NHL · resolved market
Stars vs. Ducks
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x24303e4fc632b1ec53ec497e71b880814eb28a59430ac0f44f30e84507bf0dff
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Ducksof Stars, Ducks
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NHLevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $503,275
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $500,031
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $503,275 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 491 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NHL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NHL | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x03e8…1697backed Stars | 53c | 177,706$94,132 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94,131.79 | 670 | 51%342 W · 328 L | +9.3wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6a72…33eebacked Ducks | 57c | 63,655$36,048 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27,607.03 | 1,345 | 54.8%737 W · 608 L | +21.0wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf90e…0b56backed Ducks | 47c | 52,775$24,804 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27,970.75 | 134 | 49.3%66 W · 68 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Ducks | 47c | 37,064$17,464 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19,600.1 | 1,948 | 49.4%962 W · 986 L | +24.9wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1433…56a0backed Ducks | 47c | 25,000$11,750 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13,250 | 225 | 50.2%113 W · 112 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1117…3532backed Ducks | 48c | 21,983$10,452 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11,530.81 | 566 | 49.5%280 W · 286 L | -7.3wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3e04…564dbacked Stars | 53c | 17,594$9,288 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,288.06 | 1,891 | 52.4%991 W · 900 L | +36.3wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1222…2aa7backed Stars | 54c | 17,099$9,317 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,316.68 | 46 | 54.3%25 W · 21 L | +2.8wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +11.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x14ac…cb21backed Stars | 53c | 15,656$8,277 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,277.46 | 217 | 55.3%120 W · 97 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb552…94a8backed Ducks | 47c | 14,919$7,008 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,910.55 | 619 | 53.8%333 W · 286 L | +13.2wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfb68…a240backed Stars | 54c | 10,926$5,900 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,900 | 500 | 49.6%248 W · 252 L | +16.4wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0a77…9d74backed Ducks | 46c | 10,243$4,679 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,564.29 | 520 | 50%260 W · 260 L | +6.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4f7c…7e93backed Stars | 0c | 10,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe9cb…d096backed Stars | 39c | 9,939$3,845 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,844.65 | 387 | 38%147 W · 240 L | -13.9wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -28.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0faf…833cbacked Stars | 47c | 7,997$3,760 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,760.11 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -2.1wins | -0.42per pick | 42cpaid | -100%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x21c2…6749backed Stars | 30c | 7,200$2,195 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,194.94 | 345 | 38.6%133 W · 212 L | -15.3wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -20%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbd09…a188backed Stars | 53c | 7,000$3,710 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,710 | 617 | 48.5%299 W · 318 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf5e1…5ad0backed Ducks | 47c | 7,000$3,290 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,709.99 | 331 | 51.7%171 W · 160 L | +9.0wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9c4d…168cbacked Ducks | 47c | 6,500$3,055 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,445 | 1,087 | 45.1%490 W · 597 L | +6.8wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa49b…4c40backed Stars | 28c | 6,438$1,804 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,803.88 | 263 | 44.5%117 W · 146 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Ducks | 47c | 6,000$2,800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,200 | 1,555 | 51.4%800 W · 755 L | +12.2wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xed2c…9597backed Stars | 41c | 6,000$2,430 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,430 | 333 | 45.6%152 W · 181 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked Ducks | 47c | 5,419$2,547 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,872.12 | 1,441 | 49.2%709 W · 732 L | +6.5wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa315…cabbbacked Ducks | 48c | 5,084$2,440 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,643.63 | 322 | 51.9%167 W · 155 L | +4.4wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaa07…2125backed Ducks | 46c | 5,077$2,336 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,741.82 | 1,070 | 49.9%534 W · 536 L | +22.6wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3613…79e1backed Stars | 43c | 4,998$2,170 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,170.4 | 702 | 49%344 W · 358 L | +14.2wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3b5c…126ebacked Ducks | 47c | 4,931$2,318 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,613.43 | 243 | 49.8%121 W · 122 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x19ed…6dc8backed Ducks | 63c | 4,861$3,046 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,814.47 | 147 | 53.7%79 W · 68 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked Ducks | 63c | 4,685$2,966 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,718.68 | 896 | 36.9%331 W · 565 L | -30.9wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -26.