22 | 18.2%4 W · 18 L | -0.8wins | -0.03per pick | 22cpaid | -10%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x682a…4b62backed Yes | 77c | 256.79$198 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.06 | 17 | 41.2%7 W · 10 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | +17.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x719d…4e73backed Yes | 36c | 255.96$93 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$162.86 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -1.2wins | -0.11per pick | 48cpaid | -24.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa32b…e132backed Yes | 14c | 250$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$215 | 21 | 33.3%7 W · 14 L | +1.4wins | +0.07per pick | 27cpaid | +19.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe95b…9d2fbacked No | 63c | 248.1$155 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$155.11 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -1.6wins | -0.17per pick | 51cpaid | -29.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcef7…e7d7backed No | 8c | 242$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.18 | 369 | 54.5%201 W · 168 L | +50.1wins | +0.14per pick | 41cpaid | +91.7%equal weight | 64+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x0129…53cebacked Yes | 34c | 220$76 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$144.19 | 26 | 34.6%9 W · 17 L | -1.2wins | -0.05per pick | 39cpaid | -23%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0b69…e32abacked Yes | 37c | 200$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$126 | 91 | 50.5%46 W · 45 L | +5.7wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x879b…2f18backed Yes | 38c | 200$76 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$124 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +1.1wins | +0.19per pick | 48cpaid | +23.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc3bc…8c15backed Yes | 15c | 195$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$165.75 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | +1.3wins | +0.09per pick | 41cpaid | +30%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc037…6f38backed Yes | 16c | 174$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$146.16 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -0.8wins | -0.11per pick | 48cpaid | +27.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x16cb…2704backed Yes | 14c | 152.17$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$130.87 | 907 | 51.3%465 W · 442 L | -1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8c31…5f1bbacked Yes | 33c | 151.52$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$101.52 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | -1.0wins | -0.09per pick | 36cpaid | -32%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7801…422bbacked No | 75c | 150.53$113 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$112.9 | 20 | 35%7 W · 13 L | -4.2wins | -0.21per pick | 56cpaid | -43.3%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4b…5a92backed No | 63c | 150$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94.5 | 427 | 55%235 W · 192 L | -23.4wins | -0.05per pick | 61cpaid | -11%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfdbf…c88ebacked No | 20c | 148.81$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 43 | 32.6%14 W · 29 L | -2.9wins | -0.07per pick | 39cpaid | -27.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8f25…061fbacked Yes | 59c | 142.74$85 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.19 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.18per pick | 49cpaid | +22.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbccb…a425backed Yes | 52c | 135.7$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.7 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | -1.0wins | -0.09per pick | 37cpaid | -38.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x66f3…9d12backed No | 64c | 132.74$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84.95 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -2.4wins | -0.40per pick | 57cpaid | -77.5%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x2c43…b289backed Yes | 80c | 125$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25 | 121 | 49.6%60 W · 61 L | +8.1wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | +95.4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd4f0…90f4backed Yes | 17c | 117.65$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$97.65 | 27 | 37%10 W · 17 L | +1.5wins | +0.05per pick | 32cpaid | +37.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5e10…70f4backed No | 11c | 115$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.05 | 274 | 54%148 W · 126 L | +10.6wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5e12…141ebacked Yes | 15c | 113.33$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96.33 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -1.2wins | -0.17per pick | 45cpaid | +15.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa9d7…25e9backed No | 10c | 109.12$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.2 | 376 | 52.4%197 W · 179 L | +27.4wins | +0.07per pick | 45cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9b35…a749backed Yes | 19c | 108.14$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$87.67 | 126 | 23%29 W · 97 L | -11.6wins | -0.09per pick | 32cpaid | -35.3%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xf612…5700backed Yes | 14c | 106.7$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$91.76 | 171 | 43.3%74 W · 97 L | -5.0wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7705…a442backed Yes | 15c | 106$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90.1 | 196 | 32.7%64 W · 132 L | +2.8wins | +0.01per pick | 31cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3d53…0644backed Yes | 77c | 105.47$81 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.26 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +1.2wins | +0.11per pick | 52cpaid | +17.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbac1…ce0ebacked Yes | 16c | 100$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84 | 113 | 42.5%48 W · 65 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | +14.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x37e9…ab9fbacked Yes | 15c | 100$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85 | 119 | 15.1%18 W · 101 L | -10.4wins | -0.09per pick | 24cpaid | -37.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb701…7cf6backed Yes | 15c | 100$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85 | 229 | 32.3%74 W · 155 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 32cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8a27…fe44backed Yes | 15c | 100$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.9wins | +0.17per pick | 23cpaid | +177.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x80f6…c28dbacked Yes | 16c | 100$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +29.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb605…6c99backed Yes | 15c | 100$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.85per pick | 15cpaid | +566.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xef17…6583backed Yes | 15c | 100$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85 | 33 | 57.6%19 W · 14 L | -1.6wins | -0.05per pick | 62cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8bc9…9813backed Yes | 15c | 70$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.5 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.12per pick | 38cpaid | +233.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x040f…c3e1backed Yes | 16c | 70$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.8 | 13 | 30.8%4 W · 9 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 32cpaid | +12.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x91f3…0811backed Yes | 16c | 63.44$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.44 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.84per pick | 16cpaid | +534.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x628d…bf43backed Yes | 16c | 62.5$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.5 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +1.6wins | +0.41per pick | 59cpaid | +158.4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd848…626fbacked Yes | 38c | 60.8$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.76 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 33cpaid | +32%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5ded…5d66backed Yes | 40c | 55.11$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.85 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.60per pick | 40cpaid | +147.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb2c1…56f0backed No | 25c | 50.54$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.7 | 24 | 45.8%11 W · 13 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +12%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd043…7e85backed Yes | 37c | 50$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.5 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.63per pick | 37cpaid | +170.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2337…0cb2backed Yes | 64c | 27.19$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.75 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.13per pick | 63cpaid | -22%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will West Ham win on 2024-11-25?this page
- Will Newcastle vs. West Ham end in a draw?No won
- Will Newcastle win on 2024-11-25?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.