TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Champions League · resolved market

Will Liverpool beat Real Madrid?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Yesof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Champions Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$116,183
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$135,858

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $116,183 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 156 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Champions League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Champions League
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xc7ed…6c8bbacked Yes47c17,355$8,135 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9,219.8310232.4%33 W · 69 L-2.8wins-0.03per pick35cpaid-17%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x658a…b117backed No47c14,898$6,991 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,991.49714.3%1 W · 6 L-1.2wins-0.17per pick32cpaid-80.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x9eb2…c8bfbacked No47c12,864$6,049 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,049.221741.2%7 W · 10 L-1.3wins-0.08per pick49cpaid-11.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x20cc…ebc0backed No51c9,918$5,102 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,102.35463%34 W · 20 L+3.3wins+0.06per pick57cpaid+8.6%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x1a87…4e00backed Yes55c9,311$5,117 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,194.318740.2%35 W · 52 L+3.1wins+0.04per pick37cpaid+81%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x0269…cb2dbacked Yes54c5,859$3,135 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,724.1417053.5%91 W · 79 L+7.7wins+0.05per pick49cpaid-0.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x2ce0…8d6fbacked No56c5,577$3,123 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,122.681060%6 W · 4 L+1.1wins+0.11per pick49cpaid+24.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x50e5…e39fbacked No41c4,862$2,012 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,012.3824252.5%127 W · 115 L-2.2wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-5.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9ccb…0a10backed Yes53c3,000$1,590 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,410875%6 W · 2 L+1.7wins+0.21per pick54cpaid+47.8%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xd0fd…a7dabacked No48c2,083$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,000475%3 W · 1 L+0.7wins+0.18per pick57cpaid+28.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xfb79…c2c6backed Yes54c2,000$1,080 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$919.998748.3%42 W · 45 L-4.4wins-0.05per pick53cpaid-13.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x6451…025fbacked Yes51c1,972$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$972.372227.3%6 W · 16 L-0.6wins-0.03per pick30cpaid-5.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x32b2…841cbacked No11c1,960$214 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$213.74633.3%2 W · 4 L+0.8wins+0.13per pick20cpaid-31.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x0aaa…77b7backed Yes50c1,956$978 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9784837.5%18 W · 30 L+2.4wins+0.05per pick32cpaid+16.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x4ed6…da8abacked Yes54c1,900$1,026 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$874366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.7wins+0.23per pick44cpaid+35.8%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x90ba…63f3backed No47c1,715$806 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$805.9540222.9%92 W · 310 L+0.7wins0.00per pick23cpaid+9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4c53…30cdbacked Yes54c1,500$810 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$690650%3 W · 3 L+0.3wins+0.05per pick45cpaid-11.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa97b…388dbacked No44c1,500$660 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$659.99333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.18per pick51cpaid-41.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc909…636ebacked Yes55c1,500$818 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$681.991100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.45per pick55cpaid+83.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x99c2…ef35backed No43c1,487$640 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$639.627460.8%45 W · 29 L+6.5wins+0.09per pick52cpaid+37.1%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x0b6a…4873backed Yes48c1,257$600 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$657.291764.7%11 W · 6 L+2.9wins+0.17per pick47cpaid+39.8%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x700f…62d8backed Yes56c1,228$683 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$544.7315250.7%77 W · 75 L+9.4wins+0.06per pick44cpaid+13.5%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x1eed…0c9abacked Yes53c1,098$582 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$516.22475%3 W · 1 L+1.3wins+0.32per pick43cpaid+70.2%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x4aef…9337backed No46c1,045$480 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$480.0924742.5%105 W · 142 L+1.6wins+0.01per pick42cpaid-10.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8a67…dc7cbacked Yes56c1,000$560 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4401656.3%9 W · 7 L+1.0wins+0.06per pick50cpaid+2.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xa8f7…039abacked Yes53c1,000$530 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4704436.4%16 W · 28 L-3.8wins-0.09per pick45cpaid-14.8%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x07f6…2ed5backed Yes53c1,000$530 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4701915.8%3 W · 16 L-0.9wins-0.05per pick21cpaid-44.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x480d…f219backed No45c999.96$450 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$449.9819645.4%89 W · 107 L-6.0wins-0.03per pick48cpaid+14.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xb786…b18dbacked Yes51c995.74$508 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$487.9136851.1%188 W · 180 L+15.7wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xe248…36b4backed No47c952.88$450 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$45030%0 W · 3 L-1.7wins-0.55per pick55cpaid-100%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x2fde…ed39backed Yes55c909.64$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$409.64728.6%2 W · 5 L-1.3wins-0.19per pick48cpaid-45.4%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xc6a1…9fd5backed Yes55c909.09$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$409.09425%1 W · 3 L-0.8wins-0.20per pick45cpaid-54.