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Premier League · resolved market

Will Brentford win on 2025-05-10?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Yesof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$244,348
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$270,428

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $244,348 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a prediction-market account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 106 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet's whole record in Premier League
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xecd1…4096backed No36c127,000$45,720 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$45,72010%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.36per pick36cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x5a37…90fdbacked Yes64c127,000$81,280 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$45,7201100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.36per pick64cpaid+56.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xc58d…9373backed No37c26,397$9,638 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9,637.6813829%40 W · 98 L-13.5wins-0.10per pick39cpaid-29.7%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x571c…c16abacked Yes64c15,625$10,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,62510848.1%52 W · 56 L+1.2wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+4.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc8b4…f05dbacked Yes63c10,000$6,300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,70030851.3%158 W · 150 L-4.7wins-0.02per pick53cpaid-5.2%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x37d8…b6ddbacked Yes62c8,871$5,500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,370.9711548.7%56 W · 59 L-0.8wins-0.01per pick49cpaid+5.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdf2e…ddecbacked No38c7,770$2,952 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,952.4417958.1%104 W · 75 L+9.2wins+0.05per pick53cpaid+9.5%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x9e5c…d8e6backed No35c6,825$2,408 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,407.579639.6%315 W · 481 L+11.8wins+0.01per pick38cpaid-4%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xb8c4…7385backed No38c6,500$2,470 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,47032037.2%119 W · 201 L+2.9wins+0.01per pick36cpaid-2.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf892…7f58backed No36c5,327$1,918 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,917.681540%6 W · 9 L+0.3wins+0.02per pick38cpaid+8.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x38f1…9ff1backed Yes65c4,512$2,925 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,587.3333158.6%194 W · 137 L+13.2wins+0.04per pick55cpaid+6.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xfba6…375cbacked No40c4,293$1,709 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,709.1813857.2%79 W · 59 L+8.6wins+0.06per pick51cpaid+10.4%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x325f…d8acbacked No29c3,413$1,004 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,004.538645.3%175 W · 211 L+3.2wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-10%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd9a0…88eebacked Yes60c3,038$1,823 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,215.211454.4%62 W · 52 L+8.8wins+0.08per pick47cpaid+11.1%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xed61…9aa3backed Yes68c2,857$1,954 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$903.0530666%202 W · 104 L+57.3wins+0.19per pick47cpaid+76.4%equal weight69+0.17 edge/pick
0x7f65…d7aebacked No38c2,643$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,0004146.3%19 W · 22 L-1.5wins-0.04per pick50cpaid-14.2%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x6f3d…2adbbacked Yes61c2,551$1,565 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$985.913060%18 W · 12 L-0.7wins-0.02per pick62cpaid-5.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa8e0…1dd2backed Yes62c1,671$1,036 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$635.096953.6%37 W · 32 L+7.7wins+0.11per pick43cpaid+27.8%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x1867…92cabacked Yes63c1,600$1,008 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$59237054.9%203 W · 167 L+15.9wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+13.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x29c0…efaabacked No44c1,600$704 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7041,20450.7%610 W · 594 L+1.5wins0.00per pick51cpaid+1.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8fe7…4f20backed Yes63c1,500$938 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$562.541437.9%157 W · 257 L-2.7wins-0.01per pick39cpaid-0.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfb7b…1476backed Yes64c1,327$849 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$477.753435.3%12 W · 22 L-3.6wins-0.11per pick46cpaid-31.9%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xdc84…3e67backed Yes64c1,235$790 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$444.571435.7%5 W · 9 L-1.8wins-0.13per pick48cpaid-41.9%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x24df…e8b2backed No28c1,200$331 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$331.4921445.8%98 W · 116 L+9.7wins+0.05per pick41cpaid+8.6%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xf641…7b6fbacked Yes70c1,127$789 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$338.1770172.3%507 W · 194 L+83.9wins+0.12per pick60cpaid+26.4%equal weight63+0.12 edge/pick
0xab8b…ac91backed Yes77c1,120$868 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$252.73250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.05per pick55cpaid-35.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x93bc…8ca3backed Yes62c1,064$659 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$404.240640.9%166 W · 240 L-4.5wins-0.01per pick42cpaid-1.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfb49…43febacked Yes80c1,012$809 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$203.48062.5%50 W · 30 L-3.6wins-0.05per pick67cpaid-7.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xc91a…c6b8backed Yes65c1,000$650 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3504843.8%21 W · 27 L+0.5wins+0.01per pick43cpaid-8.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x480d…f219backed Yes64c1,000$640 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$36034643.9%152 W · 194 L-14.9wins-0.04per pick48cpaid-4.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xc6fe…b77fbacked No36c999.95$360 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$359.9822050%110 W · 110 L-1.2wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-0.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9f9a…06d0backed Yes64c863.14$552 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$310.732965.5%19 W · 10 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick64cpaid+1.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa270…42c9backed No36c797.26$287 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$287.014334.9%15 W · 28 L-1.6wins-0.04per pick39cpaid-4.1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x65a6…3e59backed Yes65c671.31$436 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$235.3416953.3%90 W · 79 L+5.7wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+8.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x8011…e98ebacked Yes74c571.82$423 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$148.675257.7%30 W · 22 L+8.7wins+0.17per pick41cpaid+103.9%equal weight63+0.11 edge/pick
