Premier League · resolved market
Will Man Utd win on 2024-11-10?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xbf7aff80b58c93dd0e387fdf0ea8550a7203a6a9b05d10e65bd23dee6dfec0ed
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $49,127
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $51,568
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $49,127 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 158 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Premier League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x50e5…e39fbacked No | 12c | 8,146$945 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$945.07 | 296 | 43.6%129 W · 167 L | -11.3wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd178…6703backed Yes | 78c | 6,415$5,016 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,399.39 | 189 | 48.7%92 W · 97 L | -2.8wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0269…cb2dbacked Yes | 72c | 6,268$4,506 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,762 | 402 | 54.7%220 W · 182 L | +14.1wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x93bc…8ca3backed No | 22c | 4,500$995 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$995 | 406 | 40.9%166 W · 240 L | -4.5wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbb20…a151backed No | 26c | 2,137$553 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$552.5 | 57 | 42.1%24 W · 33 L | -3.5wins | -0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +24.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa8f7…039abacked No | 28c | 1,900$532 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$532 | 81 | 45.7%37 W · 44 L | -4.5wins | -0.06per pick | 51cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2b74…a4f4backed No | 6c | 1,743$103 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102.81 | 20 | 25%5 W · 15 L | +1.0wins | +0.05per pick | 20cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x90ba…63f3backed No | 30c | 1,500$450 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$449.98 | 680 | 26.3%179 W · 501 L | +5.6wins | +0.01per pick | 25cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe793…0781backed Yes | 75c | 1,333$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$333.33 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.26per pick | 59cpaid | -55.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x306b…3ec5backed No | 21c | 1,308$275 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$274.76 | 19 | 36.8%7 W · 12 L | -0.7wins | -0.04per pick | 41cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbf73…0436backed No | 28c | 1,149$322 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$321.83 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.09per pick | 41cpaid | +21.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4aef…9337backed No | 28c | 1,070$296 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$295.86 | 153 | 37.3%57 W · 96 L | -7.0wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8815…e147backed Yes | 75c | 1,039$779 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$259.63 | 33 | 45.5%15 W · 18 L | +1.0wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaeb5…58e2backed No | 28c | 999.99$280 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$280 | 449 | 39.6%178 W · 271 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9478…63f5backed No | 26c | 999.84$260 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$259.96 | 59 | 59.3%35 W · 24 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 60cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcf54…3386backed No | 26c | 999.29$260 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$260.09 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +1.0wins | +0.13per pick | 50cpaid | +12.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4a64…4430backed No | 25c | 875.33$219 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$218.81 | 378 | 41.8%158 W · 220 L | +8.7wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xca95…fc40backed No | 26c | 808.19$210 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$210.2 | 35 | 51.4%18 W · 17 L | +1.2wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +17.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x479c…bcbcbacked Yes | 71c | 800$568 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$232 | 57 | 50.9%29 W · 28 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x12ce…a6abbacked No | 29c | 800$232 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$232 | 36 | 47.2%17 W · 19 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3c87…70d5backed Yes | 74c | 685.17$507 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$178.14 | 292 | 38.4%112 W · 180 L | -9.9wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xca94…336ebacked No | 28c | 602.37$171 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$171.44 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.4wins | -0.27per pick | 47cpaid | -71%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xba99…8f26backed No | 18c | 568.98$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 46 | 21.7%10 W · 36 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 22cpaid | -18.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x97e1…017bbacked No | 3c | 532.16$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.07 | 168 | 51.2%86 W · 82 L | -4.7wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd1fe…2835backed No | 18c | 505.1$91 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$91.19 | 29 | 44.8%13 W · 16 L | +2.8wins | +0.10per pick | 35cpaid | +61.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8326…da54backed Yes | 72c | 500$360 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$140 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.1wins | +0.28per pick | 47cpaid | +91.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x56de…bc32backed Yes | 72c | 500$360 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$140 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | -0.7wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6b48…51d0backed No | 28c | 461.14$129 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$129.12 | 39 | 51.3%20 W · 19 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc07c…c4b7backed No | 6c | 424.9$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 38 | 28.9%11 W · 27 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -31.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xce56…9d00backed Yes | 74c | 405.41$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$105.41 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.26per pick | 74cpaid | +35.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xac97…a99ebacked No | 27c | 400.02$106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$106.01 | 56 | 53.6%30 W · 26 L | +4.1wins | +0.07per pick | 46cpaid | +53.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x464e…7bd8backed Yes | 75c | 400$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100 | 39 | 53.8%21 W · 18 L | +1.5wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +17.