TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Premier League · resolved market

Will Spurs win on 2024-11-10?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Noof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$39,531
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$41,131

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $39,531 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 143 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Premier League
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x0269…cb2dbacked No19c5,043$958 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,084.8840254.7%220 W · 182 L+14.1wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+9.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x306b…3ec5backed Yes6c2,861$169 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$168.991936.8%7 W · 12 L-0.7wins-0.04per pick41cpaid-7.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9478…63f5backed No20c2,346$463 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,883.465959.3%35 W · 24 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick60cpaid-4.5%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xca95…fc40backed No20c1,920$384 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,536.143551.4%18 W · 17 L+1.2wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+17.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x97e1…017bbacked No77c1,542$1,193 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$348.7216851.2%86 W · 82 L-4.7wins-0.03per pick54cpaid-16.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x93bc…8ca3backed No19c1,272$245 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,026.240640.9%166 W · 240 L-4.5wins-0.01per pick42cpaid-1.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2b74…a4f4backed No22c1,133$250 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$883.432025%5 W · 15 L+1.0wins+0.05per pick20cpaid+9.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xefce…f0e7backed No58c1,027$600 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$426.741560%9 W · 6 L+0.1wins0.00per pick60cpaid-7.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x50e5…e39fbacked Yes27c962.25$257 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$256.6829643.6%129 W · 167 L-11.3wins-0.04per pick47cpaid-10.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xfb79…c2c6backed No20c882.49$175 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$707.4114659.6%87 W · 59 L+9.2wins+0.06per pick53cpaid+18.5%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x95cc…7f08backed No21c781.64$164 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$617.423650%18 W · 18 L+0.7wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+12.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x56de…bc32backed Yes79c666.99$527 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$526.921546.7%7 W · 8 L-0.7wins-0.05per pick51cpaid-18.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2168…30f4backed Yes20c594.9$119 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$118.9820%0 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.31per pick31cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xf5ed…dc9ebacked Yes36c561.6$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$200450%2 W · 2 L+0.8wins+0.20per pick30cpaid+264%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xda03…fa78backed No20c549.99$110 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$439.99250%1 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.10per pick40cpaid+150%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x95cd…32d0backed No20c546.42$109 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$437.135554.5%30 W · 25 L+10.6wins+0.19per pick35cpaid+60.9%equal weight65+0.13 edge/pick
0x2ff0…46e3backed Yes17c521.2$89 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$89.49361.3%57 W · 36 L+7.7wins+0.08per pick53cpaid+8.4%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x4aef…9337backed Yes78c509.99$398 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$397.7915337.3%57 W · 96 L-7.0wins-0.05per pick42cpaid-9.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xe227…55d8backed Yes80c500$400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4007256.9%41 W · 31 L-0.3wins0.00per pick57cpaid+4.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x20c7…3ebabacked Yes80c500$400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40020%0 W · 2 L-1.3wins-0.65per pick65cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xea0d…e1c3backed Yes78c450$351 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$351333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.8wins-0.26per pick59cpaid-50.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x71cd…912dbacked No18c444$80 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$364.0819743.7%86 W · 111 L+32.4wins+0.16per pick27cpaid+142.5%equal weight66+0.15 edge/pick
0xfe2d…45d5backed Yes57c439.22$250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2501136.4%4 W · 7 L-0.2wins-0.02per pick38cpaid-2.4%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x60f6…9564backed Yes24c413.03$98 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$97.5220%0 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.23per pick23cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x464e…7bd8backed Yes79c400$316 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3163953.8%21 W · 18 L+1.5wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+17.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xeb94…d871backed Yes80c367.89$294 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$294.312055%11 W · 9 L-1.3wins-0.07per pick62cpaid-23.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x73af…4fc0backed Yes28c361.52$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100633.3%2 W · 4 L-1.4wins-0.23per pick56cpaid-47.5%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xac97…a99ebacked No20c335.48$67 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$268.385653.6%30 W · 26 L+4.1wins+0.07per pick46cpaid+53.4%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x565b…fa9bbacked Yes80c300$240 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2402268.2%15 W · 7 L+0.5wins+0.02per pick66cpaid+1.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6451…025fbacked Yes55c272.73$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1506230.6%19 W · 43 L-0.2wins0.00per pick31cpaid-5.