0x7ccf…2fedbacked Yes65c512.31$333 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$179.3114156.7%80 W · 61 L+0.4wins0.00per pick56cpaid-2.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc0c8…090cbacked Yes65c509.71$331 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$178.41650%8 W · 8 L-0.7wins-0.04per pick54cpaid+2.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9320…95ddbacked Yes62c500$310 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19011761.5%72 W · 45 L+7.9wins+0.07per pick55cpaid+12.1%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xd55c…34febacked Yes62c436.1$270 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$165.729255.4%51 W · 41 L+1.1wins+0.01per pick54cpaid-4.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x25eb…8ce7backed No36c352$127 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$126.7217447.7%83 W · 91 L+7.4wins+0.04per pick43cpaid+15.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x1677…1126backed No38c270$103 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$102.5342048.6%204 W · 216 L+1.6wins0.00per pick48cpaid+1.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x476b…8a58backed Yes79c238$187 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$50.983151.6%16 W · 15 L-2.2wins-0.07per pick59cpaid-15.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xf520…0637backed No29c232.47$68 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$67.8218752.9%99 W · 88 L-0.7wins0.00per pick53cpaid-5.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe06c…62aebacked Yes64c220$141 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$79.29355.9%52 W · 41 L+1.3wins+0.01per pick55cpaid-0.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3d4c…f7debacked Yes64c203.13$130 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$73.137035.7%25 W · 45 L-5.6wins-0.08per pick44cpaid-19.9%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xe6d9…ed60backed No37c200$74 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$748747.1%41 W · 46 L-3.1wins-0.04per pick51cpaid-9.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x0b06…b091backed No20c200$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$403860.5%23 W · 15 L+0.6wins+0.02per pick59cpaid+10.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe347…5051backed Yes61c164$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$63.961100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.39per pick61cpaid+63.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x74f7…9fd9backed Yes63c158.73$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$58.733053.3%16 W · 14 L+0.7wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+9.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8b7e…6a9fbacked Yes64c156.25$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$56.2529653%157 W · 139 L-23.0wins-0.08per pick61cpaid-15.7%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x71c1…e358backed Yes64c156.25$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$56.2532737.6%123 W · 204 L+3.7wins+0.01per pick36cpaid+2.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdc4b…5a92backed Yes64c156.25$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$56.2542755%235 W · 192 L-23.4wins-0.05per pick61cpaid-11%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x9f99…8b05backed Yes64c156.25$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$56.25475%3 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.08per pick67cpaid+4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xcc8d…5232backed Yes64c156$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$56.161050%5 W · 5 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick51cpaid+47.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7d07…0351backed Yes65c153.85$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$53.851127.3%3 W · 8 L+0.2wins+0.02per pick25cpaid-28.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x008b…439bbacked Yes65c153.85$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$53.85862.5%5 W · 3 L+1.5wins+0.19per pick44cpaid+15.3%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x8679…4659backed No36c143.85$52 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$51.791457.1%8 W · 6 L+2.4wins+0.17per pick40cpaid+21.9%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x26ae…97b8backed No44c138$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$60.252060.4%314 W · 206 L-5.6wins-0.01per pick61cpaid-1.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1db6…5dd1backed No41c133$55 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$54.53250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-18%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x865f…e88ebacked No39c128$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.9269042.2%291 W · 399 L+13.5wins+0.02per pick40cpaid+7.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2237…d673backed Yes61c122$74 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$47.58250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-18%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf26e…3f9dbacked No41c119$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48.7910%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.41per pick41cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xffd2…b4febacked Yes60c119$71 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$47.6250%1 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.13per pick38cpaid-16.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd7cb…b857backed Yes62c111$69 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$42.188254.9%45 W · 37 L+3.8wins+0.05per pick50cpaid-2.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x6fd9…f0d5backed Yes65c101.03$66 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$35.367869.2%54 W · 24 L+0.6wins+0.01per pick69cpaid+0.