TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NBA · resolved market

Nets vs. Bulls

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Bullsof Nets, Bulls
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$173,562
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$183,941

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $173,562 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 321 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NBA
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x873c…ac48backed Nets0c25,000$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2525833.7%87 W · 171 L-3.3wins-0.01per pick35cpaid-5.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x20cc…ebc0backed Bulls73c23,340$17,067 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,273.7515056.7%85 W · 65 L+0.5wins0.00per pick56cpaid-9.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8342…13c9backed Nets29c6,627$1,938 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,938.0123548.1%113 W · 122 L-13.9wins-0.06per pick54cpaid-17.9%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x578d…fbb3backed Nets30c6,613$2,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,0007149.3%35 W · 36 L-3.4wins-0.05per pick54cpaid-20.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x19d8…1691backed Nets27c5,000$1,350 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,35072241.4%299 W · 423 L+2.7wins0.00per pick41cpaid-6.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb652…2db4backed Nets3c4,797$144 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$143.937627.9%105 W · 271 L-2.3wins-0.01per pick29cpaid+14.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4b46…db60backed Nets29c4,161$1,207 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,206.813748.6%18 W · 19 L-2.5wins-0.07per pick56cpaid-11.5%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x6bea…5d50backed Bulls71c3,800$2,698 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,10250047.2%236 W · 264 L-1.0wins0.00per pick47cpaid-3.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x31cf…8834backed Bulls72c3,729$2,697 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,031.724348.8%21 W · 22 L+1.8wins+0.04per pick45cpaid-9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe1e7…12febacked Bulls74c3,700$2,738 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9629563.2%60 W · 35 L+1.5wins+0.02per pick62cpaid+5.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3de1…6286backed Nets28c3,571$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,000616.7%1 W · 5 L-1.9wins-0.31per pick48cpaid-73.3%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x9267…0f9abacked Bulls72c3,552$2,557 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$994.5259653.4%318 W · 278 L+4.3wins+0.01per pick53cpaid+2.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf7ae…afc4backed Bulls73c3,522$2,571 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$950.92944.4%4 W · 5 L0.0wins0.00per pick44cpaid-15.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0269…cb2dbacked Bulls71c3,230$2,300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$929.6965642.5%279 W · 377 L-2.9wins0.00per pick43cpaid-15%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8bea…2becbacked Bulls71c2,934$2,083 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$850.722152.4%11 W · 10 L+1.0wins+0.05per pick48cpaid+6.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x86cb…6c6dbacked Nets29c2,888$837 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$837.5425%1 W · 3 L-0.8wins-0.20per pick45cpaid-68.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xc7b2…ece3backed Nets29c2,874$825 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$824.5619642.9%84 W · 112 L-10.9wins-0.06per pick48cpaid-15.9%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x3be0…9836backed Bulls71c2,862$2,032 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$829.88450%2 W · 2 L+0.1wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5550…5b4dbacked Bulls73c2,740$2,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$739.5512563.2%79 W · 46 L+4.5wins+0.04per pick60cpaid+6.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x4fc1…ec92backed Bulls72c2,675$1,928 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$747.1475347.5%358 W · 395 L+10.4wins+0.01per pick46cpaid+0.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5d6e…784ebacked Nets0c2,500$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10728.6%2 W · 5 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick27cpaid-58.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd04d…d0e5backed Bulls69c2,319$1,592 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$726.141,16449.6%577 W · 587 L+7.1wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3c87…70d5backed Nets24c2,261$548 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$547.5834644.2%153 W · 193 L-7.7wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5a5e…c869backed Bulls70c2,229$1,567 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$661.926167.2%41 W · 20 L+1.4wins+0.02per pick65cpaid-0.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x43f9…3e7ebacked Nets28c2,216$626 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$626633.3%2 W · 4 L-0.1wins-0.02per pick36cpaid+2.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4673…d99bbacked Bulls72c2,200$1,584 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$61637954.1%205 W · 174 L-5.7wins-0.01per pick56cpaid0%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x3d69…9829backed Nets20c2,189$439 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$439.0829043.8%127 W · 163 L-2.6wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-18.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2aa2…4d22backed Bulls76c2,100$1,603 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$496.9936057.5%207 W · 153 L-14.7wins-0.04per pick62cpaid-9.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xe214…fcbabacked Bulls72c2,000$1,440 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5602055%11 W · 9 L+1.6wins+0.08per pick47cpaid+13.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x90ba…63f3backed Nets33c2,000$660 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6601,78228%499 W · 1,283 L+11.5wins+0.01per pick27cpaid-1.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9390…dca0backed Nets28c2,000$560 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$560837.5%3 W · 5 L-0.8wins-0.10per pick48cpaid-44.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x93bc…8ca3backed Nets26c1,999$526 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$525.821,75240.6%712 W · 1,040 L-3.3wins0.00per pick41cpaid-5.