NHL · resolved market
Flyers vs. Sabres: O/U 5.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x6a0b9b62da7d580b1ca02a842001b7cc08619ba32d7da4010028697914d1ec3b
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NHLevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $115,993
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $117,446
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $115,993 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 60 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NHL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NHL | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xaa07…2125backed Over | 57c | 88,166$50,445 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37,720.77 | 1,070 | 49.9%534 W · 536 L | +22.6wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc87…7ab6backed Under | 43c | 67,751$29,133 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29,133.05 | 561 | 52%292 W · 269 L | +7.1wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Under | 42c | 12,549$5,329 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,328.81 | 2,894 | 51.3%1,484 W · 1,410 L | +58.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Under | 42c | 10,809$4,557 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,557.26 | 2,664 | 51.6%1,375 W · 1,289 L | +58.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked Over | 57c | 10,000$5,700 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,300 | 1,441 | 49.2%709 W · 732 L | +6.5wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe948…ff23backed Over | 57c | 5,263$3,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,263.16 | 296 | 51.7%153 W · 143 L | +3.4wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed Under | 43c | 5,152$2,216 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,216.2 | 939 | 53.6%503 W · 436 L | +29.6wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Under | 42c | 5,008$2,088 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,087.81 | 1,679 | 54.4%914 W · 765 L | +36.6wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xba26…23c9backed Under | 43c | 2,645$1,133 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,133.26 | 1,143 | 50.8%581 W · 562 L | +11.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbf8f…8bbabacked Under | 5c | 2,083$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 37 | 29.7%11 W · 26 L | -4.4wins | -0.12per pick | 42cpaid | -38%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x12d9…01bbbacked Over | 59c | 1,440$849 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$590.21 | 185 | 47%87 W · 98 L | +5.8wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5e30…acbfbacked Under | 42c | 1,250$525 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$525 | 831 | 49.5%411 W · 420 L | -9.2wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2060…9186backed Over | 59c | 1,002$591 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$410.72 | 308 | 55.5%171 W · 137 L | +9.0wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x13fa…3facbacked Under | 41c | 845.9$347 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$346.82 | 360 | 38.6%139 W · 221 L | -5.6wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x30ef…70dfbacked Under | 42c | 700$294 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$294 | 533 | 37.5%200 W · 333 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3eff…ae12backed Under | 43c | 699.07$301 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300.6 | 55 | 47.3%26 W · 29 L | -3.4wins | -0.06per pick | 53cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8c58…e330backed Over | 57c | 687.5$393 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$294.58 | 422 | 54.3%229 W · 193 L | +18.3wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x391d…def1backed Under | 42c | 614.29$255 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$254.95 | 108 | 48.1%52 W · 56 L | +4.9wins | +0.05per pick | 44cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Over | 59c | 548.99$323 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$225.58 | 1,948 | 49.4%962 W · 986 L | +24.9wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb113…8bc6backed Under | 41c | 443.98$182 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$182.03 | 495 | 46.5%230 W · 265 L | -10.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5611…e5f4backed Over | 59c | 423.73$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$173.73 | 95 | 47.4%45 W · 50 L | -5.2wins | -0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3c82…b56bbacked Over | 59c | 423.73$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$173.73 | 140 | 65.7%92 W · 48 L | +13.9wins | +0.10per pick | 56cpaid | +18.9%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x1733…1e15backed Under | 41c | 385.56$158 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$158.08 | 530 | 50.6%268 W · 262 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2e5c…e4f6backed Over | 57c | 350.88$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$150.88 | 34 | 38.2%13 W · 21 L | -3.6wins | -0.10per pick | 49cpaid | -26.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3759…6b3bbacked Under | 41c | 333.85$138 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$138.05 | 70 | 55.7%39 W · 31 L | +4.3wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +14%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf629…bda0backed Over | 59c | 278$164 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$114.32 | 28 | 39.3%11 W · 17 L | -4.1wins | -0.15per pick | 54cpaid | -24.1%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x3dc1…e318backed Under | 43c | 226.26$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.29 | 162 | 54.9%89 W · 73 L | +5.8wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x37f8…b5e5backed Over | 60c | 206.33$124 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82.53 | 83 | 47%39 W · 44 L | -2.2wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcf67…fc18backed Over | 59c | 201.69$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.69 | 125 | 45.6%57 W · 68 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x34fa…f491backed Under | 43c | 200$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86 | 599 | 50.4%302 W · 297 L | +20.