Premier League · resolved market
Will Manchester City win on 2025-01-25?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x617e2bece1991b65ca149e92479e87ea1d12b523cf9c6f845e81eb041b30d5d3
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $118,060
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $148,370
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $118,060 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 249 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Premier League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xb8c4…7385backed Yes | 43c | 13,896$5,970 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,926.01 | 320 | 37.2%119 W · 201 L | +2.9wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0269…cb2dbacked No | 57c | 11,182$6,335 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,335.39 | 402 | 54.7%220 W · 182 L | +14.1wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x40e3…0787backed No | 50c | 6,664$3,335 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,335.2 | 147 | 32.7%48 W · 99 L | -4.5wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -44%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x07dd…ed9dbacked Yes | 29c | 3,442$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,441.34 | 184 | 33.7%62 W · 122 L | -2.5wins | -0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x38f1…9ff1backed Yes | 45c | 3,306$1,480 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,826.1 | 321 | 58.9%189 W · 132 L | +13.6wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x325f…d8acbacked No | 56c | 2,967$1,666 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,666.33 | 386 | 45.3%175 W · 211 L | +3.2wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -10%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb786…b18dbacked No | 24c | 2,738$664 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$663.55 | 796 | 50.8%404 W · 392 L | +28.1wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe40c…0e36backed Yes | 44c | 2,065$907 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,157.9 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.10per pick | 56cpaid | +18.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8b32…5950backed No | 55c | 2,032$1,124 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,123.76 | 319 | 44.5%142 W · 177 L | +11.7wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | +13.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2ff0…46e3backed Yes | 34c | 1,920$644 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,276.42 | 93 | 61.3%57 W · 36 L | +7.7wins | +0.08per pick | 53cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x891b…d1b8backed Yes | 29c | 1,725$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,224.51 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.30per pick | 20cpaid | +72.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdebb…eedbbacked Yes | 50c | 1,664$835 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$828.48 | 171 | 53.8%92 W · 79 L | +10.0wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +16.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9b97…5e12backed Yes | 37c | 1,571$581 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$989.99 | 49 | 59.2%29 W · 20 L | +6.6wins | +0.13per pick | 46cpaid | +41.4%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x5c57…5b16backed No | 55c | 1,484$812 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$811.72 | 166 | 60.8%101 W · 65 L | +2.4wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | +4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbbb5…4f10backed No | 18c | 1,461$259 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$259.18 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -0.5wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaf5f…2184backed No | 58c | 1,300$748 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$748 | 36 | 44.4%16 W · 20 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc745…9499backed Yes | 46c | 1,091$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$591.3 | 116 | 38.8%45 W · 71 L | -4.7wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -15%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf240…03c2backed Yes | 43c | 1,076$464 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$612.19 | 41 | 36.6%15 W · 26 L | +2.1wins | +0.05per pick | 31cpaid | +21.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x945e…2acabacked Yes | 29c | 1,028$298 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$729.66 | 15 | 66.7%10 W · 5 L | +3.1wins | +0.21per pick | 46cpaid | +112.9%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x4aef…9337backed No | 49c | 1,000$490 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$490 | 153 | 37.3%57 W · 96 L | -7.0wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x480d…f219backed No | 58c | 1,000$579 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$578.61 | 346 | 43.9%152 W · 194 L | -14.9wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7990…c870backed No | 51c | 1,000$510 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$510 | 40 | 42.5%17 W · 23 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa9d3…9d4bbacked No | 57c | 873.84$497 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$497.06 | 834 | 59.4%495 W · 339 L | +25.1wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb3e4…d6b2backed No | 55c | 793.69$435 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$435.17 | 561 | 58.6%329 W · 232 L | +29.0wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +12.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x90ba…63f3backed No | 56c | 770.03$431 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$431.21 | 680 | 26.3%179 W · 501 L | +5.6wins | +0.01per pick | 25cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfdbf…c88ebacked Yes | 39c | 763.61$301 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$462.61 | 43 | 32.6%14 W · 29 L | -2.9wins | -0.07per pick | 39cpaid | -27.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8b21…41fabacked No | 50c | 752.29$374 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$374.25 | 178 | 37.6%67 W · 111 L | -6.2wins | -0.04per pick | 41cpaid | -16%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7c85…77c6backed Yes | 42c | 719.71$302 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$417.43 | 277 | 52%144 W · 133 L | -9.9wins | -0.04per pick | 56cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x12d6…dbbcbacked No | 53c | 614.66$326 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$325.77 | 135 | 47.4%64 W · 71 L | +2.4wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x93bc…8ca3backed No | 57c | 600$342 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$342 | 406 | 40.9%166 W · 240 L | -4.5wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf699…07e1backed Yes | 69c | 545.83$374 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$171.87 | 280 | 70%196 W · 84 L | +49.8wins | +0.18per pick | 52cpaid | +54.1%equal weight | 68+0.16 edge/pick |
