NHL · resolved market
Panthers vs. Capitals
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x785f93b7a2ef419b0a08defb30f7f8ad2ae3fafd26b009c9b777f48ba97a5a4a
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Panthersof Panthers, Capitals
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NHLevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $338,176
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $349,097
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $338,176 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 240 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NHL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NHL | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x5d89…a2febacked Panthers | 42c | 230,819$96,944 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$133,874.85 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +1.4wins | +0.17per pick | 46cpaid | +58.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc660…bd28backed Capitals | 58c | 69,450$40,281 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40,281 | 485 | 49.7%241 W · 244 L | +3.7wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc87…7ab6backed Capitals | 58c | 31,710$18,392 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18,392 | 561 | 52%292 W · 269 L | +7.1wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1496…a429backed Capitals | 58c | 24,200$14,036 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14,036 | 135 | 53.3%72 W · 63 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked Capitals | 58c | 16,000$9,280 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,280 | 1,441 | 49.2%709 W · 732 L | +6.5wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb083…b3f0backed Capitals | 59c | 15,555$9,122 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,121.9 | 315 | 46.3%146 W · 169 L | -7.4wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Capitals | 58c | 15,289$8,914 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,913.86 | 1,679 | 54.4%914 W · 765 L | +36.6wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdcfe…44b5backed Capitals | 58c | 12,222$7,089 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,088.76 | 79 | 49.4%39 W · 40 L | -4.0wins | -0.05per pick | 54cpaid | -13%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc94a…9401backed Capitals | 58c | 9,901$5,743 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,742.53 | 145 | 53.1%77 W · 68 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4ebb…061abacked Capitals | 57c | 9,086$5,200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,200 | 247 | 49.8%123 W · 124 L | -10.3wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3e04…564dbacked Panthers | 41c | 8,936$3,664 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,272.13 | 1,891 | 52.4%991 W · 900 L | +36.3wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe20a…e469backed Capitals | 59c | 8,215$4,806 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,806.1 | 390 | 47.9%187 W · 203 L | -13.2wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0a77…9d74backed Capitals | 58c | 7,678$4,453 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,453.35 | 520 | 50%260 W · 260 L | +6.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9c4d…168cbacked Panthers | 43c | 6,500$2,795 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,705 | 1,087 | 45.1%490 W · 597 L | +6.8wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1455…e5cdbacked Capitals | 58c | 6,303$3,656 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,655.79 | 793 | 50.1%397 W · 396 L | -11.5wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa39a…1246backed Capitals | 58c | 6,001$3,491 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,490.58 | 83 | 48.2%40 W · 43 L | -4.7wins | -0.06per pick | 54cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4c25…c3bebacked Panthers | 41c | 6,000$2,460 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,539.97 | 249 | 45.4%113 W · 136 L | -16.4wins | -0.07per pick | 52cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Capitals | 58c | 4,707$2,727 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,726.97 | 2,894 | 51.3%1,484 W · 1,410 L | +58.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb859…e244backed Panthers | 41c | 4,175$1,712 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,463.1 | 110 | 52.7%58 W · 52 L | +6.1wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +12.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8bd8…f306backed Capitals | 58c | 4,000$2,320 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,320 | 316 | 54.7%173 W · 143 L | +14.7wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7298…fe8dbacked Capitals | 58c | 3,922$2,275 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,274.73 | 332 | 43.7%145 W · 187 L | -16.1wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6a72…33eebacked Panthers | 48c | 3,457$1,668 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,788.63 | 1,345 | 54.8%737 W · 608 L | +21.0wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xed2c…9597backed Panthers | 41c | 3,000$1,230 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,770 | 333 | 45.6%152 W · 181 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5bc4…f44fbacked Panthers | 42c | 3,000$1,260 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,740 | 684 | 49.9%341 W · 343 L | -3.2wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x03e8…1697backed Capitals | 56c | 2,843$1,594 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,593.75 | 670 | 51%342 W · 328 L | +9.3wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x56be…57eebacked Capitals | 55c | 2,727$1,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,500 | 28 | 64.3%18 W · 10 L | +6.3wins | +0.22per pick | 42cpaid | +64.3%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xbce9…03e9backed Capitals | 2c | 2,712$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.24 | 250 | 4.8%12 W · 238 L | +6.2wins | +0.02per pick | 2cpaid | +159.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9870…b9d3backed Capitals | 59c | 2,545$1,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,500 | 315 | 50.8%160 W · 155 L | -11.6wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7bd8…aeabbacked Capitals | 58c | 2,179$1,264 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,263.88 | 269 | 55.8%150 W · 119 L | +7.0wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd6f4…0566backed Capitals | 48c | 2,117$1,011 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,011.08 | 950 | 49.1%466 W · 484 L | +12.6wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7949…1910backed Capitals | 57c | 2,108$1,202 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,201.6 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.2wins | -0.29per pick | 54cpaid | -57.