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x12a6…772ebacked Yes57c827.51$472 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$355.83250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.03per pick47cpaid-12.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4a64…4430backed Yes51c822.92$422 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$401.2222647.3%107 W · 119 L+12.7wins+0.06per pick42cpaid-3.8%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xaeb5…58e2backed Yes56c800$448 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$35213847.1%65 W · 73 L+4.6wins+0.03per pick44cpaid+4.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xb6be…fcfebacked Yes55c740.76$409 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$331.5211548.7%56 W · 59 L-4.7wins-0.04per pick53cpaid-12.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xb88d…291abacked No55c661.89$364 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$364.45955.6%5 W · 4 L+0.7wins+0.07per pick48cpaid+22%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0f50…4db9backed Yes54c604.25$324 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$280.393240.6%13 W · 19 L+2.9wins+0.09per pick32cpaid+7.7%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x0661…a72ebacked Yes55c545.68$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$245.681580%12 W · 3 L+1.1wins+0.07per pick73cpaid+10.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x3a57…5529backed Yes48c420.88$203 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$217.56366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.14per pick53cpaid+14.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xf745…d12cbacked Yes57c386.39$220 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$166.15666.7%4 W · 2 L+0.6wins+0.11per pick56cpaid+43.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xbceb…bd96backed No46c350.46$161 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$161.213036.7%11 W · 19 L+0.9wins+0.03per pick34cpaid-7.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x93bc…8ca3backed No43c334.85$144 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$143.9923942.7%102 W · 137 L+1.7wins+0.01per pick42cpaid+3.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xccff…e845backed No54c333.72$180 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1803250%16 W · 16 L+1.1wins+0.04per pick46cpaid-8.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7cd7…1365backed No47c320$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$150.410%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.47per pick47cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8889…a9d1backed No47c319.15$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15016447.6%78 W · 86 L-5.3wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-11.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x8bea…2becbacked No47c300.55$141 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$141.26944.4%4 W · 5 L-1.0wins-0.11per pick55cpaid-30.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xfd2f…37ddbacked No45c299.97$135 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$134.9911132.4%36 W · 75 L-5.0wins-0.05per pick37cpaid-23.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x3937…f693backed Yes54c293.35$158 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$134.94250%1 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.20per pick30cpaid-7.4%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x5c6c…bdd8backed Yes55c272.73$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$122.73825%2 W · 6 L-0.7wins-0.08per pick33cpaid-52.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9ba6…f2f1backed Yes56c228.57$128 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$100.57955.6%5 W · 4 L+0.2wins+0.02per pick54cpaid-2.4%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x789e…61bdbacked No48c224.33$108 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$107.68333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.8wins-0.26per pick59cpaid-52.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa7cc…4952backed No44c223.62$98 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$98.391637.5%6 W · 10 L-1.7wins-0.10per pick48cpaid-29%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x6f40…eb64backed Yes53c220$117 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$103.412036.7%44 W · 76 L-2.7wins-0.02per pick39cpaid-20.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa943…a0dabacked No46c217.38$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10020%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.48per pick48cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x447f…1c2cbacked No52c212.38$110 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$110.38633.3%2 W · 4 L-0.5wins-0.08per pick41cpaid-27.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf6ba…0627backed No48c208.29$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$99.98333.3%1 W · 2 L+0.1wins+0.05per pick29cpaid+108.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe483…b5a0backed No48c207.32$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1005149%25 W · 26 L+3.3wins+0.07per pick43cpaid+13.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x31cf…8834backed Yes48c206.38$99 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$107.323928.2%11 W · 28 L-0.1wins0.00per pick28cpaid+106.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbd46…a98bbacked Yes54c202$109 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$92.92757.1%4 W · 3 L+1.2wins+0.17per pick40cpaid+59.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x16cb…2704backed No45c200$90 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9038048.7%185 W · 195 L+10.0wins+0.03per pick46cpaid+5.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x05ad…72d7backed Yes53c200$106 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$942948.3%14 W · 15 L-0.1wins0.00per pick49cpaid-3.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc5dc…b55cbacked Yes55c200$110 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$901100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.45per pick55cpaid+81.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xfb51…742dbacked No44c200$88 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$884562.2%28 W · 17 L+1.9wins+0.04per pick58cpaid+19%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xc291…0220backed No45c199.99$90 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$903441.2%14 W · 20 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick40cpaid-10%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdc4b…5a92backed Yes52c199.98$104 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$95.9924455.7%136 W · 108 L-7.9wins-0.03per pick59cpaid-3.