NHL · resolved market
Panthers vs. Maple Leafs
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x33c27d68455cbcf512e8da35b3697f08254b8fd0f2208c680d16ef14727e5381
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Maple Leafsof Panthers, Maple Leafs
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NHLevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $868,625
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $915,269
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $868,625 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 324 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NHL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NHL | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xa5ea…d96abacked Maple Leafs | 46c | 442,866$204,971 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$237,894.09 | 108 | 40.7%44 W · 64 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe8a8…a48ebacked Panthers | 55c | 107,469$59,108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59,107.81 | 95 | 48.4%46 W · 49 L | +2.1wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc257…358ebacked Panthers | 52c | 100,000$52,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52,000 | 485 | 45.4%220 W · 265 L | -7.8wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0d3b…c46bbacked Maple Leafs | 48c | 100,000$48,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51,999.93 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.21per pick | 46cpaid | +38.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4924…3782backed Panthers | 55c | 66,822$36,752 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36,752.29 | 203 | 54.2%110 W · 93 L | +7.2wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc65c…ea39backed Panthers | 52c | 51,000$26,520 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26,520 | 86 | 57%49 W · 37 L | +2.0wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9267…0f9abacked Panthers | 54c | 50,000$27,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27,000 | 104 | 51.9%54 W · 50 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc660…bd28backed Panthers | 53c | 40,071$21,145 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21,144.76 | 485 | 49.7%241 W · 244 L | +3.7wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaa07…2125backed Panthers | 52c | 35,000$18,200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18,199.98 | 1,070 | 49.9%534 W · 536 L | +22.6wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb552…94a8backed Panthers | 53c | 33,766$17,994 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17,993.65 | 619 | 53.8%333 W · 286 L | +13.2wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x52b4…34a8backed Maple Leafs | 48c | 26,010$12,467 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13,542.81 | 221 | 50.2%111 W · 110 L | +8.4wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3e04…564dbacked Panthers | 52c | 23,887$12,460 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12,459.9 | 1,891 | 52.4%991 W · 900 L | +36.3wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9f13…e0fdbacked Panthers | 52c | 19,857$10,325 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,325.46 | 479 | 51.4%246 W · 233 L | -5.6wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe524…d34fbacked Panthers | 54c | 18,000$9,720 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,720 | 52 | 61.5%32 W · 20 L | +1.8wins | +0.03per pick | 58cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Panthers | 52c | 17,882$9,286 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,285.74 | 1,679 | 54.4%914 W · 765 L | +36.6wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe20a…e469backed Panthers | 53c | 16,648$8,740 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,740.2 | 390 | 47.9%187 W · 203 L | -13.2wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x17e0…80aebacked Panthers | 3c | 15,000$405 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$405 | 327 | 44%144 W · 183 L | +3.1wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1455…e5cdbacked Panthers | 53c | 12,795$6,761 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,761.19 | 793 | 50.1%397 W · 396 L | -11.5wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1341…0853backed Maple Leafs | 46c | 12,619$5,805 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,814.47 | 418 | 50%209 W · 209 L | +7.7wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7d5c…0182backed Maple Leafs | 48c | 11,782$5,655 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,126.63 | 283 | 53%150 W · 133 L | +16.6wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +14.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1433…56a0backed Panthers | 52c | 10,508$5,464 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,464.36 | 225 | 50.2%113 W · 112 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf28e…cab2backed Panthers | 2c | 10,071$151 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$151.06 | 106 | 50%53 W · 53 L | +2.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7ac4…3081backed Maple Leafs | 45c | 10,000$4,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,500 | 35 | 60%21 W · 14 L | +3.7wins | +0.10per pick | 50cpaid | +19.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked Panthers | 54c | 9,000$4,860 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,860 | 1,441 | 49.2%709 W · 732 L | +6.5wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9703…69c2backed Maple Leafs | 47c | 8,659$4,064 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,594.77 | 84 | 50%42 W · 42 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5836…4d03backed Maple Leafs | 47c | 8,511$4,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,510.64 | 82 | 47.6%39 W · 43 L | +4.6wins | +0.06per pick | 42cpaid | +11.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb61f…9958backed Panthers | 2c | 7,152$157 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$156.71 | 21 | 14.3%3 W · 18 L | +1.4wins | +0.07per pick | 8cpaid | +46.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9fad…5a9fbacked Panthers | 52c | 7,000$3,640 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,640 | 895 | 47%421 W · 474 L | -18.0wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x90ed…b5bcbacked Maple Leafs | 47c | 6,666$3,111 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,555.19 | 108 | 50.9%55 W · 53 L | +5.2wins | +0.05per pick | 46cpaid | +12%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x08a4…5c3fbacked Panthers | 54c | 6,105$3,297 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,296.7 | 305 | 51.5%157 W · 148 L | +10.1wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf35f…64c5backed Panthers | 52c | 5,898$3,067 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,067.19 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | -1.2wins | -0.09per pick | 55cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x936f…d171backed Maple Leafs | 48c | 5,000$2,400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,600 | 81 | 34.6%28 W · 53 L | -8.7wins | -0.11per pick | 45cpaid | -23.2%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x9c4d…168cbacked Maple Leafs | 47c | 5,000$2,350 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,649.98 | 1,087 | 45.1%490 W · 597 L | +6.8wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbd09…a188backed Maple Leafs | 58c | 4,090$2,356 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,733.43 | 617 | 48.5%299 W · 318 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2cb7…43eabacked Maple Leafs | 46c | 4,000$1,840 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,160 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.6wins | +0.31per pick | 49cpaid | +62.