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x301a…72a8backed Panthers | 44c | 2,078$906 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,172.31 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.9wins | +0.23per pick | 52cpaid | +39.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x977a…f2cabacked Capitals | 1c | 2,000$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1,163 | 2.3%27 W · 1,136 L | -10.7wins | -0.01per pick | 3cpaid | -87.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Capitals | 58c | 2,000$1,160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,160 | 1,555 | 51.4%800 W · 755 L | +12.2wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb763…247dbacked Capitals | 58c | 2,000$1,160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,160 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x57a8…6933backed Capitals | 58c | 1,775$1,029 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,029.36 | 388 | 44.6%173 W · 215 L | -17.1wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xba26…23c9backed Capitals | 57c | 1,682$965 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$964.58 | 1,143 | 50.8%581 W · 562 L | +11.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x778d…cbe2backed Capitals | 59c | 1,468$866 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$866.12 | 34 | 58.8%20 W · 14 L | +2.7wins | +0.08per pick | 51cpaid | +17.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Capitals | 58c | 1,465$850 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$849.7 | 1,230 | 53.7%661 W · 569 L | -9.1wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Capitals | 50c | 1,448$724 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$724.24 | 2,664 | 51.6%1,375 W · 1,289 L | +58.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Capitals | 23c | 1,360$311 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$311.31 | 2,112 | 42.9%907 W · 1,205 L | -10.1wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x019d…2b01backed Capitals | 59c | 1,255$740 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$739.63 | 22 | 59.1%13 W · 9 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 57cpaid | +6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe9cb…d096backed Capitals | 35c | 1,246$431 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$431.21 | 387 | 38%147 W · 240 L | -13.9wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -28.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf5d4…a077backed Panthers | 43c | 1,182$508 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$673.74 | 250 | 45.2%113 W · 137 L | +13.2wins | +0.05per pick | 40cpaid | +13.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb8c8…d8a4backed Panthers | 44c | 1,136$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$636.36 | 149 | 40.9%61 W · 88 L | -4.3wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Panthers | 54c | 1,109$596 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$513.22 | 1,301 | 52.6%684 W · 617 L | +23.7wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfbf3…b218backed Panthers | 69c | 1,089$752 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$337.7 | 117 | 45.3%53 W · 64 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x371a…34b0backed Capitals | 1c | 1,011$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.11 | 745 | 0.7%5 W · 740 L | -13.2wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -94.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Capitals | 59c | 1,000$585 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$585.09 | 457 | 51.6%236 W · 221 L | -3.2wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x164f…deb3backed Capitals | 58c | 1,000$580 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$580 | 254 | 46.5%118 W · 136 L | -12.6wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xba9c…d2c1backed Capitals | 53c | 1,000$530 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$530 | 98 | 53.1%52 W · 46 L | -3.8wins | -0.04per pick | 57cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbad2…5296backed Panthers | 43c | 1,000$430 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$570 | 892 | 49.9%445 W · 447 L | +10.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x17e5…f205backed Capitals | 1c | 1,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 242 | 0.8%2 W · 240 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 2cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1331…3d82backed Capitals | 31c | 942.58$292 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$292 | 71 | 63.4%45 W · 26 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 63cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5e30…acbfbacked Capitals | 58c | 905$525 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$524.9 | 831 | 49.5%411 W · 420 L | -9.2wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x13a1…d9bcbacked Panthers | 56c | 892$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$392.48 | 571 | 57.8%330 W · 241 L | +12.7wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5773…ac11backed Capitals | 58c | 825.5$479 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$478.79 | 23 | 47.8%11 W · 12 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6713…73dabacked Capitals | 58c | 793.1$460 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$460 | 20 | 35%7 W · 13 L | -4.6wins | -0.23per pick | 58cpaid | -41.8%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x5c57…5b16backed Capitals | 58c | 750.02$435 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$435.01 | 1,475 | 48.3%712 W · 763 L | +2.7wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf5a7…63e7backed Capitals | 58c | 750$435 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$435 | 318 | 48.1%153 W · 165 L | -9.4wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Capitals | 56c | 630.12$350 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$349.9 | 2,754 | 47.9%1,318 W · 1,436 L | +11.9wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdf08…9f3fbacked Panthers | 70c | 600$420 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$180 | 46 | 50%23 W · 23 L | -2.6wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcf00…353fbacked Capitals | 56c | 588.54$329 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$329.35 | 69 | 30.4%21 W · 48 L | -8.8wins | -0.13per pick | 43cpaid | -34.5%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Capitals | 53c | 541.55$287 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$286.94 | 3,704 | 50.5%1,871 W · 1,833 L | +105.5wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x57b9…e9b4backed Capitals | 59c | 508.47$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 193 | 53.9%104 W · 89 L | +6.4wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6ea8…ddc0backed Capitals | 58c | 500$290 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$290 | 63 | 41.3%26 W · 37 L | -6.8wins | -0.11per pick | 52cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xffd0…93fcbacked Capitals | 58c | 500$290 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$290 | 124 | 45.2%56 W · 68 L | -8.3wins | -0.07per pick | 52cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4a1a…4f77backed Panthers | 44c | 410.02$180 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$229.61 | 386 | 45.1%174 W · 212 L | +2.6wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf699…07e1backed Capitals | 67c | 406$273 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$272.63 | 854 | 64.2%548 W · 306 L | +64.5wins | +0.08per pick | 57cpaid | +18.