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8511…4a6bbacked Bulls72c1,806$1,300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$505.5630351.8%157 W · 146 L+4.6wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xaeb5…58e2backed Nets28c1,500$420 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4201,09035.8%390 W · 700 L+40.1wins+0.04per pick32cpaid+5.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xc3ec…e987backed Bulls72c1,440$1,040 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$400.8356348.5%273 W · 290 L-7.1wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-7.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x85c4…fa85backed Nets28c1,429$400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$400742.9%3 W · 4 L-0.2wins-0.04per pick46cpaid-30.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2680…7fb0backed Nets27c1,423$384 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$384.0820%0 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.24per pick24cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x80b2…1e1cbacked Bulls73c1,408$1,028 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$380.221030%3 W · 7 L-1.4wins-0.14per pick44cpaid-42.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x351b…4d06backed Nets29c1,379$400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4005644.6%25 W · 31 L-0.9wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-8.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4a64…4430backed Nets21c1,290$272 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$272.3361532.2%198 W · 417 L-21.1wins-0.03per pick36cpaid-32.2%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x74cd…2319backed Nets4c1,251$46 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$462165.6%12 W · 204 L-12.6wins-0.06per pick11cpaid-61%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x4df3…788fbacked Bulls67c1,186$789 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$396.66,21350.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L+53.8wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+1.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7374…1df5backed Nets27c1,110$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$299.69922.2%2 W · 7 L-1.0wins-0.11per pick33cpaid-60.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x1f19…aec2backed Nets25c1,100$275 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27536747.7%175 W · 192 L-0.3wins0.00per pick48cpaid-3.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2fe6…ab9dbacked Bulls70c1,009$706 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$302.7549849.4%246 W · 252 L-3.4wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-4.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb2c7…1b5bbacked Nets28c1,000$278 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27829148.8%142 W · 149 L+7.1wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+4.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x479c…bcbcbacked Nets29c1,000$290 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2907549.3%37 W · 38 L-1.9wins-0.03per pick52cpaid+2.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x480d…f219backed Nets28c1,000$280 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2801,29044%567 W · 723 L+35.0wins+0.03per pick41cpaid+7.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x12ce…a6abbacked Bulls71c1,000$710 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2908442.9%36 W · 48 L0.0wins0.00per pick43cpaid+9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7551…a8e9backed Nets26c999.96$260 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$259.99966.7%6 W · 3 L+1.3wins+0.15per pick52cpaid+16.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xa8f7…039abacked Nets28c999.96$280 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$279.9916242%68 W · 94 L-1.6wins-0.01per pick43cpaid-2.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x202d…f8dabacked Nets28c982.14$275 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2753531.4%11 W · 24 L-0.7wins-0.02per pick33cpaid+5.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x371a…34b0backed Nets4c939.8$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38.561,0351.1%11 W · 1,024 L-24.4wins-0.02per pick3cpaid-90.5%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xb272…21d8backed Nets29c925.03$268 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$268.263145.2%14 W · 17 L-2.4wins-0.08per pick53cpaid-35.4%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xb3fc…b724backed Bulls73c900$657 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$243250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-31.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa077…9c54backed Nets28c892.86$250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2501216.7%2 W · 10 L-2.5wins-0.20per pick37cpaid-78.3%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x2752…8ce3backed Bulls71c847.11$600 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$247.111566.7%10 W · 5 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick68cpaid-0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x23ea…3ab2backed Bulls72c837.51$599 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$238.242080%16 W · 4 L+2.7wins+0.14per pick66cpaid+20.4%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xd9c0…4583backed Bulls72c800$576 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22413857.2%79 W · 59 L+1.7wins+0.01per pick56cpaid+4.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x15f0…974dbacked Nets28c725.8$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$200147.1%1 W · 13 L-1.9wins-0.14per pick21cpaid-57.4%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x8df2…97a5backed Nets28c714.29$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2005438.9%21 W · 33 L-1.7wins-0.03per pick42cpaid-2.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0df8…b67ebacked Bulls73c705.48$515 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$190.4820153.7%108 W · 93 L-2.2wins-0.01per pick55cpaid-0.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xde53…e5bebacked Bulls69c677.42$466 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$211.1485347.9%409 W · 444 L+8.2wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+4.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8c76…477abacked Nets30c664.33$199 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$199.327739.4%109 W · 168 L-9.1wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-7.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x401b…3107backed Nets23c602.65$140 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$140.31225%3 W · 9 L-1.0wins-0.08per pick33cpaid-38.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x7d46…3bffbacked Nets13c599.94$76 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$75.984922.4%11 W · 38 L0.0wins0.00per pick23cpaid-14.