TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

F1 · resolved market

Will Oscar Piastri win the 2025 Saudi Arabian Grand Prix?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Yesof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
F1every record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$61,153
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$67,956

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $61,153 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 104 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in F1 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in F1
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x578d…fbb3backed No56c11,258$6,289 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,288.821145.5%5 W · 6 L-2.0wins-0.19per pick64cpaid-32.1%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x5aca…8b98backed Yes45c10,000$4,500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,5001250%6 W · 6 L+1.2wins+0.10per pick40cpaid+68.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xae36…8fb5backed No16c6,584$1,054 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,053.89540%2 W · 3 L0.0wins+0.01per pick39cpaid-32.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x85b8…6b6abacked Yes68c4,675$3,194 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,481.0211547%54 W · 61 L+1.1wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-7.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x727b…d1a2backed Yes66c3,099$2,056 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,042.329219.6%18 W · 74 L-3.0wins-0.03per pick23cpaid-32.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x29c0…efaabacked No57c2,216$1,272 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,272.081421.4%3 W · 11 L-1.1wins-0.08per pick29cpaid-54.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x6b52…8a4fbacked No26c2,021$520 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$520.025521.8%12 W · 43 L+0.7wins+0.01per pick21cpaid-6.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf68a…5b1bbacked Yes43c1,848$803 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,044.9921337.6%80 W · 133 L+0.6wins0.00per pick37cpaid-8.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd34b…0004backed Yes42c1,740$723 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,017.1112246.7%57 W · 65 L+4.4wins+0.04per pick43cpaid-19.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x34a2…b10bbacked Yes68c1,517$1,036 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$481.731100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.32per pick68cpaid+46.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5c16…df3abacked Yes41c1,435$594 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$840.71747.1%8 W · 9 L-0.5wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-26.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfe07…d839backed Yes40c1,426$568 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$858.676835.3%24 W · 44 L-2.6wins-0.04per pick39cpaid-24.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x6485…be05backed Yes42c1,200$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$699.996225.8%16 W · 46 L0.0wins0.00per pick26cpaid+4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa7b3…246abacked Yes76c1,055$797 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$258.21723.5%4 W · 13 L-3.0wins-0.18per pick41cpaid-67.3%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xbdd1…0c4fbacked No14c1,050$151 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$151.57233.3%24 W · 48 L+1.0wins+0.01per pick32cpaid-12.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x16cb…2704backed No52c1,004$521 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$521.4512353.7%66 W · 57 L+3.7wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+7.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x325f…d8acbacked Yes66c807.23$532 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$274.753345.5%15 W · 18 L+2.0wins+0.06per pick39cpaid-10.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x76dc…17b4backed Yes54c730.59$395 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$336.0712646.8%59 W · 67 L+10.3wins+0.08per pick39cpaid+35.9%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x5d73…7bd9backed Yes41c629.03$256 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$373.09862.5%5 W · 3 L+2.4wins+0.30per pick33cpaid+84.6%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xe216…cd12backed Yes80c519.99$414 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$105.5250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-37.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9602…4d02backed Yes46c500$228 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2722669.2%18 W · 8 L+5.0wins+0.19per pick50cpaid+42.4%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0x33bc…37dcbacked Yes42c500$212 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28820843.3%90 W · 118 L+6.5wins+0.03per pick40cpaid+22.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2130…b64dbacked Yes55c490.35$270 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$220.662236.4%8 W · 14 L-0.4wins-0.02per pick38cpaid-25%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4ee6…2922backed Yes45c459.99$207 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$252.99250%1 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.08per pick43cpaid+11.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x713f…22ccbacked Yes50c440$220 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$220540%2 W · 3 L+0.3wins+0.05per pick35cpaid-18.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbd15…0661backed Yes79c380.3$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$80.31361.5%8 W · 5 L+0.3wins+0.02per pick59cpaid-7.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x37af…5d17backed No54c370.37$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$200560%3 W · 2 L+0.2wins+0.04per pick56cpaid-0.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe87a…6d01backed Yes38c336$128 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$208.325149%25 W · 26 L+2.2wins+0.04per pick45cpaid+25.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2249…85cabacked Yes56c316.36$177 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$139.471070%7 W · 3 L+2.3wins+0.23per pick47cpaid+32%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0xeb99…8c33backed No45c309.61$140 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$139.512152.4%11 W · 10 L+0.5wins+0.03per pick50cpaid-16.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa2f1…bd6abacked Yes43c270.74$116 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$154.321346.2%6 W · 7 L+0.4wins+0.03per pick43cpaid+5.