NBA · resolved market
Wizards vs. Pacers
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x2af4b809dc290e5b08817ae8a3379e2fb8fa14db2e662ce1b0b77ffd9a97ffbd
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Pacersof Wizards, Pacers
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $699,976
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $716,195
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $699,976 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 1,576 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xbddf…c684backed Wizards | 29c | 43,421$12,517 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12,516.92 | 726 | 48.3%351 W · 375 L | +30.5wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +11%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc3c3…eec8backed Pacers | 71c | 40,000$28,400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11,599.93 | 382 | 48.7%186 W · 196 L | +13.9wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1e3a…4033backed Pacers | 71c | 35,100$25,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,100.16 | 340 | 62.1%211 W · 129 L | +3.0wins | +0.01per pick | 61cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Wizards | 30c | 25,379$7,579 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,579.29 | 2,091 | 47.8%1,000 W · 1,091 L | -56.6wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Wizards | 30c | 19,268$5,761 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,760.9 | 2,045 | 48.4%990 W · 1,055 L | -30.3wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xead0…f3babacked Pacers | 70c | 15,000$10,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,499.99 | 1,124 | 48.6%546 W · 578 L | +13.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5b8e…5c3cbacked Pacers | 70c | 11,845$8,346 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,498.82 | 444 | 59.7%265 W · 179 L | +12.4wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Pacers | 75c | 11,377$8,581 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,795.85 | 5,053 | 50.9%2,570 W · 2,483 L | +110.9wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked Wizards | 10c | 11,268$1,082 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,082.42 | 1,190 | 32%381 W · 809 L | -58.1wins | -0.05per pick | 37cpaid | -34.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbf2c…097cbacked Wizards | 30c | 10,000$3,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,000 | 31 | 77.4%24 W · 7 L | +3.1wins | +0.10per pick | 67cpaid | +11.9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xcacf…5f32backed Wizards | 0c | 10,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x22c6…cf2abacked Pacers | 72c | 9,800$7,056 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,744 | 18 | 38.9%7 W · 11 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | +37.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x68dd…f0b2backed Pacers | 70c | 8,607$6,025 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,582.23 | 513 | 50.1%257 W · 256 L | +6.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x06e6…87e6backed Wizards | 29c | 8,220$2,404 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,404.1 | 446 | 48%214 W · 232 L | -12.6wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5116…58c4backed Wizards | 25c | 7,346$1,806 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,805.56 | 768 | 50.3%386 W · 382 L | -5.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3c50…bc45backed Wizards | 16c | 5,330$866 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$866 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.32per pick | 18cpaid | +159.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9e2f…ec47backed Wizards | 30c | 5,000$1,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,500 | 747 | 48.5%362 W · 385 L | +8.6wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe405…bf91backed Wizards | 30c | 5,000$1,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,500 | 484 | 48.8%236 W · 248 L | -5.1wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7d5c…0182backed Wizards | 30c | 4,950$1,485 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,485 | 477 | 51.8%247 W · 230 L | +1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcacf…35ffbacked Wizards | 0c | 4,718$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.52 | 721 | 1%7 W · 714 L | -2.6wins | 0.00per pick | 1cpaid | -32.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8526…3b5dbacked Wizards | 30c | 4,610$1,369 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,368.82 | 66 | 36.4%24 W · 42 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd538…cc31backed Wizards | 30c | 4,580$1,374 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,374 | 214 | 50%107 W · 107 L | -14.6wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1d56…7486backed Pacers | 71c | 4,580$3,252 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,328.2 | 178 | 61.2%109 W · 69 L | +11.4wins | +0.06per pick | 55cpaid | +14.9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe0f3…d82cbacked Wizards | 31c | 4,072$1,262 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,262.17 | 155 | 51%79 W · 76 L | -6.2wins | -0.04per pick | 55cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9f13…e0fdbacked Pacers | 70c | 4,027$2,819 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,208.22 | 724 | 50.7%367 W · 357 L | +13.1wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4c03…0cc1backed Wizards | 1c | 3,863$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.53 | 1,602 | 11.8%189 W · 1,413 L | -4.8wins | 0.00per pick | 12cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6ce2…e868backed Pacers | 69c | 3,300$2,277 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,022.85 | 58 | 50%29 W · 29 L | -2.0wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6bd5…81b0backed Wizards | 15c | 3,287$490 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$490.35 | 46 | 17.4%8 W · 38 L | -3.0wins | -0.07per pick | 24cpaid | -47.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x90ba…63f3backed Wizards | 30c | 3,050$915 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$915 | 1,782 | 28%499 W · 1,283 L | +11.5wins | +0.01per pick | 27cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x52ec…a6f3backed Pacers | 72c | 3,000$2,160 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$840 | 430 | 51.4%221 W · 209 L | +2.5wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5f83…7252backed Wizards | 1c | 2,905$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.7 | 29 | 10.3%3 W · 26 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 12cpaid | -39.