NBA · resolved market
Warriors vs. Kings
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xfb84deb312ce8017eef27a3d2c2193baa9b9de66f7c6544484bc97c3d89bfc9e
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Warriorsof Warriors, Kings
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $528,606
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $585,634
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $528,606 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 530 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x5314…910cbacked Kings | 15c | 35,171$5,143 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,142.88 | 339 | 31.9%108 W · 231 L | -28.5wins | -0.08per pick | 40cpaid | -37.7%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Kings | 14c | 27,138$3,819 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,818.79 | 3,995 | 48.9%1,952 W · 2,043 L | +101.9wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xafba…e61bbacked Kings | 44c | 22,740$10,021 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,021.2 | 478 | 48.1%230 W · 248 L | -9.9wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x242e…ee63backed Warriors | 56c | 22,266$12,469 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,796.93 | 25 | 68%17 W · 8 L | +3.2wins | +0.13per pick | 55cpaid | +40.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x47bc…c043backed Warriors | 55c | 20,044$11,107 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,937.67 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +1.4wins | +0.20per pick | 37cpaid | +41.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4c03…0cc1backed Kings | 4c | 10,001$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400.03 | 1,602 | 11.8%189 W · 1,413 L | -4.8wins | 0.00per pick | 12cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x79cb…331ebacked Kings | 1c | 9,010$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.06 | 878 | 3%26 W · 852 L | -22.3wins | -0.03per pick | 5cpaid | -62%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe663…6462backed Warriors | 56c | 8,929$5,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,928.57 | 67 | 47.8%32 W · 35 L | -3.7wins | -0.06per pick | 53cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x480d…f219backed Kings | 20c | 8,157$1,657 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,657.04 | 1,290 | 44%567 W · 723 L | +35.0wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x719d…4e73backed Kings | 15c | 7,248$1,089 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,089.4 | 118 | 34.7%41 W · 77 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 35cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x80a5…f9babacked Kings | 43c | 6,599$2,820 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,820 | 28 | 32.1%9 W · 19 L | -2.6wins | -0.09per pick | 42cpaid | -38.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xad18…0b4fbacked Kings | 11c | 6,000$660 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$660 | 531 | 34.7%184 W · 347 L | -11.7wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x44f7…266fbacked Kings | 0c | 6,000$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.65 | 457 | 3.5%16 W · 441 L | +4.4wins | +0.01per pick | 3cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf9f2…5cbabacked Kings | 0c | 5,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 335 | 0%0 W · 335 L | -4.8wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x187b…26bfbacked Kings | 46c | 5,000$2,300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,300 | 173 | 48.6%84 W · 89 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x12d6…dbbcbacked Kings | 44c | 5,000$2,200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,199.86 | 200 | 47%94 W · 106 L | +2.1wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb786…b18dbacked Kings | 10c | 4,966$497 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$496.64 | 1,316 | 50.5%664 W · 652 L | +42.4wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfc25…1f7fbacked Kings | 43c | 4,721$2,036 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,035.87 | 964 | 47.8%461 W · 503 L | +35.5wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +17.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Kings | 46c | 4,177$1,912 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,912.22 | 5,844 | 46.7%2,728 W · 3,116 L | +32.7wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaeb5…58e2backed Kings | 7c | 4,100$302 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$302.5 | 1,090 | 35.8%390 W · 700 L | +40.1wins | +0.04per pick | 32cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb652…2db4backed Kings | 1c | 4,000$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44 | 376 | 27.9%105 W · 271 L | -2.3wins | -0.01per pick | 29cpaid | +14.