Europa Conference League · resolved market
Will Fenerbahce beat Slavia Praha?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x395e02474b4e803562c9b023b881ce7559572f18a8575e908fb99b883ad3f054
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Europa Conference Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $10,139
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $13,205
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $10,139 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 25 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Europa Conference League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2f84…dd89backed Yes | 20c | 1,500$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,200 | 33 | 54.5%18 W · 15 L | +4.5wins | +0.14per pick | 41cpaid | +40.4%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x480d…f219backed Yes | 19c | 1,000$190 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$810 | 87 | 49.4%43 W · 44 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x07f6…2ed5backed Yes | 10c | 1,000$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$900 | 18 | 22.2%4 W · 14 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 22cpaid | +17.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4a64…4430backed Yes | 18c | 690$124 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$565.8 | 187 | 39%73 W · 114 L | -3.1wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0269…cb2dbacked No | 74c | 465.77$345 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$344.67 | 182 | 44%80 W · 102 L | -8.3wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe248…36b4backed Yes | 22c | 454.09$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$354.19 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | +0.2wins | +0.03per pick | 26cpaid | +14.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa8f7…039abacked No | 74c | 376.83$279 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$278.85 | 38 | 42.1%16 W · 22 L | -3.5wins | -0.09per pick | 51cpaid | -25.2%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x93bc…8ca3backed No | 74c | 299.98$222 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$221.98 | 91 | 45.1%41 W · 50 L | -3.6wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -14%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8b29…d0a8backed Yes | 23c | 281.19$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$217.19 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | +0.2wins | +0.06per pick | 19cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd566…3e2dbacked Yes | 26c | 200$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$148 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.74per pick | 26cpaid | +284.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2d59…f80dbacked Yes | 26c | 200$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$148 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.28per pick | 39cpaid | +93.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7ff5…ce78backed Yes | 19c | 179.49$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$144.49 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xda0f…f0e7backed Yes | 44c | 166.19$73 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$93.07 | 48 | 60.4%29 W · 19 L | +9.0wins | +0.19per pick | 42cpaid | +53.3%equal weight | 64+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x538a…bd78backed Yes | 21c | 150$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$119 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +2.0wins | +0.25per pick | 38cpaid | +61.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x44f1…9878backed Yes | 26c | 146.15$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108.15 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.74per pick | 26cpaid | +284.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7432…794bbacked Yes | 23c | 130.43$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100.43 | 13 | 23.1%3 W · 10 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 24cpaid | -25.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbe34…cf4cbacked No | 73c | 124.13$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90.28 | 27 | 55.6%15 W · 12 L | -0.9wins | -0.04per pick | 59cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb786…b18dbacked No | 73c | 123.5$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90.4 | 330 | 55.2%182 W · 148 L | +21.0wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x66db…7afbbacked Yes | 26c | 115.38$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.38 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.31per pick | 19cpaid | +92.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa3b7…520dbacked Yes | 32c | 102.12$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.12 | 57 | 35.1%20 W · 37 L | -3.4wins | -0.06per pick | 41cpaid | -13%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc5dc…b55cbacked Yes | 20c | 100$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.17per pick | 33cpaid | +150%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xea55…2b03backed No | 75c | 66.6$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.95 | 11 | 72.7%8 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 75cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb70b…4dc8backed Yes | 26c | 61.54$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.54 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 27cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa64a…21dabacked Yes | 26c | 57.62$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.64 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | +1.8wins | +0.14per pick | 32cpaid | +31.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1266…cd8cbacked No | 76c | 25$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19 | 82 | 45.1%37 W · 45 L | -6.3wins | -0.08per pick | 53cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Fenerbahce beat Slavia Praha?this page
- Will Slavia Praha beat Fenerbahce?No won
- Will the match between Slavia Praha and Fenerbahce end in a draw?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.