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9602…4d02backed No37c100$37 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3756453.9%304 W · 260 L+27.6wins+0.05per pick49cpaid+4.8%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xb3cc…a23abacked No38c100$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$387651.3%39 W · 37 L+0.9wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+6.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6180…b73ebacked No41c93$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38.13250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.04per pick46cpaid-2.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9d5f…84bfbacked No38c86$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32.6812357.7%71 W · 52 L-6.3wins-0.05per pick63cpaid-11.2%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x2b69…3c00backed No41c83$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34.0310%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.41per pick41cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xaa6c…d472backed Yes60c83$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33.21100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.40per pick60cpaid+66.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2453…28e2backed Yes65c76.92$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.9225637.9%97 W · 159 L-7.0wins-0.03per pick41cpaid-13.8%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x5854…8d98backed Yes65c69.2$45 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.221154.5%6 W · 5 L+1.2wins+0.11per pick44cpaid+50.9%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xd2af…7c12backed No41c65$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.6510%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.41per pick41cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x71c0…fd11backed Yes63c62.45$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.882334.8%8 W · 15 L-3.3wins-0.15per pick49cpaid-35.1%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xfc47…aae1backed Yes60c58$35 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.2250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid-16.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1a9e…7a1bbacked No41c58$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.78250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-25.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf808…742dbacked Yes64c56.25$36 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.251100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.36per pick64cpaid+56.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x5ed5…e9bfbacked Yes67c55.23$37 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.231637.5%6 W · 10 L-2.0wins-0.13per pick50cpaid-20.5%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xec89…3286backed Yes64c54.69$35 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.6917146.8%80 W · 91 L-4.7wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-8.7%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xd242…ba4ebacked Yes74c54$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.043339.4%13 W · 20 L-0.6wins-0.02per pick41cpaid-10.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xcfdb…7a75backed Yes65c50.68$33 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.749357%53 W · 40 L-3.0wins-0.03per pick60cpaid-9.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x6a7c…920ebacked Yes65c50$33 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.5580%4 W · 1 L+0.8wins+0.16per pick64cpaid+19.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe3d4…2bacbacked Yes62c48.39$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.3923450.4%118 W · 116 L-14.5wins-0.06per pick57cpaid-11.7%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xd6a3…9738backed Yes63c47.62$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.6214945%67 W · 82 L-0.6wins0.00per pick45cpaid-9.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7be1…200ebacked Yes64c46.88$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.8811353.1%60 W · 53 L-0.4wins0.00per pick53cpaid+1.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x11ce…814abacked Yes65c46.08$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.131050%5 W · 5 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-23.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x044d…0992backed Yes62c43.55$27 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.551100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.38per pick62cpaid+61.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xb063…40d6backed No37c40.54$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$151250%6 W · 6 L+0.4wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+39.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x33dc…415ebacked No37c40$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.88334.9%29 W · 54 L-1.4wins-0.02per pick37cpaid-8.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa337…9e54backed Yes64c39.06$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.0614057.9%81 W · 59 L-4.6wins-0.03per pick61cpaid-6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x377c…4a10backed Yes64c39.06$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.061747.1%8 W · 9 L-0.8wins-0.05per pick52cpaid-29.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd32d…3c32backed Yes65c38.46$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.463959%23 W · 16 L+1.4wins+0.04per pick55cpaid+7.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x961a…22afbacked Yes65c38.46$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.46366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.13per pick54cpaid+5.9%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x9376…1655backed Yes65c36.05$23 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.62450%2 W · 2 L-0.7wins-0.18per pick68cpaid-26.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2bb4…64a0backed Yes65c35.53$23 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.534261.9%26 W · 16 L+1.5wins+0.03per pick58cpaid+9.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3dd4…1b50backed Yes63c32.54$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.0437245.4%169 W · 203 L-2.6wins-0.01per pick46cpaid+6.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x17e0…1e88backed No37c32.38$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.983336.4%12 W · 21 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-8.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x40e1…c293backed Yes63c31.75$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.751566.7%10 W · 5 L+1.3wins+0.09per pick58cpaid+12.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x817a…d5d7backed Yes65c30.77$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.77366.7%2 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick67cpaid-6.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80.
  • The position was at least $10.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.