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe85e…2aebbacked Kings | 13c | 3,854$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 94 | 37.2%35 W · 59 L | -2.7wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2fe6…ab9dbacked Kings | 34c | 3,670$1,247 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,247.48 | 498 | 49.4%246 W · 252 L | -3.4wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1872…ae0fbacked Warriors | 73c | 3,653$2,668 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$985.68 | 67 | 58.2%39 W · 28 L | +2.2wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8da2…50cebacked Kings | 10c | 3,476$350 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$349.77 | 9 | 11.1%1 W · 8 L | -0.8wins | -0.09per pick | 20cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd2bd…dce0backed Kings | 46c | 3,000$1,380 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,380 | 777 | 45%350 W · 427 L | +6.6wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf482…d3c3backed Kings | 5c | 2,935$158 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$157.86 | 95 | 34.7%33 W · 62 L | +7.9wins | +0.08per pick | 26cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe9e2…721bbacked Warriors | 57c | 2,641$1,501 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,140.14 | 22 | 45.5%10 W · 12 L | -3.1wins | -0.14per pick | 60cpaid | -33.3%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xcc2b…0ed5backed Warriors | 55c | 2,330$1,282 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,048.66 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.51per pick | 49cpaid | +107.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x90b6…1d6bbacked Kings | 42c | 2,288$963 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$963.48 | 502 | 45.8%230 W · 272 L | +2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcef7…e7d7backed Kings | 7c | 2,248$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150.36 | 192 | 31.3%60 W · 132 L | +2.0wins | +0.01per pick | 30cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x40e3…0787backed Kings | 41c | 2,202$902 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$901.52 | 345 | 32.8%113 W · 232 L | -16.9wins | -0.05per pick | 38cpaid | -35.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8258…f208backed Kings | 46c | 2,200$1,012 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,012 | 70 | 32.9%23 W · 47 L | -4.7wins | -0.07per pick | 40cpaid | -27.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4924…f328backed Warriors | 57c | 2,105$1,192 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$913.32 | 381 | 43%164 W · 217 L | +13.4wins | +0.04per pick | 40cpaid | +8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa128…ce1fbacked Warriors | 55c | 2,073$1,140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$932.86 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.51per pick | 49cpaid | +107.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7967…f4a0backed Warriors | 56c | 2,000$1,120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$880 | 62 | 50%31 W · 31 L | +2.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +15.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8567…4ef8backed Kings | 45c | 1,995$898 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$897.84 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdf43…ae9abacked Warriors | 52c | 1,904$990 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$913.85 | 296 | 52.7%156 W · 140 L | -8.7wins | -0.03per pick | 56cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x721c…9bfcbacked Warriors | 57c | 1,803$1,020 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$783.05 | 63 | 47.6%30 W · 33 L | -1.1wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x67a5…9996backed Kings | 12c | 1,778$207 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$207.37 | 51 | 21.6%11 W · 40 L | +1.0wins | +0.02per pick | 20cpaid | +76.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa9d3…9d4bbacked Kings | 43c | 1,656$720 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$720.26 | 1,028 | 48.5%499 W · 529 L | +27.1wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf014…5945backed Kings | 45c | 1,549$697 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$697.26 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xec5c…ce46backed Kings | 19c | 1,549$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 451 | 35%158 W · 293 L | -6.9wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -18%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3045…8f78backed Warriors | 55c | 1,500$825 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$674.99 | 436 | 53.2%232 W · 204 L | -3.1wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8ef9…5243backed Kings | 23c | 1,432$330 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$330 | 79 | 31.6%25 W · 54 L | +2.3wins | +0.03per pick | 29cpaid | -7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x73f0…3d28backed Kings | 15c | 1,400$206 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$206 | 364 | 34.9%127 W · 237 L | -3.0wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x93bc…8ca3backed Kings | 29c | 1,313$377 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$376.73 | 1,752 | 40.6%712 W · 1,040 L | -3.3wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd1a4…83cebacked Kings | 46c | 1,311$600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$600 | 29 | 37.9%11 W · 18 L | +3.0wins | +0.10per pick | 28cpaid | +12%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5482…b6eebacked Kings | 2c | 1,203$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.69 | 550 | 2.5%14 W · 536 L | +2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 2cpaid | -28.