NHL · resolved market
Flyers vs. Sabres
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xaeabbdd3b21594ab8ae59d24c5c03536e18197fbc437fec009ed9bbf81eafadc
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Sabresof Flyers, Sabres
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NHLevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $304,483
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $315,188
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $304,483 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 299 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NHL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NHL | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x98f7…b3e4backed Sabres | 56c | 76,423$42,797 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33,626.22 | 107 | 53.3%57 W · 50 L | +7.6wins | +0.07per pick | 46cpaid | +17.3%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc257…358ebacked Flyers | 45c | 22,400$10,080 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,080 | 485 | 45.4%220 W · 265 L | -7.8wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9f13…e0fdbacked Sabres | 55c | 19,434$10,786 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,648.24 | 479 | 51.4%246 W · 233 L | -5.6wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3e04…564dbacked Sabres | 56c | 16,575$9,222 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,352.98 | 1,891 | 52.4%991 W · 900 L | +36.3wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x83d8…8a88backed Flyers | 0c | 14,473$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.83 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +1.7wins | +0.17per pick | 43cpaid | +14%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6b90…2194backed Flyers | 43c | 12,749$5,532 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,531.87 | 157 | 49.7%78 W · 79 L | +2.7wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0919…fcbcbacked Flyers | 0c | 10,022$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.9 | 34 | 58.8%20 W · 14 L | +4.7wins | +0.14per pick | 45cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x4488…e319backed Flyers | 45c | 10,000$4,450 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,450 | 272 | 43.4%118 W · 154 L | -16.8wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7d92…8676backed Flyers | 44c | 10,000$4,400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,400 | 82 | 52.4%43 W · 39 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1117…3532backed Flyers | 44c | 9,720$4,277 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,276.8 | 566 | 49.5%280 W · 286 L | -7.3wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd696…8a49backed Flyers | 44c | 7,206$3,171 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,170.55 | 514 | 52.3%269 W · 245 L | +17.1wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9c4d…168cbacked Flyers | 43c | 6,500$2,795 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,795 | 1,087 | 45.1%490 W · 597 L | +6.8wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbd09…a188backed Sabres | 56c | 6,000$3,360 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,639.97 | 617 | 48.5%299 W · 318 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Flyers | 44c | 5,760$2,513 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,512.61 | 1,948 | 49.4%962 W · 986 L | +24.9wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa39a…1246backed Flyers | 44c | 5,620$2,473 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,472.8 | 83 | 48.2%40 W · 43 L | -4.7wins | -0.06per pick | 54cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1455…e5cdbacked Flyers | 44c | 5,141$2,262 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,262.04 | 793 | 50.1%397 W · 396 L | -11.5wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3c7e…a65fbacked Flyers | 44c | 5,000$2,200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,200 | 603 | 37.5%226 W · 377 L | -3.4wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf5e1…5ad0backed Flyers | 44c | 5,000$2,200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,200 | 331 | 51.7%171 W · 160 L | +9.0wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4c25…c3bebacked Sabres | 56c | 5,000$2,800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,200 | 249 | 45.4%113 W · 136 L | -16.4wins | -0.07per pick | 52cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x49d1…2a44backed Flyers | 44c | 4,500$1,980 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,980 | 51 | 52.9%27 W · 24 L | +2.9wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +15.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8bd8…f306backed Flyers | 44c | 4,500$1,980 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,980 | 316 | 54.7%173 W · 143 L | +14.7wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2ada…2f28backed Flyers | 1c | 4,200$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.25 | 185 | 20.5%38 W · 147 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 21cpaid | -45.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Flyers | 4c | 3,946$151 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$151.33 | 2,314 | 46.5%1,075 W · 1,239 L | -7.5wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb552…94a8backed Flyers | 44c | 3,339$1,468 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,468.18 | 619 | 53.8%333 W · 286 L | +13.2wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8717…32c2backed Flyers | 44c | 3,300$1,452 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,452 | 18 | 50%9 W · 9 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xed2c…9597backed Flyers | 44c | 3,000$1,320 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,320 | 333 | 45.6%152 W · 181 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x29ae…4d2cbacked Flyers | 24c | 2,907$706 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$706.5 | 73 | 54.8%40 W · 33 L | +7.0wins | +0.10per pick | 45cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd4da…3175backed Flyers | 44c | 2,727$1,200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,199.72 | 282 | 51.8%146 W · 136 L | +8.9wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x371a…34b0backed Flyers | 1c | 2,600$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.7 | 745 | 0.7%5 W · 740 L | -13.2wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -94.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Sabres | 57c | 2,533$1,449 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,083.6 | 1,679 | 54.4%914 W · 765 L | +36.6wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa7f9…86ecbacked Sabres | 57c | 2,500$1,425 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,074.98 | 112 | 53.6%60 W · 52 L | +5.1wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +10.