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2707…0afabacked Yes71c254.99$181 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$73.9512523.2%29 W · 96 L-5.4wins-0.04per pick28cpaid-30.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x9d2c…c0a0backed Yes40c250$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1501233.3%4 W · 8 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick33cpaid+11.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9dd9…08bdbacked No30c240$72 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$727028.6%20 W · 50 L-6.0wins-0.09per pick37cpaid-54.3%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x2d40…ec52backed Yes42c219.86$92 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$127.866246.8%29 W · 33 L+0.8wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-1.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x891e…f116backed No63c208.81$132 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$131.5510%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.63per pick63cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xcaab…24ddbacked No63c200$126 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1262035%7 W · 13 L-1.8wins-0.09per pick44cpaid-36.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xe1a8…1b38backed No63c190.48$120 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1206136.1%22 W · 39 L+0.3wins0.00per pick36cpaid-20.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x79fe…f453backed Yes47c190.21$89 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$100.811100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.53per pick47cpaid+112.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5652…ff34backed No56c178.57$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1001421.4%3 W · 11 L-0.5wins-0.04per pick25cpaid-54%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc732…01b1backed No28c177.23$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50.0810%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.28per pick28cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf3bc…927abacked Yes68c162.57$111 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$51.571546.7%7 W · 8 L+1.3wins+0.08per pick38cpaid-20.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x2ced…b02bbacked Yes41c157.56$65 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$92.96450%2 W · 2 L0.0wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-5.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3a48…22e8backed No48c142.72$68 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$68.362259.1%13 W · 9 L0.0wins0.00per pick59cpaid-13.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd64f…cedebacked Yes73c136.24$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$36.24450%2 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.10per pick60cpaid-33.9%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x09e8…9c65backed No63c136$86 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$85.68250%1 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.11per pick61cpaid-15.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb565…bc27backed Yes47c131.77$62 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$69.841100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.53per pick47cpaid+112.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x926a…0624backed Yes39c128.67$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$78.67540%2 W · 3 L+0.3wins+0.06per pick34cpaid+4.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x82c1…0217backed Yes39c128.21$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$78.21922.2%2 W · 7 L-1.3wins-0.14per pick36cpaid-35.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x9944…86cdbacked Yes47c127.16$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$67.31100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.53per pick47cpaid+112.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6bcc…f8b2backed Yes59c127.07$75 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$52.074040%16 W · 24 L-0.2wins0.00per pick40cpaid-28.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf360…6157backed Yes50c125.73$63 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$62.871100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.50per pick50cpaid+100%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3ee6…c838backed Yes48c125$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$651100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.52per pick48cpaid+108.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe56f…3914backed Yes44c125$55 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$701100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.56per pick44cpaid+127.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8949…5e21backed Yes46c120$55 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$64.81241.7%5 W · 7 L-0.7wins-0.06per pick48cpaid-25.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8b32…5950backed Yes40c119.56$47 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$72.2514356.6%81 W · 62 L+9.4wins+0.07per pick50cpaid+10.2%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xaeed…074bbacked No46c111.36$51 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$51.235251.9%27 W · 25 L+4.8wins+0.09per pick43cpaid+23.8%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x3b6d…b0eebacked Yes40c111.1$44 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$66.66520%1 W · 4 L-0.7wins-0.13per pick33cpaid-50%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8b0d…1744backed Yes39c105.38$41 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$64.398427.4%23 W · 61 L+3.9wins+0.05per pick23cpaid+91.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x6480…8dc5backed Yes52c100$52 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$483417.6%6 W · 28 L+1.3wins+0.04per pick14cpaid-64.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xad9d…9b95backed Yes46c100$46 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$54.51442.9%6 W · 8 L-1.0wins-0.07per pick50cpaid-20%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5f7e…8a48backed Yes46c99.99$46 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$54850%4 W · 4 L+1.7wins+0.21per pick29cpaid+11.4%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x730a…51a0backed Yes38c99.81$38 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$62.122433.3%8 W · 16 L+0.7wins+0.03per pick30cpaid+27.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xed61…4c0bbacked Yes39c90$35 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$54.9757.1%4 W · 3 L+0.4wins+0.06per pick51cpaid+6%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x57c3…3201backed Yes47c84.23$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$44.642548%12 W · 13 L-0.9wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-0.