TailMyPicks
Menu
Market

F1 · resolved market

Will Max Verstappen win the 2025 Saudi Arabian Grand Prix?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Noof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
F1every record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$129,366
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$125,210

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $129,366 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a prediction-market account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 148 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in F1 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in F1
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xf62d…2a10backed Yes49c32,471$15,862 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15,861.96333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.14per pick48cpaid-53.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8b32…5950backed No62c14,314$8,865 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,449.1914557.2%83 W · 62 L+9.9wins+0.07per pick50cpaid+10.6%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xae36…8fb5backed No58c10,609$6,129 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,480.1540%2 W · 3 L0.0wins+0.01per pick39cpaid-32.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe941…4623backed Yes38c8,244$3,094 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,093.87333.3%1 W · 2 L0.0wins0.00per pick34cpaid-29.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5c16…df3abacked No66c5,817$3,845 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,971.161747.1%8 W · 9 L-0.5wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-26.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x727b…d1a2backed Yes36c5,434$1,952 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,952.339219.6%18 W · 74 L-3.0wins-0.03per pick23cpaid-32.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xc9c8…44fbbacked No60c5,055$3,046 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,008.677433.8%25 W · 49 L+1.5wins+0.02per pick32cpaid-34.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x76dc…17b4backed No67c4,188$2,824 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,364.0912646.8%59 W · 67 L+10.3wins+0.08per pick39cpaid+35.9%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xc7be…570cbacked Yes44c4,138$1,825 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,825.4710%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.44per pick44cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x578d…fbb3backed Yes45c4,064$1,814 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,814.081145.5%5 W · 6 L-2.0wins-0.19per pick64cpaid-32.1%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x16cb…2704backed No57c3,653$2,082 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,570.6612353.7%66 W · 57 L+3.7wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+7.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xd578…446bbacked Yes22c2,649$590 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$590.252040%8 W · 12 L+2.4wins+0.12per pick28cpaid+0.7%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x0719…a427backed Yes42c2,344$996 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$996.2710%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.42per pick42cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9602…4d02backed No50c2,328$1,164 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,163.762669.2%18 W · 8 L+5.0wins+0.19per pick50cpaid+42.4%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0x6b52…8a4fbacked Yes21c2,000$420 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4205521.8%12 W · 43 L+0.7wins+0.01per pick21cpaid-6.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe544…3cfcbacked Yes41c1,950$804 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$804.1425%1 W · 3 L-0.7wins-0.17per pick42cpaid-24.2%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xd986…1320backed No53c1,862$987 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$875.254348.8%21 W · 22 L+2.6wins+0.06per pick43cpaid-1.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x6480…8dc5backed Yes56c1,704$948 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$947.643417.6%6 W · 28 L+1.3wins+0.04per pick14cpaid-64.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x904f…50c6backed Yes13c1,671$221 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$221.316022.5%36 W · 124 L+4.0wins+0.03per pick20cpaid-4.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x310d…b64dbacked Yes51c1,589$810 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$810.2220%0 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.26per pick26cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7a61…af24backed No43c1,505$647 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$857.781741.2%7 W · 10 L+1.7wins+0.10per pick31cpaid+56.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x9b14…d18cbacked Yes3c1,100$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34.9714.3%1 W · 6 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick15cpaid-62.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x332a…c9a2backed Yes19c1,085$206 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$205.567715.6%12 W · 65 L-1.9wins-0.02per pick18cpaid-45.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x325f…d8acbacked No80c1,076$856 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$219.663345.5%15 W · 18 L+2.0wins+0.06per pick39cpaid-10.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xa815…a3c3backed No61c1,075$661 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$414.691776.5%13 W · 4 L+2.9wins+0.17per pick59cpaid+40.3%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xecb1…5da3backed No49c1,041$513 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$528.038939.3%35 W · 54 L+2.7wins+0.03per pick36cpaid-8.8%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x480d…f219backed No60c1,000$600 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4002055%11 W · 9 L+1.5wins+0.07per pick48cpaid+8.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x05ff…b701backed Yes11c916.26$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10020%0 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.22per pick22cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa02f…e4b1backed Yes29c877.2$257 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$256.56137.7%1 W · 12 L-2.3wins-0.17per pick25cpaid-86.8%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x5bbe…c65dbacked No48c796.34$383 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$413.321546.7%7 W · 8 L+4.4wins+0.30per pick17cpaid+109.7%equal weight62+0.11 edge/pick
