Premier League · resolved market
Will Newcastle win on 2024-11-25?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x774a794d4ae191161577e20f029ed54590946c1094798f7348994cd28dd4b952
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $125,673
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $127,204
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $125,673 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 160 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Premier League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x9eb2…c8bfbacked No | 35c | 28,272$9,866 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18,406.45 | 24 | 33.3%8 W · 16 L | -5.1wins | -0.21per pick | 54cpaid | -43.8%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x8bea…2becbacked Yes | 65c | 25,493$16,571 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16,570.72 | 17 | 41.2%7 W · 10 L | -0.4wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x873c…ac48backed Yes | 0c | 20,000$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.17per pick | 17cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4ba9…a9f2backed Yes | 67c | 6,950$4,656 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,656.35 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.3wins | -0.32per pick | 57cpaid | -67.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x43f9…3e7ebacked Yes | 67c | 6,621$4,436 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,436 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.67per pick | 67cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9ccb…0a10backed No | 59c | 5,312$3,142 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,169.87 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | +1.5wins | +0.11per pick | 50cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x649f…993ebacked No | 33c | 4,700$1,558 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,142.81 | 87 | 50.6%44 W · 43 L | +7.7wins | +0.09per pick | 42cpaid | +21.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4ef5…7e05backed Yes | 59c | 4,304$2,519 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,519.23 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.59per pick | 59cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x90ba…63f3backed No | 36c | 4,050$1,448 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,601.96 | 680 | 26.3%179 W · 501 L | +5.6wins | +0.01per pick | 25cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x55ea…2ba7backed No | 73c | 4,004$2,920 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,083.55 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.23per pick | 73cpaid | -32.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa5a6…dd8fbacked Yes | 40c | 3,636$1,442 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,441.79 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 14cpaid | -29.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdeff…edeabacked No | 34c | 3,485$1,185 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,300.1 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.7wins | +0.57per pick | 43cpaid | +140.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd493…2b96backed Yes | 66c | 3,484$2,300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,299.6 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.66per pick | 66cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x20cc…ebc0backed No | 48c | 3,352$1,611 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,740.3 | 116 | 57.8%67 W · 49 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | -9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x93bc…8ca3backed No | 33c | 2,959$977 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,982.64 | 406 | 40.9%166 W · 240 L | -4.5wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0269…cb2dbacked No | 32c | 2,931$951 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,979.88 | 402 | 54.7%220 W · 182 L | +14.1wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9602…4d02backed Yes | 66c | 2,507$1,646 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,646.05 | 564 | 53.9%304 W · 260 L | +27.6wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3320…2cf2backed Yes | 68c | 1,859$1,264 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,263.78 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.33per pick | 67cpaid | -46.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x02cb…ae38backed Yes | 66c | 1,448$962 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$961.7 | 155 | 54.8%85 W · 70 L | +3.6wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc1a4…229ebacked Yes | 66c | 1,400$924 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$923.99 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | +33.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4c53…30cdbacked No | 33c | 1,400$462 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$937.99 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.6wins | +0.54per pick | 46cpaid | +133.3%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf519…906bbacked Yes | 65c | 1,351$878 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$878.23 | 386 | 49%189 W · 197 L | -6.9wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4673…d99bbacked Yes | 64c | 1,200$768 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$768 | 21 | 57.1%12 W · 9 L | -0.8wins | -0.04per pick | 61cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xecf2…0d66backed Yes | 65c | 1,150$751 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$750.62 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.23per pick | 73cpaid | -37.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4a64…4430backed Yes | 27c | 1,077$291 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$290.79 | 378 | 41.8%158 W · 220 L | +8.7wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x879b…2f18backed Yes | 18c | 1,032$188 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$188.27 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +1.1wins | +0.19per pick | 48cpaid | +23.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd561…9423backed Yes | 66c | 1,000$655 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$655 | 38 | 42.1%16 W · 22 L | -4.9wins | -0.13per pick | 55cpaid | -28.7%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x09df…5ca9backed No | 34c | 999.81$340 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$659.88 | 34 | 47.1%16 W · 18 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +19.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6c54…da75backed Yes | 67c | 987.33$662 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$661.51 | 24 | 29.2%7 W · 17 L | -3.7wins | -0.16per pick | 45cpaid | -44.8%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x8b32…5950backed No | 35c | 982$344 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$638.3 | 319 | 44.5%142 W · 177 L | +11.7wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | +13.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8c46…be29backed Yes | 66c | 956.11$634 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$633.83 | 327 | 36.4%119 W · 208 L | -21.2wins | -0.06per pick | 43cpaid | -19.