TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NBA · resolved market

Wizards vs. Pacers

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Pacersof Wizards, Pacers
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$699,976
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$716,195

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $699,976 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 1,576 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NBA
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xbddf…c684backed Wizards29c43,421$12,517 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12,516.9272648.3%351 W · 375 L+30.5wins+0.04per pick44cpaid+11%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xc3c3…eec8backed Pacers71c40,000$28,400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11,599.9338248.7%186 W · 196 L+13.9wins+0.04per pick45cpaid+0.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x1e3a…4033backed Pacers71c35,100$25,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10,100.1634062.1%211 W · 129 L+3.0wins+0.01per pick61cpaid+3.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe60a…6a47backed Wizards30c25,379$7,579 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,579.292,09147.8%1,000 W · 1,091 L-56.6wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-4.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xead1…c76abacked Wizards30c19,268$5,761 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,760.92,04548.4%990 W · 1,055 L-30.3wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-3.4%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xead0…f3babacked Pacers70c15,000$10,500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,499.991,12448.6%546 W · 578 L+13.9wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+3.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5b8e…5c3cbacked Pacers70c11,845$8,346 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,498.8244459.7%265 W · 179 L+12.4wins+0.03per pick57cpaid+7.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Pacers75c11,377$8,581 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,795.855,05350.9%2,570 W · 2,483 L+110.9wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+2.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9d94…017dbacked Wizards10c11,268$1,082 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,082.421,19032%381 W · 809 L-58.1wins-0.05per pick37cpaid-34.4%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xbf2c…097cbacked Wizards30c10,000$3,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,0003177.4%24 W · 7 L+3.1wins+0.10per pick67cpaid+11.9%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xcacf…5f32backed Wizards0c10,000$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1010%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x22c6…cf2abacked Pacers72c9,800$7,056 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,7441838.9%7 W · 11 L-0.4wins-0.02per pick41cpaid+37.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x68dd…f0b2backed Pacers70c8,607$6,025 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,582.2351350.1%257 W · 256 L+6.8wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+3.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x06e6…87e6backed Wizards29c8,220$2,404 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,404.144648%214 W · 232 L-12.6wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-4.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5116…58c4backed Wizards25c7,346$1,806 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,805.5676850.3%386 W · 382 L-5.0wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-1.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3c50…bc45backed Wizards16c5,330$866 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$866250%1 W · 1 L+0.6wins+0.32per pick18cpaid+159.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x9e2f…ec47backed Wizards30c5,000$1,500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,50074748.5%362 W · 385 L+8.6wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+2.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe405…bf91backed Wizards30c5,000$1,500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,50048448.8%236 W · 248 L-5.1wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-0.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7d5c…0182backed Wizards30c4,950$1,485 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,48547751.8%247 W · 230 L+1.6wins0.00per pick51cpaid-0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xcacf…35ffbacked Wizards0c4,718$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.527211%7 W · 714 L-2.6wins0.00per pick1cpaid-32.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8526…3b5dbacked Wizards30c4,610$1,369 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,368.826636.4%24 W · 42 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick36cpaid+1.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd538…cc31backed Wizards30c4,580$1,374 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,37421450%107 W · 107 L-14.6wins-0.07per pick57cpaid-12.1%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x1d56…7486backed Pacers71c4,580$3,252 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,328.217861.2%109 W · 69 L+11.4wins+0.06per pick55cpaid+14.9%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xe0f3…d82cbacked Wizards31c4,072$1,262 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,262.1715551%79 W · 76 L-6.2wins-0.04per pick55cpaid-5.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x9f13…e0fdbacked Pacers70c4,027$2,819 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,208.2272450.7%367 W · 357 L+13.1wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+1.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4c03…0cc1backed Wizards1c3,863$44 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$43.531,60211.8%189 W · 1,413 L-4.8wins0.00per pick12cpaid-6.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6ce2…e868backed Pacers69c3,300$2,277 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,022.855850%29 W · 29 L-2.0wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-17.5%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x6bd5…81b0backed Wizards15c3,287$490 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$490.354617.4%8 W · 38 L-3.0wins-0.07per pick24cpaid-47.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x90ba…63f3backed Wizards30c3,050$915 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9151,78228%499 W · 1,283 L+11.5wins+0.01per pick27cpaid-1.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x52ec…a6f3backed Pacers72c3,000$2,160 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$84043051.4%221 W · 209 L+2.5wins+0.01per pick51cpaid-2.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5f83…7252backed Wizards1c2,905$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.72910.3%3 W · 26 L-0.5wins-0.02per pick12cpaid-39.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe948…ff23backed Pacers70c2,857$2,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$857.1417250%86 W · 86 L-3.0wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-2.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xfc06…1a66backed Pacers66c2,804$1,851 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$953.36666.7%4 W · 2 L+0.6wins+0.10per pick57cpaid+6.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc061…2353backed Wizards34c2,804$953 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$953.36837.5%3 W · 5 L-0.9wins-0.12per pick49cpaid-41%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x0298…c5f4backed Wizards34c2,765$940 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$940.170%0 W · 7 L-2.7wins-0.39per pick39cpaid-100%equal weight41-0.09 edge/pick