0x366c…6578backed No69c783$543 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$239.91861.1%11 W · 7 L+3.2wins+0.18per pick43cpaid+27.8%equal weight58+0.08 edge/pick
0x6485…be05backed Yes9c730$68 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$68.46225.8%16 W · 46 L0.0wins0.00per pick26cpaid+4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x29c0…efaabacked No77c722.13$559 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$163.341421.4%3 W · 11 L-1.1wins-0.08per pick29cpaid-54.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xef63…7530backed No70c714.29$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$214.29250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.07per pick43cpaid-28.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5f7e…8a48backed Yes11c600$67 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$66.78850%4 W · 4 L+1.7wins+0.21per pick29cpaid+11.4%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xb7ad…d11dbacked Yes9c596.24$54 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$53.665137.3%19 W · 32 L+1.7wins+0.03per pick34cpaid+26.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4ee6…2922backed Yes40c514$206 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$205.6250%1 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.08per pick43cpaid+11.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2707…0afabacked Yes42c500$212 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$211.9812723.6%30 W · 97 L-5.1wins-0.04per pick28cpaid-29.6%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x9d2c…c0a0backed Yes10c500$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$501233.3%4 W · 8 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick33cpaid+11.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9dd9…08bdbacked Yes34c498$169 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$169.467028.6%20 W · 50 L-6.0wins-0.09per pick37cpaid-54.3%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xd34b…0004backed No72c493.15$355 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$138.0412447.6%59 W · 65 L+5.4wins+0.04per pick43cpaid-17.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x700f…62d8backed Yes42c478.57$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$200166.3%1 W · 15 L-4.9wins-0.31per pick37cpaid-90.5%equal weight37-0.12 edge/pick
0xa49b…4c40backed Yes39c465$183 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$182.643228.1%9 W · 23 L+0.2wins0.00per pick28cpaid-1.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbdd1…0c4fbacked Yes7c441$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31.547433.8%25 W · 49 L+1.4wins+0.02per pick32cpaid-10.1%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xde53…e5bebacked No70c408.15$286 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$121.672766.7%18 W · 9 L+1.2wins+0.04per pick62cpaid-2.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x298c…3e58backed Yes42c402.69$168 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16810%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.42per pick42cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0982…92c6backed Yes38c400.05$151 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$150.734015%6 W · 34 L-2.7wins-0.07per pick22cpaid-39.6%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x4a1e…86d3backed No58c393$228 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$165.13333.3%1 W · 2 L+0.1wins+0.04per pick30cpaid-42.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd104…7c02backed Yes41c390.24$160 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1604035%14 W · 26 L-2.9wins-0.07per pick42cpaid-26%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xb854…d139backed Yes21c387.51$82 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$81.71955.6%5 W · 4 L+1.6wins+0.18per pick38cpaid+19.2%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x9196…c311backed Yes11c387.08$41 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40.74827.1%13 W · 35 L0.0wins0.00per pick27cpaid-20.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2abc…b515backed No67c384.96$257 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$128.3683.3%5 W · 1 L+1.5wins+0.25per pick59cpaid+44.3%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xfdb7…6fbbbacked Yes50c379.27$190 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$189.8410%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6bcc…f8b2backed Yes57c351.58$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2004040%16 W · 24 L-0.2wins0.00per pick40cpaid-28.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbd15…0661backed No76c325.45$248 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$77.451361.5%8 W · 5 L+0.3wins+0.02per pick59cpaid-7.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Yes37c322$118 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$118.211540%6 W · 9 L+0.4wins+0.02per pick38cpaid-8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xeb99…8c33backed No74c306.08$227 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$79.522152.4%11 W · 10 L+0.5wins+0.03per pick50cpaid-16.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xaeed…074bbacked No47c294.04$137 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$157.265251.9%27 W · 25 L+4.8wins+0.09per pick43cpaid+23.8%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xc684…2228backed Yes37c291$108 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$107.673339.4%13 W · 20 L0.0wins0.00per pick39cpaid-25.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x59a2…1f0bbacked No69c288.34$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$88.341526.7%4 W · 11 L-1.1wins-0.07per pick34cpaid-40.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xefac…c9a1backed Yes42c275$116 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$115.58226.8%22 W · 60 L-6.9wins-0.08per pick35cpaid-33.6%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xeb03…59cabacked Yes47c268.79$127 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$127520%1 W · 4 L-0.5wins-0.11per pick31cpaid-60%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd673…1b22backed Yes18c253.69$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$45.455717.5%10 W · 47 L-4.8wins-0.08per pick26cpaid-52.8%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xf2b8…5ce5backed Yes11c250$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.5333.3%1 W · 2 L+0.3wins+0.11per pick22cpaid-12.