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8ff0…a606backed Yes80c250.39$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$200.1610%0 W · 1 L-0.8wins-0.80per pick80cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x7be1…200ebacked Yes74c250$185 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$184.511353.1%60 W · 53 L-0.4wins0.00per pick53cpaid+1.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xff24…c1c7backed Yes80c232.98$186 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$186.3830%0 W · 3 L-1.5wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xddc3…a171backed Yes23c217.58$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$503732.4%12 W · 25 L-1.4wins-0.04per pick36cpaid-5.9%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xf0b0…8cabbacked Yes6c211.22$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.3466031.2%206 W · 454 L-13.0wins-0.02per pick33cpaid-23.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x637d…2392backed No21c190.48$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$150.483826.3%10 W · 28 L-5.1wins-0.13per pick40cpaid-33.6%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x01a9…f42fbacked Yes12c190$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.52437.5%9 W · 15 L-3.9wins-0.16per pick54cpaid-30.1%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x484c…017ebacked Yes55c181.82$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1002725.9%7 W · 20 L-5.9wins-0.22per pick48cpaid-39.8%equal weight37-0.11 edge/pick
0xe8b4…1cbabacked Yes16c178.94$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.89250%1 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.08per pick42cpaid-25.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x07dd…ed9dbacked Yes17c170.99$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.0718433.7%62 W · 122 L-2.5wins-0.01per pick35cpaid-8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd1fe…2835backed No21c170.47$36 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$134.932944.8%13 W · 16 L+2.8wins+0.10per pick35cpaid+61.1%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xa3b7…520dbacked No21c168.18$35 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$133.1815636.5%57 W · 99 L-11.7wins-0.07per pick44cpaid-18.1%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xfb32…db85backed No80c162.75$130 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32.68862.5%5 W · 3 L+0.2wins+0.02per pick60cpaid-8.1%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x6c82…6150backed No19c154.91$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$125.4729751.9%154 W · 143 L-1.8wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-2.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8c46…be29backed Yes80c150$120 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12032736.4%119 W · 208 L-21.2wins-0.06per pick43cpaid-19.6%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xdc4b…5a92backed Yes79c150$119 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$118.542755%235 W · 192 L-23.4wins-0.05per pick61cpaid-11%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x7f6e…440fbacked Yes80c147.81$118 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$118.2510%0 W · 1 L-0.8wins-0.80per pick80cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x007c…6d5dbacked Yes48c145.83$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$70540%2 W · 3 L-0.6wins-0.12per pick52cpaid-16.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x502a…f623backed No21c133.33$28 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$105.33666.7%4 W · 2 L+1.7wins+0.28per pick39cpaid+77.9%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xc745…9499backed Yes80c132.03$106 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$105.6211638.8%45 W · 71 L-4.7wins-0.04per pick43cpaid-15%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xef04…88c3backed Yes79c130$103 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$102.71471.4%10 W · 4 L+0.8wins+0.06per pick66cpaid+12.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xcd93…d3d3backed Yes79c127.84$101 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100.9910%0 W · 1 L-0.8wins-0.79per pick79cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x330b…69f1backed Yes80c125.66$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100.2720447.1%96 W · 108 L-8.0wins-0.04per pick51cpaid-11.8%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x137c…8dd5backed Yes80c125.34$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100728.6%2 W · 5 L-1.5wins-0.21per pick49cpaid-30.4%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x9d91…863dbacked Yes80c125$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1001747.1%8 W · 9 L-1.5wins-0.09per pick56cpaid-2.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x10c4…466fbacked No80c125$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25666.7%4 W · 2 L+0.2wins+0.03per pick64cpaid+19.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x97cb…9efcbacked Yes80c123.76$99 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$99.01728.6%2 W · 5 L-1.2wins-0.16per pick45cpaid-38.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x8326…da54backed No21c119.99$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$94.79475%3 W · 1 L+1.1wins+0.28per pick47cpaid+91.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xe8f4…d323backed No22c113.64$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$88.646100%6 W · 0 L+2.6wins+0.44per pick56cpaid+139.7%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x8927…2c5dbacked Yes80c111.55$89 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$89.2410%0 W · 1 L-0.8wins-0.80per pick80cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xeb7d…4c8dbacked Yes79c107.84$85 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$85.1950%0 W · 5 L-2.0wins-0.40per pick40cpaid-100%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x8bc9…5effbacked Yes79c102.52$81 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$80.9920%0 W · 2 L-1.5wins-0.76per pick76cpaid-100%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x4a64…4430backed Yes41c100.07$41 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$41.0337841.8%158 W · 220 L+8.7wins+0.02per pick39cpaid-9.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe83c…5e8fbacked No21c100$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7924566.1%162 W · 83 L+24.5wins+0.10per pick56cpaid+19.4%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0xb063…40d6backed No21c100$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$791250%6 W · 6 L+0.4wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+39.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc4c9…6aebbacked Yes80c100$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$80425%1 W · 3 L-0.9wins-0.22per pick47cpaid-66.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xc6ca…09a4backed Yes80c100$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$802142.9%9 W · 12 L-4.9wins-0.23per pick66cpaid-37.4%equal weight38-0.11 edge/pick
