College Football · resolved market
Mississippi State vs. Ole Miss
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x70452581ef894ea275b37071610fefb1d521f75b02341d34ad2ec498e1465e07
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Ole Missof Mississippi State, Ole Miss
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- College Footballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $33,341
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $30,841
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $33,341 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 25 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in College Football is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in College Football | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xa805…83dcbacked Mississippi State | 7c | 6,069$425 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$424.83 | 102 | 20.6%21 W · 81 L | +2.2wins | +0.02per pick | 18cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x371a…34b0backed Mississippi State | 1c | 3,611$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.47 | 237 | 0.8%2 W · 235 L | -5.0wins | -0.02per pick | 3cpaid | -98.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8996…fbcebacked Mississippi State | 11c | 3,169$349 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$348.6 | 37 | 54.1%20 W · 17 L | +3.0wins | +0.08per pick | 46cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6ab4…bfdbbacked Mississippi State | 9c | 3,163$299 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$299 | 26 | 38.5%10 W · 16 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f9…b3debacked Mississippi State | 5c | 2,871$137 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$136.66 | 23 | 4.3%1 W · 22 L | -1.3wins | -0.06per pick | 10cpaid | -85.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4a64…4430backed Mississippi State | 13c | 2,195$285 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$285.24 | 203 | 41.9%85 W · 118 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x438e…9704backed Mississippi State | 10c | 1,686$171 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$170.82 | 40 | 50%20 W · 20 L | +1.5wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x66db…7afbbacked Mississippi State | 6c | 991.11$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58 | 9 | 11.1%1 W · 8 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 10cpaid | -49.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2f84…dd89backed Mississippi State | 8c | 860.95$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72 | 11 | 18.2%2 W · 9 L | -1.2wins | -0.11per pick | 29cpaid | -64.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x432e…8829backed Mississippi State | 7c | 714.29$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x188d…6583backed Mississippi State | 20c | 500$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.19per pick | 19cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5bbe…c65dbacked Mississippi State | 4c | 500$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa19a…2f33backed Mississippi State | 6c | 466.92$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.02 | 20 | 40%8 W · 12 L | +0.9wins | +0.04per pick | 36cpaid | -21%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa34d…1de4backed Mississippi State | 6c | 450$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.5 | 52 | 9.6%5 W · 47 L | -1.2wins | -0.02per pick | 12cpaid | -43.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfa5c…be69backed Mississippi State | 28c | 300$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84 | 64 | 34.4%22 W · 42 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7220…a3a1backed Mississippi State | 7c | 214.29$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | +0.8wins | +0.11per pick | 18cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5834…f0cbbacked Mississippi State | 13c | 185.41$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 118 | 54.2%64 W · 54 L | +5.0wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +11.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x03fb…38a5backed Mississippi State | 12c | 170$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.4 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.12per pick | 12cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa586…86f5backed Mississippi State | 11c | 165$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.16 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | -0.9wins | -0.09per pick | 29cpaid | -55.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xee5e…e5a7backed Mississippi State | 7c | 158$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.26 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.37per pick | 13cpaid | +160.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa135…9974backed Mississippi State | 18c | 117.79$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | +0.9wins | +0.07per pick | 35cpaid | +73.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5199…382bbacked Mississippi State | 13c | 107.14$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.5 | 42 | 35.7%15 W · 27 L | -3.8wins | -0.09per pick | 45cpaid | -17.2%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4b39…eeaabacked Mississippi State | 10c | 100$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 16 | 25%4 W · 12 L | -0.6wins | -0.04per pick | 29cpaid | -53%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee00…cea1backed Ole Miss | 75c | 60$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.3 | 170 | 48.2%82 W · 88 L | +3.6wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe70a…6de8backed Ole Miss | 78c | 32$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.04 | 18 | 38.9%7 W · 11 L | -2.4wins | -0.13per pick | 52cpaid | -32.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in College Football and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.