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9534…1fe8backed Capitals | 57c | 400.33$228 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$228.19 | 228 | 52.6%120 W · 108 L | +2.4wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3ced…e5e1backed Panthers | 44c | 386.36$170 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$216.36 | 21 | 52.4%11 W · 10 L | -1.1wins | -0.05per pick | 58cpaid | -6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd4da…3175backed Capitals | 58c | 369.98$215 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$214.59 | 282 | 51.8%146 W · 136 L | +8.9wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9a6e…35b4backed Capitals | 58c | 352.32$204 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$204.34 | 352 | 45.2%159 W · 193 L | -19.2wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd0d8…480bbacked Panthers | 42c | 352.24$148 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$204.3 | 98 | 54.1%53 W · 45 L | +6.8wins | +0.07per pick | 47cpaid | +13.4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0f8e…3082backed Capitals | 49c | 343.42$167 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$166.62 | 1,140 | 51.5%587 W · 553 L | +40.1wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Panthers | 39c | 322.79$126 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$196.45 | 1,406 | 47%661 W · 745 L | +58.6wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6643…0109backed Panthers | 43c | 307.43$132 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$175.31 | 487 | 48.3%235 W · 252 L | +6.5wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5316…1d07backed Panthers | 41c | 300$123 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$177 | 204 | 44.6%91 W · 113 L | -2.5wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x17e0…80aebacked Panthers | 72c | 290.58$209 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.68 | 327 | 44%144 W · 183 L | +3.1wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa79a…88d0backed Capitals | 58c | 287.4$167 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$166.69 | 21 | 42.9%9 W · 12 L | -0.8wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd9e0…05f2backed Capitals | 51c | 277.09$141 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140.56 | 1,354 | 52.6%712 W · 642 L | +46.2wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xec6c…23c7backed Capitals | 20c | 263.3$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.81 | 167 | 38.9%65 W · 102 L | -4.7wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -22.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xce6d…28b5backed Panthers | 45c | 260$117 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$143 | 749 | 51.8%388 W · 361 L | +18.8wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2dc4…0c92backed Panthers | 43c | 257.34$111 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$146.68 | 413 | 54.5%225 W · 188 L | +17.6wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xca3f…8078backed Panthers | 41c | 255.79$105 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$150.86 | 622 | 49.4%307 W · 315 L | -4.3wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x90c5…534cbacked Panthers | 34c | 250$85 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$165 | 541 | 32.7%177 W · 364 L | -11.5wins | -0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3f5e…ddaabacked Panthers | 42c | 238.1$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$138.1 | 206 | 43.2%89 W · 117 L | -0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf3ac…f23dbacked Capitals | 62c | 230.97$142 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$142.29 | 61 | 54.1%33 W · 28 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4ce8…63febacked Capitals | 9c | 215.58$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 46 | 34.8%16 W · 30 L | -2.8wins | -0.06per pick | 41cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe4a8…68ebbacked Panthers | 42c | 202.38$85 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$117.38 | 22 | 45.5%10 W · 12 L | +2.1wins | +0.09per pick | 36cpaid | +14%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x34fa…f491backed Panthers | 41c | 200$82 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$118 | 599 | 50.4%302 W · 297 L | +20.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x38dd…c20abacked Panthers | 41c | 200$82 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$118 | 309 | 52.4%162 W · 147 L | +8.1wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1c8c…237dbacked Panthers | 45c | 200$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$110 | 118 | 40.7%48 W · 70 L | -2.9wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd727…eccebacked Panthers | 43c | 200$86 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$114 | 1,220 | 46.1%562 W · 658 L | +22.6wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb8a0…35b6backed Capitals | 60c | 195.7$117 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$116.96 | 60 | 58.3%35 W · 25 L | +3.6wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +10.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5b20…99e9backed Panthers | 42c | 190.48$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$110.48 | 1,093 | 51.8%566 W · 527 L | +14.2wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe530…a2cabacked Panthers | 44c | 181.82$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$101.82 | 691 | 42.8%296 W · 395 L | -2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1f3f…5878backed Capitals | 58c | 180$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104.4 | 104 | 38.5%40 W · 64 L | -1.7wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd73b…70adbacked Capitals | 42c | 178.81$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75 | 122 | 54.1%66 W · 56 L | +3.8wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x72b2…ffcabacked Panthers | 43c | 175$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$99.75 | 75 | 56%42 W · 33 L | +4.4wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +15.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NHL and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Panthers vs. Capitalsthis page
- Panthers vs. Capitals: O/U 5.5Over won
- Panthers vs. Capitals: O/U 6.5Over won
- Spread: Capitals (-1.5)Panthers won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.