Premier League · resolved market
Will Leicester win on 2024-11-10?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x7953d53f92c20b3562a8f8f1f4adbd1af45db36ed808b477c8514d1088cbac37
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $29,376
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $27,841
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $29,376 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 30 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Premier League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xc390…715cbacked Yes | 3c | 2,643$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -16%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x07f6…2ed5backed Yes | 6c | 2,234$126 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$126.4 | 78 | 25.6%20 W · 58 L | -2.2wins | -0.03per pick | 28cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2b74…a4f4backed Yes | 11c | 2,009$220 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$220 | 20 | 25%5 W · 15 L | +1.0wins | +0.05per pick | 20cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x90ba…63f3backed Yes | 13c | 2,000$260 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$259.99 | 680 | 26.3%179 W · 501 L | +5.6wins | +0.01per pick | 25cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd75a…4efbbacked Yes | 12c | 1,947$240 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$239.9 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.12per pick | 12cpaid | -100%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x495c…512bbacked Yes | 12c | 1,187$142 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$142.4 | 22 | 40.9%9 W · 13 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x63c2…b56dbacked Yes | 13c | 871.9$109 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$109.39 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.13per pick | 13cpaid | -100%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa972…693fbacked Yes | 12c | 835.17$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.22 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.14per pick | 47cpaid | -53.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1875…eb5ebacked Yes | 7c | 768.59$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51 | 54 | 29.6%16 W · 38 L | -2.4wins | -0.05per pick | 34cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe2b3…5fa4backed Yes | 15c | 666.67$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 27 | 37%10 W · 17 L | -4.6wins | -0.17per pick | 54cpaid | -30.2%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xf6a8…f9edbacked Yes | 11c | 550$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.5 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +1.1wins | +0.37per pick | 30cpaid | +269.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x20ed…adddbacked Yes | 10c | 500$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +2.7wins | +0.34per pick | 41cpaid | +99.3%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xac97…a99ebacked Yes | 10c | 499.94$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.99 | 56 | 53.6%30 W · 26 L | +4.1wins | +0.07per pick | 46cpaid | +53.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x843a…8070backed Yes | 10c | 462.2$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.61 | 45 | 37.8%17 W · 28 L | -2.6wins | -0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8b21…41fabacked Yes | 10c | 444.97$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.5 | 178 | 37.6%67 W · 111 L | -6.2wins | -0.04per pick | 41cpaid | -16%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4b52…6ea2backed Yes | 12c | 416.67$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.12per pick | 12cpaid | -100%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8cd3…3c5abacked Yes | 12c | 416.67$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 18 | 38.9%7 W · 11 L | -1.6wins | -0.09per pick | 48cpaid | +14.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe483…b5a0backed Yes | 12c | 416.67$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | -1.4wins | -0.09per pick | 52cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7220…a3a1backed Yes | 12c | 342.43$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.8 | 9 | 0%0 W · 9 L | -1.4wins | -0.16per pick | 16cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb063…40d6backed Yes | 12c | 166.67$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | +0.4wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +39.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x258a…7cb1backed Yes | 13c | 153.85$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.07per pick | 32cpaid | -51%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0388…7d66backed Yes | 13c | 152.19$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -21.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbdb3…c1d4backed Yes | 14c | 142.61$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -0.9wins | -0.12per pick | 27cpaid | -53.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbeb8…3667backed Yes | 11c | 134.99$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.85 | 20 | 60%12 W · 8 L | +4.3wins | +0.22per pick | 38cpaid | +66.9%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x7d46…6062backed Yes | 12c | 125$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -16.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf534…b055backed Yes | 14c | 125$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.5 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -25.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0626…2574backed Yes | 8c | 125$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.1wins | -0.38per pick | 38cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfe2d…45d5backed Yes | 17c | 117.65$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x06fc…4fb6backed Yes | 12c | 100$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 116 | 40.5%47 W · 69 L | -3.4wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x37b9…3390backed Yes | 12c | 99.99$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 22 | 31.8%7 W · 15 L | -1.0wins | -0.04per pick | 36cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Leicester win on 2024-11-10?this page
- Will Man Utd vs. Leicester end in a draw?No won
- Will Man Utd win on 2024-11-10?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.