NBA · resolved market
Pelicans vs. Grizzlies
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x16d695831bc0a913fabbef12dcce8d980d9439d117e5c578bbb4728a6e1890ca
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Grizzliesof Pelicans, Grizzlies
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $244,418
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $238,653
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $244,418 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 86 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x6761…a94fbacked Pelicans | 16c | 109,851$17,922 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17,922.37 | 92 | 48.9%45 W · 47 L | -2.4wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x008a…21a8backed Pelicans | 7c | 11,792$856 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$855.71 | 81 | 29.6%24 W · 57 L | -2.5wins | -0.03per pick | 33cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc7ed…6c8bbacked Pelicans | 8c | 11,072$848 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$847.66 | 33 | 45.5%15 W · 18 L | +5.0wins | +0.15per pick | 30cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x371a…34b0backed Pelicans | 2c | 5,517$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101.53 | 1,035 | 1.1%11 W · 1,024 L | -24.4wins | -0.02per pick | 3cpaid | -90.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x90ba…63f3backed Pelicans | 17c | 5,028$875 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$874.7 | 1,782 | 28%499 W · 1,283 L | +11.5wins | +0.01per pick | 27cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa431…677fbacked Pelicans | 5c | 4,953$257 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$256.73 | 84 | 17.9%15 W · 69 L | -10.2wins | -0.12per pick | 30cpaid | -64.1%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x93bc…8ca3backed Pelicans | 16c | 4,754$767 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$767.3 | 1,752 | 40.6%712 W · 1,040 L | -3.3wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa5a1…cde2backed Pelicans | 5c | 3,205$174 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$174.03 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -0.6wins | -0.08per pick | 37cpaid | -62.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa715…15e2backed Pelicans | 10c | 2,058$215 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$215.22 | 36 | 19.4%7 W · 29 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 17cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x479c…bcbcbacked Pelicans | 17c | 2,000$340 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$340 | 75 | 49.3%37 W · 38 L | -1.9wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x576b…7336backed Pelicans | 9c | 1,955$182 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$181.92 | 183 | 16.9%31 W · 152 L | -3.8wins | -0.02per pick | 19cpaid | -26.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfa5c…be69backed Pelicans | 18c | 1,949$343 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$343.22 | 279 | 39.8%111 W · 168 L | +3.4wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xae22…4bb7backed Pelicans | 16c | 1,894$303 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$303 | 28 | 39.3%11 W · 17 L | +2.9wins | +0.10per pick | 29cpaid | +44.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2938…4a43backed Pelicans | 5c | 1,347$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.61 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | +0.5wins | +0.12per pick | 13cpaid | +31.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x719d…4e73backed Pelicans | 9c | 1,314$124 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$123.55 | 118 | 34.7%41 W · 77 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 35cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0462…da6dbacked Pelicans | 2c | 1,280$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.4 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x99c2…ef35backed Pelicans | 24c | 1,235$296 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$296.21 | 142 | 33.1%47 W · 95 L | -7.8wins | -0.06per pick | 39cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf3e7…a536backed Pelicans | 18c | 1,111$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 59 | 33.9%20 W · 39 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2e44…79c9backed Pelicans | 15c | 1,074$158 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$158.47 | 35 | 40%14 W · 21 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x480d…f219backed Pelicans | 16c | 1,000$160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$160 | 1,290 | 44%567 W · 723 L | +35.0wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3fb1…73eebacked Pelicans | 16c | 999.91$160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$159.99 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -1.5wins | -0.19per pick | 44cpaid | -62.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked Pelicans | 10c | 936.31$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.57 | 1,554 | 37.3%579 W · 975 L | -48.1wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaf33…4eacbacked Pelicans | 9c | 919.99$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80.6 | 64 | 26.6%17 W · 47 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 28cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8f0a…e4eabacked Pelicans | 17c | 914.37$155 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$155.44 | 157 | 63.1%99 W · 58 L | -2.6wins | -0.02per pick | 65cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x76fc…2270backed Pelicans | 9c | 781.36$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.25 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -1.4wins | -0.20per pick | 49cpaid | -53.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa8f7…039abacked Grizzlies | 79c | 704.82$557 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$148.01 | 162 | 42%68 W · 94 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfa39…b3c5backed Pelicans | 10c | 700$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 97 | 24.7%24 W · 73 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 24cpaid | -20.