TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Premier League · resolved market

Will Bournemouth win on 2024-12-05?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Yesof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$181,808
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$184,466

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $181,808 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 135 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Premier League
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x6761…a94fbacked No41c100,202$41,079 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$41,078.6210650%53 W · 53 L+1.3wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+5.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7705…a627backed Yes59c100,000$59,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$41,0001643.8%7 W · 9 L-0.5wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-18.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4b46…db60backed No60c40,299$24,072 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24,071.71450%7 W · 7 L-1.0wins-0.07per pick57cpaid+1.7%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x37e0…024ebacked Yes41c40,000$16,300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23,699.9518950.3%95 W · 94 L+9.2wins+0.05per pick45cpaid+9.9%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x0269…cb2dbacked Yes39c7,562$2,958 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,603.3340254.7%220 W · 182 L+14.1wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+9.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x31cf…8834backed Yes38c4,884$1,857 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,027.189037.8%34 W · 56 L+1.0wins+0.01per pick37cpaid-17.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xaacf…5f84backed No63c2,378$1,500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,50039561.3%242 W · 153 L-21.3wins-0.05per pick67cpaid-7.7%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x8ef8…eff3backed Yes42c2,000$833 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,166.983946.2%18 W · 21 L+3.3wins+0.08per pick38cpaid+25.4%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x649f…993ebacked Yes44c1,986$874 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,112.218750.6%44 W · 43 L+7.7wins+0.09per pick42cpaid+21.3%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xa8cd…3cf2backed No59c1,822$1,073 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,072.588362.7%52 W · 31 L+2.6wins+0.03per pick60cpaid+6.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x90ba…63f3backed Yes39c1,737$677 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,059.368026.3%179 W · 501 L+5.6wins+0.01per pick25cpaid-1.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x20cc…ebc0backed No35c1,387$479 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$479.4811657.8%67 W · 49 L-0.2wins0.00per pick58cpaid-9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x50e5…e39fbacked Yes46c1,303$605 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$697.9129643.6%129 W · 167 L-11.3wins-0.04per pick47cpaid-10.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xf641…7b6fbacked Yes66c1,286$846 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$440.2969772.6%506 W · 191 L+83.8wins+0.12per pick61cpaid+26.7%equal weight63+0.12 edge/pick
0xd056…e004backed No59c1,102$650 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$65010%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.59per pick59cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x1fdc…42f9backed Yes65c1,098$713 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$384.6757.1%4 W · 3 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick58cpaid-20.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb786…b18dbacked Yes57c1,029$587 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$441.7979650.8%404 W · 392 L+28.1wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+9.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xa8f7…039abacked No61c1,000$610 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6108145.7%37 W · 44 L-4.5wins-0.06per pick51cpaid-8.4%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x480d…f219backed No56c1,000$560 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$56034643.9%152 W · 194 L-14.9wins-0.04per pick48cpaid-4.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xaeb5…58e2backed No59c921.07$543 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$543.4344939.6%178 W · 271 L+1.0wins0.00per pick39cpaid-6.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4ed6…da8abacked No59c816.95$482 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$482633.3%2 W · 4 L-1.2wins-0.19per pick53cpaid-39.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x7418…59e2backed Yes62c733.5$453 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$280.055453.7%29 W · 25 L-0.1wins0.00per pick54cpaid+6.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2765…7ee4backed Yes60c732.04$440 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$291.6234251.8%177 W · 165 L+21.9wins+0.06per pick45cpaid+9.3%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xbac1…ce0ebacked No42c714.29$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30011342.5%48 W · 65 L+1.0wins+0.01per pick42cpaid+14.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x02cb…ae38backed No57c700$399 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39915554.8%85 W · 70 L+3.6wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+8.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0b6a…4873backed No43c697.67$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3002548%12 W · 13 L+1.7wins+0.07per pick41cpaid+18.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x8889…a9d1backed No59c688$406 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$405.9215347.7%73 W · 80 L-3.3wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-6.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7801…422bbacked No42c657.34$276 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$275.62035%7 W · 13 L-4.2wins-0.21per pick56cpaid-43.3%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x3fc4…ee71backed No59c538.98$318 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$318475%3 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.06per pick69cpaid+3.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf442…ccf8backed No58c534.29$310 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$309.895345.3%24 W · 29 L+2.2wins+0.04per pick41cpaid+1.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2aa2…4d22backed No41c500$205 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2055550.9%28 W · 27 L-6.5wins-0.12per pick63cpaid-17.3%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x6c54…da75backed Yes43c467.08$201 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$266.242429.2%7 W · 17 L-3.7wins-0.16per pick45cpaid-44.8%equal weight42-0.08 edge/pick
