TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Champions League · resolved market

Will Real Madrid beat Liverpool?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Noof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Champions Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$109,399
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$106,009

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $109,399 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 144 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Champions League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Champions League
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x8bea…2becbacked No76c29,476$22,454 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,022.89944.4%4 W · 5 L-1.0wins-0.11per pick55cpaid-30.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x0269…cb2dbacked No76c15,757$11,999 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,757.1317053.5%91 W · 79 L+7.7wins+0.05per pick49cpaid-0.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x20cc…ebc0backed No78c14,941$11,674 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,267.445463%34 W · 20 L+3.3wins+0.06per pick57cpaid+8.6%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xfb79…c2c6backed No77c11,055$8,553 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,502.068748.3%42 W · 45 L-4.4wins-0.05per pick53cpaid-13.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x6ab4…bfdbbacked Yes24c10,378$2,500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,5002842.9%12 W · 16 L+1.7wins+0.06per pick37cpaid+10.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xf784…f897backed Yes24c10,217$2,455 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,454.88450%2 W · 2 L+0.1wins+0.03per pick47cpaid-27%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0xa800…bd7abacked Yes23c10,097$2,317 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,317.242763%17 W · 10 L+5.6wins+0.21per pick42cpaid+33.4%equal weight62+0.11 edge/pick
0x09c9…6c2ebacked Yes24c8,325$1,998 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,997.9230%0 W · 3 L-0.5wins-0.17per pick17cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xee00…cea1backed Yes22c5,555$1,222 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,222.117048.2%82 W · 88 L+7.2wins+0.04per pick44cpaid+10.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x7563…7654backed Yes23c3,940$906 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$905.54837.5%3 W · 5 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick39cpaid+9.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbceb…bd96backed Yes5c3,884$198 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1983036.7%11 W · 19 L+0.9wins+0.03per pick34cpaid-7.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x90ba…63f3backed Yes23c3,000$690 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$69040222.9%92 W · 310 L+0.7wins0.00per pick23cpaid+9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3aa1…637bbacked Yes23c2,613$600 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$600.381040%4 W · 6 L-0.2wins-0.02per pick42cpaid+16%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x93bc…8ca3backed No77c2,053$1,572 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$481.0823942.7%102 W · 137 L+1.7wins+0.01per pick42cpaid+3.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9977…085fbacked Yes8c1,812$149 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$148.641711.8%2 W · 15 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick11cpaid+20.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbac1…ce0ebacked Yes25c1,203$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30012333.3%41 W · 82 L-5.2wins-0.04per pick38cpaid+11.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xfd95…99f2backed Yes24c1,107$266 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$265.59333.3%1 W · 2 L+0.4wins+0.15per pick19cpaid+85.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x86fd…8f4bbacked Yes3c1,069$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3510%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.03per pick3cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x74cd…2319backed Yes17c1,063$185 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18510717.8%19 W · 88 L+3.8wins+0.04per pick14cpaid+5.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf464…4761backed Yes22c1,055$232 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$232.13633.3%2 W · 4 L-0.8wins-0.13per pick46cpaid-44.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5bae…2b8ebacked Yes25c1,007$252 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$251.8710%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.25per pick25cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3486…49eebacked Yes6c1,005$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6028639.9%114 W · 172 L-4.7wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-0.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2fb8…9ab0backed No77c1,000$770 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$230955.6%5 W · 4 L+0.7wins+0.08per pick48cpaid-9.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x477a…2d8ebacked Yes27c1,000$270 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$270520%1 W · 4 L-0.6wins-0.11per pick31cpaid-74.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x958e…1a56backed Yes23c1,000$230 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23030%0 W · 3 L-0.8wins-0.26per pick26cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x7600…49e5backed Yes26c1,000$260 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2603135.5%11 W · 20 L-3.3wins-0.11per pick46cpaid-27.4%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x07f6…2ed5backed Yes24c1,000$240 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2401915.8%3 W · 16 L-0.9wins-0.05per pick21cpaid-44.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xbe34…cf4cbacked No78c988.1$772 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$215.853053.3%16 W · 14 L-2.5wins-0.08per pick62cpaid-15.8%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xb786…b18dbacked No80c977.95$782 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$196.236851.1%188 W · 180 L+15.7wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xd9e8…0819backed Yes23c871.34$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$200.41633.3%2 W · 4 L-0.5wins-0.08per pick41cpaid-40.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7ca1…a8cdbacked Yes23c869.57$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$200825%2 W · 6 L+0.1wins+0.02per pick23cpaid+531.