NHL · resolved market
Stars vs. Ducks: O/U 6.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x035c91148abea9eb88d719b636d7fc0d61f09f0f2afa5d525ee94e818f8a9b64
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NHLevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $176,926
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $177,666
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $176,926 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 108 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NHL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NHL | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x03e8…1697backed Over | 54c | 67,771$36,916 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36,915.86 | 670 | 51%342 W · 328 L | +9.3wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1d8a…e842backed Over | 57c | 48,204$27,335 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27,334.87 | 24 | 58.3%14 W · 10 L | +1.3wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +11.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdc87…7ab6backed Under | 45c | 30,516$13,653 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16,863.31 | 561 | 52%292 W · 269 L | +7.1wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Over | 55c | 24,926$13,714 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13,713.99 | 1,948 | 49.4%962 W · 986 L | +24.9wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1433…56a0backed Under | 45c | 17,624$7,931 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,693.04 | 225 | 50.2%113 W · 112 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Under | 44c | 14,520$6,348 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,172.37 | 1,679 | 54.4%914 W · 765 L | +36.6wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed Under | 43c | 12,358$5,375 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,983.57 | 939 | 53.6%503 W · 436 L | +29.6wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Under | 44c | 11,945$5,221 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,723.8 | 2,894 | 51.3%1,484 W · 1,410 L | +58.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Under | 44c | 9,514$4,148 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,365.58 | 2,664 | 51.6%1,375 W · 1,289 L | +58.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked Under | 45c | 8,572$3,857 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,714.48 | 1,441 | 49.2%709 W · 732 L | +6.5wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc94a…9401backed Under | 47c | 7,985$3,753 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,232.07 | 145 | 53.1%77 W · 68 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf5e1…5ad0backed Under | 45c | 6,520$2,949 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,570.76 | 331 | 51.7%171 W · 160 L | +9.0wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7298…fe8dbacked Under | 47c | 5,373$2,525 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,847.69 | 332 | 43.7%145 W · 187 L | -16.1wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xed2c…9597backed Under | 45c | 5,000$2,270 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,730 | 333 | 45.6%152 W · 181 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x49d1…2a44backed Under | 45c | 4,000$1,800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,200 | 51 | 52.9%27 W · 24 L | +2.9wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +15.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb973…ff16backed Over | 54c | 3,800$2,052 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,052 | 107 | 46.7%50 W · 57 L | -5.9wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -10%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb552…94a8backed Over | 56c | 3,637$2,042 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,042.07 | 619 | 53.8%333 W · 286 L | +13.2wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x42b5…b5b6backed Under | 47c | 3,185$1,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,685.25 | 1,377 | 49.1%676 W · 701 L | +39.2wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc49f…9e05backed Under | 44c | 3,009$1,324 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,685.08 | 260 | 58.8%153 W · 107 L | +17.7wins | +0.07per pick | 52cpaid | +15%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1455…e5cdbacked Over | 57c | 2,683$1,523 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,523.11 | 793 | 50.1%397 W · 396 L | -11.5wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xba26…23c9backed Under | 44c | 2,547$1,132 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,415.18 | 1,143 | 50.8%581 W · 562 L | +11.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2953…5344backed Under | 46c | 2,175$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,174.49 | 29 | 65.5%19 W · 10 L | +2.2wins | +0.07per pick | 58cpaid | +11.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4488…e319backed Over | 54c | 1,831$983 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$983.19 | 272 | 43.4%118 W · 154 L | -16.8wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9c76…c926backed Under | 44c | 1,524$676 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$848.21 | 583 | 52.1%304 W · 279 L | +1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd04d…d0e5backed Under | 45c | 1,500$668 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$832.5 | 976 | 51.6%504 W · 472 L | -3.9wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5e30…acbfbacked Under | 44c | 1,171$521 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$650.28 | 831 | 49.5%411 W · 420 L | -9.2wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa70b…7a8abacked Over | 56c | 910.71$510 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$510 | 80 | 46.3%37 W · 43 L | -3.8wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc8da…cad3backed Under | 46c | 819.39$377 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$442.47 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.47per pick | 53cpaid | +93.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x68d2…92c8backed Under | 47c | 750$353 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$397.5 | 20 | 45%9 W · 11 L | -1.0wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x10b0…8525backed Over | 55c | 736.35$408 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$407.63 | 353 | 49.6%175 W · 178 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6b3a…2841backed Under | 46c | 700$325 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$375 | 764 | 50.4%385 W · 379 L | +7.