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x52b4…34a8backed Ducks | 47c | 4,343$2,041 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,301.58 | 221 | 50.2%111 W · 110 L | +8.4wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3ffb…df76backed Ducks | 48c | 4,246$2,038 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,207.91 | 90 | 52.2%47 W · 43 L | +2.9wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3a7a…15a4backed Ducks | 49c | 4,091$2,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,090.57 | 230 | 47.4%109 W · 121 L | -7.5wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1467…4372backed Stars | 53c | 3,774$2,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,000 | 321 | 51.7%166 W · 155 L | -1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5d97…d8d6backed Stars | 21c | 3,302$683 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$682.9 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.21per pick | 21cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5116…58c4backed Stars | 45c | 3,228$1,457 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,457.12 | 752 | 51.7%389 W · 363 L | -2.1wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5976…b3d4backed Ducks | 47c | 3,210$1,509 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,701.19 | 131 | 47.3%62 W · 69 L | -4.5wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe90b…5da2backed Stars | 6c | 3,142$189 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$188.53 | 387 | 48.3%187 W · 200 L | +1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Ducks | 47c | 3,102$1,446 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,655.64 | 2,894 | 51.3%1,484 W · 1,410 L | +58.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe648…b79abacked Ducks | 48c | 3,017$1,448 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,568.67 | 58 | 55.2%32 W · 26 L | +3.0wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xabf5…cfebbacked Ducks | 45c | 3,000$1,350 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,650 | 270 | 48.1%130 W · 140 L | -8.8wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5adf…a5e7backed Ducks | 47c | 3,000$1,395 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,604.98 | 632 | 49.5%313 W · 319 L | +2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7d5c…0182backed Ducks | 48c | 2,981$1,431 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,550.12 | 283 | 53%150 W · 133 L | +16.6wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +14.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x412f…30fabacked Ducks | 47c | 2,955$1,389 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,565.94 | 77 | 37.7%29 W · 48 L | -4.5wins | -0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x10d4…d953backed Stars | 54c | 2,940$1,588 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,587.56 | 445 | 51.2%228 W · 217 L | +16.4wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7298…fe8dbacked Ducks | 47c | 2,714$1,276 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,438.35 | 332 | 43.7%145 W · 187 L | -16.1wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x96ca…5a71backed Stars | 48c | 2,595$1,250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,250 | 554 | 46.4%257 W · 297 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x371a…34b0backed Stars | 1c | 2,555$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.55 | 745 | 0.7%5 W · 740 L | -13.2wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -94.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3c7e…a65fbacked Ducks | 47c | 2,500$1,170 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,329.98 | 603 | 37.5%226 W · 377 L | -3.4wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x21d4…84bdbacked Stars | 28c | 2,318$649 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$649 | 42 | 52.4%22 W · 20 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Stars | 36c | 2,234$804 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$804.48 | 2,314 | 46.5%1,075 W · 1,239 L | -7.5wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xba26…23c9backed Stars | 53c | 2,200$1,159 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,159.3 | 1,143 | 50.8%581 W · 562 L | +11.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8230…5121backed Stars | 8c | 2,188$175 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$175.04 | 24 | 29.2%7 W · 17 L | +4.5wins | +0.19per pick | 10cpaid | +81.2%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xd04d…d0e5backed Ducks | 47c | 2,062$959 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,102.73 | 976 | 51.6%504 W · 472 L | -3.9wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x182d…73e9backed Stars | 54c | 2,000$1,080 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,080 | 229 | 46.3%106 W · 123 L | -5.7wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbad2…5296backed Stars | 54c | 2,000$1,080 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,080 | 892 | 49.9%445 W · 447 L | +10.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x64e9…eb4cbacked Ducks | 47c | 2,000$940 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,060 | 108 | 48.1%52 W · 56 L | -5.4wins | -0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x977a…f2cabacked Stars | 1c | 2,000$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1,163 | 2.3%27 W · 1,136 L | -10.7wins | -0.01per pick | 3cpaid | -87.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xca3f…8078backed Ducks | 47c | 2,000$940 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,059.99 | 622 | 49.4%307 W · 315 L | -4.3wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9870…b9d3backed Ducks | 79c | 1,911$1,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$410.71 | 315 | 50.8%160 W · 155 L | -11.6wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9f13…e0fdbacked Ducks | 46c | 1,848$850 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$997.81 | 479 | 51.4%246 W · 233 L | -5.6wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5c57…5b16backed Ducks | 47c | 1,836$860 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$976.42 | 1,475 | 48.3%712 W · 763 L | +2.7wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4ebb…061abacked Stars | 57c | 1,754$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 247 | 49.8%123 W · 124 L | -10.3wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8753…85adbacked Ducks | 47c | 1,700$799 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$901 | 619 | 59.1%366 W · 253 L | +17.9wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xda5f…2e9bbacked Ducks | 48c | 1,670$800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$870.25 | 62 | 53.2%33 W · 29 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd9e0…05f2backed Ducks | 64c | 1,646$1,048 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$597.88 | 1,354 | 52.6%712 W · 642 L | +46.2wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf819…d410backed Stars | 55c | 1,636$900 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$900.06 | 209 | 51.7%108 W · 101 L | +7.6wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd63b…9c25backed Stars | 24c | 1,550$375 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$374.82 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.13per pick | 13cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8717…32c2backed Ducks | 47c | 1,500$705 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$795 | 18 | 50%9 W · 9 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x23c8…f293backed Ducks | 71c | 1,423$1,010 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$412.56 | 71 | 62%44 W · 27 L | +4.4wins | +0.06per pick | 56cpaid | +14.