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeb94…d871backed Yes | 74c | 397.72$294 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$103.41 | 20 | 55%11 W · 9 L | -1.3wins | -0.07per pick | 62cpaid | -23.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfb79…c2c6backed No | 27c | 319.86$87 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86.65 | 146 | 59.6%87 W · 59 L | +9.2wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +18.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xddc3…a171backed No | 6c | 288.14$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17 | 37 | 32.4%12 W · 25 L | -1.4wins | -0.04per pick | 36cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf641…7b6fbacked Yes | 80c | 246$197 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.2 | 697 | 72.6%506 W · 191 L | +83.8wins | +0.12per pick | 61cpaid | +26.7%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x637d…2392backed No | 28c | 214.29$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 38 | 26.3%10 W · 28 L | -5.1wins | -0.13per pick | 40cpaid | -33.6%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x05ad…72d7backed Yes | 73c | 194$142 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.38 | 56 | 41.1%23 W · 33 L | -4.7wins | -0.08per pick | 49cpaid | -21%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6d96…a478backed Yes | 74c | 193.97$144 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.43 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.4wins | +0.47per pick | 53cpaid | +120.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7f8e…0a87backed Yes | 73c | 150.68$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.68 | 20 | 60%12 W · 8 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 62cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4b…5a92backed Yes | 71c | 150$107 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.5 | 427 | 55%235 W · 192 L | -23.4wins | -0.05per pick | 61cpaid | -11%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0cc9…fc51backed Yes | 72c | 149.99$108 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42 | 39 | 61.5%24 W · 15 L | -1.8wins | -0.05per pick | 66cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7569…79ebbacked Yes | 73c | 149$109 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.71 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6c82…6150backed No | 27c | 146.2$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.48 | 297 | 51.9%154 W · 143 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7544…cd95backed Yes | 72c | 146.17$105 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.93 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.28per pick | 72cpaid | +38.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x710c…ee60backed No | 14c | 142.86$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 21 | 28.6%6 W · 15 L | -5.9wins | -0.28per pick | 57cpaid | -58.1%equal weight | 36-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x02cb…ae38backed Yes | 73c | 142.66$104 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.52 | 155 | 54.8%85 W · 70 L | +3.6wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x20ed…adddbacked Yes | 73c | 140$102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.8 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +2.7wins | +0.34per pick | 41cpaid | +99.3%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x330b…69f1backed Yes | 72c | 140$101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.2 | 204 | 47.1%96 W · 108 L | -8.0wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x117d…4b05backed Yes | 72c | 139.38$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.03 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.34per pick | 66cpaid | +52.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe8f4…d323backed Yes | 72c | 138.89$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.89 | 6 | 100%6 W · 0 L | +2.6wins | +0.44per pick | 56cpaid | +139.7%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xae7f…44afbacked Yes | 72c | 138.89$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.89 | 30 | 43.3%13 W · 17 L | -1.9wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -21.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x80f6…c28dbacked Yes | 72c | 138.89$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.89 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +29.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa972…693fbacked Yes | 72c | 138.33$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.73 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.14per pick | 47cpaid | -53.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7be1…200ebacked Yes | 73c | 138$101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.26 | 113 | 53.1%60 W · 53 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe2b3…5fa4backed Yes | 73c | 136.99$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.99 | 27 | 37%10 W · 17 L | -4.6wins | -0.17per pick | 54cpaid | -30.2%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x1b9b…5f3ebacked Yes | 73c | 136.99$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.99 | 21 | 52.4%11 W · 10 L | -1.5wins | -0.07per pick | 59cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfe0b…1e80backed Yes | 74c | 135.14$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.14 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.10per pick | 70cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5e3a…c82dbacked Yes | 74c | 135$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.1 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | -0.9wins | -0.09per pick | 59cpaid | -28.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x843a…8070backed Yes | 71c | 134.28$96 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.35 | 45 | 37.8%17 W · 28 L | -2.6wins | -0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x137c…8dd5backed No | 30c | 126.67$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -1.5wins | -0.21per pick | 49cpaid | -30.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb840…9989backed No | 30c | 126.67$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -1.0wins | -0.17per pick | 33cpaid | -78.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x705e…bbd7backed Yes | 72c | 120.95$87 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.87 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.28per pick | 72cpaid | +38.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa3b7…520dbacked No | 30c | 116.67$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 156 | 36.5%57 W · 99 L | -11.7wins | -0.07per pick | 44cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa413…1fe0backed Yes | 72c | 110.17$79 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.85 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +0.7wins | +0.07per pick | 48cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8c24…5d18backed Yes | 72c | 108.75$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.45 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.40per pick | 60cpaid | +72.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa0bc…a99dbacked Yes | 72c | 108.24$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.31 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.28per pick | 72cpaid | +38.