TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NBA · resolved market

Kings vs. Trail Blazers

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Trail Blazersof Kings, Trail Blazers
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$507,231
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$541,621

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $507,231 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 697 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NBA
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x2ff0…46e3backed Trail Blazers57c96,366$54,472 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$41,894.4447656.5%269 W · 207 L+6.0wins+0.01per pick55cpaid-4.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa6a8…5009backed Kings43c44,606$19,075 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19,074.573,99548.9%1,952 W · 2,043 L+101.9wins+0.03per pick46cpaid-1.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5314…910cbacked Kings32c18,577$5,986 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,986.2633931.9%108 W · 231 L-28.5wins-0.08per pick40cpaid-37.7%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xb786…b18dbacked Kings41c12,820$5,210 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,209.661,31650.5%664 W · 652 L+42.4wins+0.03per pick47cpaid-0.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x574e…3ef1backed Trail Blazers49c12,228$5,992 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,236.4430443.1%131 W · 173 L-4.5wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-2%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x2cc0…f722backed Kings52c10,000$5,200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,200.1312663.5%80 W · 46 L+3.7wins+0.03per pick61cpaid+8.8%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x3078…3e11backed Trail Blazers53c9,793$5,148 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,645.4522049.1%108 W · 112 L+1.2wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-14.3%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x1484…cafebacked Kings5c9,168$458 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$458.4229738.7%115 W · 182 L-10.6wins-0.04per pick42cpaid-20.1%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x9716…378abacked Kings52c9,162$4,719 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,718.7219149.7%95 W · 96 L-0.1wins0.00per pick50cpaid+14.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe0f3…d82cbacked Kings49c8,041$3,980 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,979.9515551%79 W · 76 L-6.2wins-0.04per pick55cpaid-5.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x2fe6…ab9dbacked Kings53c7,000$3,710 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,71049849.4%246 W · 252 L-3.4wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-4.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x90b6…1d6bbacked Kings49c5,400$2,635 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,634.8750245.8%230 W · 272 L+2.2wins0.00per pick45cpaid-1.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2e9e…7bd8backed Trail Blazers47c5,347$2,534 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,812.993135.5%11 W · 20 L-3.1wins-0.10per pick46cpaid-34%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x58a3…279fbacked Trail Blazers53c5,216$2,767 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,448.797163.4%45 W · 26 L+7.2wins+0.10per pick53cpaid+29.9%equal weight58+0.08 edge/pick
0xf9f2…5cbabacked Kings0c5,000$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$103350%0 W · 335 L-4.8wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2863…0e3ebacked Kings62c5,000$3,100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,10015741.4%65 W · 92 L+10.5wins+0.07per pick35cpaid+10.9%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xd78d…60bebacked Trail Blazers42c4,842$2,034 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,808.225016.8%42 W · 208 L-13.1wins-0.05per pick22cpaid-38.7%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x997b…801ebacked Trail Blazers50c4,700$2,350 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,349.9946131%143 W · 318 L+15.6wins+0.03per pick28cpaid+10.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xd2bd…dce0backed Kings50c4,535$2,283 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,283.2177745%350 W · 427 L+6.6wins+0.01per pick44cpaid+1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbd88…1ca6backed Trail Blazers54c4,512$2,449 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,063.8519451.5%100 W · 94 L-17.8wins-0.09per pick61cpaid-17.4%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x3045…8f78backed Trail Blazers48c3,727$1,780 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,947.2143653.2%232 W · 204 L-3.1wins-0.01per pick54cpaid-3.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6cb5…72d4backed Kings43c3,468$1,493 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,492.92560%3 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.08per pick68cpaid-22.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x78ab…c5f7backed Trail Blazers48c3,429$1,631 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,798.21947.4%9 W · 10 L+0.3wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+2.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x067f…e041backed Trail Blazers49c3,000$1,470 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,5301,26944.5%565 W · 704 L+32.4wins+0.03per pick42cpaid+4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x7f79…1db4backed Kings55c2,953$1,617 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,616.6216838.7%65 W · 103 L-5.0wins-0.03per pick42cpaid-11.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x4cc3…7552backed Trail Blazers47c2,776$1,305 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,471.4619152.4%100 W · 91 L+16.5wins+0.09per pick44cpaid+23%equal weight58+0.08 edge/pick
0x7c39…15d7backed Trail Blazers61c2,598$1,593 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,004.724870.8%34 W · 14 L+4.2wins+0.09per pick62cpaid+23%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xbf40…1bd2backed Kings42c2,200$915 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$914.9912232%39 W · 83 L-1.1wins-0.01per pick33cpaid-5.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0cc9…fc51backed Trail Blazers50c2,100$1,050 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,0503743.2%16 W · 21 L-8.5wins-0.23per pick66cpaid-39.6%equal weight35-0.14 edge/pick