0x9ae2…9516backed Pacers66c2,765$1,825 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$940.1650%3 W · 3 L-0.6wins-0.10per pick60cpaid-22%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4c14…7bc1backed Wizards30c2,667$800 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$80011142.3%47 W · 64 L-4.9wins-0.04per pick47cpaid-9.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x9c72…eb65backed Wizards16c2,652$424 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$424.3220%0 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.12per pick12cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9f58…0176backed Wizards34c2,508$853 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$852.721127.3%3 W · 8 L-2.1wins-0.19per pick47cpaid-52%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x1395…d208backed Pacers66c2,508$1,655 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$852.721030%3 W · 7 L-2.0wins-0.20per pick50cpaid-37.1%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x6349…10e3backed Wizards30c2,401$720 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$720.161457.1%8 W · 6 L+1.7wins+0.12per pick45cpaid+36%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x968f…587fbacked Wizards34c2,398$815 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$815.32955.6%5 W · 4 L+0.4wins+0.05per pick51cpaid-0.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x73aa…06d9backed Pacers66c2,398$1,583 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$815.32944.4%4 W · 5 L-0.6wins-0.07per pick51cpaid-20.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xcda8…4d2cbacked Wizards34c2,331$793 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$792.54728.6%2 W · 5 L-1.3wins-0.19per pick48cpaid-55.7%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x7008…9107backed Pacers66c2,331$1,538 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$792.54955.6%5 W · 4 L+0.9wins+0.10per pick46cpaid+14.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5f5d…8299backed Wizards34c2,293$780 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$779.62850%4 W · 4 L-0.3wins-0.04per pick53cpaid-19.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x68a6…ed90backed Pacers66c2,293$1,513 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$779.62933.3%3 W · 6 L-1.4wins-0.16per pick49cpaid-49.2%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x270d…2c53backed Pacers66c2,223$1,467 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$755.821060%6 W · 4 L+1.4wins+0.14per pick46cpaid+17.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x8da0…07c0backed Wizards34c2,223$756 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$755.82742.9%3 W · 4 L-0.9wins-0.12per pick55cpaid-34.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x48db…bfdcbacked Wizards34c2,195$746 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$746.3650%3 W · 3 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid-14.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x92d3…a99cbacked Pacers66c2,195$1,449 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$746.31050%5 W · 5 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-20.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Wizards15c2,156$316 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$315.768,98847.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L+96.4wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-5.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf8c8…8763backed Wizards34c2,151$731 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$731.341136.4%4 W · 7 L-1.7wins-0.15per pick51cpaid-42.7%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xdf2f…3a37backed Pacers66c2,151$1,420 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$731.34560%3 W · 2 L0.0wins0.00per pick60cpaid+4.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7c0d…0281backed Pacers66c2,150$1,419 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7311258.3%7 W · 5 L+0.9wins+0.07per pick51cpaid+20.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x9327…9fbcbacked Wizards34c2,150$731 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$731944.4%4 W · 5 L-0.5wins-0.06per pick50cpaid-27%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Wizards30c2,065$614 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$613.784,32547%2,031 W · 2,294 L-69.5wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-4.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1a19…b1d5backed Pacers66c2,051$1,354 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$697.34862.5%5 W · 3 L+0.2wins+0.02per pick60cpaid-0.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa8c7…cf1dbacked Wizards34c2,051$697 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$697.34837.5%3 W · 5 L-0.8wins-0.10per pick48cpaid-38.2%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x6d41…6a0cbacked Pacers66c2,001$1,321 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$680.34955.6%5 W · 4 L+0.4wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+2.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2efb…77abbacked Wizards34c2,001$680 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$680.34728.6%2 W · 5 L-1.8wins-0.25per pick54cpaid-59.5%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xba41…5f4fbacked Pacers71c2,000$1,420 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$58031445.2%142 W · 172 L-3.6wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-0.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x31ac…392cbacked Wizards25c2,000$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5002356.5%13 W · 10 L+3.8wins+0.16per pick40cpaid+33.5%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x8980…d4f4backed Wizards29c2,000$580 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$58021951.1%112 W · 107 L+7.4wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+9.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xdcee…99b1backed Wizards34c1,986$675 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$675.24837.5%3 W · 5 L-0.8wins-0.10per pick48cpaid-27.3%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x4ef7…9336backed Pacers66c1,986$1,311 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$675.24955.6%5 W · 4 L+0.7wins+0.07per pick48cpaid+14.