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa943…a0dabacked No | 34c | 856.13$295 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$560.9 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.5wins | -0.09per pick | 42cpaid | -17.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x43cb…4bccbacked Yes | 68c | 782$532 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$531.76 | 172 | 34.3%59 W · 113 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 34cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3cf3…50d9backed Yes | 67c | 720.11$482 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$482.47 | 57 | 29.8%17 W · 40 L | -6.5wins | -0.11per pick | 41cpaid | -37.8%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x8a67…dc7cbacked No | 35c | 714.3$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$464.3 | 76 | 51.3%39 W · 37 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x700f…62d8backed Yes | 48c | 626.35$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 290 | 44.8%130 W · 160 L | -1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc1be…d6a2backed Yes | 67c | 564.97$379 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$378.53 | 69 | 53.6%37 W · 32 L | -7.3wins | -0.11per pick | 64cpaid | -18.9%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x50ef…3abdbacked Yes | 67c | 500$335 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$335 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +1.6wins | +0.14per pick | 45cpaid | +76.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xec76…1036backed Yes | 39c | 499$194 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$193.62 | 15 | 26.7%4 W · 11 L | -2.0wins | -0.13per pick | 40cpaid | -42.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf641…7b6fbacked Yes | 70c | 489$342 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$342.3 | 697 | 72.6%506 W · 191 L | +83.8wins | +0.12per pick | 61cpaid | +26.7%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xf86c…ba99backed No | 65c | 455.98$295 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$161.13 | 129 | 59.7%77 W · 52 L | +4.2wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +10.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xab6d…b458backed No | 66c | 444.88$294 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$151.26 | 49 | 32.7%16 W · 33 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 33cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbe34…cf4cbacked No | 34c | 444.31$151 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$293.53 | 79 | 68.4%54 W · 25 L | +8.4wins | +0.11per pick | 58cpaid | +24.7%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x05ad…72d7backed Yes | 67c | 434.07$289 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$288.74 | 56 | 41.1%23 W · 33 L | -4.7wins | -0.08per pick | 49cpaid | -21%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc62f…4888backed No | 38c | 390.53$147 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$243.14 | 9 | 77.8%7 W · 2 L | +2.3wins | +0.25per pick | 53cpaid | +66.6%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe95b…9d2fbacked Yes | 54c | 389.09$210 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$209.51 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -1.6wins | -0.17per pick | 51cpaid | -29.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc6fe…b77fbacked Yes | 64c | 386.77$248 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$247.53 | 220 | 50%110 W · 110 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3937…f693backed Yes | 40c | 362.25$145 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$144.9 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -1.0wins | -0.09per pick | 50cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0231…45d0backed Yes | 4c | 345$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.25 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfb79…c2c6backed No | 32c | 341.77$109 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$232.4 | 146 | 59.6%87 W · 59 L | +9.2wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +18.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x577e…9c51backed Yes | 67c | 328.36$220 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$220 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.28per pick | 62cpaid | -54.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked No | 62c | 320.5$199 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$121.48 | 660 | 31.2%206 W · 454 L | -13.0wins | -0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -23.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xca49…71e2backed Yes | 65c | 310.46$202 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$201.8 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.2wins | -0.40per pick | 40cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb88d…291abacked Yes | 67c | 308.65$207 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$206.8 | 21 | 38.1%8 W · 13 L | -4.7wins | -0.23per pick | 61cpaid | -38.3%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xb70b…4dc8backed Yes | 66c | 303.03$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 19 | 47.4%9 W · 10 L | +2.2wins | +0.12per pick | 36cpaid | +48.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4b…5a92backed Yes | 67c | 300$201 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$201 | 427 | 55%235 W · 192 L | -23.4wins | -0.05per pick | 61cpaid | -11%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0129…53cebacked Yes | 37c | 300$112 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$112 | 26 | 34.6%9 W · 17 L | -1.2wins | -0.05per pick | 39cpaid | -23%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xac97…a99ebacked Yes | 62c | 267.12$166 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$165.61 | 56 | 53.6%30 W · 26 L | +4.1wins | +0.07per pick | 46cpaid | +53.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2765…7ee4backed No | 60c | 253.23$153 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100.61 | 342 | 51.8%177 W · 165 L | +21.9wins | +0.06per pick | 45cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x719d…4e73backed Yes | 58c | 250$145 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$145 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -1.2wins | -0.11per pick | 48cpaid | -24.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6b48…51d0backed No | 34c | 231.98$79 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$153.11 | 39 | 51.3%20 W · 19 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe53e…91b0backed Yes | 65c | 230.77$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.20per pick | 53cpaid | -51.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe860…cdaabacked No | 34c | 229.41$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$151.41 | 61 | 47.5%29 W · 32 L | +1.2wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +18.