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xeb26…94ddbacked Kings | 8c | 1,200$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 100 | 18%18 W · 82 L | +2.7wins | +0.03per pick | 15cpaid | +30.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x40ae…b38dbacked Kings | 45c | 1,133$510 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$509.65 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +1.1wins | +0.10per pick | 54cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf816…982dbacked Warriors | 56c | 1,132$634 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$498.14 | 16 | 75%12 W · 4 L | +4.6wins | +0.29per pick | 46cpaid | +50.1%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x5dd8…858ebacked Kings | 5c | 1,131$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.67 | 365 | 14.2%52 W · 313 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 14cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x024a…decbbacked Warriors | 56c | 1,039$582 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$457.11 | 141 | 61%86 W · 55 L | +6.6wins | +0.05per pick | 56cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x24b9…bcb1backed Kings | 12c | 1,026$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 370 | 11.4%42 W · 328 L | -6.2wins | -0.02per pick | 13cpaid | -35.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9fe8…56a3backed Kings | 45c | 1,000$450 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$450 | 321 | 30.2%97 W · 224 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 30cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x519d…37a1backed Kings | 1c | 1,000$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 750 | 2%15 W · 735 L | -3.2wins | 0.00per pick | 2cpaid | -63.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcf92…4bfdbacked Kings | 45c | 985$443 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$443.25 | 60 | 51.7%31 W · 29 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5e6c…d4dabacked Warriors | 54c | 978.04$532 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$446.1 | 31 | 45.2%14 W · 17 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +16.6%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7ccf…2fedbacked Warriors | 57c | 975.44$555 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$420.44 | 145 | 63.4%92 W · 53 L | +5.0wins | +0.03per pick | 60cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x45d9…f84bbacked Warriors | 54c | 973.5$530 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$443.13 | 49 | 42.9%21 W · 28 L | +1.9wins | +0.04per pick | 39cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb9c3…daecbacked Kings | 45c | 962.22$433 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$433 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | -2.6wins | -0.24per pick | 51cpaid | -57.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…3e11backed Kings | 10c | 937.29$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$93.73 | 220 | 49.1%108 W · 112 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x898b…8d76backed Kings | 13c | 923.08$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 179 | 43.6%78 W · 101 L | +6.9wins | +0.04per pick | 40cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf10f…004dbacked Kings | 21c | 892.33$190 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$190 | 273 | 48.7%133 W · 140 L | -5.3wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x57b2…604ebacked Kings | 45c | 857.78$386 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$386 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd156…13b1backed Warriors | 56c | 805.73$451 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$354.52 | 35 | 68.6%24 W · 11 L | +1.0wins | +0.03per pick | 66cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xec92…98f5backed Warriors | 54c | 749.9$405 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$344.96 | 80 | 53.8%43 W · 37 L | -6.4wins | -0.08per pick | 62cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb13d…2e90backed Kings | 37c | 715.68$267 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$267.43 | 880 | 53.8%473 W · 407 L | +52.3wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x55af…57efbacked Warriors | 56c | 710.71$398 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$312.71 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | +1.1wins | +0.09per pick | 41cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf332…1601backed Warriors | 56c | 707.21$396 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$311.17 | 50 | 50%25 W · 25 L | +2.7wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfb7b…1476backed Warriors | 61c | 697.53$424 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$273.73 | 191 | 45.5%87 W · 104 L | +2.3wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd04d…d0e5backed Kings | 44c | 696.01$306 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$305.85 | 1,164 | 49.6%577 W · 587 L | +7.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc21f…d604backed Warriors | 56c | 660.71$370 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$290.71 | 11 | 72.7%8 W · 3 L | +1.8wins | +0.16per pick | 57cpaid | +33.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xef4b…bdc9backed Kings | 45c | 644.44$290 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$290 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | +0.2wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | +22.