Premier League · resolved market
Will Spurs vs. Ipswich end in a draw?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xef1f7f0bd9c057126f18c712aecdd38189171e7ca1551ed94ad23db5b21592f4
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $15,284
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $15,516
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $15,284 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 35 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Premier League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2168…30f4backed Yes | 42c | 3,651$1,548 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,548.41 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.31per pick | 31cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe642…9440backed No | 77c | 1,384$1,066 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$318.33 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.11per pick | 55cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2ff0…46e3backed No | 57c | 1,307$750 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$557.83 | 93 | 61.3%57 W · 36 L | +7.7wins | +0.08per pick | 53cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x93bc…8ca3backed Yes | 34c | 1,124$379 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$379.19 | 406 | 40.9%166 W · 240 L | -4.5wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4a64…4430backed No | 63c | 682.2$430 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$252.09 | 378 | 41.8%158 W · 220 L | +8.7wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xee00…cea1backed No | 69c | 545.16$376 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$169 | 283 | 55.5%157 W · 126 L | +17.4wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +14.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0a86…5664backed Yes | 14c | 500$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 246 | 30.5%75 W · 171 L | +4.0wins | +0.02per pick | 29cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd95a…f689backed Yes | 31c | 374.19$116 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$116 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.11per pick | 39cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4aef…9337backed Yes | 12c | 334.38$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.13 | 153 | 37.3%57 W · 96 L | -7.0wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8b7a…f6dbbacked Yes | 31c | 320.36$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 44 | 38.6%17 W · 27 L | -2.3wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x68cf…004dbacked Yes | 30c | 300$89 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$89 | 17 | 41.2%7 W · 10 L | -0.9wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x71cd…912dbacked Yes | 11c | 256.82$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.25 | 197 | 43.7%86 W · 111 L | +32.4wins | +0.16per pick | 27cpaid | +142.5%equal weight | 66+0.15 edge/pick |
| 0x306b…3ec5backed Yes | 15c | 231.56$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.81 | 19 | 36.8%7 W · 12 L | -0.7wins | -0.04per pick | 41cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x07f6…2ed5backed Yes | 25c | 200$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 78 | 25.6%20 W · 58 L | -2.2wins | -0.03per pick | 28cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3d8c…726cbacked Yes | 14c | 199.55$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.92 | 20 | 35%7 W · 13 L | -0.7wins | -0.04per pick | 39cpaid | +13.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5ac9…7d06backed Yes | 14c | 188.07$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.33 | 15 | 13.3%2 W · 13 L | -3.2wins | -0.21per pick | 35cpaid | -67.2%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xbc12…1e02backed Yes | 13c | 169.02$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.97 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.08per pick | 26cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcdff…3e7fbacked Yes | 31c | 161.29$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5f41…83f5backed No | 75c | 100$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25 | 73 | 43.8%32 W · 41 L | +2.6wins | +0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc4c9…6aebbacked Yes | 14c | 100$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.9wins | -0.22per pick | 47cpaid | -66.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x01a9…f42fbacked Yes | 25c | 100$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 24 | 37.5%9 W · 15 L | -3.9wins | -0.16per pick | 54cpaid | -30.1%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x9d91…863dbacked Yes | 33c | 100$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33 | 17 | 47.1%8 W · 9 L | -1.5wins | -0.09per pick | 56cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7be1…200ebacked Yes | 28c | 100$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28 | 113 | 53.1%60 W · 53 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf421…7fcbbacked Yes | 26c | 96.15$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.2wins | -0.30per pick | 30cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x66db…7afbbacked Yes | 14c | 92.86$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 22 | 18.2%4 W · 18 L | -0.8wins | -0.03per pick | 22cpaid | -10%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x51b1…bce2backed Yes | 20c | 66$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.2 | 182 | 32.4%59 W · 123 L | -15.9wins | -0.09per pick | 41cpaid | -23.7%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x8c91…0505backed Yes | 16c | 62.5$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 21 | 42.9%9 W · 12 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +28.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5cec…d461backed Yes | 18c | 62.5$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.25 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.18per pick | 18cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x057f…e694backed No | 70c | 59.69$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.91 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.04per pick | 63cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4687…c40ebacked Yes | 36c | 55.56$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 25 | 52%13 W · 12 L | -1.3wins | -0.05per pick | 57cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf6a8…f9edbacked No | 68c | 50$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +1.1wins | +0.37per pick | 30cpaid | +269.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1875…eb5ebacked Yes | 29c | 42.06$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 54 | 29.6%16 W · 38 L | -2.4wins | -0.05per pick | 34cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcd60…7524backed No | 72c | 27.78$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.78 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.04per pick | 76cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa9d7…25e9backed No | 70c | 25$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.5 | 376 | 52.4%197 W · 179 L | +27.4wins | +0.07per pick | 45cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xaa45…63ddbacked No | 75c | 16$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.26per pick | 74cpaid | +35.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Spurs vs. Ipswich end in a draw?this page
- Will Ipswich win on 2024-11-10?Yes won
- Will Spurs win on 2024-11-10?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.