Premier League · resolved market
Will Manchester United win on 2024-12-07?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x1480066b72000b1204a04a40b033a7c94819bbf90263a865bbe007e7a1fefb61
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $174,998
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $175,473
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $174,998 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 346 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Premier League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xee00…cea1backed No | 31c | 16,343$5,075 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11,268.81 | 283 | 55.5%157 W · 126 L | +17.4wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +14.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x37e0…024ebacked No | 41c | 12,519$5,133 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,386.1 | 189 | 50.3%95 W · 94 L | +9.2wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0269…cb2dbacked No | 43c | 12,114$5,228 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,886.61 | 402 | 54.7%220 W · 182 L | +14.1wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc6fe…b77fbacked Yes | 59c | 9,956$5,873 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,872.85 | 220 | 50%110 W · 110 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd815…4c7abacked Yes | 56c | 6,520$3,624 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,624 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.56per pick | 56cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x578d…fbb3backed No | 73c | 6,410$4,697 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,713.66 | 47 | 66%31 W · 16 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 65cpaid | +3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x20cc…ebc0backed No | 60c | 6,076$3,616 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,460.22 | 116 | 57.8%67 W · 49 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | -9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x649f…993ebacked No | 42c | 5,000$2,100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,899.97 | 87 | 50.6%44 W · 43 L | +7.7wins | +0.09per pick | 42cpaid | +21.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8ef8…eff3backed Yes | 56c | 4,822$2,712 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,711.78 | 39 | 46.2%18 W · 21 L | +3.3wins | +0.08per pick | 38cpaid | +25.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb786…b18dbacked Yes | 28c | 4,637$1,307 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,307.28 | 796 | 50.8%404 W · 392 L | +28.1wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8d52…94c4backed No | 44c | 4,000$1,780 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,219.9 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.09per pick | 41cpaid | +17.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4a64…4430backed Yes | 24c | 3,727$904 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$903.7 | 378 | 41.8%158 W · 220 L | +8.7wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9478…63f5backed No | 75c | 3,179$2,390 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$789.47 | 59 | 59.3%35 W · 24 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 60cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x38f1…9ff1backed No | 46c | 3,000$1,390 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,610.06 | 321 | 58.9%189 W · 132 L | +13.6wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd0c3…0230backed Yes | 41c | 2,667$1,093 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,093.49 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.3wins | -0.43per pick | 43cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xaacf…5f84backed Yes | 56c | 2,657$1,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,500 | 395 | 61.3%242 W · 153 L | -21.3wins | -0.05per pick | 67cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2753…2683backed Yes | 58c | 2,609$1,513 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,512.94 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -1.4wins | -0.23per pick | 56cpaid | -51.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbac1…ce0ebacked Yes | 62c | 2,419$1,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,500 | 113 | 42.5%48 W · 65 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | +14.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9602…4d02backed Yes | 57c | 2,340$1,334 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,333.69 | 564 | 53.9%304 W · 260 L | +27.6wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4337…8882backed No | 41c | 2,222$911 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,310.96 | 168 | 48.8%82 W · 86 L | +9.5wins | +0.06per pick | 43cpaid | +6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8a67…dc7cbacked Yes | 59c | 2,126$1,254 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,254.47 | 76 | 51.3%39 W · 37 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5ac9…7d06backed Yes | 56c | 2,095$1,173 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,173.3 | 15 | 13.3%2 W · 13 L | -3.2wins | -0.21per pick | 35cpaid | -67.2%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x6d92…4b39backed No | 70c | 2,049$1,430 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$619.4 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +0.3wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2ce0…8d6fbacked No | 46c | 1,986$910 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,075.71 | 86 | 33.7%29 W · 57 L | -14.7wins | -0.17per pick | 51cpaid | -36.3%equal weight | 35-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x50e5…e39fbacked Yes | 32c | 1,937$623 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$622.87 | 296 | 43.6%129 W · 167 L | -11.3wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8c76…477abacked Yes | 54c | 1,859$1,001 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000.77 | 253 | 39.1%99 W · 154 L | -7.3wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc5db…b42dbacked Yes | 59c | 1,840$1,086 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,085.72 | 20 | 50%10 W · 10 L | -3.4wins | -0.17per pick | 67cpaid | -22.6%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x236b…67c7backed No | 43c | 1,578$677 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$900.78 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.0wins | +0.25per pick | 50cpaid | +61.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x93bc…8ca3backed No | 41c | 1,500$620 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$879.99 | 406 | 40.9%166 W · 240 L | -4.5wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x58e6…2c48backed Yes | 2c | 1,484$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.42 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 19cpaid | -68.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7a8a…0acdbacked Yes | 51c | 1,472$750 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$750 | 49 | 26.5%13 W · 36 L | -7.8wins | -0.16per pick | 42cpaid | -44.3%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xb100…6461backed Yes | 12c | 1,439$166 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$165.81 | 70 | 34.3%24 W · 46 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 35cpaid | -17.