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9534…1fe8backed Ducks | 46c | 1,413$655 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$757.58 | 228 | 52.6%120 W · 108 L | +2.4wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5215…3164backed Ducks | 50c | 1,411$708 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$702.66 | 141 | 42.6%60 W · 81 L | -6.9wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x661d…4dc6backed Stars | 37c | 1,408$519 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$518.65 | 437 | 42.3%185 W · 252 L | +11.1wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2f5b…e747backed Ducks | 47c | 1,400$651 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$749 | 435 | 48.5%211 W · 224 L | -7.4wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe4fc…8af7backed Ducks | 47c | 1,400$658 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$742 | 602 | 49.5%298 W · 304 L | -5.5wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3eeb…fe8fbacked Ducks | 72c | 1,400$1,008 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$392 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 61cpaid | +10%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe9f5…3e7abacked Ducks | 49c | 1,333$653 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$679.83 | 66 | 56.1%37 W · 29 L | +2.6wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3349…8a3ebacked Stars | 54c | 1,330$716 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$716 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.09per pick | 49cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaa57…a128backed Stars | 50c | 1,303$649 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$649.14 | 111 | 62.2%69 W · 42 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 62cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x17e0…80aebacked Stars | 24c | 1,217$298 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$297.87 | 327 | 44%144 W · 183 L | +3.1wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Ducks | 53c | 1,161$617 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$544.47 | 2,664 | 51.6%1,375 W · 1,289 L | +58.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Stars | 41c | 1,126$457 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$457.46 | 1,301 | 52.6%684 W · 617 L | +23.7wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2ffb…e82abacked Stars | 29c | 1,034$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 65 | 50.8%33 W · 32 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee7e…61bbbacked Stars | 54c | 1,032$561 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$561 | 412 | 48.3%199 W · 213 L | -5.0wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5e5b…5950backed Ducks | 50c | 1,019$511 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$508.26 | 61 | 57.4%35 W · 26 L | +2.1wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf7c4…5919backed Stars | 5c | 1,004$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.95 | 544 | 18%98 W · 446 L | +3.7wins | +0.01per pick | 17cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd589…27c2backed Ducks | 48c | 1,000$480 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$520 | 428 | 47.2%202 W · 226 L | +5.8wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4fc1…ec92backed Stars | 51c | 1,000$510 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$510 | 543 | 49.5%269 W · 274 L | +2.4wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x10b0…8525backed Stars | 53c | 999.98$530 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$529.99 | 353 | 49.6%175 W · 178 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x93bc…8ca3backed Stars | 28c | 999.9$280 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$279.97 | 1,025 | 40.8%418 W · 607 L | +15.6wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd696…8a49backed Ducks | 47c | 986.59$464 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$522.89 | 514 | 52.3%269 W · 245 L | +17.1wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x99e4…e4c4backed Ducks | 50c | 954.91$473 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$481.58 | 109 | 38.5%42 W · 67 L | -9.2wins | -0.08per pick | 47cpaid | -20.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc5b5…7e80backed Ducks | 72c | 931.99$669 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$262.64 | 1,107 | 52%576 W · 531 L | +63.9wins | +0.06per pick | 46cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Stars | 52c | 923$480 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$479.93 | 1,434 | 50.8%728 W · 706 L | -10.7wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x01b4…372ebacked Stars | 5c | 906.26$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.31 | 217 | 4.1%9 W · 208 L | +2.2wins | +0.01per pick | 3cpaid | +36.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfdea…6951backed Stars | 50c | 875.72$440 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$440 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | +0.8wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6203…6280backed Ducks | 47c | 819.15$385 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$434.15 | 32 | 40.6%13 W · 19 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfeec…a84abacked Ducks | 72c | 799.98$576 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$223.99 | 31 | 45.2%14 W · 17 L | -2.0wins | -0.06per pick | 52cpaid | -18.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Ducks | 47c | 797.5$374 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$423.13 | 457 | 51.6%236 W · 221 L | -3.2wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0f8e…3082backed Stars | 43c | 787.31$341 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$341.02 | 1,140 | 51.5%587 W · 553 L | +40.1wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed Ducks | 47c | 770.53$362 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$408.19 | 939 | 53.6%503 W · 436 L | +29.6wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NHL and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Stars vs. Ducksthis page
- Spread: Ducks (-1.5)Ducks won
- Spread: Stars (-1.5)Ducks won
- Stars vs. Ducks: O/U 6.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.