TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Premier League · resolved market

Will Brighton win on 2024-11-09?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Yesof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$46,805
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$49,023

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $46,805 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 123 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Premier League
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x2ff0…46e3backed Yes71c10,103$7,192 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,910.879361.3%57 W · 36 L+7.7wins+0.08per pick53cpaid+8.4%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x3fa3…dc66backed No29c10,000$2,900 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,899.75933.3%3 W · 6 L-0.5wins-0.06per pick39cpaid+20.6%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x0269…cb2dbacked No77c6,584$5,082 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,082.3140254.7%220 W · 182 L+14.1wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+9.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x651f…c190backed Yes22c3,000$660 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,3401741.2%7 W · 10 L+0.4wins+0.03per pick39cpaid+9.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x90ba…63f3backed Yes21c2,006$421 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,584.7968026.3%179 W · 501 L+5.6wins+0.01per pick25cpaid-1.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2b74…a4f4backed Yes21c1,570$329 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,241.182025%5 W · 15 L+1.0wins+0.05per pick20cpaid+9.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd9b9…5bb9backed No77c1,524$1,173 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,173.530%0 W · 3 L-1.6wins-0.54per pick54cpaid-100%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x32b2…841cbacked No21c1,500$315 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3152725.9%7 W · 20 L+1.1wins+0.04per pick22cpaid+14.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x336b…1233backed Yes21c1,500$315 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,184.976350.8%32 W · 31 L+4.7wins+0.07per pick43cpaid+25.4%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x8996…fbcebacked Yes23c1,455$335 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,120.084742.6%20 W · 27 L+0.8wins+0.02per pick41cpaid+18.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x823e…903abacked Yes23c1,449$333 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,115.831100%1 W · 0 L+0.8wins+0.77per pick23cpaid+334.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x4a64…4430backed Yes17c1,447$242 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,20537841.8%158 W · 220 L+8.7wins+0.02per pick39cpaid-9.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x26bd…ac09backed Yes24c1,208$290 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$918.33250%1 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.21per pick29cpaid+108.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0b6a…4873backed No25c1,162$287 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2872548%12 W · 13 L+1.7wins+0.07per pick41cpaid+18.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x07f6…2ed5backed Yes16c981.36$158 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$823.367825.6%20 W · 58 L-2.2wins-0.03per pick28cpaid-7.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x40c4…c2b0backed Yes23c906.96$209 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$698.36450%2 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.03per pick53cpaid+40.3%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xcb06…3dd0backed No79c841.44$665 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$664.74425%1 W · 3 L-0.7wins-0.16per pick41cpaid-49%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x25fc…be47backed No79c811.14$641 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$640.810%0 W · 1 L-0.8wins-0.79per pick79cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x9cfb…df99backed Yes77c777.72$595 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$182.391060%6 W · 4 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick59cpaid+5.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb2c7…1b5bbacked No77c723.89$557 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$557.3917945.8%82 W · 97 L+3.1wins+0.02per pick44cpaid+3.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9ccb…0a10backed Yes76c711.67$541 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$170.811361.5%8 W · 5 L+1.5wins+0.11per pick50cpaid+1.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x4424…88a8backed No79c642.49$508 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$507.57633.3%2 W · 4 L-0.8wins-0.14per pick47cpaid-43.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x606f…b3b5backed No78c640.88$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$499.88250%1 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.16per pick66cpaid-5.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xab2b…1e4fbacked No79c631.04$499 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$498.5210%0 W · 1 L-0.8wins-0.79per pick79cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x1187…09ffbacked No80c615.35$492 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$492.27366.7%2 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick67cpaid+18.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0bca…0e4abacked No13c586.63$76 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$76.26540%2 W · 3 L+0.4wins+0.08per pick32cpaid-26.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8815…e147backed Yes23c579.92$133 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$446.533345.5%15 W · 18 L+1.0wins+0.03per pick42cpaid+8.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2b51…e165backed No79c500$395 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3956660.6%40 W · 26 L-0.2wins0.00per pick61cpaid+6.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xde00…6879backed Yes25c464.52$115 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$349.19850%4 W · 4 L+0.2wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+1.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x491e…6ff3backed Yes23c403.91$93 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$311.012100%2 W · 0 L+1.2wins+0.61per pick39cpaid+206.