TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Premier League · resolved market

Will Chelsea win on 2025-01-25?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Noof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$90,903
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$106,016

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $90,903 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 121 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Premier League
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x2c11…c7e6backed No68c11,166$7,571 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,595.29540%2 W · 3 L-0.7wins-0.14per pick54cpaid-39.1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x40e3…0787backed No44c7,075$3,104 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,970.2514732.7%48 W · 99 L-4.5wins-0.03per pick36cpaid-44%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x7ccf…2fedbacked Yes59c6,175$3,617 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,616.914156.7%80 W · 61 L+0.4wins0.00per pick56cpaid-2.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2ff0…46e3backed No60c5,916$3,537 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,379.079361.3%57 W · 36 L+7.7wins+0.08per pick53cpaid+8.4%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x950c…76f2backed Yes37c5,494$2,007 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,006.9333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.09per pick42cpaid-31%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x07dd…ed9dbacked Yes41c5,402$2,233 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,23318433.7%62 W · 122 L-2.5wins-0.01per pick35cpaid-8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf699…07e1backed Yes43c3,722$1,614 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,614.2428070%196 W · 84 L+49.8wins+0.18per pick52cpaid+54.1%equal weight68+0.16 edge/pick
0xb786…b18dbacked No54c3,591$1,942 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,649.1679650.8%404 W · 392 L+28.1wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+9.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x0269…cb2dbacked Yes32c3,174$1,002 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,001.9340254.7%220 W · 182 L+14.1wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+9.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xe626…2fe6backed Yes56c3,129$1,750 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,7504264.3%27 W · 15 L+0.8wins+0.02per pick62cpaid-0.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9055…756abacked Yes41c3,000$1,230 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,2304560%27 W · 18 L+6.0wins+0.13per pick47cpaid+97.5%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x71cd…912dbacked No62c2,821$1,749 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,071.919743.7%86 W · 111 L+32.4wins+0.16per pick27cpaid+142.5%equal weight66+0.15 edge/pick
0xf00f…711abacked No67c2,311$1,546 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$765.355650%28 W · 28 L-4.0wins-0.07per pick57cpaid+4.1%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x3c64…d9e5backed Yes33c2,301$754 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$754.232751.9%14 W · 13 L+0.8wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+10.9%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xa9d3…9d4bbacked No67c1,716$1,153 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$562.4283459.4%495 W · 339 L+25.1wins+0.03per pick56cpaid+6.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe803…8efbbacked Yes34c1,671$562 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$562.021323.1%3 W · 10 L-0.8wins-0.07per pick30cpaid-17.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9602…4d02backed No65c1,598$1,039 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$559.456453.9%304 W · 260 L+27.6wins+0.05per pick49cpaid+4.8%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xe486…2d23backed Yes32c1,566$499 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$499.271442.9%6 W · 8 L-0.7wins-0.05per pick48cpaid-21.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x90ba…63f3backed Yes34c1,562$531 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$531.0268026.3%179 W · 501 L+5.6wins+0.01per pick25cpaid-1.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x71e9…1248backed Yes58c1,493$865 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$864.62123.8%5 W · 16 L-2.0wins-0.09per pick33cpaid-38.3%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x5c57…5b16backed No68c1,462$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$462.0116660.8%101 W · 65 L+2.4wins+0.01per pick59cpaid+4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x92c9…23acbacked Yes35c1,426$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50010%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.35per pick35cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7c36…12b1backed Yes51c1,298$668 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$667.8610%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.51per pick51cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x325f…d8acbacked No57c1,201$686 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$514.2838645.3%175 W · 211 L+3.2wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-10%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdebb…eedbbacked No74c1,150$849 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$300.617153.8%92 W · 79 L+10.0wins+0.06per pick48cpaid+16.6%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xdea6…1550backed Yes10c1,115$107 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$107.240%0 W · 4 L-0.8wins-0.20per pick20cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x43cb…4bccbacked Yes32c1,041$333 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$333.2817234.3%59 W · 113 L+0.5wins0.00per pick34cpaid-13.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4aef…9337backed Yes26c1,000$260 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26015337.3%57 W · 96 L-7.0wins-0.05per pick42cpaid-9.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x93bc…8ca3backed No65c1,000$650 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$35040640.9%166 W · 240 L-4.5wins-0.01per pick42cpaid-1.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x700f…62d8backed Yes35c875.01$305 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$304.929044.8%130 W · 160 L-1.2wins0.00per pick45cpaid+0.