Premier League · resolved market
Will Man City win on 2024-11-23?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x5232b8ca33acb780f9e4713b98235c3dfb147bb3ab1ea4a8ba358aaffaaa96d6
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $96,536
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $95,656
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $96,536 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 203 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Premier League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x9fc0…53ddbacked No | 33c | 21,174$7,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14,174.3 | 15 | 26.7%4 W · 11 L | -1.2wins | -0.08per pick | 35cpaid | -30.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0269…cb2dbacked Yes | 67c | 16,237$10,906 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,906.31 | 402 | 54.7%220 W · 182 L | +14.1wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc58d…9373backed Yes | 17c | 6,710$1,133 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,132.55 | 138 | 29%40 W · 98 L | -13.5wins | -0.10per pick | 39cpaid | -29.7%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x4a64…4430backed Yes | 39c | 4,213$1,626 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,625.56 | 378 | 41.8%158 W · 220 L | +8.7wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x38f1…9ff1backed Yes | 67c | 4,153$2,776 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,775.62 | 321 | 58.9%189 W · 132 L | +13.6wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfb79…c2c6backed No | 32c | 3,203$1,029 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,174.15 | 146 | 59.6%87 W · 59 L | +9.2wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +18.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x480d…f219backed No | 30c | 3,000$910 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,089.99 | 346 | 43.9%152 W · 194 L | -14.9wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb786…b18dbacked Yes | 41c | 2,832$1,156 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,155.75 | 796 | 50.8%404 W · 392 L | +28.1wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf519…906bbacked Yes | 13c | 2,743$357 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$356.6 | 386 | 49%189 W · 197 L | -6.9wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0692…10fbbacked Yes | 62c | 2,702$1,682 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,681.56 | 19 | 21.1%4 W · 15 L | -3.6wins | -0.19per pick | 40cpaid | -39.3%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x90ba…63f3backed No | 37c | 2,553$944 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,608.64 | 680 | 26.3%179 W · 501 L | +5.6wins | +0.01per pick | 25cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x37e0…024ebacked No | 30c | 2,405$721 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,683.46 | 189 | 50.3%95 W · 94 L | +9.2wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x649f…993ebacked No | 31c | 2,391$734 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,656.55 | 87 | 50.6%44 W · 43 L | +7.7wins | +0.09per pick | 42cpaid | +21.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9602…4d02backed Yes | 57c | 2,325$1,337 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,336.54 | 564 | 53.9%304 W · 260 L | +27.6wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9ccb…0a10backed No | 63c | 2,067$1,307 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$759.48 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | +1.5wins | +0.11per pick | 50cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x66e3…2b53backed No | 28c | 2,000$560 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,439.92 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.3wins | +0.07per pick | 33cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd6e6…fabfbacked Yes | 70c | 1,877$1,314 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,313.92 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.10per pick | 60cpaid | -33.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9ac5…6a3dbacked Yes | 68c | 1,774$1,215 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,214.99 | 227 | 44.5%101 W · 126 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa6cd…acebbacked Yes | 69c | 1,552$1,072 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,071.88 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x15ff…4c5ebacked No | 31c | 1,550$481 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,069.5 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.19per pick | 47cpaid | +55.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xefbb…9a15backed Yes | 18c | 1,377$248 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$247.88 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.10per pick | 40cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6451…025fbacked Yes | 9c | 1,248$115 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$115 | 62 | 30.6%19 W · 43 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 31cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc1a4…229ebacked No | 31c | 1,200$372 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$828 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | +33.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x958e…1a56backed Yes | 71c | 1,200$852 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$852 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.71per pick | 71cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x719d…4e73backed Yes | 69c | 1,194$824 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$824.02 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -1.2wins | -0.11per pick | 48cpaid | -24.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc6a1…9fd5backed No | 79c | 1,067$842 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$225.27 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | +0.6wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc6fe…b77fbacked No | 34c | 1,000$340 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$660 | 220 | 50%110 W · 110 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x09df…5ca9backed No | 34c | 999.96$340 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$659.97 | 34 | 47.1%16 W · 18 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +19.