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf3ae…7b92backed Maple Leafs | 48c | 4,000$1,920 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,080 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | -1.2wins | -0.10per pick | 44cpaid | -26.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc635…4b6abacked Panthers | 54c | 3,980$2,149 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,149.2 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.6wins | -0.31per pick | 51cpaid | -62.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3158…d469backed Panthers | 52c | 3,200$1,664 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,664 | 30 | 60%18 W · 12 L | +2.1wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xce99…637ebacked Maple Leafs | 49c | 2,980$1,460 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,519.59 | 269 | 46.1%124 W · 145 L | +3.1wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x67b5…0441backed Panthers | 54c | 2,850$1,539 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,539 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.54per pick | 54cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3abf…b143backed Panthers | 4c | 2,825$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$109.68 | 378 | 57.4%217 W · 161 L | +11.8wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x83ab…3d56backed Panthers | 53c | 2,659$1,409 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,409.38 | 49 | 49%24 W · 25 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x685d…22d6backed Panthers | 52c | 2,600$1,352 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,352 | 125 | 52%65 W · 60 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7d07…0351backed Panthers | 4c | 2,500$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 40 | 50%20 W · 20 L | +6.0wins | +0.15per pick | 35cpaid | +29.1%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xd04d…d0e5backed Maple Leafs | 47c | 2,500$1,185 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,314.93 | 976 | 51.6%504 W · 472 L | -3.9wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3679…2bacbacked Panthers | 4c | 2,468$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.55 | 89 | 52.8%47 W · 42 L | +7.6wins | +0.09per pick | 44cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0a7e…fce4backed Maple Leafs | 46c | 2,360$1,077 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,282.61 | 510 | 44.5%227 W · 283 L | +7.0wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Panthers | 50c | 2,283$1,136 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,136.34 | 1,301 | 52.6%684 W · 617 L | +23.7wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb6de…2bdabacked Maple Leafs | 48c | 2,273$1,091 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,182.08 | 13 | 69.2%9 W · 4 L | +2.8wins | +0.21per pick | 48cpaid | +40.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xed2c…9597backed Panthers | 36c | 2,235$797 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$796.6 | 333 | 45.6%152 W · 181 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe4fc…8af7backed Maple Leafs | 47c | 2,200$1,023 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,177 | 602 | 49.5%298 W · 304 L | -5.5wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Maple Leafs | 46c | 2,148$986 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,161.96 | 1,190 | 50.7%603 W · 587 L | +13.3wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0451…8522backed Panthers | 52c | 2,092$1,088 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,087.59 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -2.9wins | -0.32per pick | 54cpaid | -58.4%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x3c7e…a65fbacked Maple Leafs | 48c | 2,083$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,083.33 | 603 | 37.5%226 W · 377 L | -3.4wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9c76…c926backed Panthers | 53c | 2,000$1,050 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,050 | 583 | 52.1%304 W · 279 L | +1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbe5f…d795backed Panthers | 54c | 2,000$1,080 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,080 | 149 | 45%67 W · 82 L | -8.5wins | -0.06per pick | 51cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe9cb…d096backed Maple Leafs | 66c | 1,976$1,304 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$672.35 | 387 | 38%147 W · 240 L | -13.9wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -28.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x182d…73e9backed Panthers | 52c | 1,923$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 229 | 46.3%106 W · 123 L | -5.7wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Panthers | 54c | 1,834$994 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$993.95 | 1,948 | 49.4%962 W · 986 L | +24.9wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0498…5574backed Panthers | 54c | 1,830$988 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$988.2 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.54per pick | 54cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5f61…f1fabacked Panthers | 54c | 1,800$972 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$972 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.54per pick | 54cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xee7e…61bbbacked Panthers | 30c | 1,742$530 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$530.17 | 412 | 48.3%199 W · 213 L | -5.0wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9534…1fe8backed Panthers | 54c | 1,695$907 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$907.48 | 228 | 52.6%120 W · 108 L | +2.4wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x78f7…2c5dbacked Panthers | 52c | 1,680$873 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$873.49 | 205 | 52.2%107 W · 98 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x538a…0823backed Panthers | 52c | 1,459$759 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$758.68 | 16 | 68.8%11 W · 5 L | +2.4wins | +0.15per pick | 54cpaid | +31%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x699f…d5c6backed Panthers | 54c | 1,366$737 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$736.82 | 183 | 45.9%84 W · 99 L | -10.1wins | -0.06per pick | 51cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x96bc…7fb4backed Maple Leafs | 48c | 1,300$624 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$676 | 248 | 45.2%112 W · 136 L | +9.5wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xba26…23c9backed Maple Leafs | 46c | 1,253$577 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$676.78 | 1,143 | 50.8%581 W · 562 L | +11.