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2c9a…f397backed Yes35c831.34$291 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$290.9730%0 W · 3 L-1.2wins-0.39per pick39cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x1642…5988backed No47c800$377 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4239148.4%44 W · 47 L-2.6wins-0.03per pick51cpaid+16.5%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xb3e4…d6b2backed No67c750.17$502 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$248.0756158.6%329 W · 232 L+29.0wins+0.05per pick53cpaid+12.2%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xa075…09fdbacked No49c720.92$353 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$367.674637%17 W · 29 L-3.1wins-0.07per pick44cpaid-14.3%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x91c0…846cbacked Yes31c647.32$201 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$200.671637.5%6 W · 10 L+1.2wins+0.08per pick30cpaid+0.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe443…980dbacked Yes56c557.14$310 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$310728.6%2 W · 5 L-0.7wins-0.09per pick38cpaid-16.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x834e…8015backed Yes50c512.39$255 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$255.23855.3%21 W · 17 L+6.4wins+0.17per pick39cpaid+102.1%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0xf2b2…66d8backed No50c501.9$251 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$250.95933.3%3 W · 6 L-1.1wins-0.12per pick46cpaid-40.8%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xa66e…3430backed Yes57c483.37$274 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$273.632133.3%7 W · 14 L-4.1wins-0.20per pick53cpaid-28.3%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0xcef7…e7d7backed Yes46c395$182 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$181.736954.5%201 W · 168 L+50.1wins+0.14per pick41cpaid+91.7%equal weight64+0.13 edge/pick
0x3486…49eebacked No51c392.16$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$192.1642240.3%170 W · 252 L-8.4wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-6.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5eae…f263backed Yes27c370.37$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1009037.8%34 W · 56 L-4.0wins-0.04per pick42cpaid-19.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x598b…f296backed Yes29c365.66$106 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$106.043060%18 W · 12 L+3.0wins+0.10per pick50cpaid+53.3%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xe564…e364backed No68c365$248 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$116.8540%2 W · 3 L-1.3wins-0.25per pick65cpaid-41.2%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x2c4a…8e5dbacked No68c322$219 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$103.0460557.5%348 W · 257 L+25.6wins+0.04per pick53cpaid+8.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x3642…aac6backed No66c319.7$211 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$108.7366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.05per pick62cpaid+18.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x686e…af8cbacked Yes32c312.13$99 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$99.288825%22 W · 66 L-1.8wins-0.02per pick27cpaid+0.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4a64…4430backed No64c300$192 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10837841.8%158 W · 220 L+8.7wins+0.02per pick39cpaid-9.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe27b…858fbacked No71c254.99$180 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$74.5540135.2%141 W · 260 L-0.7wins0.00per pick35cpaid-1.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7d66…89c4backed No66c252.49$167 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$85.85966.7%6 W · 3 L+0.5wins+0.06per pick61cpaid-1%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x1fcf…48e1backed No60c250$149 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$101.13666.7%24 W · 12 L+8.6wins+0.24per pick43cpaid+89.6%equal weight66+0.14 edge/pick
0x2765…7ee4backed No46c241.99$110 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$131.8234251.8%177 W · 165 L+21.9wins+0.06per pick45cpaid+9.3%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xf0b0…8cabbacked Yes29c238.32$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$69.9566031.2%206 W · 454 L-13.0wins-0.02per pick33cpaid-23.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa9d7…25e9backed Yes45c220.01$99 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9937652.4%197 W · 179 L+27.4wins+0.07per pick45cpaid+9.5%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xeb6c…e44fbacked No68c219$149 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$70.087159.2%42 W · 29 L-0.5wins-0.01per pick60cpaid-6.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdd3a…0898backed Yes36c201.39$72 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$72.5933.3%3 W · 6 L+0.4wins+0.04per pick29cpaid-7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8b7e…6a9fbacked No71c200$142 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5829653%157 W · 139 L-23.0wins-0.08per pick61cpaid-15.7%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xd3a9…83febacked No66c184.5$122 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$62.736100%6 W · 0 L+1.8wins+0.31per pick69cpaid+47.2%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x88a6…d4a9backed No69c175.06$120 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$55.06450%2 W · 2 L+0.2wins+0.06per pick44cpaid-27.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9fe4…6348backed Yes30c174.24$53 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$53.0620%0 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.28per pick28cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa9ee…5b0bbacked No69c160.58$110 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$50.581369.2%9 W · 4 L+1.4wins+0.11per pick58cpaid-1.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x8c46…be29backed Yes34c158.46$54 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$53.8832736.4%119 W · 208 L-21.2wins-0.06per pick43cpaid-19.6%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xb701…7cf6backed Yes33c151.13$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5022932.3%74 W · 155 L-0.4wins0.00per pick32cpaid-5.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2453…28e2backed Yes35c142.86$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5025637.9%97 W · 159 L-7.0wins-0.03per pick41cpaid-13.8%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x66e7…e316backed Yes45c132.23$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$59.534938.8%19 W · 30 L-6.0wins-0.12per pick51cpaid-25.9%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xa3b7…520dbacked Yes31c118.39$37 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$36.715636.5%57 W · 99 L-11.7wins-0.07per pick44cpaid-18.1%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xe06c…62aebacked Yes34c117.65$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$409355.9%52 W · 41 L+1.3wins+0.01per pick55cpaid-0.