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x50e5…e39fbacked No | 35c | 999.88$350 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$649.92 | 284 | 43.7%124 W · 160 L | -10.2wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa8c0…3a39backed Yes | 54c | 841.42$458 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$458.41 | 28 | 28.6%8 W · 20 L | -5.3wins | -0.19per pick | 48cpaid | -45%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x20cc…ebc0backed Yes | 43c | 812.58$351 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$350.81 | 116 | 57.8%67 W · 49 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | -9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x02cb…ae38backed Yes | 64c | 683.49$437 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$436.99 | 155 | 54.8%85 W · 70 L | +3.6wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5bab…50aabacked Yes | 70c | 644.51$451 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$451.16 | 83 | 65.1%54 W · 29 L | -3.1wins | -0.04per pick | 69cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x047b…ef6fbacked No | 32c | 625$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$425 | 33 | 60.6%20 W · 13 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 61cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x05ad…72d7backed No | 35c | 590.93$207 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$384.21 | 56 | 41.1%23 W · 33 L | -4.7wins | -0.08per pick | 49cpaid | -21%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x27f2…702cbacked No | 70c | 567.63$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$167.63 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.06per pick | 65cpaid | +22.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb04a…ece3backed Yes | 65c | 537.08$349 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$349.1 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.13per pick | 63cpaid | -18%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4b…5a92backed Yes | 69c | 500$344 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$344 | 427 | 55%235 W · 192 L | -23.4wins | -0.05per pick | 61cpaid | -11%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0129…53cebacked Yes | 51c | 500$255 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$255 | 26 | 34.6%9 W · 17 L | -1.2wins | -0.05per pick | 39cpaid | -23%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc711…d3c6backed No | 35c | 499.96$175 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$324.97 | 37 | 54.1%20 W · 17 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd028…75f5backed Yes | 70c | 474.29$332 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$332 | 19 | 68.4%13 W · 6 L | -0.7wins | -0.04per pick | 72cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf53b…da58backed No | 73c | 454.25$330 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$124.25 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.26per pick | 74cpaid | +35.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcf95…7865backed No | 55c | 438.99$243 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$196.2 | 75 | 40%30 W · 45 L | +1.2wins | +0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xccff…e845backed No | 77c | 408.57$313 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$95.38 | 32 | 53.1%17 W · 15 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xac97…a99ebacked No | 34c | 399.88$138 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$262.14 | 56 | 53.6%30 W · 26 L | +4.1wins | +0.07per pick | 46cpaid | +53.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x71cd…912dbacked Yes | 59c | 366$216 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$215.94 | 197 | 43.7%86 W · 111 L | +32.4wins | +0.16per pick | 27cpaid | +142.5%equal weight | 66+0.15 edge/pick |
| 0x555c…ee28backed Yes | 60c | 350$210 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$210 | 58 | 51.7%30 W · 28 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8a67…dc7cbacked No | 31c | 350$109 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$241.5 | 76 | 51.3%39 W · 37 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x278c…0fbdbacked Yes | 58c | 344.83$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | +1.0wins | +0.07per pick | 54cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd9c4…a0b3backed Yes | 69c | 342.03$236 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$236 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | -1.3wins | -0.11per pick | 61cpaid | -23.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0a86…5664backed Yes | 70c | 332.86$233 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$233 | 246 | 30.5%75 W · 171 L | +4.0wins | +0.02per pick | 29cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x745c…22bcbacked Yes | 65c | 307.69$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 66cpaid | +1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcc6c…95cebacked Yes | 65c | 307.69$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.65per pick | 65cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x188b…6003backed No | 32c | 300$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$203 | 25 | 56%14 W · 11 L | +3.0wins | +0.12per pick | 44cpaid | +23.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9204…7bd5backed Yes | 63c | 300$189 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$189 | 28 | 28.6%8 W · 20 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe860…cdaabacked Yes | 69c | 297.09$205 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$204.99 | 61 | 47.5%29 W · 32 L | +1.2wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +18.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x85c3…269bbacked Yes | 70c | 285.71$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 43 | 62.8%27 W · 16 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 62cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5e12…141ebacked Yes | 70c | 285.71$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -1.2wins | -0.17per pick | 45cpaid | +15.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1d98…7a12backed Yes | 72c | 259.7$187 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$186.98 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.51per pick | 51cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb6be…fcfebacked No | 30c | 258.95$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$181.02 | 48 | 52.1%25 W · 23 L | -1.4wins | -0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xebc6…c3e4backed Yes | 68c | 258$175 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$175.44 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -1.4wins | -0.15per pick | 49cpaid | -39.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4aef…9337backed No | 35c | 250.29$87 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$163.53 | 153 | 37.3%57 W · 96 L | -7.0wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe803…8efbbacked Yes | 70c | 241.43$169 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$169 | 13 | 23.1%3 W · 10 L | -0.8wins | -0.07per pick | 30cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x184d…0a71backed Yes | 68c | 235.6$160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$160.21 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.24per pick | 57cpaid | -58.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked No | 73c | 218.56$159 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.62 | 660 | 31.2%206 W · 454 L | -13.0wins | -0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -23.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb541…947fbacked Yes | 72c | 211.92$153 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$152.58 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -1.2wins | -0.15per pick | 65cpaid | -25.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xec76…1036backed Yes | 18c | 210$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.07 | 15 | 26.7%4 W · 11 L | -2.0wins | -0.13per pick | 40cpaid | -42.