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa93a…0f5cbacked Yes24c850$204 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2041711.8%2 W · 15 L-2.8wins-0.17per pick28cpaid-81.5%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x99c2…ef35backed No74c849.7$629 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$220.927460.8%45 W · 29 L+6.5wins+0.09per pick52cpaid+37.1%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x07dd…ed9dbacked Yes24c837.5$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20010931.2%34 W · 75 L-9.7wins-0.09per pick40cpaid-31.4%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xa880…d095backed Yes24c833.33$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2001225%3 W · 9 L-2.1wins-0.17per pick42cpaid-62.6%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x470f…4157backed Yes28c702.18$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20010%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.28per pick28cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa645…0be6backed Yes24c624.46$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$149.876028.3%17 W · 43 L-1.7wins-0.03per pick31cpaid-11.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8c46…be29backed Yes24c620$147 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$146.613139.7%52 W · 79 L-2.7wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-9.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf092…4ebabacked Yes23c575.43$132 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$132.352646.2%12 W · 14 L-0.6wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-3.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x814e…d537backed Yes9c476$41 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40.8210%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.09per pick9cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6f58…4138backed Yes27c444.44$120 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12010%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.27per pick27cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc661…56debacked Yes23c440.62$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100425%1 W · 3 L+0.3wins+0.07per pick18cpaid-21.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa90b…0789backed Yes24c416.67$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10020%0 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.24per pick24cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb2ec…3344backed Yes24c416.67$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.04per pick38cpaid-29.1%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xa50f…f999backed Yes24c414.02$98 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$984131.7%13 W · 28 L-8.3wins-0.20per pick52cpaid-35.5%equal weight36-0.13 edge/pick
0x16cb…2704backed No75c400$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10038048.7%185 W · 195 L+10.0wins+0.03per pick46cpaid+5.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x5113…f0babacked Yes23c400$92 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$921729.4%5 W · 12 L+1.1wins+0.06per pick23cpaid+7.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xcee6…b3b7backed Yes25c400$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1007041.4%29 W · 41 L+3.1wins+0.04per pick37cpaid-10.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xe483…b5a0backed Yes25c399.85$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1005149%25 W · 26 L+3.3wins+0.07per pick43cpaid+13.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xa8f7…039abacked Yes21c383.27$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$80.494436.4%16 W · 28 L-3.8wins-0.09per pick45cpaid-14.8%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xe551…b99ebacked Yes24c372.42$89 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$89.3810%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.24per pick24cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x89c9…ff5dbacked Yes28c357.86$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10020%0 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.27per pick27cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5daa…d74fbacked Yes23c352.17$81 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8110%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.23per pick23cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb295…4ee4backed No76c300$229 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$713748.6%18 W · 19 L+2.3wins+0.06per pick42cpaid+8.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x1266…cd8cbacked No77c299.99$231 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$699752.6%51 W · 46 L+2.2wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+6.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x669c…54fbbacked Yes22c290.91$64 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6410%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.22per pick22cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8ea4…4a3abacked Yes23c282.26$65 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$64.9210%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.23per pick23cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xba01…d9bfbacked Yes23c277.03$64 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6410%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.23per pick23cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x70de…a1f3backed Yes22c275.8$61 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$60.681741.2%7 W · 10 L-0.3wins-0.02per pick43cpaid-5.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb6be…fcfebacked No78c254.72$199 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$56.0411548.7%56 W · 59 L-4.7wins-0.04per pick53cpaid-12.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x3e33…c9f1backed Yes26c250$65 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$65650%3 W · 3 L+0.3wins+0.05per pick45cpaid-26.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6b48…51d0backed No79c235$186 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$49.35955.6%5 W · 4 L-0.4wins-0.04per pick60cpaid-9.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa3b7…520dbacked Yes25c222.2$56 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$55.5510743%46 W · 61 L+5.2wins+0.05per pick38cpaid+11.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xaeed…074bbacked No78c218$170 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$47.968653.5%46 W · 40 L+4.5wins+0.05per pick48cpaid+3.