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x30ef…70dfbacked Under | 44c | 700$308 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$392 | 533 | 37.5%200 W · 333 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5487…a014backed Under | 45c | 682$307 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$375.1 | 849 | 53.8%457 W · 392 L | +20.9wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf41a…ea2bbacked Under | 45c | 679.99$307 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$373.2 | 919 | 45.6%419 W · 500 L | -27.3wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8433…cc37backed Over | 55c | 654.55$360 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$360 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.55per pick | 55cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdfc1…818dbacked Over | 54c | 639$344 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$344.3 | 303 | 49.5%150 W · 153 L | -13.2wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xde18…83bcbacked Under | 47c | 638.3$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$338.3 | 38 | 55.3%21 W · 17 L | +1.7wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa558…1b44backed Under | 46c | 631.18$290 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$340.84 | 42 | 40.5%17 W · 25 L | -2.8wins | -0.07per pick | 47cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdcc0…6872backed Under | 68c | 540$367 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$172.8 | 106 | 67.9%72 W · 34 L | +16.4wins | +0.15per pick | 52cpaid | +31.9%equal weight | 64+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x1d3a…7b63backed Over | 54c | 493.83$267 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$266.67 | 866 | 49.9%432 W · 434 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x789b…4c08backed Over | 57c | 482$275 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$275 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.7wins | -0.35per pick | 55cpaid | -60.4%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa7dc…3cc7backed Over | 55c | 454.55$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7d6f…7f1fbacked Over | 57c | 423.99$241 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$240.59 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -1.2wins | -0.20per pick | 53cpaid | -31.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x162f…585abacked Under | 46c | 417.95$191 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$227.08 | 49 | 65.3%32 W · 17 L | +5.7wins | +0.12per pick | 54cpaid | +22.9%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xd1a8…1b66backed Under | 44c | 401.97$177 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$225.1 | 122 | 50%61 W · 61 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Under | 43c | 400.67$173 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$228.04 | 618 | 48.1%297 W · 321 L | +3.4wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf79a…56c2backed Under | 45c | 383.83$173 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$211.11 | 121 | 52.1%63 W · 58 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa00f…8e56backed Over | 46c | 373.61$174 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$173.66 | 490 | 45.3%222 W · 268 L | -1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x84d9…76dbbacked Over | 54c | 370.37$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 485 | 52.2%253 W · 232 L | +8.1wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x84f7…ade1backed Under | 45c | 363$163 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$199.65 | 1,024 | 48.4%496 W · 528 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb2ca…d984backed Over | 56c | 354.67$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 96 | 54.2%52 W · 44 L | +2.6wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Under | 44c | 352.84$157 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$195.87 | 2,754 | 47.9%1,318 W · 1,436 L | +11.9wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Over | 66c | 346.11$228 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$228.41 | 2,314 | 46.5%1,075 W · 1,239 L | -7.5wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5b20…99e9backed Under | 46c | 326.09$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$176.09 | 1,093 | 51.8%566 W · 527 L | +14.2wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5316…1d07backed Over | 53c | 299.99$159 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$159 | 204 | 44.6%91 W · 113 L | -2.5wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3dc1…e318backed Under | 45c | 296.68$133 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$163.97 | 162 | 54.9%89 W · 73 L | +5.8wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe463…f7b2backed Under | 43c | 280$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$159.6 | 42 | 45.2%19 W · 23 L | -1.1wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…0389backed Under | 43c | 268.96$116 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$153.31 | 607 | 41%249 W · 358 L | +5.3wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1889…0714backed Under | 44c | 263.64$117 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$146.4 | 135 | 54.1%73 W · 62 L | +5.4wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x18f6…b00bbacked Over | 55c | 245.45$135 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$135 | 20 | 55%11 W · 9 L | -1.8wins | -0.09per pick | 64cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3378…cdcdbacked Under | 45c | 226.67$102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$124.67 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.55per pick | 45cpaid | +122.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3fbc…9cf6backed Under | 45c | 222.22$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$122.22 | 304 | 47.4%144 W · 160 L | -6.6wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3dcf…4eb4backed Under | 45c | 210.58$95 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$115.82 | 167 | 56.3%94 W · 73 L | +9.4wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +12.