0x8769…48ecbacked Trail Blazers50c2,085$1,036 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,048.665358.5%31 W · 22 L+1.2wins+0.02per pick56cpaid+11.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x994e…9cf5backed Kings55c2,048$1,126 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,125.9161345.5%279 W · 334 L-8.4wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7ba5…aaf1backed Trail Blazers49c2,038$999 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,039.6236748.2%177 W · 190 L-4.6wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-3.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8097…8a5fbacked Trail Blazers51c2,028$1,041 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$986.7827546.9%129 W · 146 L-1.6wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-4.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x325f…d8acbacked Kings44c2,019$880 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$879.770640.8%288 W · 418 L+7.8wins+0.01per pick40cpaid-10.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3603…ac36backed Kings50c2,013$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,00011355.8%63 W · 50 L+10.2wins+0.09per pick47cpaid+18.8%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xad18…0b4fbacked Kings42c2,000$840 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$839.9953134.7%184 W · 347 L-11.7wins-0.02per pick37cpaid-10.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xecbe…42ffbacked Kings44c1,956$868 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$867.5519033.7%64 W · 126 L+8.3wins+0.04per pick29cpaid+32.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x88db…3843backed Trail Blazers53c1,924$1,018 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$906.1517546.3%81 W · 94 L+2.2wins+0.01per pick45cpaid+3.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0229…ea6cbacked Kings51c1,906$967 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$967.074443.2%19 W · 25 L-4.4wins-0.10per pick53cpaid-17.7%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x1d3a…7b63backed Trail Blazers52c1,881$978 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$902.8976249.5%377 W · 385 L-8.7wins-0.01per pick51cpaid+0.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2cce…6e85backed Trail Blazers51c1,867$952 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$914.8822039.1%86 W · 134 L+14.0wins+0.06per pick33cpaid+21.8%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xbdb1…4253backed Trail Blazers48c1,832$880 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$952.93151.6%16 W · 15 L+1.3wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+15%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x444e…ab89backed Kings50c1,800$900 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9001637.5%6 W · 10 L-0.8wins-0.05per pick43cpaid-23.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xfe20…4d3ebacked Trail Blazers50c1,800$900 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9001464.3%9 W · 5 L+3.4wins+0.25per pick40cpaid+70.5%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0xa9d7…25e9backed Kings50c1,796$906 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$905.5570951.3%364 W · 345 L+6.2wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-3.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdf43…ae9abacked Kings57c1,737$990 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$99029652.7%156 W · 140 L-8.7wins-0.03per pick56cpaid-5.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf240…03c2backed Trail Blazers44c1,656$733 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$922.4111939.5%47 W · 72 L+3.5wins+0.03per pick37cpaid-9.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xd0ad…5176backed Trail Blazers49c1,654$810 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$843.5330440.5%123 W · 181 L+12.4wins+0.04per pick36cpaid+15.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x1608…a990backed Kings38c1,500$570 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$57025939%101 W · 158 L-6.8wins-0.03per pick42cpaid-5.1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x6153…0e04backed Kings48c1,409$675 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$675.386347.6%30 W · 33 L-6.2wins-0.10per pick57cpaid-25.3%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x8c81…dcd3backed Kings49c1,345$659 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$659.0546342.5%197 W · 266 L+8.3wins+0.02per pick41cpaid-3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa9d3…9d4bbacked Kings51c1,290$663 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$662.91,02848.5%499 W · 529 L+27.1wins+0.03per pick46cpaid+7.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x725f…06c2backed Kings49c1,232$600 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6001,88837.3%704 W · 1,184 L+9.9wins+0.01per pick37cpaid-1.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x520a…ab8abacked Trail Blazers42c1,220$511 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$708.651037.5%191 W · 319 L+1.3wins0.00per pick37cpaid-2.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xaeb5…58e2backed Trail Blazers43c1,200$520 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6801,09035.8%390 W · 700 L+40.1wins+0.04per pick32cpaid+5.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xfe4f…5241backed Kings57c1,182$671 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$671.1315341.8%64 W · 89 L-7.0wins-0.05per pick46cpaid-18.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xa8f7…039abacked Trail Blazers51c1,137$580 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$557.2916242%68 W · 94 L-1.6wins-0.01per pick43cpaid-2.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x519d…37a1backed Kings1c1,106$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.737502%15 W · 735 L-3.2wins0.00per pick2cpaid-63.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6746…5bfdbacked Trail Blazers45c1,103$496 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$606.62650%13 W · 13 L-1.5wins-0.06per pick56cpaid-9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x830d…3f0ebacked Trail Blazers49c1,030$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$529.9516532.1%53 W · 112 L-2.7wins-0.02per pick34cpaid-6.6%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x757b…62c8backed Kings50c1,000$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50018644.6%83 W · 103 L-5.9wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-5.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x93bc…8ca3backed Trail Blazers55c1,000$550 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4501,75240.6%712 W · 1,040 L-3.3wins0.00per pick41cpaid-5.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xcbed…aa02backed Kings6c1,000$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6022721.6%49 W · 178 L-8.9wins-0.04per pick25cpaid-21.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xe803…f4efbacked Trail Blazers48c1,000$480 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5202100%2 W · 0 L+0.8wins+0.41per pick59cpaid+75.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x480d…f219backed Trail Blazers30c1,000$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7001,29044%567 W · 723 L+35.0wins+0.03per pick41cpaid+7.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x97ae…82bdbacked Trail Blazers54c1,000$540 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$46030826.6%82 W · 226 L+2.1wins+0.01per pick26cpaid-11.