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xefa5…3d34backed Panthers | 4c | 1,250$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | +1.1wins | +0.10per pick | 26cpaid | +28.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7670…b8ffbacked Maple Leafs | 47c | 1,240$583 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$657.2 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.53per pick | 47cpaid | +112.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xed25…d603backed Maple Leafs | 47c | 1,200$564 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$636 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.53per pick | 47cpaid | +112.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd8c8…ae3bbacked Maple Leafs | 47c | 1,190$559 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$630.7 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.53per pick | 47cpaid | +112.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd6f4…0566backed Panthers | 22c | 1,093$235 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$234.92 | 950 | 49.1%466 W · 484 L | +12.6wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x10d4…d953backed Maple Leafs | 48c | 1,050$504 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$546 | 445 | 51.2%228 W · 217 L | +16.4wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3817…7d10backed Panthers | 52c | 1,038$540 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$540 | 22 | 45.5%10 W · 12 L | -2.2wins | -0.10per pick | 56cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd9e0…05f2backed Maple Leafs | 75c | 1,026$766 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$259.92 | 1,354 | 52.6%712 W · 642 L | +46.2wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x15f9…607ebacked Panthers | 52c | 1,024$532 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$532.48 | 50 | 46%23 W · 27 L | -2.2wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Maple Leafs | 48c | 1,021$490 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$530.83 | 2,894 | 51.3%1,484 W · 1,410 L | +58.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x28ad…0614backed Panthers | 5c | 1,013$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.65 | 41 | 17.1%7 W · 34 L | -5.0wins | -0.12per pick | 29cpaid | -61.8%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x5e30…acbfbacked Panthers | 52c | 1,010$525 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$525.2 | 831 | 49.5%411 W · 420 L | -9.2wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x977a…f2cabacked Panthers | 1c | 1,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 1,163 | 2.3%27 W · 1,136 L | -10.7wins | -0.01per pick | 3cpaid | -87.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x617b…a499backed Maple Leafs | 46c | 999.94$460 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$539.97 | 227 | 47.6%108 W · 119 L | -7.0wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x019e…af1dbacked Panthers | 54c | 999$539 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$539.46 | 51 | 54.9%28 W · 23 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked Panthers | 4c | 893.57$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.47 | 896 | 36.9%331 W · 565 L | -30.9wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -26.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Panthers | 13c | 885.86$117 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$117.45 | 2,112 | 42.9%907 W · 1,205 L | -10.1wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x945a…a48cbacked Panthers | 2c | 884.49$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.58 | 94 | 23.4%22 W · 72 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 22cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd9…08bdbacked Panthers | 2c | 883$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.78 | 1,054 | 42.5%448 W · 606 L | -25.3wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x89f3…dfffbacked Panthers | 34c | 853.07$286 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$286.09 | 299 | 26.4%79 W · 220 L | -20.5wins | -0.07per pick | 33cpaid | -35.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf2c2…4de7backed Maple Leafs | 48c | 800$384 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$416 | 380 | 46.6%177 W · 203 L | +3.2wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x70ee…71c4backed Maple Leafs | 47c | 772$363 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$409.16 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.53per pick | 47cpaid | +112.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5c57…5b16backed Panthers | 54c | 750$401 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$401.25 | 1,475 | 48.3%712 W · 763 L | +2.7wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc30f…2c4dbacked Maple Leafs | 47c | 750$353 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$397.5 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.53per pick | 47cpaid | +112.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc862…65afbacked Maple Leafs | 47c | 740.43$348 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$392.43 | 20 | 65%13 W · 7 L | +2.7wins | +0.13per pick | 52cpaid | +29.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf79a…56c2backed Maple Leafs | 48c | 732.29$351 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$380.79 | 121 | 52.1%63 W · 58 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf72f…8875backed Maple Leafs | 47c | 704$331 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$373.12 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.53per pick | 47cpaid | +112.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaabb…5554backed Maple Leafs | 45c | 700$315 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$385 | 457 | 49.2%225 W · 232 L | -5.2wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9764…c40cbacked Maple Leafs | 48c | 625$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$325 | 85 | 47.1%40 W · 45 L | +4.4wins | +0.05per pick | 42cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2b56…7d45backed Maple Leafs | 47c | 624$293 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$330.72 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.53per pick | 47cpaid | +112.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe758…c5afbacked Maple Leafs | 49c | 612.24$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$312.24 | 27 | 63%17 W · 10 L | +1.7wins | +0.06per pick | 57cpaid | +12.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbad2…5296backed Panthers | 52c | 555$289 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$288.6 | 892 | 49.9%445 W · 447 L | +10.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NHL and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Panthers vs. Maple Leafsthis page
- Panthers vs. Maple Leafs: O/U 5.5Under won
- Panthers vs. Maple Leafs: O/U 6.5Under won
- Spread: Panthers (-1.5)Maple Leafs won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.