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2752…8ce3backed Yes | 59c | 1,269$749 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$748.58 | 28 | 53.6%15 W · 13 L | -1.0wins | -0.04per pick | 57cpaid | +13.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa492…d264backed Yes | 58c | 1,236$717 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$716.96 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4673…d99bbacked Yes | 54c | 1,200$648 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$647.98 | 21 | 57.1%12 W · 9 L | -0.8wins | -0.04per pick | 61cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8c46…be29backed Yes | 53c | 1,182$628 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$627.59 | 327 | 36.4%119 W · 208 L | -21.2wins | -0.06per pick | 43cpaid | -19.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1875…eb5ebacked Yes | 58c | 1,166$671 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$671.4 | 54 | 29.6%16 W · 38 L | -2.4wins | -0.05per pick | 34cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x54a1…7cb1backed Yes | 41c | 1,025$420 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$420.37 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3bdc…3a4ebacked No | 44c | 1,020$447 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$573.61 | 49 | 63.3%31 W · 18 L | +6.6wins | +0.14per pick | 50cpaid | +26%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xf641…7b6fbacked No | 67c | 1,007$676 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$331.41 | 697 | 72.6%506 W · 191 L | +83.8wins | +0.12per pick | 61cpaid | +26.7%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x3053…c721backed No | 46c | 1,002$461 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$541.17 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.54per pick | 46cpaid | +117.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcee4…7c66backed Yes | 55c | 1,002$551 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$551 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.55per pick | 55cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0dc4…3c1dbacked Yes | 59c | 1,000$590 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$590 | 21 | 42.9%9 W · 12 L | +0.9wins | +0.04per pick | 39cpaid | +35.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa8f7…039abacked Yes | 57c | 1,000$570 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$570 | 81 | 45.7%37 W · 44 L | -4.5wins | -0.06per pick | 51cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0448…75aabacked Yes | 58c | 1,000$580 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$580 | 12 | 25%3 W · 9 L | -3.7wins | -0.31per pick | 56cpaid | -64.9%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x480d…f219backed No | 45c | 1,000$450 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$550 | 346 | 43.9%152 W · 194 L | -14.9wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x90ba…63f3backed No | 44c | 981.02$435 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$546.01 | 680 | 26.3%179 W · 501 L | +5.6wins | +0.01per pick | 25cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x71cd…912dbacked Yes | 8c | 979.34$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78.35 | 197 | 43.7%86 W · 111 L | +32.4wins | +0.16per pick | 27cpaid | +142.5%equal weight | 66+0.15 edge/pick |
| 0x7432…794bbacked Yes | 45c | 968.41$436 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$435.63 | 119 | 37%44 W · 75 L | +3.8wins | +0.03per pick | 34cpaid | -4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xddfa…f9dfbacked Yes | 59c | 867.61$512 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$511.89 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.2wins | -0.30per pick | 55cpaid | -26.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4345…77fabacked Yes | 3c | 867.36$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.01 | 32 | 28.1%9 W · 23 L | -2.5wins | -0.08per pick | 36cpaid | -25.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x495c…512bbacked Yes | 59c | 847.46$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 22 | 40.9%9 W · 13 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3483…cdabbacked Yes | 58c | 808.67$466 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$466.4 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.7wins | -0.34per pick | 54cpaid | -73.3%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xaeb5…58e2backed Yes | 59c | 707.03$417 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$417.15 | 449 | 39.6%178 W · 271 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x16cb…2704backed Yes | 56c | 692.22$388 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$388.11 | 907 | 51.3%465 W · 442 L | -1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x700f…62d8backed Yes | 37c | 672.78$249 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$248.93 | 290 | 44.8%130 W · 160 L | -1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x55ea…2ba7backed No | 75c | 663$497 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$165.75 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.23per pick | 73cpaid | -32.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x22c9…045cbacked Yes | 42c | 643.62$270 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$270.32 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.04per pick | 29cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb0ff…ca90backed Yes | 50c | 630$313 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$312.7 | 213 | 53.1%113 W · 100 L | +5.0wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x45db…2caebacked Yes | 58c | 603.44$350 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$350 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.28per pick | 62cpaid | -52.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd9e8…0819backed Yes | 57c | 591.73$337 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$337.45 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 36cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4e30…ef89backed No | 59c | 580.44$345 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$235.44 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -0.5wins | -0.05per pick | 41cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5902…59fabacked Yes | 58c | 549.99$319 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$318.99 | 48 | 39.6%19 W · 29 L | -3.8wins | -0.08per pick | 48cpaid | -22.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa8cd…3cf2backed No | 41c | 544.48$225 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$319.8 | 83 | 62.7%52 W · 31 L | +2.6wins | +0.03per pick | 60cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x578a…ef44backed Yes | 58c | 520$302 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$301.6 | 25 | 36%9 W · 16 L | -1.5wins | -0.06per pick | 42cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x68cf…004dbacked Yes | 52c | 500$259 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$259 | 17 | 41.2%7 W · 10 L | -0.9wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x37e9…ab9fbacked Yes | 36c | 460$165 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$165 | 119 | 15.1%18 W · 101 L | -10.4wins | -0.09per pick | 24cpaid | -37.