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x32b7…1e3cbacked Kings51c999.99$510 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5101442.9%6 W · 8 L-1.0wins-0.07per pick50cpaid-16.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x9fe8…56a3backed Kings48c984.11$472 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$472.3732130.2%97 W · 224 L-0.8wins0.00per pick30cpaid-5.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa315…cabbbacked Kings49c974.8$478 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$477.6562351.4%320 W · 303 L-13.7wins-0.02per pick54cpaid-2.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5b0b…f9d6backed Trail Blazers43c960$409 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$551.48547.1%40 W · 45 L+3.1wins+0.04per pick43cpaid+17%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x7685…482cbacked Kings54c922.87$498 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$498.3522950.7%116 W · 113 L-8.5wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-6.6%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xda6b…20bebacked Kings52c908.64$477 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4778343.4%36 W · 47 L+1.8wins+0.02per pick41cpaid-3.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2214…5968backed Trail Blazers49c876.22$429 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$446.876549.2%32 W · 33 L+2.2wins+0.03per pick46cpaid+1.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xf00f…711abacked Trail Blazers43c870$374 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$495.917047.1%80 W · 90 L+0.6wins0.00per pick47cpaid+2.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x60cd…a1b6backed Kings49c864.06$423 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$423.398251.2%42 W · 40 L+4.3wins+0.05per pick46cpaid+12.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xa75c…895ebacked Trail Blazers48c863.47$414 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$449.017347.9%35 W · 38 L-3.6wins-0.05per pick53cpaid-10.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x4673…d99bbacked Kings47c849.76$399 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$399.3937954.1%205 W · 174 L-5.7wins-0.01per pick56cpaid0%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x8511…4a6bbacked Kings52c802.87$417 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$417.4930351.8%157 W · 146 L+4.6wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x7990…c870backed Kings49c800$392 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3924847.9%23 W · 25 L-3.4wins-0.07per pick55cpaid-14.6%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xa5e3…4d7ebacked Kings47c783.02$368 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$368.0225845%116 W · 142 L-10.0wins-0.04per pick49cpaid-5.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x24b9…bcb1backed Kings43c639.48$278 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$278.0237011.4%42 W · 328 L-6.2wins-0.02per pick13cpaid-35.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5482…b6eebacked Kings2c638.99$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.585502.5%14 W · 536 L+2.2wins0.00per pick2cpaid-28.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x03ec…f502backed Kings52c576$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$299.522433.3%8 W · 16 L-4.2wins-0.17per pick51cpaid-31.4%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xb13d…2e90backed Kings46c536.36$244 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$244.2388053.8%473 W · 407 L+52.3wins+0.06per pick48cpaid+9.1%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x4cb8…43f6backed Trail Blazers47c522.84$246 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$277.17236.1%26 W · 46 L+0.8wins+0.01per pick35cpaid-11%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5c57…5b16backed Kings49c516.98$253 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$253.3273051.8%378 W · 352 L-2.4wins0.00per pick52cpaid-0.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4e0a…e4e6backed Kings51c509.65$259 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$258.5387647.5%416 W · 460 L+3.7wins0.00per pick47cpaid+2.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc42e…edbdbacked Trail Blazers50c500$250 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25035046%161 W · 189 L+14.3wins+0.04per pick42cpaid+11.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x9353…cdbebacked Trail Blazers51c500$255 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24568642.1%289 W · 397 L+9.9wins+0.01per pick41cpaid+8.6%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xd04d…d0e5backed Trail Blazers50c497.91$251 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$246.461,16449.6%577 W · 587 L+7.1wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xeb94…d871backed Trail Blazers46c483.69$222 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$261.1919650%98 W · 98 L+2.3wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+4.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7620…d9f0backed Trail Blazers52c480.77$250 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$230.771353.8%7 W · 6 L+0.7wins+0.05per pick48cpaid+8.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7eda…4bb7backed Kings42c476.19$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20038942.9%167 W · 222 L-16.9wins-0.04per pick47cpaid-10.3%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x72fe…2a60backed Trail Blazers46c470$216 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$253.945647.8%218 W · 238 L+6.9wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+4.4%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x47c6…be32backed Kings41c466.61$190 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$190.486245.2%28 W · 34 L-0.1wins0.00per pick45cpaid-9.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x87ef…2c77backed Trail Blazers52c465.69$242 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$223.532352.2%12 W · 11 L+1.1wins+0.05per pick47cpaid+34.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x5baa…272abacked Kings52c462.06$240 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$240.271241.7%5 W · 7 L-2.3wins-0.19per pick61cpaid-41.1%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x854f…00a7backed Kings45c459.82$207 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$207.3747229.4%139 W · 333 L-33.1wins-0.07per pick36cpaid-37.2%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0xfd6c…42b2backed Trail Blazers50c447.31$223 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$224.39154.9%50 W · 41 L+3.4wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+4.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xc0b8…9272backed Trail Blazers49c408.16$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$208.162657.7%15 W · 11 L+5.4wins+0.21per pick37cpaid+57.1%equal weight62+0.11 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.