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2586…c893backed Sabres | 57c | 2,400$1,368 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,032 | 836 | 52.8%441 W · 395 L | +28.9wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd9e0…05f2backed Flyers | 19c | 2,162$411 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$410.6 | 1,354 | 52.6%712 W · 642 L | +46.2wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x78f7…2c5dbacked Flyers | 44c | 2,120$933 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$932.58 | 205 | 52.2%107 W · 98 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x977a…f2cabacked Flyers | 1c | 2,000$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 1,163 | 2.3%27 W · 1,136 L | -10.7wins | -0.01per pick | 3cpaid | -87.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x93bc…8ca3backed Flyers | 15c | 1,886$274 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$274.04 | 1,025 | 40.8%418 W · 607 L | +15.6wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xce4d…a7fabacked Sabres | 57c | 1,800$1,023 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$777 | 255 | 55.3%141 W · 114 L | +10.0wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc7e5…2d3abacked Flyers | 45c | 1,667$750 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$750 | 437 | 43%188 W · 249 L | +16.7wins | +0.04per pick | 39cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x200c…58eabacked Sabres | 56c | 1,513$847 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$665.66 | 37 | 64.9%24 W · 13 L | +3.6wins | +0.10per pick | 55cpaid | +22.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf9fe…366bbacked Flyers | 44c | 1,500$660 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$660 | 255 | 52.5%134 W · 121 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked Flyers | 6c | 1,445$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82.54 | 896 | 36.9%331 W · 565 L | -30.9wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -26.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe4fc…8af7backed Flyers | 44c | 1,400$616 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$616.01 | 602 | 49.5%298 W · 304 L | -5.5wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6533…ee34backed Flyers | 45c | 1,366$615 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$614.57 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -0.6wins | -0.06per pick | 51cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x60d8…b371backed Sabres | 56c | 1,313$735 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$577.72 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.19per pick | 52cpaid | -40.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x445e…9be0backed Sabres | 55c | 1,250$693 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$557.5 | 336 | 52.1%175 W · 161 L | -3.1wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3eeb…fe8fbacked Sabres | 57c | 1,221$696 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$525.03 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 61cpaid | +10%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb8c8…d8a4backed Flyers | 44c | 1,136$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 149 | 40.9%61 W · 88 L | -4.3wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf819…d410backed Flyers | 45c | 1,111$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 209 | 51.7%108 W · 101 L | +7.6wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x13a1…d9bcbacked Flyers | 46c | 1,050$480 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$479.73 | 571 | 57.8%330 W · 241 L | +12.7wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbad2…5296backed Sabres | 57c | 1,039$587 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$451.55 | 892 | 49.9%445 W · 447 L | +10.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd098…8c03backed Flyers | 43c | 1,021$439 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$439.13 | 18 | 61.1%11 W · 7 L | +0.7wins | +0.04per pick | 57cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb7b3…9573backed Sabres | 58c | 1,000$580 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$420 | 196 | 45.9%90 W · 106 L | -4.9wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5116…58c4backed Sabres | 56c | 1,000$560 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$440 | 752 | 51.7%389 W · 363 L | -2.1wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Flyers | 44c | 1,000$440 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$440 | 1,555 | 51.4%800 W · 755 L | +12.2wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x17e5…f205backed Flyers | 1c | 1,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 242 | 0.8%2 W · 240 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 2cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5bc4…f44fbacked Sabres | 57c | 1,000$570 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$430 | 684 | 49.9%341 W · 343 L | -3.2wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x935f…eb05backed Flyers | 43c | 999.91$430 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$429.96 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.26per pick | 51cpaid | -55.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Flyers | 44c | 956.61$421 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$420.91 | 2,894 | 51.3%1,484 W · 1,410 L | +58.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xca3f…8078backed Sabres | 57c | 946.57$540 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$407.02 | 622 | 49.4%307 W · 315 L | -4.3wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa49b…4c40backed Flyers | 4c | 945.5$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.72 | 263 | 44.5%117 W · 146 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3613…79e1backed Flyers | 14c | 914$128 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$127.96 | 702 | 49%344 W · 358 L | +14.2wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x263d…51d0backed Flyers | 43c | 906.5$387 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$386.67 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -2.3wins | -0.46per pick | 46cpaid | -100%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xdc87…7ab6backed Flyers | 43c | 904.56$389 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$388.96 | 561 | 52%292 W · 269 L | +7.1wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbde8…15a1backed Sabres | 56c | 831.82$463 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$369.09 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.12per pick | 54cpaid | +27.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6a41…a3ccbacked Sabres | 57c | 800$456 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$344 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.6wins | +0.54per pick | 46cpaid | +122.