0x45fe…edecbacked Yes80c100$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$80520%1 W · 4 L-2.1wins-0.43per pick63cpaid-70.9%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xc390…715cbacked Yes26c96.15$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$251145.5%5 W · 6 L0.0wins0.00per pick45cpaid-16%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4630…a058backed No21c95.24$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$75.246258.1%36 W · 26 L+2.5wins+0.04per pick54cpaid+14%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xba99…8f26backed No32c94.28$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$64.284621.7%10 W · 36 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick22cpaid-18.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7fff…10d5backed Yes79c90$71 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$71.13839.5%15 W · 23 L-3.0wins-0.08per pick47cpaid-18.2%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x843a…8070backed Yes78c80.17$63 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$62.84537.8%17 W · 28 L-2.6wins-0.06per pick44cpaid-14.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x4790…2dd7backed No53c80$42 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$383557.1%20 W · 15 L+0.5wins+0.01per pick56cpaid-4.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa9d7…25e9backed Yes71c75$53 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$53.2537652.4%197 W · 179 L+27.4wins+0.07per pick45cpaid+9.5%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x51b1…bce2backed Yes15c72.25$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.918232.4%59 W · 123 L-15.9wins-0.09per pick41cpaid-23.7%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x90ba…63f3backed No21c65.38$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$51.6568026.3%179 W · 501 L+5.6wins+0.01per pick25cpaid-1.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2f9a…8ae8backed Yes80c63.75$51 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$51425%1 W · 3 L-1.2wins-0.31per pick56cpaid-66.2%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xe947…2cf3backed Yes79c63.29$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5010154.5%55 W · 46 L-9.6wins-0.09per pick64cpaid-17.5%equal weight42-0.08 edge/pick
0xe2b3…5fa4backed Yes79c63.29$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$502737%10 W · 17 L-4.6wins-0.17per pick54cpaid-30.2%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x80ba…a1f9backed Yes80c62.5$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$501553.3%8 W · 7 L0.0wins0.00per pick54cpaid+7.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xce7c…ea32backed Yes80c62.5$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5020%0 W · 2 L-1.4wins-0.69per pick69cpaid-100%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x91c2…8987backed No80c62.5$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.5887.5%7 W · 1 L+1.5wins+0.19per pick68cpaid+31.5%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xc974…eb16backed Yes80c62.5$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$502556%14 W · 11 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick57cpaid+1.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbc83…c908backed No79c60$47 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.6633.3%2 W · 4 L-1.6wins-0.27per pick60cpaid-54%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x585c…175ebacked Yes80c58.15$47 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$46.52475%3 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick76cpaid+1.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x895d…bba8backed Yes80c57.5$46 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4610%0 W · 1 L-0.8wins-0.80per pick80cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x50a5…00b0backed Yes79c57.43$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$45.37250%1 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.15per pick65cpaid-2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x54db…14a4backed Yes78c54.13$42 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$42.22425%1 W · 3 L-1.2wins-0.30per pick55cpaid-60.3%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x5f41…83f5backed No21c50.17$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$39.637343.8%32 W · 41 L+2.6wins+0.04per pick40cpaid-11.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa98e…485dbacked Yes80c50$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4030%0 W · 3 L-1.9wins-0.64per pick64cpaid-100%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xff50…de6fbacked No21c50$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$39.5771.4%5 W · 2 L+1.4wins+0.20per pick52cpaid+63.2%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xab9f…f634backed Yes20c50$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10156.7%1 W · 14 L-2.4wins-0.16per pick22cpaid-72.2%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xce2f…09a9backed No24c50$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$384946.9%23 W · 26 L+5.0wins+0.10per pick37cpaid+31.1%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xad9d…9b95backed No20c50$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4016060%96 W · 64 L+15.0wins+0.09per pick51cpaid+18.8%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xa52d…9505backed Yes80c50$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$401266.7%8 W · 4 L-1.0wins-0.08per pick75cpaid-11.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x1266…cd8cbacked No20c50$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4014450.7%73 W · 71 L-3.4wins-0.02per pick53cpaid-5.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1ac7…8deebacked Yes79c50$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39.51450%7 W · 7 L-0.6wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-9.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x259a…991dbacked Yes80c43.75$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$352642.3%11 W · 15 L-2.8wins-0.11per pick53cpaid-14.8%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x1b91…27dcbacked Yes58c42.86$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$257751.9%40 W · 37 L-7.3wins-0.10per pick61cpaid-13.4%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.