| 0xcef7…e7d7backed No | 70c | 511.42$357 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$356.99 | 369 | 54.5%201 W · 168 L | +50.1wins | +0.14per pick | 41cpaid | +91.7%equal weight | 64+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x9353…cdbebacked Yes | 47c | 500$235 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$265 | 33 | 48.5%16 W · 17 L | +2.8wins | +0.08per pick | 40cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4dc3…fce2backed No | 74c | 415$307 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$307.1 | 56 | 53.6%30 W · 26 L | +8.1wins | +0.14per pick | 39cpaid | +64.5%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xc26c…5fd4backed Yes | 49c | 410.68$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$210.68 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.08per pick | 33cpaid | -48.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe443…980dbacked Yes | 28c | 351.72$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$251.72 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -0.7wins | -0.09per pick | 38cpaid | -16.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xce62…73d5backed Yes | 34c | 300.29$101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$199.54 | 50 | 32%16 W · 34 L | +1.7wins | +0.03per pick | 29cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3fbc…12d5backed Yes | 43c | 300$129 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$171 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +2.4wins | +0.35per pick | 37cpaid | +188.8%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x25eb…8ce7backed Yes | 47c | 296.23$140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$156.68 | 174 | 47.7%83 W · 91 L | +7.4wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | +15.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6391…bc1cbacked No | 56c | 275$154 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$154 | 29 | 62.1%18 W · 11 L | +2.0wins | +0.07per pick | 55cpaid | +14.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf641…7b6fbacked Yes | 80c | 270.94$215 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.52 | 697 | 72.6%506 W · 191 L | +83.8wins | +0.12per pick | 61cpaid | +26.7%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xe27b…858fbacked Yes | 47c | 250$117 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$132.73 | 401 | 35.2%141 W · 260 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 35cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3937…f693backed Yes | 42c | 249.33$105 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$144.61 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -1.0wins | -0.09per pick | 50cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe227…55d8backed No | 52c | 238.84$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$125 | 72 | 56.9%41 W · 31 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfd2f…37ddbacked No | 57c | 229.79$131 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130.98 | 82 | 30.5%25 W · 57 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -29.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x03d1…f0a3backed Yes | 45c | 225.96$102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$124.02 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.55per pick | 45cpaid | +121.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9e87…8befbacked Yes | 52c | 221.15$115 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$106.15 | 118 | 55.1%65 W · 53 L | -3.1wins | -0.03per pick | 58cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x47c6…be32backed Yes | 38c | 219.97$83 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$136.55 | 22 | 27.3%6 W · 16 L | -2.0wins | -0.09per pick | 36cpaid | -37.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0d99…cf63backed Yes | 43c | 211.14$91 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$120.35 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -30.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x188b…6003backed No | 49c | 204.08$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 25 | 56%14 W · 11 L | +3.0wins | +0.12per pick | 44cpaid | +23.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5530…d38dbacked Yes | 41c | 200$82 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$118 | 211 | 53.1%112 W · 99 L | -4.0wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x95f6…d035backed Yes | 28c | 200$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$144 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +1.4wins | +0.47per pick | 20cpaid | +130.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x047b…ef6fbacked No | 75c | 200$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 33 | 60.6%20 W · 13 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 61cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdcaf…8229backed Yes | 35c | 198.05$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$128.05 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -1.3wins | -0.13per pick | 53cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd292…9ac8backed Yes | 29c | 194.14$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$138.44 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.71per pick | 29cpaid | +248.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x321a…b052backed No | 53c | 183.02$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.10per pick | 60cpaid | -25.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9d4d…6d87backed Yes | 40c | 150$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.11per pick | 39cpaid | +25%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf22a…1697backed No | 56c | 150$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83.63 | 46 | 45.7%21 W · 25 L | -1.1wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeb6c…e44fbacked No | 57c | 148.9$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85.49 | 71 | 59.2%42 W · 29 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 60cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x034b…8bc0backed No | 59c | 139.32$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82.2 | 29 | 37.9%11 W · 18 L | -3.5wins | -0.12per pick | 50cpaid | -23.3%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd82a…1b1cbacked Yes | 53c | 136.55$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.18 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +0.6wins | +0.08per pick | 55cpaid | +13.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked No | 13c | 135.97$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.16 | 660 | 31.2%206 W · 454 L | -13.0wins | -0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -23.