TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

MLB · resolved market

Dodgers vs. Diamondbacks

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Diamondbacksof Dodgers, Diamondbacks
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$66,139
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$66,841

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $66,139 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 90 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in MLB
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xbde3…4a49backed Dodgers52c17,900$9,308 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9,307.9714648.6%71 W · 75 L+0.9wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+1.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb786…b18dbacked Diamondbacks51c10,481$5,339 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,142.31,59150.3%801 W · 790 L+68.9wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+1.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x21ed…16f3backed Diamondbacks53c10,000$5,337 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,663.582958.6%17 W · 12 L+1.5wins+0.05per pick53cpaid+8.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xc8b4…f05dbacked Diamondbacks48c8,543$4,101 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,442.3141850%209 W · 209 L+6.4wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+2.4%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xa315…cabbbacked Dodgers48c6,070$2,914 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,913.611456.1%64 W · 50 L+1.7wins+0.01per pick55cpaid+4.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9716…378abacked Diamondbacks48c5,720$2,746 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,974.3450852.6%267 W · 241 L+2.6wins+0.01per pick52cpaid+2%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0xb8c4…7385backed Dodgers49c5,555$2,722 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,721.9539041%160 W · 230 L-22.2wins-0.06per pick47cpaid-13.4%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xbf40…1bd2backed Dodgers16c4,504$717 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$716.632626.9%7 W · 19 L-2.1wins-0.08per pick35cpaid-46.2%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x29c0…efaabacked Dodgers48c3,485$1,674 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,674.161,21252.1%631 W · 581 L+21.3wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+3.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7ba5…aaf1backed Dodgers47c2,418$1,148 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,148.3454048.3%261 W · 279 L-12.6wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-6.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x58db…ea03backed Dodgers49c2,058$1,008 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,008.4112347.2%58 W · 65 L-1.0wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-4.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x24df…e8b2backed Dodgers46c1,793$825 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$824.861,20344.2%532 W · 671 L+20.5wins+0.02per pick43cpaid-1.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3f3b…1d77backed Dodgers48c1,792$859 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$859.363253.1%17 W · 15 L+0.7wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+8.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf42a…8470backed Dodgers12c1,111$133 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$133.3220523.4%48 W · 157 L-9.0wins-0.04per pick28cpaid-30.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x1d3a…7b63backed Diamondbacks52c1,099$571 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$527.521,35250.8%687 W · 665 L+13.3wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+2.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdf2e…ddecbacked Dodgers46c1,008$464 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$463.591,53050.5%772 W · 758 L+20.8wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-0.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x480d…f219backed Dodgers49c1,000$490 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4901,25052.2%653 W · 597 L-5.0wins0.00per pick53cpaid-1.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd04d…d0e5backed Diamondbacks48c1,000$480 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$52033349.5%165 W · 168 L-10.3wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-3.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa270…42c9backed Dodgers48c1,000$480 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48040152.4%210 W · 191 L+0.8wins0.00per pick52cpaid-0.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x10b0…8525backed Diamondbacks47c999.94$470 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$529.9795850%479 W · 479 L+4.6wins0.00per pick50cpaid+2.5%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x1867…92cabacked Diamondbacks48c800$384 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$41626453.8%142 W · 122 L+9.5wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+9.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xe401…7b88backed Diamondbacks56c763.82$426 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$338.259,72846.3%4,506 W · 5,222 L+32.8wins0.00per pick46cpaid-8.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf9fe…366bbacked Diamondbacks52c757.05$394 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$363.381369.2%9 W · 4 L+2.7wins+0.21per pick48cpaid+30.7%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xe216…7448backed Dodgers21c714.29$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1501,21340.5%491 W · 722 L-32.1wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-5.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf7c4…5919backed Dodgers20c694.8$140 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1401,1807.2%85 W · 1,095 L-13.6wins-0.01per pick8cpaid-37.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd9e0…05f2backed Diamondbacks69c686.09$474 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$211.64,16950.2%2,093 W · 2,076 L+92.5wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-11.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7d07…0351backed Dodgers43c608.16$264 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26412624.6%31 W · 95 L-0.9wins-0.01per pick25cpaid+10.