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x649f…993ebacked Bulls73c517.5$378 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$139.97354.8%40 W · 33 L+2.3wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+1.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xdb7c…5076backed Bulls73c507.69$371 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$137.07650%3 W · 3 L+0.3wins+0.04per pick46cpaid-3.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x03e3…08e0backed Bulls72c500$360 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1406768.7%46 W · 21 L+4.8wins+0.07per pick61cpaid+1.9%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x3dc1…40fdbacked Nets29c500$145 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14510%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.29per pick29cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xeb67…dbdebacked Bulls72c491.99$354 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$137.761346.2%6 W · 7 L-1.0wins-0.08per pick54cpaid-29.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xad18…0b4fbacked Nets21c477.07$99 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9953134.7%184 W · 347 L-11.7wins-0.02per pick37cpaid-10.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd7a0…ed74backed Bulls73c473.97$346 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$127.973773%27 W · 10 L+2.9wins+0.08per pick65cpaid+13.8%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xbe34…cf4cbacked Bulls70c432.6$302 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$130.6917244.2%76 W · 96 L+7.4wins+0.04per pick40cpaid+6.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xb5e7…3c1abacked Bulls73c421.34$305 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$115.8557760.5%349 W · 228 L-4.9wins-0.01per pick61cpaid-0.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2c41…41fbbacked Bulls72c419.99$302 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$117.64100%4 W · 0 L+1.1wins+0.27per pick73cpaid+38.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xfc25…1f7fbacked Nets29c399.98$115 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11596447.8%461 W · 503 L+35.5wins+0.04per pick44cpaid+17.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xa8cd…3cf2backed Bulls64c388.07$248 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$139.7111143.2%48 W · 63 L+6.0wins+0.05per pick38cpaid+15.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x8c91…0505backed Nets27c370.37$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10010147.5%48 W · 53 L-5.7wins-0.06per pick53cpaid-11.3%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x0360…7be1backed Bulls72c361.04$260 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$101.0911952.9%63 W · 56 L+2.8wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+12%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xfdbf…c88ebacked Nets28c357.14$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10038132.8%125 W · 256 L-6.5wins-0.02per pick35cpaid-4.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1772…bb32backed Nets29c347.54$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100.2711428.9%33 W · 81 L+0.1wins0.00per pick29cpaid-5.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdf86…601fbacked Nets29c344.83$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10050144.7%224 W · 277 L+7.6wins+0.02per pick43cpaid+8.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xddc8…951abacked Bulls73c341.29$249 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$92.151353.8%7 W · 6 L-1.5wins-0.12per pick66cpaid-23.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x2d7b…d15ebacked Bulls74c337.84$250 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$87.847558.7%44 W · 31 L-2.7wins-0.04per pick62cpaid-7.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x05ad…72d7backed Bulls74c332.82$246 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$86.534656.5%26 W · 20 L-2.5wins-0.05per pick62cpaid-14.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xd667…e1fcbacked Nets28c321.43$90 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9010%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.28per pick28cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x927e…a819backed Nets28c321.43$90 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9010%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.28per pick28cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1fe5…500fbacked Nets20c311.67$61 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$619431.9%30 W · 64 L+1.1wins+0.01per pick31cpaid-11.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5482…b6eebacked Nets5c310$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.555502.5%14 W · 536 L+2.2wins0.00per pick2cpaid-28.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xef04…88c3backed Bulls67c300$201 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$993847.4%18 W · 20 L-3.5wins-0.09per pick56cpaid-19.7%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x177e…a572backed Bulls73c300$219 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$814969.4%34 W · 15 L+3.1wins+0.06per pick63cpaid+9.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x89dc…e209backed Nets28c300$84 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8410243.1%44 W · 58 L-5.0wins-0.05per pick48cpaid-12.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x0ad3…8f5fbacked Nets31c300$92 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$91.55543.6%24 W · 31 L+0.1wins0.00per pick43cpaid+10.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfd31…4f6dbacked Bulls70c299.99$210 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$903372.7%24 W · 9 L+3.4wins+0.10per pick62cpaid+21.9%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xfd0e…a9c8backed Bulls72c299.99$216 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$841573.3%11 W · 4 L+0.3wins+0.02per pick72cpaid-1.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x330b…e446backed Nets27c299.99$81 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8111146.8%52 W · 59 L-0.3wins0.00per pick47cpaid-12.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xcfc5…817ebacked Bulls70c299.97$210 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$89.994763.8%30 W · 17 L+1.0wins+0.02per pick62cpaid-1.4%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x0979…ce4fbacked Nets29c289.97$84 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$84.0920%0 W · 2 L-0.7wins-0.35per pick35cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x26d1…6f56backed Nets23c273.81$63 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$62.5111235.7%40 W · 72 L-9.9wins-0.09per pick45cpaid-36.9%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.