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x86fb…0c53backed No | 80c | 206.13$165 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.23 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.14per pick | 71cpaid | -22.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4a54…0465backed No | 72c | 200$144 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.12per pick | 62cpaid | -30.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf4c5…c8c1backed Yes | 30c | 200$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 38 | 57.9%22 W · 16 L | +1.6wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x83e2…ce08backed Yes | 17c | 200$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34 | 29 | 41.4%12 W · 17 L | -1.2wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -23.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc6ca…09a4backed Yes | 65c | 200$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130 | 21 | 42.9%9 W · 12 L | -4.9wins | -0.23per pick | 66cpaid | -37.4%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xdc9f…905bbacked Yes | 64c | 199.99$128 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$127.99 | 256 | 48%123 W · 133 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbe34…cf4cbacked No | 27c | 185$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$135.05 | 79 | 68.4%54 W · 25 L | +8.4wins | +0.11per pick | 58cpaid | +24.7%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x2e0d…1598backed Yes | 17c | 164.98$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.14 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.17per pick | 17cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6aad…e760backed Yes | 66c | 162.64$107 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$107.34 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.48per pick | 48cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb231…ffacbacked Yes | 70c | 161.59$113 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$113.11 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.20per pick | 70cpaid | -28.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x07dd…ed9dbacked No | 29c | 158.62$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112.62 | 184 | 33.7%62 W · 122 L | -2.5wins | -0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3621…4f82backed Yes | 66c | 158.39$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104.54 | 31 | 38.7%12 W · 19 L | -4.0wins | -0.13per pick | 52cpaid | -24.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x28c9…5769backed Yes | 65c | 153.03$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 22 | 36.4%8 W · 14 L | -3.2wins | -0.14per pick | 51cpaid | -35.6%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9b35…a749backed Yes | 48c | 152.87$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.73 | 126 | 23%29 W · 97 L | -11.6wins | -0.09per pick | 32cpaid | -35.3%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x66db…7afbbacked Yes | 26c | 151.75$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 22 | 18.2%4 W · 18 L | -0.8wins | -0.03per pick | 22cpaid | -10%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3e33…c9f1backed Yes | 66c | 151.52$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -3.5wins | -0.35per pick | 65cpaid | -51.9%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xcfd9…b9bcbacked Yes | 66c | 151.52$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.8wins | -0.61per pick | 61cpaid | -100%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd1fe…2835backed No | 30c | 150$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$105 | 29 | 44.8%13 W · 16 L | +2.8wins | +0.10per pick | 35cpaid | +61.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2e34…ab65backed Yes | 70c | 149.99$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104.99 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.17per pick | 67cpaid | -25%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x362c…ac6ebacked Yes | 69c | 146.84$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101.32 | 93 | 48.4%45 W · 48 L | -6.2wins | -0.07per pick | 55cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0834…d9f2backed Yes | 17c | 145.64$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.76 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.17per pick | 17cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb10d…becebacked Yes | 69c | 144.93$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | -0.9wins | -0.07per pick | 68cpaid | -15%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4114…b9acbacked Yes | 70c | 144.72$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101.3 | 115 | 27%31 W · 84 L | -4.9wins | -0.04per pick | 31cpaid | -21%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0186…defdbacked Yes | 70c | 143.76$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.63 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +1.5wins | +0.18per pick | 44cpaid | +35.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5f41…83f5backed No | 31c | 140$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96.6 | 73 | 43.8%32 W · 41 L | +2.6wins | +0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdd00…e43ebacked Yes | 28c | 139.97$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.74 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | -0.4wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +13%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb125…cb78backed Yes | 72c | 138.89$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 13 | 30.8%4 W · 9 L | -0.4wins | -0.03per pick | 34cpaid | +19.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x80f6…c28dbacked Yes | 72c | 138.89$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +29.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x372d…be4fbacked Yes | 72c | 138.89$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -2.1wins | -0.30per pick | 45cpaid | -60.1%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x305f…b169backed No | 38c | 131.58$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.58 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +1.0wins | +0.32per pick | 34cpaid | +49.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x137c…8dd5backed No | 29c | 130.03$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.03 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -1.5wins | -0.21per pick | 49cpaid | -30.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x52ef…6b77backed No | 30c | 130$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90.4 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 32cpaid | -23%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe2db…1856backed Yes | 70c | 127.09$89 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88.96 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.9wins | -0.24per pick | 49cpaid | -55%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Man City win on 2024-11-23?this page
- Will Man City vs. Spurs end in a draw?No won
- Will Spurs win on 2024-11-23?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.