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xde04…fa37backed Dodgers7c579$42 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$41.531,51039%589 W · 921 L-16.5wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-17.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x069c…96e4backed Dodgers39c509.76$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2003925.6%10 W · 29 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick25cpaid-18.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5ed5…e9bfbacked Dodgers19c488.7$91 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9117744.1%78 W · 99 L-6.9wins-0.04per pick48cpaid-15.3%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x63ed…92bebacked Dodgers45c444.67$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2001643.8%7 W · 9 L0.0wins0.00per pick44cpaid-9.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xce4d…a7fabacked Dodgers23c443.9$103 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$103.41944.4%4 W · 5 L+0.5wins+0.05per pick39cpaid+0.9%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xd55c…34febacked Diamondbacks51c396.23$202 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$194.1537649.5%186 W · 190 L+9.4wins+0.02per pick47cpaid+5.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xa6a8…5009backed Diamondbacks69c356.8$245 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$112.152,27443.2%983 W · 1,291 L+43.8wins+0.02per pick41cpaid-8.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5e42…9003backed Diamondbacks52c316$165 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$151.2443250.7%219 W · 213 L+10.9wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+0.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x4103…9b9ebacked Dodgers32c311.47$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$99.6730842.9%132 W · 176 L-10.3wins-0.03per pick46cpaid-7.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x11d7…52e1backed Diamondbacks52c306.03$160 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$146.4580955.5%449 W · 360 L+12.4wins+0.02per pick54cpaid+1.2%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x79cb…331ebacked Dodgers4c294.99$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.24754.4%21 W · 454 L-20.9wins-0.04per pick9cpaid-72.8%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x6391…bc1cbacked Dodgers47c283$133 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$133.014546.7%21 W · 24 L+0.6wins+0.01per pick45cpaid+5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0624…017dbacked Dodgers53c281.41$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15026651.1%136 W · 130 L-16.0wins-0.06per pick57cpaid-11.9%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x5530…d38dbacked Dodgers31c257.34$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$79.782,20350.3%1,108 W · 1,095 L+29.6wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-0.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3a9e…f27abacked Dodgers53c250$133 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$132.54854.2%26 W · 22 L+1.1wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+8.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa9d3…9d4bbacked Diamondbacks48c248$119 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$128.9623545.5%107 W · 128 L-2.7wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-2.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa8f3…e544backed Diamondbacks47c214.98$101 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$113.941,43550%717 W · 718 L+25.8wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8b7e…6a9fbacked Diamondbacks48c208.33$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$108.332,03352.4%1,066 W · 967 L-35.5wins-0.02per pick54cpaid-3.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xdc4b…5a92backed Diamondbacks48c208.33$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$108.332,26753.3%1,208 W · 1,059 L-12.4wins-0.01per pick54cpaid-1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8059…c043backed Diamondbacks48c208.33$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$108.3378454.5%427 W · 357 L+19.5wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+5.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xb13d…2e90backed Dodgers50c205.69$103 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$102.8468656.4%387 W · 299 L+38.0wins+0.06per pick51cpaid+10%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x067f…e041backed Diamondbacks48c200$96 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10493240.5%377 W · 555 L+14.2wins+0.02per pick39cpaid+2.5%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xf0b0…8cabbacked Diamondbacks74c189.64$141 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$48.3663942.7%273 W · 366 L+4.0wins+0.01per pick42cpaid-9.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc91a…c6b8backed Dodgers53c188.68$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10010746.7%50 W · 57 L+4.4wins+0.04per pick43cpaid-1.9%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xf520…0637backed Diamondbacks71c180$128 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$52.297950.2%491 W · 488 L+49.6wins+0.05per pick45cpaid+2.8%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x2920…80bebacked Dodgers47c168.76$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8023852.9%126 W · 112 L-0.8wins0.00per pick53cpaid-1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Diamondbacks52c158.04$82 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$75.842,47052.5%1,296 W · 1,174 L+17.7wins+0.01per pick52cpaid+2.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xeeee…ccb7backed Diamondbacks48c145.83$70 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$75.836852.9%36 W · 32 L+2.0wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+6.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd7cb…b857backed Diamondbacks48c124.99$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$64.993865.8%25 W · 13 L+5.2wins+0.14per pick52cpaid+25.9%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x235a…2e57backed Diamondbacks52c120$62 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$57.612548%60 W · 65 L+3.8wins+0.03per pick45cpaid+4.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1dc8…4c1dbacked Dodgers48c114.6$55 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$55.0131145.7%142 W · 169 L-9.9wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-5.