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf612…5700backed No | 34c | 221.93$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$146.48 | 171 | 43.3%74 W · 97 L | -5.0wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4629…6fc1backed Yes | 67c | 200$134 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$134 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -1.3wins | -0.13per pick | 53cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc9c8…44fbbacked No | 33c | 174.83$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$117.14 | 45 | 53.3%24 W · 21 L | +7.1wins | +0.16per pick | 38cpaid | +55.2%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x7a27…72aabacked Yes | 64c | 160.94$103 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$103 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.34per pick | 67cpaid | -55.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf534…b055backed No | 35c | 160.51$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104.33 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -25.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8784…f1aebacked Yes | 65c | 153.85$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 91 | 51.6%47 W · 44 L | +2.8wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5679…d458backed Yes | 65c | 153.85$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 27 | 48.1%13 W · 14 L | -1.1wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xef17…6583backed Yes | 65c | 153.85$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 33 | 57.6%19 W · 14 L | -1.6wins | -0.05per pick | 62cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf2ce…ada6backed Yes | 66c | 151.35$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.89 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.66per pick | 66cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x01a9…f42fbacked Yes | 64c | 151.08$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.69 | 24 | 37.5%9 W · 15 L | -3.9wins | -0.16per pick | 54cpaid | -30.1%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x88cf…7d31backed No | 35c | 150$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$97.5 | 51 | 51%26 W · 25 L | +3.6wins | +0.07per pick | 44cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x09e8…6e1bbacked Yes | 65c | 150$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.3 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.9wins | -0.14per pick | 64cpaid | -28.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa3b7…520dbacked Yes | 67c | 149.25$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 156 | 36.5%57 W · 99 L | -11.7wins | -0.07per pick | 44cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x83e2…d5cabacked Yes | 68c | 147.06$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.04per pick | 63cpaid | +11%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb0e3…fb1ebacked No | 35c | 142.86$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.86 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.65per pick | 35cpaid | +185.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x51b1…bce2backed Yes | 51c | 139.99$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.8 | 182 | 32.4%59 W · 123 L | -15.9wins | -0.09per pick | 41cpaid | -23.7%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xf9f9…b011backed No | 67c | 133.96$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.21 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.33per pick | 67cpaid | +49.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x66f3…9d12backed Yes | 64c | 129.26$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82.73 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -2.4wins | -0.40per pick | 57cpaid | -77.5%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x0a86…5664backed Yes | 67c | 125.37$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84 | 246 | 30.5%75 W · 171 L | +4.0wins | +0.02per pick | 29cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6b0f…86e7backed Yes | 65c | 123.08$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | +0.4wins | +0.07per pick | 26cpaid | +38.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd848…626fbacked Yes | 35c | 121.8$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.73 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 33cpaid | +32%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x330b…69f1backed Yes | 66c | 121$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.86 | 204 | 47.1%96 W · 108 L | -8.0wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf1e5…18f4backed Yes | 11c | 108.73$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.22 | 20 | 70%14 W · 6 L | +1.5wins | +0.07per pick | 63cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6c82…6150backed No | 35c | 104.18$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.72 | 297 | 51.9%154 W · 143 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7705…a442backed No | 36c | 101.12$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.68 | 196 | 32.7%64 W · 132 L | +2.8wins | +0.01per pick | 31cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf423…2360backed No | 36c | 100$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.9wins | +0.21per pick | 54cpaid | +56.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2399…2332backed Yes | 51c | 100$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.6 | 20 | 45%9 W · 11 L | +1.2wins | +0.06per pick | 39cpaid | +41.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x193c…5b89backed Yes | 65c | 100$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.7wins | -0.12per pick | 45cpaid | -18.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4a61…a2e4backed Yes | 64c | 100$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.7wins | -0.57per pick | 57cpaid | -100%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2d59…f80dbacked Yes | 26c | 100$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26 | 14 | 64.3%9 W · 5 L | +1.9wins | +0.13per pick | 51cpaid | +47.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc2e7…35b1backed Yes | 68c | 99.61$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.65 | 69 | 44.9%31 W · 38 L | -4.2wins | -0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbccb…a425backed Yes | 34c | 94.63$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.5 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | -1.0wins | -0.09per pick | 37cpaid | -38.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9f85…d745backed Yes | 65c | 85.74$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.73 | 56 | 44.6%25 W · 31 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4318…1e8cbacked Yes | 67c | 84.66$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.72 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.67per pick | 67cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcd60…7524backed No | 74c | 79.64$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.71 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.04per pick | 76cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x95e5…44d9backed Yes | 65c | 76.92$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaf5b…b250backed Yes | 66c | 75.76$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 16 | 56.3%9 W · 7 L | -1.7wins | -0.10per pick | 67cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Newcastle win on 2024-11-25?this page
- Will Newcastle vs. West Ham end in a draw?No won
- Will West Ham win on 2024-11-25?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.