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4c53…30cdbacked Pelicans | 16c | 615.94$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.55 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -1.3wins | -0.13per pick | 43cpaid | -28.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1b6a…3eedbacked Pelicans | 17c | 588.24$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 277 | 35.4%98 W · 179 L | -8.0wins | -0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xec5c…ce46backed Pelicans | 20c | 506.09$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 451 | 35%158 W · 293 L | -6.9wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -18%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcf64…7e54backed Pelicans | 16c | 500$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 52 | 50%26 W · 26 L | +2.5wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +33.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8140…b92fbacked Pelicans | 19c | 437.89$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83.2 | 91 | 49.5%45 W · 46 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb2c7…1b5bbacked Pelicans | 19c | 436.48$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82.93 | 291 | 48.8%142 W · 149 L | +7.1wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4f3c…4c98backed Pelicans | 21c | 428.57$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.12per pick | 45cpaid | -42.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa8cd…3cf2backed Pelicans | 15c | 400$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 111 | 43.2%48 W · 63 L | +6.0wins | +0.05per pick | 38cpaid | +15.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa55f…c3d6backed Pelicans | 13c | 393.85$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.2 | 59 | 35.6%21 W · 38 L | +1.3wins | +0.02per pick | 33cpaid | +30.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfe38…1f16backed Pelicans | 17c | 359.23$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 41 | 26.8%11 W · 30 L | -1.6wins | -0.04per pick | 31cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4a64…4430backed Pelicans | 10c | 356.83$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.96 | 615 | 32.2%198 W · 417 L | -21.1wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -32.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1f19…aec2backed Pelicans | 16c | 348.37$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.74 | 367 | 47.7%175 W · 192 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc018…018abacked Grizzlies | 80c | 300$240 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60 | 108 | 33.3%36 W · 72 L | -7.8wins | -0.07per pick | 41cpaid | -30%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4b39…eeaabacked Pelicans | 5c | 299.99$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.75 | 19 | 26.3%5 W · 14 L | -1.4wins | -0.07per pick | 34cpaid | -56.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9f95…3012backed Pelicans | 16c | 299.97$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.99 | 70 | 42.9%30 W · 40 L | -3.0wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x86fd…8f4bbacked Pelicans | 21c | 291.87$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | +1.8wins | +0.18per pick | 22cpaid | +99%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x166f…c6f4backed Pelicans | 16c | 280.5$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.88 | 17 | 17.6%3 W · 14 L | -3.5wins | -0.21per pick | 38cpaid | -67.6%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x37b9…3390backed Pelicans | 17c | 249.9$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.48 | 202 | 33.7%68 W · 134 L | +4.0wins | +0.02per pick | 32cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1fe5…500fbacked Pelicans | 15c | 238.89$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 94 | 31.9%30 W · 64 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa586…86f5backed Pelicans | 19c | 235$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.65 | 21 | 23.8%5 W · 16 L | -1.4wins | -0.07per pick | 31cpaid | -32.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf612…5700backed Pelicans | 18c | 221.97$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.95 | 202 | 45.5%92 W · 110 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x51bc…8946backed Pelicans | 19c | 200$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | +0.8wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x49fd…d190backed Pelicans | 20c | 200$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 40 | 30%12 W · 28 L | -0.9wins | -0.02per pick | 32cpaid | +17.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7789…6f26backed Pelicans | 11c | 188.89$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 49 | 34.7%17 W · 32 L | -1.5wins | -0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -23.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9a52…3390backed Pelicans | 12c | 182.35$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.71 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -1.4wins | -0.20per pick | 34cpaid | -80.