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1ab6…078ebacked Under | 44c | 200$88 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112 | 85 | 43.5%37 W · 48 L | -5.8wins | -0.07per pick | 50cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1db3…ada1backed Over | 54c | 200$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108 | 129 | 43.4%56 W · 73 L | -9.0wins | -0.07per pick | 50cpaid | -14%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3759…6b3bbacked Under | 45c | 200$89 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$111 | 70 | 55.7%39 W · 31 L | +4.3wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +14%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x44f0…432cbacked Under | 44c | 176.75$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98.98 | 125 | 48.8%61 W · 64 L | -2.5wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6036…d2ccbacked Under | 43c | 175$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$99.75 | 470 | 51.5%242 W · 228 L | +12.7wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3eb6…2abbbacked Under | 7c | 164.17$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$152.32 | 107 | 6.5%7 W · 100 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 6cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf9f8…5486backed Under | 44c | 160.74$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90.81 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -1.4wins | -0.15per pick | 48cpaid | -26.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc5b5…7e80backed Under | 65c | 160$103 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.7 | 1,107 | 52%576 W · 531 L | +63.9wins | +0.06per pick | 46cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xaab6…607ebacked Under | 47c | 159.99$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.6 | 432 | 50.9%220 W · 212 L | +5.7wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Over | 36c | 150$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54 | 1,406 | 47%661 W · 745 L | +58.6wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe6e4…22ccbacked Under | 46c | 150$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81 | 480 | 46.9%225 W · 255 L | -13.2wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf593…9553backed Under | 44c | 112.09$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.1 | 451 | 51.2%231 W · 220 L | +16.1wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd77d…b01cbacked Under | 47c | 106.38$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.38 | 152 | 57.2%87 W · 65 L | +6.4wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +10.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7a64…6769backed Under | 47c | 106.38$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.38 | 108 | 64.8%70 W · 38 L | +12.6wins | +0.12per pick | 53cpaid | +23.8%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x34fa…f491backed Under | 45c | 100$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55 | 599 | 50.4%302 W · 297 L | +20.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0078…bca0backed Over | 55c | 100$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55 | 210 | 60%126 W · 84 L | +7.5wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5124…91bbbacked Under | 42c | 100$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58 | 72 | 48.6%35 W · 37 L | +1.2wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1428…017cbacked Under | 44c | 100$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.5wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x15e3…009fbacked Over | 54c | 99.99$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.99 | 388 | 57.2%222 W · 166 L | +8.8wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc81a…c368backed Under | 46c | 98.99$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.69 | 244 | 42.6%104 W · 140 L | -9.2wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0448…5a75backed Over | 55c | 92.58$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.92 | 46 | 45.7%21 W · 25 L | -4.8wins | -0.10per pick | 56cpaid | -18%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x877a…7de2backed Over | 55c | 90.91$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 49 | 53.1%26 W · 23 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9443…dd60backed Under | 45c | 88.89$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.89 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -2.1wins | -0.21per pick | 51cpaid | -38.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6d20…9871backed Over | 55c | 77.85$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.82 | 52 | 48.1%25 W · 27 L | -1.8wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa8f5…1caabacked Under | 45c | 75$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.89 | 479 | 44.7%214 W · 265 L | -25.8wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xee60…6902backed Under | 50c | 75$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.5 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.19per pick | 48cpaid | +13.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6ae4…7c46backed Under | 46c | 64.15$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.56 | 104 | 50%52 W · 52 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x602d…3534backed Over | 55c | 63.64$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 432 | 56.5%244 W · 188 L | +5.8wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xddf4…ad79backed Under | 78c | 55.44$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.25 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.18per pick | 68cpaid | -35.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc29d…3352backed Under | 46c | 43.48$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.48 | 89 | 49.4%44 W · 45 L | -4.1wins | -0.05per pick | 54cpaid | -10%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x58c8…0300backed Under | 43c | 42$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.94 | 601 | 41.9%252 W · 349 L | -8.5wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Under | 46c | 40.45$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.9 | 1,846 | 57.2%1,055 W · 791 L | +85.0wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6008…a80bbacked Over | 55c | 39.95$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.97 | 786 | 51.8%407 W · 379 L | -16.6wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9331…0951backed Over | 55c | 36.36$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -2.7wins | -0.54per pick | 54cpaid | -100%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xe2e1…57f1backed Over | 56c | 35.71$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2f0e…2463backed Under | 43c | 34.6$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.61 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +103.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1e7d…4a9bbacked Under | 45c | 33.33$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.33 | 279 | 52%145 W · 134 L | +1.8wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NHL and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Stars vs. Ducks: O/U 6.5this page
- Spread: Ducks (-1.5)Ducks won
- Spread: Stars (-1.5)Ducks won
- Stars vs. DucksDucks won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.