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe948…ff23backed Pacers | 70c | 2,857$2,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$857.14 | 172 | 50%86 W · 86 L | -3.0wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfc06…1a66backed Pacers | 66c | 2,804$1,851 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$953.36 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.6wins | +0.10per pick | 57cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc061…2353backed Wizards | 34c | 2,804$953 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$953.36 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -0.9wins | -0.12per pick | 49cpaid | -41%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0298…c5f4backed Wizards | 34c | 2,765$940 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$940.1 | 7 | 0%0 W · 7 L | -2.7wins | -0.39per pick | 39cpaid | -100%equal weight | 41-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x9ae2…9516backed Pacers | 66c | 2,765$1,825 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$940.1 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.10per pick | 60cpaid | -22%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4c14…7bc1backed Wizards | 30c | 2,667$800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$800 | 111 | 42.3%47 W · 64 L | -4.9wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9c72…eb65backed Wizards | 16c | 2,652$424 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$424.32 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.12per pick | 12cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9f58…0176backed Wizards | 34c | 2,508$853 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$852.72 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | -2.1wins | -0.19per pick | 47cpaid | -52%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1395…d208backed Pacers | 66c | 2,508$1,655 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$852.72 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -2.0wins | -0.20per pick | 50cpaid | -37.1%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6349…10e3backed Wizards | 30c | 2,401$720 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$720.16 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | +1.7wins | +0.12per pick | 45cpaid | +36%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x968f…587fbacked Wizards | 34c | 2,398$815 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$815.32 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +0.4wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x73aa…06d9backed Pacers | 66c | 2,398$1,583 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$815.32 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.6wins | -0.07per pick | 51cpaid | -20.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcda8…4d2cbacked Wizards | 34c | 2,331$793 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$792.54 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -1.3wins | -0.19per pick | 48cpaid | -55.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7008…9107backed Pacers | 66c | 2,331$1,538 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$792.54 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +0.9wins | +0.10per pick | 46cpaid | +14.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5f5d…8299backed Wizards | 34c | 2,293$780 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$779.62 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -0.3wins | -0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x68a6…ed90backed Pacers | 66c | 2,293$1,513 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$779.62 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -1.4wins | -0.16per pick | 49cpaid | -49.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x270d…2c53backed Pacers | 66c | 2,223$1,467 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$755.82 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +1.4wins | +0.14per pick | 46cpaid | +17.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8da0…07c0backed Wizards | 34c | 2,223$756 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$755.82 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.9wins | -0.12per pick | 55cpaid | -34.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x48db…bfdcbacked Wizards | 34c | 2,195$746 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$746.3 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x92d3…a99cbacked Pacers | 66c | 2,195$1,449 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$746.3 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -20.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Wizards | 15c | 2,156$316 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$315.76 | 8,988 | 47.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L | +96.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf8c8…8763backed Wizards | 34c | 2,151$731 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$731.34 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -1.7wins | -0.15per pick | 51cpaid | -42.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdf2f…3a37backed Pacers | 66c | 2,151$1,420 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$731.34 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 60cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7c0d…0281backed Pacers | 66c | 2,150$1,419 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$731 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +0.9wins | +0.07per pick | 51cpaid | +20.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9327…9fbcbacked Wizards | 34c | 2,150$731 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$731 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.5wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -27%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Wizards | 30c | 2,065$614 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$613.78 | 4,325 | 47%2,031 W · 2,294 L | -69.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1a19…b1d5backed Pacers | 66c | 2,051$1,354 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$697.34 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 60cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa8c7…cf1dbacked Wizards | 34c | 2,051$697 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$697.34 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -0.8wins | -0.10per pick | 48cpaid | -38.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6d41…6a0cbacked Pacers | 66c | 2,001$1,321 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$680.34 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +0.4wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2efb…77abbacked Wizards | 34c | 2,001$680 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$680.34 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -1.8wins | -0.25per pick | 54cpaid | -59.5%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xba41…5f4fbacked Pacers | 71c | 2,000$1,420 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$580 | 314 | 45.2%142 W · 172 L | -3.6wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x31ac…392cbacked Wizards | 25c | 2,000$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 23 | 56.5%13 W · 10 L | +3.8wins | +0.16per pick | 40cpaid | +33.5%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x8980…d4f4backed Wizards | 29c | 2,000$580 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$580 | 219 | 51.1%112 W · 107 L | +7.4wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdcee…99b1backed Wizards | 34c | 1,986$675 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$675.24 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -0.8wins | -0.10per pick | 48cpaid | -27.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4ef7…9336backed Pacers | 66c | 1,986$1,311 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$675.24 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +0.7wins | +0.07per pick | 48cpaid | +14.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2ddc…423ebacked Pacers | 66c | 1,972$1,302 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$670.48 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -1.2wins | -0.13per pick | 47cpaid | -43.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf14d…8449backed Wizards | 34c | 1,972$670 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$670.48 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -0.9wins | -0.09per pick | 49cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Pacers | 70c | 1,951$1,365 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$585.19 | 9,722 | 49.