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xe2b3…5fa4backed Yes25c403.56$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$303.562737%10 W · 17 L-4.6wins-0.17per pick54cpaid-30.2%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0xd244…f24cbacked Yes25c400$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3004835.4%17 W · 31 L-2.1wins-0.04per pick40cpaid-11.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2aa5…ff32backed No75c384.52$288 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$288.39757.1%4 W · 3 L+1.0wins+0.15per pick42cpaid+1,419.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xa0db…56d5backed No79c379.75$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3002673.1%19 W · 7 L+1.1wins+0.04per pick69cpaid+6.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x306b…3ec5backed Yes15c357.21$54 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$303.631936.8%7 W · 12 L-0.7wins-0.04per pick41cpaid-7.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xbc9a…089fbacked Yes79c329.53$260 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$69.2250%1 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.26per pick76cpaid-36.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0d64…f082backed Yes23c306.91$71 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$236.32560%3 W · 2 L+0.1wins+0.03per pick57cpaid+46.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5f41…83f5backed No16c300.78$47 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$47.417343.8%32 W · 41 L+2.6wins+0.04per pick40cpaid-11.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x9055…756abacked Yes22c282.64$62 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$220.464560%27 W · 18 L+6.0wins+0.13per pick47cpaid+97.5%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0xf641…7b6fbacked Yes22c259$56 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$202.9469772.6%506 W · 191 L+83.8wins+0.12per pick61cpaid+26.7%equal weight63+0.12 edge/pick
0x9602…4d02backed No76c258.15$196 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$196.1956453.9%304 W · 260 L+27.6wins+0.05per pick49cpaid+4.8%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x532b…dd2dbacked No79c253.16$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$200666.7%4 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.10per pick76cpaid-12.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xfe2d…45d5backed Yes23c221.74$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$171.741136.4%4 W · 7 L-0.2wins-0.02per pick38cpaid-2.4%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xddc3…a171backed No23c214.69$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$503732.4%12 W · 25 L-1.4wins-0.04per pick36cpaid-5.9%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x50ef…3abdbacked Yes24c208.33$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$158.331258.3%7 W · 5 L+1.6wins+0.14per pick45cpaid+76.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xbeb8…3667backed Yes71c206.88$147 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$59.392060%12 W · 8 L+4.3wins+0.22per pick38cpaid+66.9%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0x3cf3…50d9backed Yes24c204.12$49 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$155.135729.8%17 W · 40 L-6.5wins-0.11per pick41cpaid-37.8%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xdc4b…5a92backed No78c200$155 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15542755%235 W · 192 L-23.4wins-0.05per pick61cpaid-11%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x486b…9f23backed Yes23c200$46 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1541040%4 W · 6 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick39cpaid+16.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb70b…4dc8backed Yes25c200$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1501947.4%9 W · 10 L+2.2wins+0.12per pick36cpaid+48.5%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x3258…9e52backed No78c199.99$156 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1561323.1%3 W · 10 L-4.1wins-0.31per pick54cpaid-57.4%equal weight38-0.11 edge/pick
0x8c46…be29backed Yes23c175$41 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$134.532736.4%119 W · 208 L-21.2wins-0.06per pick43cpaid-19.6%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x55c6…c338backed Yes22c152.32$33 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$119.111442.9%6 W · 8 L-0.6wins-0.04per pick47cpaid+0.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4c78…b86cbacked Yes24c145.83$35 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$110.831100%1 W · 0 L+0.8wins+0.76per pick24cpaid+316.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xca95…fc40backed Yes20c135.5$27 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$108.43551.4%18 W · 17 L+1.2wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+17.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x137c…8dd5backed No79c126.58$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100728.6%2 W · 5 L-1.5wins-0.21per pick49cpaid-30.4%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x6072…a182backed No79c125$99 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$98.7510%0 W · 1 L-0.8wins-0.79per pick79cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xfe92…9f2abacked Yes22c125$28 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$97.51100%1 W · 0 L+0.8wins+0.78per pick22cpaid+354.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xbdbb…346cbacked No80c125$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10010%0 W · 1 L-0.8wins-0.80per pick80cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe8f4…d323backed Yes23c113.04$26 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$87.046100%6 W · 0 L+2.6wins+0.44per pick56cpaid+139.7%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xaeb5…58e2backed Yes24c108.96$26 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$82.8144939.6%178 W · 271 L+1.0wins0.00per pick39cpaid-6.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe227…55d8backed Yes23c108.7$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$83.77256.9%41 W · 31 L-0.3wins0.00per pick57cpaid+4.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5bfe…fd35backed No79c103.84$82 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$82.0310%0 W · 1 L-0.8wins-0.79per pick79cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf86c…ba99backed No77c103.26$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$79.5112959.7%77 W · 52 L+4.2wins+0.03per pick56cpaid+10.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x56df…ffd4backed No78c101.44$79 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$79.12728.6%2 W · 5 L-1.9wins-0.27per pick55cpaid-49.2%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x37b9…3390backed Yes20c100$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$802231.8%7 W · 15 L-1.0wins-0.04per pick36cpaid+0.