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8889…a9d1backed Yes | 58c | 425.84$247 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$246.99 | 153 | 47.7%73 W · 80 L | -3.3wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc9e…d9f9backed No | 43c | 416.82$181 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$236.26 | 79 | 67.1%53 W · 26 L | +7.6wins | +0.10per pick | 57cpaid | +25.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x66db…7afbbacked Yes | 20c | 385.04$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76 | 22 | 18.2%4 W · 18 L | -0.8wins | -0.03per pick | 22cpaid | -10%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3937…f693backed Yes | 58c | 364.76$212 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$211.56 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -1.0wins | -0.09per pick | 50cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x31b7…bde1backed Yes | 59c | 360.78$213 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$212.86 | 29 | 41.4%12 W · 17 L | -1.1wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4292…9cd8backed Yes | 56c | 355.64$199 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$199.16 | 19 | 36.8%7 W · 12 L | -1.7wins | -0.09per pick | 46cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf0f6…f699backed Yes | 6c | 346.55$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.55 | 55 | 47.3%26 W · 29 L | +5.2wins | +0.09per pick | 38cpaid | +25.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x464e…7bd8backed Yes | 59c | 343.94$202 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$201.89 | 39 | 53.8%21 W · 18 L | +1.5wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +17.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd830…7848backed Yes | 59c | 339.14$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200.09 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -1.5wins | -0.29per pick | 29cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd2b9…6a5ebacked Yes | 61c | 333.84$204 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$203.64 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -1.0wins | -0.14per pick | 57cpaid | -25.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8239…ddd7backed Yes | 34c | 319.88$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110 | 90 | 27.8%25 W · 65 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 29cpaid | -17%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x722c…515fbacked Yes | 51c | 302.08$154 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$154 | 32 | 43.8%14 W · 18 L | +3.1wins | +0.10per pick | 34cpaid | +44.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe763…3d69backed Yes | 62c | 291.84$180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$180 | 19 | 31.6%6 W · 13 L | -4.3wins | -0.22per pick | 54cpaid | -49.1%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x1793…51dfbacked Yes | 7c | 285.57$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.99 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.8wins | -0.19per pick | 44cpaid | -35.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x362c…ac6ebacked Yes | 56c | 279.98$157 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$157.39 | 93 | 48.4%45 W · 48 L | -6.2wins | -0.07per pick | 55cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4109…7e24backed No | 40c | 271.16$109 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$162.38 | 466 | 60.5%282 W · 184 L | +30.3wins | +0.06per pick | 54cpaid | +14.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd9a8…6b00backed Yes | 23c | 267.45$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61 | 23 | 47.8%11 W · 12 L | -2.1wins | -0.09per pick | 57cpaid | -22.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4aef…9337backed No | 40c | 258.25$103 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$154.95 | 153 | 37.3%57 W · 96 L | -7.0wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf784…f897backed Yes | 58c | 253.78$147 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$147.19 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +47.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8074…2615backed Yes | 59c | 246.83$146 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$145.63 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.43per pick | 43cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xda3d…9964backed Yes | 59c | 241.75$143 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$142.63 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -2.7wins | -0.39per pick | 53cpaid | -74%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xe438…9471backed Yes | 52c | 238.6$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$125 | 20 | 30%6 W · 14 L | -3.0wins | -0.15per pick | 45cpaid | -45.4%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xee9d…63e1backed No | 67c | 223.88$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.88 | 50 | 50%25 W · 25 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8996…fbcebacked Yes | 19c | 210.09$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.86 | 47 | 42.6%20 W · 27 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | +18.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8b7e…6a9fbacked Yes | 55c | 200$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110 | 296 | 53%157 W · 139 L | -23.0wins | -0.08per pick | 61cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x33dc…9661backed Yes | 55c | 200$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110 | 27 | 51.9%14 W · 13 L | -1.4wins | -0.05per pick | 57cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4b…5a92backed Yes | 58c | 200$116 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$116 | 427 | 55%235 W · 192 L | -23.4wins | -0.05per pick | 61cpaid | -11%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2599…61cdbacked Yes | 56c | 200$112 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$112 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +1.3wins | +0.16per pick | 59cpaid | +36.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x10ae…cb95backed Yes | 55c | 200$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -1.6wins | -0.16per pick | 56cpaid | -33.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa7dc…9908backed Yes | 57c | 199.99$114 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$113.99 | 89 | 37.1%33 W · 56 L | -6.0wins | -0.07per pick | 44cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xac43…4925backed No | 51c | 196.08$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96.08 | 193 | 36.8%71 W · 122 L | -14.9wins | -0.08per pick | 44cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9055…756abacked Yes | 41c | 192.17$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78.97 | 45 | 60%27 W · 18 L | +6.0wins | +0.13per pick | 47cpaid | +97.5%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x19dd…2cffbacked Yes | 55c | 188.04$103 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$103.42 | 7 | 0%0 W · 7 L | -3.8wins | -0.55per pick | 55cpaid | -100%equal weight | 37-0.12 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Manchester United win on 2024-12-07?this page
- Will Manchester United vs. Nottingham Forest end in a draw?No won
- Will Nottingham Forest win on 2024-12-07?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.