0xad18…0b4fbacked No39c466.59$181 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$180.979238%35 W · 57 L-1.4wins-0.02per pick40cpaid-4.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x700f…62d8backed Yes42c460.91$196 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$265.3629044.8%130 W · 160 L-1.2wins0.00per pick45cpaid+0.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2065…9799backed Yes77c425.67$329 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$96.91425%1 W · 3 L-1.3wins-0.33per pick58cpaid-67.6%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x93bc…8ca3backed Yes60c414.06$248 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$165.6340640.9%166 W · 240 L-4.5wins-0.01per pick42cpaid-1.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4fc1…ec92backed Yes42c403.99$170 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$234.3114854.1%80 W · 68 L+7.8wins+0.05per pick49cpaid+12.5%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x5ad1…b2f4backed Yes66c400$264 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$136933.3%3 W · 6 L-1.7wins-0.19per pick53cpaid-42.9%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x1fbe…d37abacked Yes42c400$168 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$232425%1 W · 3 L-0.3wins-0.06per pick32cpaid-40.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd19f…9826backed No59c400$236 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$236366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.02per pick65cpaid-0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4af1…ef00backed Yes43c391.33$168 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$223.062846.4%13 W · 15 L+1.7wins+0.06per pick40cpaid-2.9%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xb75d…9d01backed No66c376.22$249 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2491154.5%6 W · 5 L-0.5wins-0.04per pick59cpaid-14.2%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x8140…b92fbacked No39c355.92$139 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$138.853748.6%18 W · 19 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfdd9…ad08backed Yes42c349$147 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$202.42580%4 W · 1 L+0.9wins+0.18per pick62cpaid+35.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2dd8…eb7bbacked No57c348.76$199 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$198.79560%3 W · 2 L+0.4wins+0.09per pick51cpaid+2.6%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x278c…0fbdbacked Yes79c322.91$255 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$67.811361.5%8 W · 5 L+1.0wins+0.07per pick54cpaid-3.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa9d7…25e9backed Yes62c315$194 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$120.7337652.4%197 W · 179 L+27.4wins+0.07per pick45cpaid+9.5%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x5902…59fabacked No41c300$122 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$121.54839.6%19 W · 29 L-3.8wins-0.08per pick48cpaid-22.4%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xbba7…2629backed Yes66c283.91$187 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$96.731127.3%3 W · 8 L-0.8wins-0.07per pick34cpaid-24.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf0b0…8cabbacked No35c270.63$95 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$94.5766031.2%206 W · 454 L-13.0wins-0.02per pick33cpaid-23.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5e79…56dcbacked No58c251.39$145 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$145.41366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.11per pick55cpaid+29.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfe78…db98backed No41c243.9$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1007737.7%29 W · 48 L-4.3wins-0.06per pick43cpaid-14.6%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x58f2…a3e2backed No42c237.88$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100.292634.6%9 W · 17 L-5.5wins-0.21per pick56cpaid-38.2%equal weight38-0.11 edge/pick
0xf7d2…f555backed No59c237$140 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$139.8318260.4%110 W · 72 L-4.4wins-0.02per pick63cpaid-1.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3486…49eebacked No43c232.56$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10042240.3%170 W · 252 L-8.4wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-6.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6753…7340backed No55c228.56$125 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$124.871752.9%9 W · 8 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick52cpaid+12.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb10d…becebacked No60c215.23$130 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1301361.5%8 W · 5 L-0.9wins-0.07per pick68cpaid-15%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xdc4b…5a92backed No59c200$118 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11842755%235 W · 192 L-23.4wins-0.05per pick61cpaid-11%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x438e…9704backed Yes61c188.21$114 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$74.314757.4%27 W · 20 L-1.3wins-0.03per pick60cpaid-10.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2e44…79c9backed No43c182.91$79 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$78.651118.2%2 W · 9 L-2.1wins-0.19per pick38cpaid-42.7%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x16cb…2704backed No60c179.45$107 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$107.3490751.3%465 W · 442 L-1.2wins0.00per pick51cpaid-1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4924…64a4backed No56c178.57$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100825%2 W · 6 L-2.2wins-0.27per pick52cpaid-48.8%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x97e1…017bbacked Yes72c152.89$110 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$42.8116851.2%86 W · 82 L-4.7wins-0.03per pick54cpaid-16.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x8b7e…6a9fbacked No59c150$88 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$88.529653%157 W · 139 L-23.0wins-0.08per pick61cpaid-15.7%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x8f05…7191backed No59c138.63$82 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$81.79250%1 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.16per pick66cpaid-32.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8a67…dc7cbacked Yes65c136.01$88 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$47.67651.3%39 W · 37 L+0.2wins0.00per pick51cpaid+2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xec5c…ce46backed Yes65c127.01$82 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$45.0813336.1%48 W · 85 L-12.7wins-0.10per pick46cpaid-27.7%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xfef3…a321backed No43c116.51$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$501127.3%3 W · 8 L-1.2wins-0.11per pick38cpaid-40.2%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x12d8…7359backed No59c100$59 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$591747.1%8 W · 9 L-1.2wins-0.07per pick54cpaid-27.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x710c…ee60backed No59c100$59 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$592128.6%6 W · 15 L-5.9wins-0.28per pick57cpaid-58.1%equal weight36-0.13 edge/pick