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x931f…d15dbacked Yes | 52c | 133.94$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.94 | 110 | 52.7%58 W · 52 L | -5.1wins | -0.05per pick | 57cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7e92…395abacked Yes | 46c | 127.33$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.38 | 39 | 59%23 W · 16 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 61cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5ea5…2af9backed Yes | 52c | 125$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60 | 134 | 49.3%66 W · 68 L | -9.7wins | -0.07per pick | 56cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf634…3c9ebacked Yes | 36c | 123.34$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.34 | 20 | 45%9 W · 11 L | +2.1wins | +0.10per pick | 35cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd691…bf03backed Yes | 44c | 121.19$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.87 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | +1.4wins | +0.13per pick | 42cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8c76…477abacked Yes | 42c | 120$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.6 | 253 | 39.1%99 W · 154 L | -7.3wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3aab…c911backed Yes | 25c | 118.52$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.52 | 33 | 30.3%10 W · 23 L | -1.0wins | -0.03per pick | 33cpaid | -15%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1276…6d30backed Yes | 43c | 116.28$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.28 | 32 | 53.1%17 W · 15 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0c3d…3681backed Yes | 43c | 116.28$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.28 | 21 | 76.2%16 W · 5 L | +2.7wins | +0.13per pick | 63cpaid | +34.7%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2798…3d88backed Yes | 43c | 116.07$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.16 | 94 | 36.2%34 W · 60 L | -2.4wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa64a…21dabacked Yes | 45c | 115.87$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.73 | 37 | 37.8%14 W · 23 L | -2.5wins | -0.07per pick | 44cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6fa1…591abacked Yes | 42c | 115.3$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.87 | 31 | 19.4%6 W · 25 L | -3.8wins | -0.12per pick | 32cpaid | -64.1%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x99f9…004dbacked No | 50c | 100$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 60 | 51.7%31 W · 29 L | +7.1wins | +0.12per pick | 40cpaid | +27.8%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xe815…93f4backed No | 58c | 100$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58 | 13 | 30.8%4 W · 9 L | -2.4wins | -0.19per pick | 50cpaid | -27.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xbc85…6062backed Yes | 75c | 100$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.28per pick | 72cpaid | +39.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x538a…bd78backed Yes | 25c | 100$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -0.8wins | -0.10per pick | 35cpaid | -29.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf767…b532backed Yes | 26c | 100$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.09per pick | 34cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc2e7…35b1backed Yes | 42c | 100$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58 | 69 | 44.9%31 W · 38 L | -4.2wins | -0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xba99…8f26backed No | 27c | 100$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27 | 46 | 21.7%10 W · 36 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 22cpaid | -18.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5036…416bbacked No | 48c | 99.99$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48 | 36 | 55.6%20 W · 16 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xff13…41f8backed Yes | 52c | 96.15$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.15 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.10per pick | 40cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4890…0968backed No | 53c | 95.52$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.62 | 57 | 47.4%27 W · 30 L | +3.8wins | +0.07per pick | 41cpaid | +18.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2f58…2b48backed Yes | 48c | 92.92$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.32 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -1.7wins | -0.14per pick | 56cpaid | -32.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5cf8…0290backed Yes | 42c | 92.42$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.42 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +0.6wins | +0.08per pick | 63cpaid | +17.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfd50…a09fbacked No | 50c | 89.63$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1984…241ebacked Yes | 29c | 86.21$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.21 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +22.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe756…c70cbacked Yes | 47c | 85.11$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.11 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | -1.5wins | -0.11per pick | 58cpaid | -19.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xecb9…5a12backed Yes | 51c | 80.04$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.22 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -0.5wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -21.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2765…7ee4backed No | 59c | 80$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.2 | 342 | 51.8%177 W · 165 L | +21.9wins | +0.06per pick | 45cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6727…d00ebacked Yes | 58c | 78.11$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.11 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.34per pick | 66cpaid | +54.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x958d…3501backed Yes | 77c | 77.92$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.92 | 428 | 62.4%267 W · 161 L | -11.7wins | -0.03per pick | 65cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe3fe…978fbacked No | 67c | 77.41$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.55 | 26 | 84.6%22 W · 4 L | +4.3wins | +0.17per pick | 68cpaid | +24.9%equal weight | 59+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x1691…8e9cbacked Yes | 52c | 76.92$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.92 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.48per pick | 52cpaid | +92.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf5e2…806fbacked Yes | 46c | 76.09$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.09 | 36 | 63.9%23 W · 13 L | -1.0wins | -0.03per pick | 67cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb3d3…a515backed Yes | 46c | 73.18$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.74 | 16 | 56.3%9 W · 7 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | +12%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe41d…2301backed No | 50c | 70.11$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x41de…9886backed Yes | 77c | 70$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.1 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.23per pick | 77cpaid | +29.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x344d…1278backed Yes | 44c | 68.19$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.19 | 24 | 33.3%8 W · 16 L | -2.9wins | -0.12per pick | 46cpaid | -30.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Manchester City win on 2025-01-25?this page
- Will Chelsea win on 2025-01-25?No won
- Will Manchester City vs. Chelsea end in a draw?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.