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x66db…7afbbacked Yes23c217.39$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50425%1 W · 3 L+0.1wins+0.02per pick23cpaid+25%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdf3f…5076backed Yes23c217.39$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5030%0 W · 3 L-0.8wins-0.26per pick26cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd116…f169backed Yes23c217.39$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5020%0 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.25per pick25cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x54f0…7a91backed Yes23c217.39$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$505625%14 W · 42 L+4.5wins+0.08per pick17cpaid+23.1%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xed1f…3462backed Yes23c217.39$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$502245.5%10 W · 12 L-1.1wins-0.05per pick50cpaid-16.7%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xdcf1…384dbacked Yes24c208.86$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50.131233.3%4 W · 8 L0.0wins0.00per pick34cpaid-49.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x50ef…3abdbacked Yes24c208.33$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50922.2%2 W · 7 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick23cpaid+7.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb125…cb78backed Yes24c208.33$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5040%0 W · 4 L-1.3wins-0.33per pick33cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xeef0…89e4backed Yes24c207.67$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.8430%0 W · 3 L-0.5wins-0.18per pick18cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6981…02aebacked Yes24c204.17$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49616.7%1 W · 5 L-0.2wins-0.03per pick19cpaid-24.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd565…3f5abacked Yes24c203.79$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48.911136.4%4 W · 7 L-1.0wins-0.09per pick46cpaid-35.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe53e…91b0backed Yes22c201.95$44 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$44.4330%0 W · 3 L-1.1wins-0.36per pick36cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xa7cc…4952backed Yes22c200$44 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$441637.5%6 W · 10 L-1.7wins-0.10per pick48cpaid-29%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x06f9…44a4backed Yes24c200$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48250%1 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.23per pick27cpaid+61.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5f9b…2227backed Yes26c191.85$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50837.5%3 W · 5 L+1.1wins+0.13per pick24cpaid+38.9%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xe8ab…0c7fbacked Yes28c180$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5050%0 W · 5 L-1.8wins-0.36per pick36cpaid-100%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x8a9c…bdd3backed Yes23c180$41 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$41.420%0 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.27per pick27cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xbc41…7973backed Yes24c165.67$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39.7610%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.24per pick24cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6f40…eb64backed No78c160$125 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$35.212036.7%44 W · 76 L-2.7wins-0.02per pick39cpaid-20.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7449…cefbbacked Yes23c154.41$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35650%3 W · 3 L+0.8wins+0.13per pick37cpaid+7.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xb701…7cf6backed Yes23c153.33$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$358433.3%28 W · 56 L+3.5wins+0.04per pick29cpaid+35%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xbcd2…6ab0backed Yes23c150$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$343727%10 W · 27 L-1.0wins-0.03per pick30cpaid-25.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xdb26…8251backed Yes27c148.15$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4040%0 W · 4 L-0.9wins-0.23per pick23cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf5a2…4f02backed Yes24c141.67$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3410%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.24per pick24cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8140…b92fbacked No78c140.53$109 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31.08666.7%4 W · 2 L+0.3wins+0.06per pick61cpaid+6.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4143…d742backed Yes22c137.32$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.2110%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.22per pick22cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd569…c560backed Yes22c132.41$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.1330%0 W · 3 L-0.9wins-0.31per pick31cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xfdbf…c88ebacked Yes23c130.43$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$303129%9 W · 22 L-2.5wins-0.08per pick37cpaid-26.6%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x44af…c7ddbacked Yes23c130.43$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$302462.5%15 W · 9 L+3.2wins+0.13per pick49cpaid+30.3%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xee32…50c4backed Yes23c129.96$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.89250%1 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.21per pick29cpaid+43.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x53be…6377backed No79c126.58$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.582100%2 W · 0 L+0.8wins+0.40per pick60cpaid+85.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1852…e4adbacked Yes24c125$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3010%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.24per pick24cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1b65…6a4bbacked Yes24c125$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3020%0 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.29per pick29cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf0b0…8cabbacked No75c118.37$89 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29.3425735%90 W · 167 L-7.7wins-0.03per pick38cpaid-29.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf46b…0eeabacked Yes25c116$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29728.6%2 W · 5 L-0.7wins-0.09per pick38cpaid-49.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2d63…aa21backed Yes23c108.7$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$251827.8%5 W · 13 L-0.8wins-0.05per pick32cpaid-23%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Champions League and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.