0xe27b…858fbacked No60c99.99$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$59.5440135.2%141 W · 260 L-0.7wins0.00per pick35cpaid-1.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8017…d158backed Yes42c99.69$42 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$57.82250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+19%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9cf8…7f09backed Yes72c99.6$72 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27.89650%3 W · 3 L-0.6wins-0.10per pick60cpaid-24%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4a64…4430backed Yes55c99.22$54 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$45.0837841.8%158 W · 220 L+8.7wins+0.02per pick39cpaid-9.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc4c8…58babacked No59c98.83$58 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$58.31366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.08per pick59cpaid+15.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3d69…9829backed Yes36c97.29$35 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$62.272560%15 W · 10 L+1.3wins+0.05per pick55cpaid-3.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1638…339bbacked Yes39c94.09$37 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$57.396253.2%33 W · 29 L+2.4wins+0.04per pick49cpaid+14.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd6b4…b468backed Yes42c92.86$39 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$53.86955.6%5 W · 4 L-0.2wins-0.02per pick57cpaid+2.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xed51…9147backed No58c91.87$54 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$53.641735.3%6 W · 11 L-2.0wins-0.12per pick47cpaid-29.9%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xed41…b066backed No57c91.33$52 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$52.0610%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.57per pick57cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8b60…6e88backed Yes44c90.91$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$50.911100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.56per pick44cpaid+127.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf8d4…45d1backed Yes38c89.47$34 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$55.471100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.62per pick38cpaid+163.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x186e…9fb0backed No63c89.46$56 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$56.3610%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.63per pick63cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xb046…a7dcbacked Yes71c85.26$61 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.61560%9 W · 6 L+0.5wins+0.04per pick56cpaid+2.4%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x8c46…be29backed No60c80$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4832736.4%119 W · 208 L-21.2wins-0.06per pick43cpaid-19.6%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x37e9…ab9fbacked No37c80$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.611915.1%18 W · 101 L-10.4wins-0.09per pick24cpaid-37.2%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x1266…cd8cbacked Yes35c74.97$26 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$48.7314450.7%73 W · 71 L-3.4wins-0.02per pick53cpaid-5.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4c53…4e58backed No58c72.82$42 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$42.24425%1 W · 3 L-1.0wins-0.25per pick50cpaid-43%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x8b50…b04ebacked Yes46c63.76$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$34.43250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick51cpaid+8.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x11e9…149abacked Yes42c56.92$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33.02475%3 W · 1 L+0.9wins+0.23per pick52cpaid+56.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x61de…ebaebacked Yes42c55.31$23 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32.082100%2 W · 0 L+0.8wins+0.42per pick58cpaid+86.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xc54a…4b6fbacked No56c53.57$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$304742.6%20 W · 27 L-5.6wins-0.12per pick55cpaid-26.8%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x3bb8…7471backed Yes70c52.97$37 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.8314062.9%88 W · 52 L+16.6wins+0.12per pick51cpaid+66.8%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0x8ea4…e097backed Yes38c52.63$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32.636248.4%30 W · 32 L-1.0wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-2.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd6e6…fabfbacked No36c51.95$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.72650%3 W · 3 L-0.6wins-0.10per pick60cpaid-33.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x95cd…32d0backed Yes35c51.82$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33.685554.5%30 W · 25 L+10.6wins+0.19per pick35cpaid+60.9%equal weight65+0.13 edge/pick
0x647a…eef5backed No58c50.69$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.4366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.6wins+0.21per pick45cpaid+73.8%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x710d…eb90backed Yes43c50.67$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.88333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.20per pick53cpaid-22.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xcfc5…817ebacked No58c50$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$291154.5%6 W · 5 L-0.6wins-0.05per pick60cpaid-23.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x86ab…5fb4backed No40c50$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$201435.7%5 W · 9 L-2.4wins-0.17per pick53cpaid-48.7%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.