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8261…a3f1backed Yes55c105.95$58 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$58.33862.5%5 W · 3 L+0.3wins+0.04per pick59cpaid+9.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8494…3413backed No71c105.63$75 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30.63580%4 W · 1 L+0.7wins+0.14per pick66cpaid+38.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xcee6…b3b7backed Yes28c104.9$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.365042%21 W · 29 L+3.4wins+0.07per pick35cpaid+4.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xdc4b…5a92backed No71c100$71 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2942755%235 W · 192 L-23.4wins-0.05per pick61cpaid-11%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xa79c…36c6backed Yes29c100$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$294045%18 W · 22 L+5.0wins+0.13per pick32cpaid+36.7%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xa46f…2cf6backed Yes35c100$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35450%2 W · 2 L+0.8wins+0.19per pick31cpaid+79.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x047b…ef6fbacked Yes55c100$55 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$553360.6%20 W · 13 L0.0wins0.00per pick61cpaid+9.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbf26…b387backed Yes33c87.27$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2940%0 W · 4 L-1.5wins-0.39per pick39cpaid-100%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xcdd0…f87dbacked Yes30c87$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.272138.1%8 W · 13 L-1.6wins-0.08per pick46cpaid-36.8%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xcb2d…47e4backed Yes33c86.39$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.51616.7%1 W · 5 L-0.2wins-0.03per pick20cpaid-25.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbd88…1ca6backed No68c80$54 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.66854.4%37 W · 31 L-6.7wins-0.10per pick64cpaid-20.8%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x839e…c93abacked Yes55c78.87$43 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$43.38250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.05per pick55cpaid-7.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0692…bb88backed Yes34c73.9$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25425%1 W · 3 L-1.2wins-0.30per pick55cpaid-68.4%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x12d6…dbbcbacked Yes31c72.63$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.5213547.4%64 W · 71 L+2.4wins+0.02per pick46cpaid-3.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xe38c…3ee7backed Yes34c71.34$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.51450%2 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.05per pick55cpaid-3.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xccc9…7a15backed Yes54c70$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$37.8650%3 W · 3 L-0.3wins-0.05per pick55cpaid-12.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb0ff…ca90backed No71c67.97$48 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.7121353.1%113 W · 100 L+5.0wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+5.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3add…11b5backed Yes31c67.9$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.953122.6%7 W · 24 L-1.7wins-0.06per pick28cpaid-38.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x86f5…e0fdbacked No72c66.32$48 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.572100%2 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.27per pick73cpaid+36.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0f22…a26ebacked Yes31c64.84$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.16045%27 W · 33 L+2.2wins+0.04per pick41cpaid+10.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xceb6…fd0fbacked Yes28c64.29$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.14per pick47cpaid-53.4%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xe3fe…978fbacked Yes50c64.06$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31.742684.6%22 W · 4 L+4.3wins+0.17per pick68cpaid+24.9%equal weight59+0.09 edge/pick
0x2366…1078backed Yes32c62.5$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$204858.3%28 W · 20 L+5.7wins+0.12per pick46cpaid+38.3%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x1ff2…1c10backed No48c60.35$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31.365949.2%29 W · 30 L-2.2wins-0.04per pick53cpaid-8.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xc391…8f41backed Yes33c58.97$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.465740.4%23 W · 34 L-2.0wins-0.03per pick44cpaid-14%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x8b21…41fabacked Yes24c58.66$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.0817837.6%67 W · 111 L-6.2wins-0.04per pick41cpaid-16%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5024…9433backed No72c58.14$42 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.28475%3 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.02per pick73cpaid+4.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd1ec…6d77backed Yes35c57.14$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$201241.7%5 W · 7 L-1.4wins-0.12per pick54cpaid-28.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x1306…c689backed Yes35c57.14$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$206144.3%27 W · 34 L-5.5wins-0.09per pick53cpaid-15.4%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xb0b7…af8bbacked Yes27c55.84$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$153237.5%12 W · 20 L+1.6wins+0.05per pick33cpaid+0.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x7dae…08a4backed Yes27c55.74$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15333.3%1 W · 2 L+0.3wins+0.09per pick24cpaid+4.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xce86…f868backed Yes34c52.94$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$189334.4%32 W · 61 L-0.9wins-0.01per pick35cpaid+6.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb626…e223backed Yes31c51.61$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16837.5%3 W · 5 L-0.5wins-0.06per pick43cpaid-37.9%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.