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xecb1…5da3backed Yes49c80.38$39 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40.998939.3%35 W · 54 L+2.7wins+0.03per pick36cpaid-8.8%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xb854…d139backed Yes68c80$54 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26955.6%5 W · 4 L+1.6wins+0.18per pick38cpaid+19.2%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xde53…e5bebacked No55c72.51$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39.882766.7%18 W · 9 L+1.2wins+0.04per pick62cpaid-2.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x88a6…c236backed Yes46c65.22$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$35.22850%4 W · 4 L+1.2wins+0.15per pick35cpaid+36.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x6b3a…2841backed Yes39c64.1$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$39.11464.3%9 W · 5 L+2.7wins+0.20per pick45cpaid+53.1%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xa43e…aef5backed No63c63.49$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$401258.3%7 W · 5 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick57cpaid-11.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x83f2…85babacked Yes40c62.5$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$37.52128.6%6 W · 15 L+0.7wins+0.03per pick25cpaid+24%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xcd52…f190backed Yes70c61$43 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.011330.8%4 W · 9 L-0.4wins-0.03per pick34cpaid-32.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xea42…2c25backed Yes72c60$43 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.84259.5%25 W · 17 L+3.4wins+0.08per pick52cpaid+13.5%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xed65…b1b2backed Yes44c57.14$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32.145337.7%20 W · 33 L-1.8wins-0.03per pick41cpaid-21.2%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x3613…79e1backed Yes41c55.07$23 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32.491838.9%7 W · 11 L+1.4wins+0.08per pick31cpaid-16.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x972c…819dbacked Yes74c54.24$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.242268.2%15 W · 7 L+1.3wins+0.06per pick62cpaid-2.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2e60…b440backed No50c50$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2512419.4%24 W · 100 L+0.5wins0.00per pick19cpaid-16.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbc6c…287cbacked No55c49.99$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.51353.8%7 W · 6 L+1.4wins+0.10per pick43cpaid-9.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x14be…e4bfbacked Yes80c45$36 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$91100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.20per pick80cpaid+25%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8292…0d5bbacked Yes45c44.44$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.441637.5%6 W · 10 L+0.1wins0.00per pick37cpaid+8.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3e01…757abacked Yes46c44$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.761747.1%8 W · 9 L+2.1wins+0.12per pick35cpaid+74%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x5825…4ffbbacked No56c43.85$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.566966.7%46 W · 23 L+8.9wins+0.13per pick54cpaid+20.3%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0x22b4…49acbacked Yes72c41.71$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.711233.3%4 W · 8 L-1.5wins-0.13per pick46cpaid-28.7%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x698a…e498backed Yes48c41.67$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.67250%1 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.18per pick32cpaid+4.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xec2c…1b20backed No57c41.1$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.394431.8%14 W · 30 L-0.2wins0.00per pick32cpaid-30.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xcfd6…d50dbacked Yes49c40.82$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.82742.9%3 W · 4 L0.0wins0.00per pick43cpaid-3.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4caf…6de9backed Yes70c39.53$27 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.053534.3%12 W · 23 L+1.4wins+0.04per pick30cpaid-14.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xd22c…c656backed No55c36.36$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$201136.4%4 W · 7 L+0.3wins+0.02per pick34cpaid-9.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1d8c…757abacked No56c35$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.75250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6193…58cabacked No56c32.14$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1820%0 W · 2 L-0.7wins-0.34per pick34cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2164…fcd4backed No63c31.75$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20450%2 W · 2 L-0.7wins-0.17per pick67cpaid-24.5%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x04c1…642ebacked Yes49c30.61$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.611154.5%6 W · 5 L+1.1wins+0.10per pick45cpaid+3.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xbf03…a4cabacked Yes45c30$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.5771.4%5 W · 2 L+1.0wins+0.14per pick57cpaid+30.9%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x5b1c…a2e2backed Yes47c30$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.8250%1 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.11per pick39cpaid+5.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa447…da3ebacked Yes39c30$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.3825%2 W · 6 L-0.2wins-0.03per pick28cpaid+28.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf3d4…84a1backed Yes37c30$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.93259.4%19 W · 13 L+0.8wins+0.02per pick57cpaid+4.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x362c…ac6ebacked Yes50c27.52$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.762100%2 W · 0 L+0.8wins+0.41per pick59cpaid+72.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x338f…dd63backed No64c27$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.281872.2%13 W · 5 L+1.2wins+0.07per pick66cpaid+12.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6ba7…1ba3backed Yes49c26.53$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.531258.3%7 W · 5 L+1.9wins+0.16per pick43cpaid+52.3%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in F1 and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.