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1266…cd8cbacked Yes | 69c | 107.51$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.71 | 144 | 50.7%73 W · 71 L | -3.4wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4dd1…7918backed Yes | 72c | 104.87$76 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.36 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | +0.4wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +21%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x565b…fa9bbacked Yes | 73c | 100$73 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27 | 22 | 68.2%15 W · 7 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 66cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf10f…3facbacked No | 14c | 100$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.8wins | -0.17per pick | 37cpaid | -13%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x12f2…79d0backed No | 32c | 100$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | +0.4wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -17.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc4c9…6aebbacked Yes | 74c | 100$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.9wins | -0.22per pick | 47cpaid | -66.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xabd7…c531backed Yes | 73c | 100$73 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x81e1…7265backed No | 30c | 100$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 14 | 14.3%2 W · 12 L | -1.6wins | -0.11per pick | 25cpaid | -35.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x01a9…f42fbacked No | 23c | 100$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23 | 24 | 37.5%9 W · 15 L | -3.9wins | -0.16per pick | 54cpaid | -30.1%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x628d…bf43backed Yes | 74c | 96.5$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.09 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +1.6wins | +0.41per pick | 59cpaid | +158.4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6b49…9fe8backed Yes | 74c | 94.59$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.59 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.5wins | -0.07per pick | 50cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2404…1b52backed Yes | 72c | 92.5$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.9 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.28per pick | 72cpaid | +38.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2f35…7594backed No | 27c | 90$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.3 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +1.0wins | +0.15per pick | 42cpaid | +111.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x946a…18e1backed Yes | 72c | 86.29$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.16 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.28per pick | 72cpaid | +38.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x80e8…c4b5backed Yes | 72c | 85.28$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.88 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.28per pick | 72cpaid | +38.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa7dc…9908backed Yes | 71c | 81.21$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.31 | 89 | 37.1%33 W · 56 L | -6.0wins | -0.07per pick | 44cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4f20…87c9backed Yes | 72c | 73.16$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.48 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -0.7wins | -0.06per pick | 52cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7ff6…b5dfbacked Yes | 74c | 71.62$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.62 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -1.1wins | -0.22per pick | 62cpaid | -41.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa416…84d9backed Yes | 72c | 70$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.6 | 10 | 80%8 W · 2 L | +0.8wins | +0.08per pick | 72cpaid | +12.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4790…2dd7backed Yes | 78c | 70$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.4 | 35 | 57.1%20 W · 15 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaf5b…b250backed Yes | 72c | 69.44$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.44 | 16 | 56.3%9 W · 7 L | -1.7wins | -0.10per pick | 67cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc974…eb16backed Yes | 72c | 69.44$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.44 | 25 | 56%14 W · 11 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 57cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb70b…4dc8backed Yes | 72c | 69.44$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.44 | 19 | 47.4%9 W · 10 L | +2.2wins | +0.12per pick | 36cpaid | +48.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xebc5…f3e4backed Yes | 72c | 69.06$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.06 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +1.9wins | +0.31per pick | 52cpaid | +84.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2f9a…8ae8backed Yes | 74c | 68.92$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.92 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.2wins | -0.31per pick | 56cpaid | -66.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xba86…a66abacked Yes | 74c | 67.56$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.57 | 41 | 56.1%23 W · 18 L | -1.9wins | -0.05per pick | 61cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4630…a058backed No | 30c | 66.67$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 62 | 58.1%36 W · 26 L | +2.5wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +14%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x35b7…c6c1backed Yes | 75c | 66.67$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.67 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.8wins | -0.16per pick | 56cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9ac5…6a3dbacked Yes | 72c | 66.32$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.57 | 227 | 44.5%101 W · 126 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd5cb…27b3backed No | 31c | 64.52$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 12 | 16.7%2 W · 10 L | -1.6wins | -0.13per pick | 30cpaid | -55.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x585c…175ebacked Yes | 74c | 62.86$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.34 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 76cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x43e5…ac2fbacked Yes | 72c | 57.92$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.22 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.1wins | +0.56per pick | 44cpaid | +302.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfc6c…0ababacked Yes | 73c | 57.53$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.53 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.27per pick | 73cpaid | +37%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Man Utd win on 2024-11-10?this page
- Will Leicester win on 2024-11-10?No won
- Will Man Utd vs. Leicester end in a draw?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.