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5adf…a5e7backed Flyers | 42c | 799.85$336 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$335.94 | 632 | 49.5%313 W · 319 L | +2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x661d…4dc6backed Flyers | 22c | 761.22$166 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$166.31 | 437 | 42.3%185 W · 252 L | +11.1wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5c57…5b16backed Sabres | 56c | 749.98$420 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$329.99 | 1,475 | 48.3%712 W · 763 L | +2.7wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2927…0780backed Sabres | 56c | 711.29$398 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$312.97 | 10 | 80%8 W · 2 L | +3.2wins | +0.32per pick | 48cpaid | +61.9%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x81d5…0967backed Flyers | 45c | 703.38$317 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$316.52 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2f5b…e747backed Flyers | 44c | 699.96$308 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$307.98 | 435 | 48.5%211 W · 224 L | -7.4wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaf09…d342backed Sabres | 56c | 690.95$387 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$304.02 | 15 | 60%9 W · 6 L | +1.6wins | +0.11per pick | 49cpaid | +21.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3309…1c36backed Sabres | 56c | 682.77$382 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$300.42 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +1.0wins | +0.08per pick | 50cpaid | +9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa62d…fbbfbacked Sabres | 56c | 676.34$379 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$297.59 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +1.7wins | +0.15per pick | 49cpaid | +27.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x86e2…e342backed Flyers | 45c | 675.18$304 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$303.83 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | -1.4wins | -0.10per pick | 50cpaid | -22.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4184…d16cbacked Flyers | 45c | 671.02$302 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$301.96 | 12 | 25%3 W · 9 L | -2.9wins | -0.25per pick | 50cpaid | -58.6%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xd6f4…0566backed Sabres | 65c | 666.68$434 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$232.79 | 950 | 49.1%466 W · 484 L | +12.6wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x27a7…4906backed Sabres | 56c | 665.02$372 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$292.61 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4465…ffa4backed Flyers | 45c | 664.49$299 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$299.02 | 12 | 66.7%8 W · 4 L | +2.0wins | +0.17per pick | 50cpaid | +37.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xaafd…6fd2backed Sabres | 56c | 658.55$369 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$289.76 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbce9…03e9backed Flyers | 2c | 655$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.1 | 250 | 4.8%12 W · 238 L | +6.2wins | +0.02per pick | 2cpaid | +159.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe9cb…d096backed Sabres | 72c | 610.28$442 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$168.74 | 387 | 38%147 W · 240 L | -13.9wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -28.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x765c…0779backed Flyers | 44c | 600$264 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$264 | 400 | 49.3%197 W · 203 L | -4.4wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x26b1…d774backed Flyers | 43c | 600$258 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$258 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -2.1wins | -0.35per pick | 52cpaid | -70.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x03d9…e693backed Flyers | 3c | 600$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 55 | 7.3%4 W · 51 L | +2.6wins | +0.05per pick | 3cpaid | +70.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Flyers | 42c | 599.25$252 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$251.62 | 2,664 | 51.6%1,375 W · 1,289 L | +58.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd9…08bdbacked Flyers | 5c | 575$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.77 | 1,054 | 42.5%448 W · 606 L | -25.3wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Sabres | 77c | 569.7$439 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$130.89 | 1,301 | 52.6%684 W · 617 L | +23.7wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaabb…5554backed Flyers | 44c | 550$242 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$242 | 457 | 49.2%225 W · 232 L | -5.2wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x986c…3180backed Flyers | 42c | 541.62$227 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$227.48 | 459 | 55.1%253 W · 206 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8c58…e330backed Sabres | 79c | 534.33$421 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$113.34 | 422 | 54.3%229 W · 193 L | +18.3wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x37f8…b5e5backed Sabres | 57c | 523.97$299 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$224.83 | 83 | 47%39 W · 44 L | -2.2wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x30a4…8441backed Flyers | 44c | 500$220 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$220 | 129 | 47.3%61 W · 68 L | -5.6wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4d3a…64b7backed Flyers | 44c | 500$220 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$220 | 120 | 41.7%50 W · 70 L | -10.9wins | -0.09per pick | 51cpaid | -18.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xaea8…b9bcbacked Sabres | 57c | 500$285 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$215 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.41per pick | 59cpaid | +69.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x995d…9fd4backed Sabres | 57c | 499.99$285 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$215 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.45per pick | 55cpaid | +82.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xba26…23c9backed Flyers | 43c | 499.91$216 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$215.79 | 1,143 | 50.8%581 W · 562 L | +11.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb251…caa4backed Flyers | 44c | 488.64$215 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$215 | 27 | 44.4%12 W · 15 L | -1.7wins | -0.06per pick | 51cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaa68…94a7backed Flyers | 15c | 480$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72 | 96 | 42.7%41 W · 55 L | +3.8wins | +0.04per pick | 39cpaid | +16.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x336a…1915backed Flyers | 44c | 447.73$197 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$197 | 35 | 51.4%18 W · 17 L | +0.9wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NHL and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Flyers vs. Sabresthis page
- Flyers vs. Sabres: O/U 5.5Over won
- Flyers vs. Sabres: O/U 6.5Over won
- Spread: Sabres (-1.5)Sabres won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.