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe27b…858fbacked Pelicans | 18c | 154.99$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.45 | 855 | 42%359 W · 496 L | +10.0wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd0c3…0230backed Pelicans | 19c | 150$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.5 | 75 | 45.3%34 W · 41 L | +3.1wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xccff…e845backed Pelicans | 21c | 144$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.56 | 481 | 37.2%179 W · 302 L | -15.6wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x79ed…d8b1backed Pelicans | 16c | 137.89$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22 | 28 | 10.7%3 W · 25 L | -6.2wins | -0.22per pick | 33cpaid | -76.4%equal weight | 37-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x799c…bcefbacked Pelicans | 16c | 133$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.28 | 271 | 63.5%172 W · 99 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 63cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa32b…e132backed Pelicans | 19c | 119.19$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.76 | 110 | 35.5%39 W · 71 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 35cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcfc5…817ebacked Pelicans | 17c | 116.31$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.77 | 47 | 63.8%30 W · 17 L | +1.0wins | +0.02per pick | 62cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3746…10ccbacked Pelicans | 15c | 114.18$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.24 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | +0.3wins | +0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x26ea…6f18backed Pelicans | 18c | 111.11$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 54 | 38.9%21 W · 33 L | +3.2wins | +0.06per pick | 33cpaid | +21%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x067f…a821backed Grizzlies | 76c | 111$84 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.64 | 238 | 35.7%85 W · 153 L | -6.1wins | -0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -24%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9a8e…f8f6backed Pelicans | 19c | 105.26$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.19per pick | 19cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa34d…1de4backed Pelicans | 12c | 100$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 57 | 21.1%12 W · 45 L | +1.2wins | +0.02per pick | 19cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3697…f189backed Pelicans | 10c | 100$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 652 | 18.4%120 W · 532 L | +12.0wins | +0.02per pick | 17cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x893d…6b68backed Pelicans | 19c | 100$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19 | 64 | 31.3%20 W · 44 L | -4.1wins | -0.06per pick | 38cpaid | -36.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7ff5…ce78backed Pelicans | 19c | 100$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.08 | 17 | 47.1%8 W · 9 L | -0.6wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xab6d…b458backed Pelicans | 20c | 99.99$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.83 | 119 | 26.1%31 W · 88 L | -4.2wins | -0.04per pick | 30cpaid | -26.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5f41…83f5backed Grizzlies | 78c | 99.99$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22 | 245 | 49%120 W · 125 L | +8.4wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x61ea…d0c1backed Pelicans | 18c | 99.99$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 137 | 27.7%38 W · 99 L | -2.5wins | -0.02per pick | 30cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf33f…085cbacked Pelicans | 17c | 99$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.83 | 930 | 41.9%390 W · 540 L | +13.5wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbe34…cf4cbacked Pelicans | 15c | 89$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.35 | 172 | 44.2%76 W · 96 L | +7.4wins | +0.04per pick | 40cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9228…e41abacked Pelicans | 16c | 69.98$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.2 | 302 | 43.7%132 W · 170 L | +9.1wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x15f0…974dbacked Pelicans | 17c | 65.24$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.09 | 14 | 7.1%1 W · 13 L | -1.9wins | -0.14per pick | 21cpaid | -57.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x66db…7afbbacked Pelicans | 17c | 60$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 38 | 7.9%3 W · 35 L | -4.7wins | -0.12per pick | 20cpaid | -75.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xabbe…2bc6backed Pelicans | 20c | 60$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.22per pick | 28cpaid | +42.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0515…3a19backed Pelicans | 17c | 59.98$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.2 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | +1.6wins | +0.13per pick | 29cpaid | +65.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x92b3…e0e0backed Grizzlies | 80c | 52.5$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.5 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.2wins | -0.30per pick | 55cpaid | -68.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1fe4…f393backed Pelicans | 20c | 51.12$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | +2.0wins | +0.22per pick | 22cpaid | +159.8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe25c…ae63backed Grizzlies | 80c | 50$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 404 | 48.3%195 W · 209 L | -1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc17a…1db3backed Pelicans | 20c | 50$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 159 | 40.3%64 W · 95 L | -3.0wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd107…e362backed Grizzlies | 65c | 27.89$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.76 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.9wins | +0.22per pick | 53cpaid | +37.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe59b…488ebacked Grizzlies | 80c | 24.03$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.81 | 723 | 41.2%298 W · 425 L | +23.0wins | +0.03per pick | 38cpaid | +11.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xadd9…6333backed Grizzlies | 79c | 20.05$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.21 | 36 | 52.8%19 W · 17 L | -1.5wins | -0.04per pick | 57cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9cf5…c7d5backed Grizzlies | 80c | 15$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3 | 57 | 54.4%31 W · 26 L | +1.1wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x28f0…1b45backed Grizzlies | 80c | 15$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3 | 54 | 61.1%33 W · 21 L | +1.5wins | +0.03per pick | 58cpaid | +12.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.