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8ffd…d225backed Kings | 16c | 625$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 130 | 43.8%57 W · 73 L | +4.1wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +15.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe27b…858fbacked Kings | 46c | 604.99$276 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$275.62 | 855 | 42%359 W · 496 L | +10.0wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xadbe…bc55backed Warriors | 55c | 599.98$328 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$271.99 | 504 | 53.8%271 W · 233 L | -8.2wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x30ae…4318backed Warriors | 60c | 568.1$341 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$227.24 | 298 | 58.7%175 W · 123 L | -8.5wins | -0.03per pick | 62cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc20c…fa4bbacked Kings | 46c | 556$256 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$255.76 | 63 | 58.7%37 W · 26 L | +5.6wins | +0.09per pick | 50cpaid | +20.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4e0a…e4e6backed Kings | 44c | 520.48$227 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$226.73 | 876 | 47.5%416 W · 460 L | +3.7wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbde5…9c38backed Kings | 38c | 519.97$198 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$198.39 | 1,197 | 46.7%559 W · 638 L | +9.3wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x52d6…6de3backed Kings | 43c | 500$215 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$215 | 22 | 31.8%7 W · 15 L | -3.1wins | -0.14per pick | 46cpaid | -36.3%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1029…56c1backed Kings | 50c | 500$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 22 | 27.3%6 W · 16 L | -4.2wins | -0.19per pick | 46cpaid | -48.2%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x73f7…cc19backed Kings | 44c | 500$220 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$220 | 21 | 33.3%7 W · 14 L | -3.1wins | -0.15per pick | 48cpaid | -37.7%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf42f…420fbacked Kings | 43c | 500$215 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$215 | 24 | 37.5%9 W · 15 L | -1.9wins | -0.08per pick | 45cpaid | -28.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf44c…57dfbacked Kings | 44c | 500$220 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$220 | 24 | 41.7%10 W · 14 L | -0.9wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x47f9…d9d9backed Kings | 42c | 500$210 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$210 | 23 | 39.1%9 W · 14 L | -1.5wins | -0.07per pick | 46cpaid | -22%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc455…d59cbacked Warriors | 54c | 500$270 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$230 | 25 | 44%11 W · 14 L | -1.3wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -20.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8c6b…1318backed Kings | 46c | 500$230 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$230 | 21 | 38.1%8 W · 13 L | -1.6wins | -0.08per pick | 46cpaid | -28.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdf4e…09b7backed Warriors | 54c | 500$270 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$230 | 24 | 66.7%16 W · 8 L | +3.7wins | +0.15per pick | 51cpaid | +28.6%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x8824…7fa6backed Warriors | 56c | 500$280 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$220 | 22 | 40.9%9 W · 13 L | -1.5wins | -0.07per pick | 48cpaid | -23.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x77c6…9ea1backed Warriors | 50c | 500$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$250 | 23 | 30.4%7 W · 16 L | -2.9wins | -0.13per pick | 43cpaid | -34.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x90cd…e97bbacked Kings | 44c | 500$220 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$220 | 22 | 50%11 W · 11 L | +0.8wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x78d1…52cebacked Kings | 44c | 500$220 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$220 | 23 | 52.2%12 W · 11 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xba86…94cbbacked Warriors | 50c | 500$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$250 | 22 | 40.9%9 W · 13 L | -1.2wins | -0.06per pick | 46cpaid | -22.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x05e6…aedbbacked Kings | 51c | 500$255 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$255 | 25 | 40%10 W · 15 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbc35…25fcbacked Kings | 46c | 500$230 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$230 | 21 | 23.8%5 W · 16 L | -3.2wins | -0.15per pick | 39cpaid | -41.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4a60…2f6dbacked Kings | 49c | 500$245 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$245 | 23 | 43.5%10 W · 13 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x548f…abd6backed Kings | 46c | 500$230 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$230 | 25 | 64%16 W · 9 L | +3.5wins | +0.14per pick | 50cpaid | +22.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.