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x091a…8dddbacked Yes55c190.91$105 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$85.911100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.45per pick55cpaid+81.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe45c…40e9backed Yes54c186.17$101 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$85.64666.7%4 W · 2 L+0.3wins+0.05per pick61cpaid+7.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7432…794bbacked Yes55c181.82$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$81.822433.3%8 W · 16 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick33cpaid-1.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8240…cbfabacked Yes56c178.57$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$78.571957.9%11 W · 8 L+0.5wins+0.03per pick55cpaid+0.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8a27…fe44backed Yes57c175.82$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$75.821855.6%10 W · 8 L+3.5wins+0.19per pick36cpaid+59.9%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x8140…b92fbacked Yes55c175.74$97 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$79.23666.7%4 W · 2 L+0.3wins+0.06per pick61cpaid+6.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf6ef…e2c9backed Yes49c173.22$85 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$88.343464.7%22 W · 12 L+3.0wins+0.09per pick56cpaid+23.3%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xe939…2af4backed Yes53c165$87 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$77.553132.3%10 W · 21 L-2.0wins-0.06per pick39cpaid-22.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xad10…c665backed No46c164.11$75 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$75.29825%2 W · 6 L-2.8wins-0.35per pick60cpaid-63.6%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xf631…e20fbacked Yes55c160$88 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$721353.8%7 W · 6 L-0.4wins-0.03per pick57cpaid+0.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa256…fc1ebacked No45c150$67 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$67.51233.3%4 W · 8 L-1.0wins-0.08per pick41cpaid-44.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x9d4d…6d87backed Yes46c141.3$65 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$76.3728.6%2 W · 5 L-0.8wins-0.11per pick40cpaid-37.1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x9235…e761backed Yes55c136.04$75 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$61.221100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.45per pick55cpaid+81.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb295…4ee4backed Yes53c133.96$71 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$62.963748.6%18 W · 19 L+2.3wins+0.06per pick42cpaid+8.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xf545…8157backed Yes55c121.22$67 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$53.991100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.45per pick55cpaid+80.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3e33…c9f1backed Yes54c118.52$64 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$54.52650%3 W · 3 L+0.3wins+0.05per pick45cpaid-26.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0f58…ec8abacked Yes54c118.5$64 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$54.513100%3 W · 0 L+1.2wins+0.41per pick59cpaid+69.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x3486…49eebacked No44c113.64$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5028639.9%114 W · 172 L-4.7wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-0.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6dc4…f39bbacked Yes54c109.67$59 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$50.453324.2%8 W · 25 L-6.1wins-0.19per pick43cpaid-58.7%equal weight38-0.11 edge/pick
0x409d…3f46backed No45c106.33$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$47.8510%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.45per pick45cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1266…cd8cbacked Yes54c100.02$54 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$46.519752.6%51 W · 46 L+2.2wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+6.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xca8f…2858backed No46c100$46 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$467846.2%36 W · 42 L+3.2wins+0.04per pick42cpaid+8.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe220…f862backed Yes57c100$57 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$433655.6%20 W · 16 L+0.1wins0.00per pick55cpaid-3.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x81e1…7265backed No48c100$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$483531.4%11 W · 24 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick31cpaid-24.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2817…1f7cbacked Yes50c100$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$50250%1 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.17per pick33cpaid0%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x51b1…bce2backed No44c100$44 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$445518.2%10 W · 45 L-10.3wins-0.19per pick37cpaid-46.3%equal weight36-0.13 edge/pick
0x2d59…f80dbacked Yes53c100$53 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$47475%3 W · 1 L+0.8wins+0.20per pick55cpaid+29.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x66e7…e316backed Yes57c99.18$57 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$42.652951.7%15 W · 14 L+1.3wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+6.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xe227…55d8backed Yes55c94.55$52 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$42.554045%18 W · 22 L-3.5wins-0.09per pick54cpaid-22.2%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xb10d…becebacked Yes53c94.34$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$44.34560%3 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick61cpaid+0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc54a…4b6fbacked Yes54c92.59$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$42.591540%6 W · 9 L-2.4wins-0.16per pick56cpaid-35.8%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x17c7…c765backed No51c90.51$46 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$46.1610%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.51per pick51cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x362c…ac6ebacked Yes56c89$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3911145.9%51 W · 60 L-3.9wins-0.04per pick49cpaid-10.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2452…4571backed Yes57c87.72$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$37.721040%4 W · 6 L-0.4wins-0.04per pick44cpaid-27.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Champions League and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.