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7c85…77c6backed Over | 59c | 200$118 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82 | 312 | 57.4%179 W · 133 L | +5.8wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfcf3…f535backed Over | 59c | 173.56$102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71.71 | 115 | 57.4%66 W · 49 L | +7.2wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +14%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x877a…7de2backed Over | 60c | 166.67$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.67 | 49 | 53.1%26 W · 23 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4842…b2f4backed Over | 41c | 116.68$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.51 | 18 | 44.4%8 W · 10 L | +0.8wins | +0.04per pick | 40cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7602…2775backed Over | 60c | 114.02$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.61 | 143 | 47.6%68 W · 75 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Under | 58c | 100$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58 | 2,314 | 46.5%1,075 W · 1,239 L | -7.5wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3a8e…b505backed Under | 41c | 100$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.34 | 139 | 41.7%58 W · 81 L | -4.9wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa00f…8e56backed Over | 59c | 96.14$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.42 | 490 | 45.3%222 W · 268 L | -1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2e69…200ebacked Over | 59c | 89.27$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.27 | 76 | 51.3%39 W · 37 L | +4.5wins | +0.06per pick | 45cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6ae4…7c46backed Over | 58c | 78.21$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.2 | 104 | 50%52 W · 52 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1787…c311backed Over | 59c | 76.27$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.27 | 696 | 53.4%372 W · 324 L | -16.8wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Under | 41c | 76$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.16 | 2,754 | 47.9%1,318 W · 1,436 L | +11.9wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Under | 36c | 75$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.65 | 1,846 | 57.2%1,055 W · 791 L | +85.0wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xce70…0be2backed Over | 60c | 71.67$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.72 | 49 | 49%24 W · 25 L | +1.3wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xac27…18e7backed Over | 62c | 55.07$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.99 | 96 | 49%47 W · 49 L | -6.4wins | -0.07per pick | 56cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf593…9553backed Under | 42c | 47.61$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 451 | 51.2%231 W · 220 L | +16.1wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa8f5…1caabacked Under | 42c | 42$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.59 | 479 | 44.7%214 W · 265 L | -25.8wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc27f…12a9backed Over | 57c | 38$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.34 | 37 | 40.5%15 W · 22 L | -2.8wins | -0.08per pick | 48cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1b23…bbb5backed Over | 60c | 33.33$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.33 | 83 | 45.8%38 W · 45 L | -2.0wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6de0…af02backed Over | 60c | 32.95$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.18 | 59 | 61%36 W · 23 L | +6.8wins | +0.12per pick | 49cpaid | +28%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xa4bd…e8a2backed Under | 39c | 30$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.7 | 740 | 54.5%403 W · 337 L | +22.6wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb4a0…993dbacked Over | 60c | 28.87$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.55 | 24 | 50%12 W · 12 L | +1.0wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6e75…e81dbacked Over | 59c | 28$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.48 | 20 | 70%14 W · 6 L | +1.9wins | +0.10per pick | 60cpaid | +13.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0c69…2b8dbacked Over | 60c | 26.5$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.6 | 385 | 51.4%198 W · 187 L | -5.5wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x828c…fb4cbacked Over | 60c | 26.28$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.51 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -0.5wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1b73…45d9backed Over | 60c | 24.35$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.74 | 44 | 52.3%23 W · 21 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3945…7077backed Over | 59c | 22.03$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.03 | 83 | 55.4%46 W · 37 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5c7c…ca88backed Over | 60c | 20.3$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.12 | 18 | 50%9 W · 9 L | +0.6wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xba68…39d7backed Over | 60c | 19.62$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.85 | 22 | 59.1%13 W · 9 L | +1.4wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x412f…019dbacked Over | 60c | 18.63$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.45 | 22 | 45.5%10 W · 12 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NHL and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Flyers vs. Sabres: O/U 5.5this page
- Flyers vs. SabresSabres won
- Flyers vs. Sabres: O/U 6.5Over won
- Spread: Sabres (-1.5)Sabres won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.