TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0xb063…40d6

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
80
Categories scored
7
Categories below 50
1

Best Category: NHL, grading 59 out of 100 (+0.09 per pick).

Best Category NHL at 59 out of 100; worst Champions League at 50.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
NBA Inactivelast resolved Jan 19, 2026, EST4055%22 W · 18 L+2.0wins+0.05per pick50cpaid+9.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
NBA — the 40 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Hornets vs. Nuggetsbacked Nuggets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 19, 2026, EST-100%-$40
Nets vs. Bullsbacked Bulls · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$60Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 18, 2026, EST+44.9%+$26.96
Pelicans vs. Rocketsbacked Pelicans · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 18, 2026, EST-100%-$12
Magic vs. Grizzliesbacked Magic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 18, 2026, EST-100%-$50
Lakers vs. Trail Blazersbacked Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 18, 2026, EST-100%-$30
Suns vs. Knicksbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 18, 2026, EST-100%-$50
Hornets vs. Warriorsbacked Warriors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 18, 2026, EST+47.1%+$23.53
Celtics vs. Hawksbacked Celtics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 17, 2026, EST+66.7%+$33.33
Pelicans vs. Pacersbacked Pacers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$21Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 16, 2026, EST+63.9%+$13.42
Hornets vs. Lakersbacked Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 16, 2026, EST-100%-$20
Hawks vs. Trail Blazersbacked Trail Blazers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 16, 2026, EST+150%+$18
Celtics vs. Heatbacked Heat · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$26Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 16, 2026, EST-100%-$26
Spurs vs. Timberwolvesbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 12, 2026, EST-100%-$14
Nets vs. Grizzliesbacked Grizzlies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 11, 2026, EST+42.9%+$5.14
Timberwolves vs. Wizardsbacked Timberwolves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 4, 2026, EST+25%+$7.5
Nuggets vs. Netsbacked Nets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 4, 2026, EST+132.6%+$19.88
Heat vs. Lakersbacked Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$49Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 3, 2025, EST+51.5%+$25.24
Clippers vs. Nuggetsbacked Nuggets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$28Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 4, 2025, EDT+88.7%+$25.2
Timberwolves vs. Lakersbacked Timberwolves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2025, EDT+203%+$28.42
Trail Blazers vs. Raptorsbacked Raptors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 4, 2025, EDT-100%-$14
Nuggets vs. Warriorsbacked Nuggets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2025, EDT+170.3%+$19.02
Pistons vs. Clippersbacked Clippers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 6, 2025, EST+194.1%+$27.18
Warriors vs. Kingsbacked Kings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 22, 2025, EST-100%-$15
Heat vs. Raptorsbacked Raptors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 22, 2025, EST-100%-$19
Kings vs. Trail Blazersbacked Trail Blazers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$180Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 7, 2025, EST+90.3%+$162.57
Showing 25 of 40 picks, newest first.
NHL Inactivelast resolved Jan 18, 2026, EST2369.6%16 W · 7 L+4.1wins+0.18per pick52cpaid+34.6%equal weight59+0.09 edge/pick
NHL — the 23 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Panthers vs. Capitalsbacked Panthers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$23Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 18, 2026, EST+127.3%+$29.27
Sharks vs. Capitalsbacked Sharks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 15, 2026, EST+156.4%+$25.03
Golden Knights vs. Kingsbacked Golden Knights · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$34Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 15, 2026, EST+92.3%+$31.38
Senators vs. Rangersbacked Senators · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 15, 2026, EST+96.1%+$38.43
Kraken vs. Devilsbacked Devils · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 15, 2026, EST+66.7%+$26.67
Flyers vs. Sabresbacked Sabres · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 15, 2026, EST+72.4%+$36.21
Stars vs. Ducksbacked Stars · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 14, 2026, EST-100%-$50
Lightning vs. Penguinsbacked Penguins · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 14, 2026, EST-100%-$40
Flames vs. Blue Jacketsbacked Blue Jackets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$39Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 14, 2026, EST+72.4%+$28.59
Canadiens vs. Capitalsbacked Capitals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 14, 2026, EST+72.4%+$36.21
Predators vs. Oilersbacked Oilers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 7, 2026, EST+63.9%+$25.57
Panthers vs. Maple Leafsbacked Panthers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 7, 2026, EST-100%-$30
Canucks vs. Sabresbacked Sabres · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 7, 2026, EST+60.5%+$24.21
Stars vs. Hurricanesbacked Hurricanes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 6, 2026, EST+81.8%+$24.55
Canadiens vs. Starsbacked Canadiens · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 5, 2026, EST+177.8%+$24.89
Red Wings vs. Flamesbacked Flames · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 11, 2025, EST-100%-$20
Rangers vs. Blackhawksbacked Blackhawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$24Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 11, 2025, EST+127.3%+$30.85
Maple Leafs vs. Panthersbacked Panthers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$48Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 12, 2025, EDT+56.3%+$26.76
Jets vs. Starsbacked Stars · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 11, 2025, EDT+72.4%+$28.97
Avalanche vs. Starsbacked Avalanche · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 4, 2025, EDT-100%-$50
Canadiens vs. Capitalsbacked Canadiens · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$12.37
Kings vs. Oilersbacked Kings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$26Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 15, 2025, EDT+100%+$26
Utah vs. Predatorsbacked Predators · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 15, 2025, EDT-100%-$20.19
All 23 picks, newest first.
Premier League Inactivelast resolved Jan 17, 2026, EST1250%6 W · 6 L+0.4wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+39.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Premier League — the 12 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Brentford FC win on 2026-01-17?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 17, 2026, EST+28.2%+$3.38
Will Manchester United FC win on 2026-01-17?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 17, 2026, EST-100%-$11
Will Liverpool win on 2025-09-20?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 20, 2025, EDT+49.3%+$7.12
Will Newcastle win on 2025-05-11?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 11, 2025, EDT-100%-$50
Will Brentford win on 2025-05-10?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2025, EDT-100%-$15
Will Arsenal win on 2025-05-03?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 3, 2025, EDT-100%-$50
Will Aston Villa win on 2025-01-26?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 26, 2025, EST+167.5%+$20.1
Will Manchester City win on 2025-01-25?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 25, 2025, EST+112.8%+$16.54
Will Bournemouth win on 2024-12-05?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 5, 2024, EST-100%-$25.21
Will Leicester win on 2024-11-10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 10, 2024, EST-100%-$20
Will Spurs win on 2024-11-10?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$21Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 10, 2024, EST+376.2%+$79
Will Brighton win on 2024-11-09?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 9, 2024, EST+334.8%+$43.52
All 12 picks, newest first.
Champions League Inactivelast resolved Oct 21, 2025, EDT250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-23.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Champions League — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Newcastle United FC win on 2025-10-21?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 21, 2025, EDT-100%-$10.28
FIFA Club World Cup: Palmeiras vs. Chelsea (To Advance) backed Chelsea · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2025, EDT+53.8%+$21.54
All 2 picks, newest first.
NFL Inactivelast resolved Nov 12, 2024, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.57per pick43cpaid+132.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
NFL — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NFL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Dolphins vs. Ramsbacked Dolphins · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$45Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 12, 2024, EST+132.6%+$59.65
All 1 picks, newest first.
MLB Inactivelast resolved May 11, 2025, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.51per pick49cpaid+104.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
MLB — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Dodgers vs. Diamondbacksbacked Diamondbacks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 11, 2025, EDT+104.7%+$16.66
All 1 picks, newest first.
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Oct 12, 2025, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.40per pick60cpaid+66.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Denmark win on 2025-10-12?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 12, 2025, EDT+66.7%+$7.71
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.