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x17f2…7502backed Yes10c238.12$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.7120%0 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.09per pick9cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6dee…e677backed Yes44c231.64$102 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$101.9210%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.44per pick44cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2b95…8affbacked Yes16c221.29$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3510%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.16per pick16cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8b0d…1744backed Yes11c209.99$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$238427.4%23 W · 61 L+3.9wins+0.05per pick23cpaid+91.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x05a5…3126backed Yes11c209.09$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2320%0 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.10per pick10cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x83f2…85babacked Yes12c204.92$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.992128.6%6 W · 15 L+0.7wins+0.03per pick25cpaid+24%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xfb78…73a8backed Yes50c200$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10040%0 W · 4 L-1.7wins-0.41per pick41cpaid-100%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x2e60…b440backed Yes23c200$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4512419.4%24 W · 100 L+0.5wins0.00per pick19cpaid-16.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6f61…6c85backed Yes10c200$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20633.3%2 W · 4 L+0.4wins+0.07per pick27cpaid-18.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xaa8a…d01dbacked Yes10c200$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20425%1 W · 3 L+0.1wins+0.04per pick21cpaid-28.6%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x644c…0dbfbacked Yes11c184.71$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20333.3%1 W · 2 L+0.2wins+0.06per pick27cpaid+4.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd22c…c656backed Yes11c181.82$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$201136.4%4 W · 7 L+0.3wins+0.02per pick34cpaid-9.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3147…7667backed Yes36c178.38$64 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$645418.5%10 W · 44 L-6.9wins-0.13per pick31cpaid-45.6%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0xea42…2c25backed No60c169$101 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$67.64259.5%25 W · 17 L+3.4wins+0.08per pick52cpaid+13.5%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xf0b0…8cabbacked No61c155.38$95 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$60.8712616.7%21 W · 105 L-6.7wins-0.05per pick22cpaid-52%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xf3bc…927abacked Yes21c155$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32.151546.7%7 W · 8 L+1.3wins+0.08per pick38cpaid-20.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x2cd2…1098backed Yes13c153.85$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20333.3%1 W · 2 L+0.5wins+0.17per pick16cpaid+156.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4133…e834backed No69c152.75$105 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$47.664673.9%34 W · 12 L+8.3wins+0.18per pick56cpaid+28.4%equal weight63+0.12 edge/pick
0x59a6…4ae6backed Yes45c151.45$69 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$68.6510%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.45per pick45cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5825…4ffbbacked No48c139.79$67 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$72.316966.7%46 W · 23 L+8.9wins+0.13per pick54cpaid+20.3%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0xbb32…b21ebacked No65c132$86 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$46.173571.4%25 W · 10 L+5.5wins+0.16per pick56cpaid+18.3%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x9eca…fc20backed No59c128.33$76 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$52.331100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.41per pick59cpaid+68.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x11ef…c850backed Yes32c125.15$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4030%0 W · 3 L-1.0wins-0.34per pick34cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x5537…ab77backed Yes10c122$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.210%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.10per pick10cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7cbe…f2d9backed Yes41c119.54$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.01250%1 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.09per pick59cpaid-34.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd64f…cedebacked Yes42c119.05$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50450%2 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.10per pick60cpaid-33.9%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x3b6d…b0eebacked Yes10c111.1$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.11520%1 W · 4 L-0.7wins-0.13per pick33cpaid-50%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x312d…6814backed No60c105$63 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$42.59366.7%62 W · 31 L+10.7wins+0.11per pick55cpaid+13.8%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x051f…66b0backed Yes49c102.63$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$502536%9 W · 16 L-2.4wins-0.10per pick46cpaid-24%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x46d2…564ebacked Yes39c102.04$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$401010%1 W · 9 L-2.1wins-0.21per pick31cpaid-79.6%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x72a1…81b4backed Yes10c100$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1020%0 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.15per pick15cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x33bc…37dcbacked No55c100$55 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4520843.3%90 W · 118 L+6.5wins+0.03per pick40cpaid+22.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa447…da3ebacked Yes10c100$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10825%2 W · 6 L-0.2wins-0.03per pick28cpaid+28.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x271f…b8ebbacked Yes10c100$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1020%0 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.13per pick13cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa8dc…8becbacked Yes10c100$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1010%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.10per pick10cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb661…2990backed Yes16c92.23$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1530%0 W · 3 L-0.8wins-0.27per pick27cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in F1 and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.