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x47a5…b734backed Dodgers17c105$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.9540%2 W · 3 L-0.4wins-0.08per pick48cpaid-28.2%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xd065…93e8backed Diamondbacks48c104.17$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$54.174259.5%25 W · 17 L+2.2wins+0.05per pick54cpaid+29.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x616b…72f7backed Dodgers49c102.04$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$501435.7%5 W · 9 L-1.4wins-0.10per pick46cpaid-29.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x866d…4d7dbacked Dodgers46c100$46 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$466532.3%21 W · 44 L-1.3wins-0.02per pick34cpaid+0.7%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x72fe…e2cebacked Dodgers47c85$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39.9551955.3%287 W · 232 L-2.7wins-0.01per pick56cpaid-1.6%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x9418…4f2abacked Diamondbacks48c84.63$41 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$44.0149348.3%238 W · 255 L+15.7wins+0.03per pick45cpaid+6.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1c88…5685backed Dodgers50c79.28$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$407753.2%41 W · 36 L+4.7wins+0.06per pick47cpaid+14.4%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x1803…772ebacked Dodgers52c76.92$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$402060%12 W · 8 L+1.1wins+0.05per pick55cpaid+11%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x61fb…e089backed Dodgers53c75.47$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40147.1%1 W · 13 L-1.5wins-0.11per pick18cpaid+42.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x6418…f8a6backed Dodgers30c67.9$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.373056.7%17 W · 13 L+0.1wins0.00per pick56cpaid-5.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x91d7…2f8abacked Diamondbacks48c62.5$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32.54856.3%27 W · 21 L-0.2wins0.00per pick57cpaid+4.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x02c7…3df7backed Diamondbacks48c62.5$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32.555152.5%289 W · 262 L-8.1wins-0.01per pick54cpaid-7.8%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x4cab…f4ecbacked Dodgers53c56.6$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30450%2 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.02per pick52cpaid+2.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1ad1…6d88backed Dodgers53c56.6$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$301631.3%5 W · 11 L-3.8wins-0.24per pick55cpaid-49.7%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x69a8…fb9dbacked Dodgers28c54.99$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.651618.8%3 W · 13 L-4.6wins-0.29per pick48cpaid-69.1%equal weight37-0.11 edge/pick
0xa337…9e54backed Diamondbacks48c52.08$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27.0894455.3%522 W · 422 L-2.9wins0.00per pick56cpaid-0.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x17e0…1e88backed Diamondbacks53c50.94$27 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.9454441.2%224 W · 320 L-22.6wins-0.04per pick45cpaid-10%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xef63…96cbbacked Diamondbacks53c50$27 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.546753.7%251 W · 216 L-11.0wins-0.02per pick56cpaid-5.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2bae…2e92backed Diamondbacks48c50$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$261850%9 W · 9 L+0.5wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+5.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf6ba…0627backed Dodgers44c45.45$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$201040%4 W · 6 L-1.8wins-0.18per pick58cpaid-43.2%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x3e9f…808cbacked Dodgers53c41.92$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.22366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.13per pick53cpaid+25.9%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xe653…ac06backed Dodgers48c41.67$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$202744.4%12 W · 15 L-0.9wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-4.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5efc…ee80backed Diamondbacks53c37.74$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.741258.3%7 W · 5 L+1.6wins+0.13per pick45cpaid+19.6%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x3539…b17bbacked Dodgers45c33.58$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.992962.1%18 W · 11 L+2.7wins+0.09per pick53cpaid+12.4%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x60ab…d681backed Dodgers52c32.69$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1774356.9%423 W · 320 L-12.0wins-0.02per pick59cpaid-2.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb063…40d6backed Diamondbacks49c32.57$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.661100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.51per pick49cpaid+104.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa44f…38b7backed Dodgers48c32.52$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.61771.4%5 W · 2 L+1.8wins+0.25per pick46cpaid+53.1%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x3dd4…1b50backed Dodgers53c30.57$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.22,04553.8%1,100 W · 945 L+32.7wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+3.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd0ad…5176backed Dodgers50c30$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.8543542.1%183 W · 252 L-6.9wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-3.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x05a4…1e85backed Diamondbacks67c23.53$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.8180680%645 W · 161 L+173.6wins+0.22per pick58cpaid+34.7%equal weight73+0.21 edge/pick
0x4e94…2853backed Diamondbacks49c22.45$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.45540%2 W · 3 L-0.8wins-0.17per pick57cpaid-31%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x8d41…576fbacked Diamondbacks48c22.08$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.48475%3 W · 1 L+1.1wins+0.27per pick48cpaid+61.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.