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8784…f1aebacked Yes25c100$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$759151.6%47 W · 44 L+2.8wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+5.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xa610…0461backed Yes20c100$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$802236.4%8 W · 14 L-1.0wins-0.05per pick41cpaid-16.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x99c2…ef35backed No74c98.37$73 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$72.795959.3%35 W · 24 L+2.7wins+0.05per pick55cpaid+36.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x2c43…b289backed Yes61c86.22$53 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33.4312149.6%60 W · 61 L+8.1wins+0.07per pick43cpaid+95.4%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x2f86…98f4backed Yes24c83.33$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$63.331100%1 W · 0 L+0.8wins+0.76per pick24cpaid+316.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x64cb…e7f5backed Yes24c83.33$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$63.331100%1 W · 0 L+0.8wins+0.76per pick24cpaid+316.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x602c…7da0backed No79c75.95$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$606159%36 W · 25 L-3.9wins-0.06per pick65cpaid-9.9%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x91c2…8987backed Yes75c66.76$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.76887.5%7 W · 1 L+1.5wins+0.19per pick68cpaid+31.5%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x7df2…c71dbacked No76c65.78$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.9910%0 W · 1 L-0.8wins-0.76per pick76cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x91b1…9eadbacked Yes22c63.64$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$49.641361.5%8 W · 5 L+1.6wins+0.13per pick49cpaid+33.3%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x3d5c…46dbbacked Yes24c62.5$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$47.5520%1 W · 4 L-0.1wins-0.02per pick22cpaid-16.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x37e9…ab9fbacked No20c60$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.7611915.1%18 W · 101 L-10.4wins-0.09per pick24cpaid-37.2%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xe119…dce0backed Yes22c60$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$46.8850%4 W · 4 L+0.9wins+0.11per pick39cpaid+35.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xb063…40d6backed Yes23c56.52$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$43.521250%6 W · 6 L+0.4wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+39.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc85a…9155backed No76c55.26$42 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4210%0 W · 1 L-0.8wins-0.76per pick76cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x06fc…4fb6backed Yes22c50$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3911640.5%47 W · 69 L-3.4wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-9%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x636f…8385backed Yes24c50$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$381100%1 W · 0 L+0.8wins+0.76per pick24cpaid+316.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6b0f…86e7backed Yes22c50$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$39633.3%2 W · 4 L+0.4wins+0.07per pick26cpaid+38.4%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x9940…22b5backed Yes26c49.62$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$36.721100%1 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.74per pick26cpaid+284.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd7cb…b857backed No78c48.71$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$37.998254.9%45 W · 37 L+3.8wins+0.05per pick50cpaid-2.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xa608…c884backed No76c48.68$37 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3710%0 W · 1 L-0.8wins-0.76per pick76cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x6c74…4e3cbacked No76c47.37$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3610%0 W · 1 L-0.8wins-0.76per pick76cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5452…fcb4backed Yes26c46.31$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$34.271100%1 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.74per pick26cpaid+284.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x3c87…70d5backed Yes22c46.18$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$36.0229238.4%112 W · 180 L-9.9wins-0.03per pick42cpaid-9.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xbea9…02f9backed No79c45.59$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$36.152268.2%15 W · 7 L+2.1wins+0.09per pick59cpaid+17.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xce4a…26f5backed Yes75c45$34 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.4560%3 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.07per pick67cpaid-2.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x92b3…5e9fbacked No76c44.83$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34.07837.5%3 W · 5 L-2.6wins-0.32per pick70cpaid-46.9%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x5589…a2c7backed Yes25c40$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30580%4 W · 1 L+1.0wins+0.21per pick59cpaid+55.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x63e6…6535backed Yes25c40$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30475%3 W · 1 L+1.4wins+0.35per pick40cpaid+110.2%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x5f70…6215backed No78c38.46$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$301457.1%8 W · 6 L-0.4wins-0.03per pick60cpaid-11.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdcd0…cd98backed No76c38.15$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.9910%0 W · 1 L-0.8wins-0.76per pick76cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x36b6…61c0backed No79c37.97$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$301361.5%8 W · 5 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick62cpaid-5.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe591…d8a5backed Yes75c34.33$26 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.58520%1 W · 4 L-1.9wins-0.38per pick58cpaid-73.3%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x0d33…1ddabacked No76c31.57$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.9910%0 W · 1 L-0.8wins-0.76per pick76cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.