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2ddc…423ebacked Pacers66c1,972$1,302 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$670.48933.3%3 W · 6 L-1.2wins-0.13per pick47cpaid-43.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xf14d…8449backed Wizards34c1,972$670 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$670.481040%4 W · 6 L-0.9wins-0.09per pick49cpaid-5.8%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xee61…debfbacked Pacers70c1,951$1,365 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$585.199,72249.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L-2.8wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa250…ca0fbacked Wizards31c1,945$600 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$600728.6%2 W · 5 L-0.8wins-0.11per pick40cpaid-44.5%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x2652…2a1dbacked Pacers70c1,943$1,360 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$582.753,59150.1%1,798 W · 1,793 L+21.6wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-0.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x57a8…6933backed Pacers71c1,914$1,359 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$555.0592753.5%496 W · 431 L+20.1wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+3.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4317…6c43backed Wizards34c1,909$649 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$649.06944.4%4 W · 5 L-0.8wins-0.09per pick53cpaid-33.7%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xff49…1599backed Pacers66c1,909$1,260 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$649.061070%7 W · 3 L+0.9wins+0.09per pick61cpaid+11.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe20a…e469backed Pacers70c1,900$1,321 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$579.52,36148.1%1,136 W · 1,225 L-41.8wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-3.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7c42…be6bbacked Pacers66c1,899$1,253 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$645.661154.5%6 W · 5 L+0.4wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+16.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xecff…4db5backed Wizards34c1,899$646 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$645.66837.5%3 W · 5 L-1.2wins-0.15per pick53cpaid-36.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x7c30…870abacked Pacers66c1,894$1,250 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$643.961450%7 W · 7 L+0.6wins+0.05per pick45cpaid+2.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6fec…0287backed Wizards34c1,894$644 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$643.9690%0 W · 9 L-4.0wins-0.45per pick45cpaid-100%equal weight37-0.12 edge/pick
0xc60c…8a32backed Pacers66c1,863$1,230 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$633.421040%4 W · 6 L-1.9wins-0.19per pick59cpaid-40.7%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x932e…d63abacked Wizards34c1,863$633 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$633.42616.7%1 W · 5 L-1.8wins-0.31per pick47cpaid-73.5%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x32fe…21edbacked Wizards34c1,855$631 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$630.71154.5%6 W · 5 L+1.5wins+0.13per pick41cpaid+23.6%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xedf3…1fa3backed Pacers66c1,855$1,224 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$630.71050%5 W · 5 L-0.5wins-0.05per pick55cpaid-6.5%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x220a…51e1backed Pacers66c1,808$1,193 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$614.72757.1%4 W · 3 L-0.2wins-0.03per pick60cpaid-10.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfb96…20b7backed Wizards34c1,808$615 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$614.72825%2 W · 6 L-1.8wins-0.23per pick48cpaid-53.8%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x2ea7…7373backed Wizards34c1,803$613 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$613.021040%4 W · 6 L-1.1wins-0.11per pick51cpaid-34.3%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x4831…90a8backed Pacers66c1,803$1,190 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$613.021361.5%8 W · 5 L+0.7wins+0.05per pick56cpaid+23.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x287e…88dbbacked Pacers66c1,800$1,188 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$612650%3 W · 3 L-0.8wins-0.13per pick63cpaid-29.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x1b51…6f2cbacked Wizards34c1,800$612 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$612728.6%2 W · 5 L-1.4wins-0.20per pick49cpaid-53.6%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xb738…cb3cbacked Pacers66c1,794$1,184 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$609.961172.7%8 W · 3 L+1.7wins+0.16per pick57cpaid+30.3%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x64ca…56eabacked Wizards34c1,794$610 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$609.961040%4 W · 6 L-0.4wins-0.04per pick44cpaid-10.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5d04…561dbacked Pacers66c1,780$1,175 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$605.2966.7%6 W · 3 L+1.1wins+0.12per pick55cpaid+15.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2ff7…4377backed Wizards34c1,780$605 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$605.2850%4 W · 4 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid-15%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9132…2bedbacked Pacers66c1,779$1,174 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$604.86988.9%8 W · 1 L+3.2wins+0.36per pick53cpaid+73.2%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x5b65…a03dbacked Wizards34c1,779$605 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$604.86944.4%4 W · 5 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-6.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe98d…30e2backed Wizards34c1,759$598 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$598.061030%3 W · 7 L-2.0wins-0.20per pick50cpaid-40.5%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x4891…b218backed Pacers66c1,759$1,161 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$598.06862.5%5 W · 3 L+0.5wins+0.06per pick57cpaid+4.8%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x28e8…6080backed Pacers71c1,750$1,235 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$514.993847.4%18 W · 20 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x363b…932abacked Wizards30c1,746$524 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$523.73540%2 W · 3 L+0.1wins+0.02per pick38cpaid+85.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa4a6…fe74backed Wizards33c1,729$571 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$570.57540%2 W · 3 L+0.6wins+0.13per pick27cpaid+69.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.