Premier League · resolved market
Will Newcastle vs. West Ham end in a draw?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x0a833564a76ed5973349bc9caaf88979858c8eb2f38c64902a2f9e41dfd6309f
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $33,832
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $29,343
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $33,832 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 47 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Premier League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x5ab8…7883backed Yes | 20c | 16,960$3,462 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,462.21 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.20per pick | 20cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x72a4…c77bbacked No | 80c | 11,463$9,165 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,297.96 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.20per pick | 80cpaid | +25.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf519…906bbacked Yes | 20c | 5,000$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 386 | 49%189 W · 197 L | -6.9wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x50e5…e39fbacked Yes | 10c | 2,261$223 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$222.94 | 296 | 43.6%129 W · 167 L | -11.3wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9478…63f5backed No | 79c | 2,020$1,596 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$424.25 | 59 | 59.3%35 W · 24 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 60cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x479c…bcbcbacked Yes | 21c | 1,500$315 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$315 | 57 | 50.9%29 W · 28 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x12ce…a6abbacked No | 79c | 1,500$1,185 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$315 | 36 | 47.2%17 W · 19 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4aef…9337backed Yes | 19c | 867.13$165 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$164.75 | 153 | 37.3%57 W · 96 L | -7.0wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc6fe…b77fbacked No | 79c | 745.41$586 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$158.99 | 220 | 50%110 W · 110 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xddc8…951abacked No | 80c | 725.15$580 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$145.03 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.32per pick | 68cpaid | +51.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x61ea…d0c1backed Yes | 8c | 600$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48 | 22 | 13.6%3 W · 19 L | -2.7wins | -0.12per pick | 26cpaid | -53%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x93bc…8ca3backed Yes | 20c | 600$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 406 | 40.9%166 W · 240 L | -4.5wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x20cc…ebc0backed No | 74c | 511.64$378 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$133.24 | 116 | 57.8%67 W · 49 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | -9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc6a1…9fd5backed Yes | 21c | 464$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.44 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | +0.6wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x37e9…ab9fbacked Yes | 7c | 369.99$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.3 | 119 | 15.1%18 W · 101 L | -10.4wins | -0.09per pick | 24cpaid | -37.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked Yes | 11c | 324.4$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.71 | 660 | 31.2%206 W · 454 L | -13.0wins | -0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -23.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9682…f3c3backed Yes | 22c | 222.73$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.44per pick | 44cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0b69…e32abacked Yes | 29c | 200$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58 | 91 | 50.5%46 W · 45 L | +5.7wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x51b1…bce2backed Yes | 22c | 200$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.4 | 182 | 32.4%59 W · 123 L | -15.9wins | -0.09per pick | 41cpaid | -23.7%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xf86c…ba99backed No | 73c | 199.98$145 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.99 | 129 | 59.7%77 W · 52 L | +4.2wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +10.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x09df…5ca9backed No | 78c | 171.7$134 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.77 | 34 | 47.1%16 W · 18 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +19.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x719d…4e73backed No | 74c | 156.43$116 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.67 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -1.2wins | -0.11per pick | 48cpaid | -24.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xee9d…63e1backed Yes | 33c | 151.52$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 50 | 50%25 W · 25 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd848…626fbacked Yes | 29c | 121.8$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.89 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 33cpaid | +32%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9b35…a749backed Yes | 22c | 105.32$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.07 | 126 | 23%29 W · 97 L | -11.6wins | -0.09per pick | 32cpaid | -35.3%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xa9d7…25e9backed Yes | 26c | 100$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26 | 376 | 52.4%197 W · 179 L | +27.4wins | +0.07per pick | 45cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8c7d…96a1backed Yes | 22c | 100$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22 | 20 | 30%6 W · 14 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 30cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbccb…a425backed Yes | 30c | 88.06$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.16 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | -1.0wins | -0.09per pick | 37cpaid | -38.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xac97…a99ebacked No | 78c | 84.59$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.61 | 56 | 53.6%30 W · 26 L | +4.1wins | +0.07per pick | 46cpaid | +53.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x040f…c3e1backed Yes | 22c | 80.7$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.15 | 13 | 30.8%4 W · 9 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 32cpaid | +12.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8dd7…925ebacked Yes | 25c | 80$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -0.7wins | -0.07per pick | 37cpaid | -4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0269…cb2dbacked No | 78c | 69.09$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.2 | 402 | 54.7%220 W · 182 L | +14.1wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x95e5…44d9backed Yes | 22c | 68.18$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc1bb…24ebbacked No | 80c | 62.75$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.55 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 72cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xea55…2b03backed No | 80c | 51.25$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.25 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 66cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5f41…83f5backed No | 75c | 50$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.5 | 73 | 43.8%32 W · 41 L | +2.6wins | +0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6f52…b5e7backed Yes | 31c | 50$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.5 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.32per pick | 32cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaf01…bd2fbacked No | 79c | 49.98$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.5 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -1.3wins | -0.43per pick | 77cpaid | -57.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe2b3…5fa4backed Yes | 31c | 48.96$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 27 | 37%10 W · 17 L | -4.6wins | -0.17per pick | 54cpaid | -30.2%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xa075…09fdbacked Yes | 28c | 43.47$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 46 | 37%17 W · 29 L | -3.1wins | -0.07per pick | 44cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4a64…4430backed No | 77c | 43.37$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.91 | 378 | 41.8%158 W · 220 L | +8.7wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9cf5…c7d5backed No | 80c | 30$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x16cb…2704backed No | 78c | 20.8$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.58 | 907 | 51.3%465 W · 442 L | -1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5965…3628backed No | 80c | 19.2$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.84 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 59cpaid | +17.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb2c1…56f0backed No | 74c | 17.54$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.56 | 24 | 45.8%11 W · 13 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +12%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x20af…efadbacked No | 80c | 16.25$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.25 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.34per pick | 66cpaid | +66.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4109…7e24backed No | 75c | 16.09$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.09 | 466 | 60.5%282 W · 184 L | +30.3wins | +0.06per pick | 54cpaid | +14.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Newcastle vs. West Ham end in a draw?this page
- Will Newcastle win on 2024-11-25?No won
- Will West Ham win on 2024-11-25?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.