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa250…ca0fbacked Wizards | 31c | 1,945$600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$600 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -0.8wins | -0.11per pick | 40cpaid | -44.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Pacers | 70c | 1,943$1,360 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$582.75 | 3,591 | 50.1%1,798 W · 1,793 L | +21.6wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x57a8…6933backed Pacers | 71c | 1,914$1,359 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$555.05 | 927 | 53.5%496 W · 431 L | +20.1wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4317…6c43backed Wizards | 34c | 1,909$649 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$649.06 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.8wins | -0.09per pick | 53cpaid | -33.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xff49…1599backed Pacers | 66c | 1,909$1,260 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$649.06 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | +0.9wins | +0.09per pick | 61cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe20a…e469backed Pacers | 70c | 1,900$1,321 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$579.5 | 2,361 | 48.1%1,136 W · 1,225 L | -41.8wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7c42…be6bbacked Pacers | 66c | 1,899$1,253 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$645.66 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | +0.4wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +16.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xecff…4db5backed Wizards | 34c | 1,899$646 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$645.66 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -1.2wins | -0.15per pick | 53cpaid | -36.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7c30…870abacked Pacers | 66c | 1,894$1,250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$643.96 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | +0.6wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6fec…0287backed Wizards | 34c | 1,894$644 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$643.96 | 9 | 0%0 W · 9 L | -4.0wins | -0.45per pick | 45cpaid | -100%equal weight | 37-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xc60c…8a32backed Pacers | 66c | 1,863$1,230 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$633.42 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -1.9wins | -0.19per pick | 59cpaid | -40.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x932e…d63abacked Wizards | 34c | 1,863$633 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$633.42 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -1.8wins | -0.31per pick | 47cpaid | -73.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x32fe…21edbacked Wizards | 34c | 1,855$631 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$630.7 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | +1.5wins | +0.13per pick | 41cpaid | +23.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xedf3…1fa3backed Pacers | 66c | 1,855$1,224 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$630.7 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | -0.5wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x220a…51e1backed Pacers | 66c | 1,808$1,193 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$614.72 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 60cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfb96…20b7backed Wizards | 34c | 1,808$615 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$614.72 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -1.8wins | -0.23per pick | 48cpaid | -53.8%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2ea7…7373backed Wizards | 34c | 1,803$613 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$613.02 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -1.1wins | -0.11per pick | 51cpaid | -34.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4831…90a8backed Pacers | 66c | 1,803$1,190 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$613.02 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | +0.7wins | +0.05per pick | 56cpaid | +23.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x287e…88dbbacked Pacers | 66c | 1,800$1,188 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$612 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.8wins | -0.13per pick | 63cpaid | -29.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1b51…6f2cbacked Wizards | 34c | 1,800$612 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$612 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -1.4wins | -0.20per pick | 49cpaid | -53.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb738…cb3cbacked Pacers | 66c | 1,794$1,184 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$609.96 | 11 | 72.7%8 W · 3 L | +1.7wins | +0.16per pick | 57cpaid | +30.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x64ca…56eabacked Wizards | 34c | 1,794$610 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$609.96 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -0.4wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5d04…561dbacked Pacers | 66c | 1,780$1,175 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$605.2 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +1.1wins | +0.12per pick | 55cpaid | +15.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2ff7…4377backed Wizards | 34c | 1,780$605 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$605.2 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -15%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9132…2bedbacked Pacers | 66c | 1,779$1,174 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$604.86 | 9 | 88.9%8 W · 1 L | +3.2wins | +0.36per pick | 53cpaid | +73.2%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x5b65…a03dbacked Wizards | 34c | 1,779$605 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$604.86 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe98d…30e2backed Wizards | 34c | 1,759$598 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$598.06 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -2.0wins | -0.20per pick | 50cpaid | -40.5%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4891…b218backed Pacers | 66c | 1,759$1,161 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$598.06 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +0.5wins | +0.06per pick | 57cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x28e8…6080backed Pacers | 71c | 1,750$1,235 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$514.99 | 38 | 47.4%18 W · 20 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x363b…932abacked Wizards | 30c | 1,746$524 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$523.73 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 38cpaid | +85.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa4a6…fe74backed Wizards | 33c | 1,729$571 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$570.57 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.6wins | +0.13per pick | 27cpaid | +69.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Wizards vs. Pacersthis page
- Spread: Pacers (-6.5)Pacers won
- Spread: Pacers (-7.5)Pacers won
- Wizards vs. Pacers: 1H MoneylinePacers won
- Wizards vs. Pacers: O/U 237.5Under won
- Wizards vs. Pacers: O/U 238.5Under won
- Wizards vs. Pacers: O/U 239.5Under won
- Wizards vs. Pacers: O/U 240.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.